8-24-11

[Mr. IWS]

MLB Dunkel


Atlanta at Chicago Cubs
The Braves look to build on their 7-0 record in their last 7 games as a road favorite. Atlanta is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Braves favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-130). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 24

Game 951-952: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Marcum) 16.957; Pittsburgh (Thompson) 14.546
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 2 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 953-954: NY Mets at Philadelphia (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Pelfrey) 13.950; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 16.933
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 3; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-190); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-190); Under

Game 955-956: LA Dodgers at St. Louis (2:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 15.281; St. Louis (Garcia) 15.959
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-145); Over

Game 957-958: Houston at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Rodriguez) 15.253; Colorado (Cook) 14.665
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-155); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+135); Under

Game 959-960: Arizona at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Hudson) 14.656; Washington (Hernandez) 15.014
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+105); Under

Game 961-962: Cincinnati at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.831; Florida (Volstad) 12.892
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 963-964: Atlanta at Chicago Cubs (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Lowe) 15.724; Cubs (Wells) 14.495
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-130); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-130); N/A

Game 965-966: San Diego at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stauffer) 14.094; San Francisco (Lincecum)
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-180); 6
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-180); Over

Game 967-968: Seattle at Cleveland (12:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 15.298; Cleveland (Tomlin) 14.058
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-110); Under

Game 969-970: Oakland at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Cahill) 15.874; NY Yankees (Sabathia) 16.897
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-240); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-240); Over

Game 971-972: Kansas City at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.630; Toronto (Romero) 16.112
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-200); Over

Game 973-974: Detroit at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 16.457; Tampa Bay (Davis) 15.940
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-110); Under

Game 975-976: Boston at Texas (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Beckett) 16.117; Texas (Harrison) 15.373
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-110); Under

Game 977-978: Baltimore at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Guthrie) 13.933; Minnesota (Slowey) 14.254
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-125); Over

Game 979-980: Chicago White Sox at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Stewart) 15.814; LA Angels (Weaver) 17.046
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-215); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-215); Under

Game 981-982: Cincinnati at Florida (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.607; Florida (Vazquez) 12.975
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

[Mr. IWS]

ROCKDEMANSPORTS

Free Pick - Best Pitcher System:
Wash

[Mr. IWS]

jimmy boyd:

5: stl -145
4: nyy -1.5 -25
3: min -125

[Mr. IWS]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball Wednesday

Play Los Angeles Angels (-215) over Chicago W.S (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 10:00 PM EST

Jered Weaver has won 12 of the last 14 home games when the total posted is 7 runs or less and he has also won 9 of the last 11 home games as a favorite of -110 or higher. Jered Weaver has an ERA of 1.81 vs. Chicago over his career and he is 6-1 at home this season with an ERA of 1.49.

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Play New York Yankees (-255) over Oakland (Bonus)

Play Toronto (-190) over Kansas City (Bonus)

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers

Seattle –102 over CLEVELAND Pinnacle
12:05 PM EST start. King Felix almost threw a no-hitter in his last start but still lost when Johnny Damon beat out a routine groundout to short to extend the eighth inning. Next guy hit a swinging bunt single and the next batter hit a single to score two runs and put the Rays up 3-2 for good. Hernandez is one of the top pitchers in the game while his counterpart Josh Tomlin isn’t close but has more wins. Baseball is a funny and humbling game. That’s not to say Tomlin is a bad pitcher but other than his control he’s not in the same class as Felix. Tomlin has walked just 20 batters in 161 frames but he does not miss a lot of bats either, striking out about one batter every two innings. He also posted a 5.84 ERA in June and his groundball/line-drive-fly-ball profile of 39%/21%/41% is below average. As a finesse artist who lacks a groundball approach, there's not long-term upside here and although the M’s offense will have you pulling your hair out at times, the fact is, Tomlin should not be favored over Felix Hernandez. Play: Seattle –102 (Risking 2.04 units to win 2).

