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Paul Leiner
NFLX
100* Over 34 Bengals/Panthers
MLB
50* Nationals -145
NFLX
100* Over 34 Bengals/Panthers
MLB
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PLAYBOOK PRESEASON 2 MINUTE HANDICAP WEEK 3
Thursday, August 25
Carolina *0-7 SU & 1-6 ATS away... *1-6 dogs
CINCINNATI *2-7 SUATS vs NFC... Smith: 2-6 SUATS Game Three
Cleveland SERIES: visitor 0-3 SUATS... 1-5 SUATS away...*4-9 vs NFC
PHILADELPHIA *2-12 vs AFC... Reid: *9-18 fav / *8-15 home
Washington 4-0 Game Three... *3-16 dogs... *2-9 away...
BALTIMORE *6-1 SUATS vs NFC... 0-4 UNDER Game Three... Harbaugh: *4-2 homeComment
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goodlyfe sports
Oakland Rl (Even) Risk 300/Win 300
Pirates Rl (-150) Risk 300/Win 200
Cubs (Even) Risk 200/Win 200
Boston RL (-140) Risk 280/Win 200
NFL for Tomorrow BIG game!!!
Green Bay Packers -8.5 (-110) Risk 330/Win 300
Buy down to -7 (-140) Risk 280/Win 200
This line will go to -9 tomorrow so get this in early!Comment
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Sports Wagers
Arizona +128 over WASHINGTON Pinnacle
The D-Backs have won two straight and that changes everything. They scored four times last night but had eight hits and two walks and a few opportunities to score more. The Snakes are coming back to life and the additions of Aaron Hill and John MacDonald are good one’s indeed. MacDonald is not good with the glove, he’s incredible and Aaron Hill could get hot at any time at the plate. The D-Backs infield is now three former teammates in Toronto, Lyle Overbay, Hill and MacDonald and instantly there is a comfort level. Miley began '11 in Double-A before his promotion to Triple-A in early July. The former supplemental first round pick in '08 lacks a high ceiling, but he flashes three solid- average offerings that give him the potential to become a mid-rotation starter. He generally pitches off his 88-95 mph sinker and efficiently mixes in a slider, curveball, and changeup. Because of the movement on his fastball, batters hit a high number of groundballs against him. Miley may not have a plus pitch to project to a high K rate, but his three main