N.Y. Mets +173 over PHILADELPHIA Pinnacle
1:05 PM EST start. With a day game after a night game and with a comfortable 6½-game lead on the Braves (with no chance of missing the wildcard should the Braves catch them), and after beating the Mets 10-0 and 9-4 the past two days, expect the Phillies to rest a whole bunch of regulars here. Of course that doesn’t mean they’ll lose but it does mean they’re overvalued with Kyle Kendrick on the hill. These two offenses have been fairly even since the All-Star break, with PHI barely edging NYM in both OPS and runs scored (each is in the top five in those categories). Kyle Kendrick does not have an edge over Mike Pelfrey either. Kendrick simply can't get left-handers out. (.913 career OPS). With an ERA a full run lower than his xERA, his current run of success is likely unsustainable. Kendrick does not strike out many and his 77% strand rate on the year is a number that is also unsustainable. Mike Pelfrey doesn’t offer up a whole lot more but this isn’t about him. This is about taking back a big tag against Kendrick. Play: Philadelphia +173 (Risking 2 units).

Los Angeles +134 over ST. LOUIS Pinnacle
2:15 PM EST start. The genius has three wins in 10 days and his squad now sits 10 games out of a playoff spot. They lost 13-2 last night and have now scored three times in the past two games. This, too, is an afternoon game after a night game and Tony LaRussa hates to get embarrassed (you never show a genius up!) so expect him to sit out (not rest) a few regulars. Pujols is leaving, Holliday and Berkman are aging, Furcal isn’t hitting and the list goes on. It’s just not fun to come to the park for the Cardinals these days and you can see it all over their faces and body language. Things really don’t get easier here against Hiroki Kuroda either. Kuroda may just be the Rodney Dangerfield of NL starting pitchers. Year after year, he posts solid ERAs, but has neither the wins nor the accolades to show for it. This year is another example: A 2.88 ERA and a 9-14 record. There's a good reason why Kuroda has been so good in recent years -- because his skills have been. He's consistent -- he's never had an ERA above 4.00 as a major league pitcher. Kuroda's walk rate continues an upward trend and strikeout rate is down a tick, but his command remains near the elite level. He's had some strand rate help this year, but his xERA still shows him to be a 3.50-ERA pitcher. With all of the pitching talent in the NL West and on his own team, Kuroda's name rarely gets mentioned. At 36, there's certainly more downside than upside from here out. But until further notice he remains one of the leagues most consistent and underappreciated starters. Jaime Garcia has not gotten stronger as the season has gone along. Interestingly, Garcia's skills also show in-game erosion. He is fantastic the first time through lineups but that erosion begins to take place the second and third time through and it appears as though his durability is in doubt. Cardinals are a team to avoid like the plague right now and you can double that laying a price. Play: Los Angeles +134 (Risking 2 units).

Kansas City +178 over TORONTO Pinnacle
Ricky Romero has pitched as well as C.C. Sabathia this season and only Justin Verlander has pitched better than he. However, Romero pitches for the Blue Jays so he does not get near the recognition those two get. Since July 27, Romero has been baseball’s best pitcher. He’s gone 5-0 with a 0.89 ERA - tied for the most wins while compiling the best ERA in that span - and allowing 14 hits in 40.1 innings. Thing is, he’s always struggled in the second half and now that reporters are asking him about a possible Cy Young award, you may see a different pitcher out there today. Furthermore, both the Royals and Luke Hochevar give the Jays fits. K.C. has beaten Toronto six out of nine games and Hochevar is 3-1 with a 3.16 ERA in four starts versus Toronto. Hochevar beat Romero earlier in the year and he can do it again against this ice-cold Toronto line-up. The Jays have scored just six runs over its past four games and it’s also worth noting they traded two very popular clubhouse players in Aaron Hill and John MacDonald for the .209 hitting Kelly Johnson. Toronto found out about the trade before last night’s game and they didn’t respond well against Bruce Chen. A similar response here gets us to the cashier’s booth. Play: Kansas City +173 (Risking 2 units).

Detroit –101 over TAMPA BAY Pinnacle
DET swept TAM in their earlier three-game series and won the first two of this series making it five in a row now. These two offenses are heading in different directions: Detroit is hitting .287 since the All-Star break, Tampa only .244 and they only managed to score once last night against the hamburger eating Brad Penny (they had 11 hits). After winning 10 of 12 heading into this series and not gaining any ground on BOS or NYY, then subsequently losing the first two of this series, the Rays have to be a frustrated team. This isn’t Price against Penny either. The Tigers get a significant edge on the hill with Max Scherzer against Wade Davis. Davis isn’t looking like a breakout candidate. His xERA of 4.82 shows his true skill level. His control has declined slightly over the years and his strikeout rate has plummeted. While he's never been an extreme groundball pitcher, Davis has regressed recently in that area too. Fact is, he’s not very good and in no way should he be favored against a team his team can’t beat. Scherzer has not enjoyed the consistent dominance that he flashed late last season. The true cause has been some acute struggles against LH bats. He has been ace-like against right-handers. Upton and Longoria are two threats that bat right-handed while Zobrist is a switch-hitter but has hit better vs lefties and is hitting just .229 at the Trop. Play: Detroit –101 (Risking 2.02 units to win 2).

[Mr. IWS]

TOM FREESE
10* MLB* EARLY NO BRAINER* Seattle Mariners ML
15* MLB* NL PITCHING MISMATCH OF THE MONTH* Arizona Diamondbacks ML
10* MLB* NO BRAINER* Atlanta Braves ML

[Mr. IWS]

JOHN HARRISON
4 UNIT* MLB* Colorado Rockies-Houston Astros OVER

[Mr. IWS]

EasyBaseballBetting
Our systems say to go for:

Orioles (+115),
Dodgers (+129),
Brewers (-175),
Cubs (+122),
Mariners (-104).

[Mr. IWS]

MLBPredictions
Kevin

Oakland Athletics @ New York Yankees – YANKEES - 1.5 (-125)

(Note: I’m risking 2.50 units to win 2 units)

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks
Mon 0 - 1
Tue 1 - 0
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
World Series contenders are set to square off against one another on Wednesday night from the Ballpark in Arlington where the Texas Rangers will host the Boston Red Sox for the third game of the team’s scheduled four-game series; first pitch on ESPN2 is set for 7:05 ET.
After dropping the series opener against the Rangers in shut-out fashion (4-0), manager Terry Francona’s squad finds itself a full game in back of the New York Yankees for the top spot in the AL East. With such a slim deficit to make up, there’s no need to panic. However, hampering injuries to Jacoby Ellsbury, David Ortiz, Kevin Youkilis and J.D. Drew is definitely something for Red Sox Nation to be worried about. Still, at 77-50 (+$472) with over a month left in the regular season, Boston holds a commanding 7.5-game lead over the division rival Tampa Bay Rays in the AL Wild Card race.
After getting embarrassed in Chicago to close out its successful 10-game road trip, Texas needed the type of win it earned Monday night just to reassure itself that it remains a major player this season. Manager Ron Washington had no doubt his team would show up in the series opener, and his belief was brought to fruition when starter C.J. Wilson baffled Boston’s line-up through 6.2 innings with the bullpen assortment of Koji Uehara, Mike Adams and Neftali Feliz sealing the deal. The win allowed them to hold onto their 4.5-game lead over the Halos in the AL West and improved them to 40-23 (+$400) as a host.
The Rangers have shockingly held a stranglehold over the Red Sox in the team’s recent series. They’ve won all four of their 2011 meetings and entered Game 2 of this series from Arlington winners in 16 of the L/21 overall confrontations. Boston’s 22-7 record its L/29 games played on the road against +.500 opposition looks even better with its 8-1 record the L/9 times Josh Beckett tossed at a winning team. Texas counters with a 13-3 mark its L/16 versus a righty and has won each of Matt Harrison’s L/6 scorching hot home starts.
PICK: OVER

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

250* Mariners -110

100* Over 8.5 Rays/Tigers

50* Braves -140

[Mr. IWS]

Todays Picks

Detroit Tigers ML +101

Atlanta Braves ML -120

[Mr. IWS]

SHARP MOVES

UNDER - Cincinnati / Florida 8.5

UNDER - Baltimore / Minnesota 9

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS N´ PROFITS

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies under 9 @ 105PM

Chicago Cubs +116 vs. Atlanta Braves @ 805PM

Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins over 9 @ 810PM

San Francisco Giants -1 1/2 (+130) vs. San Diego Padres @ 1015PM

[Mr. IWS]

Jhonny Banks

500 DIME MLB HIGH ROLLER ON CLEVELAND UNDER 7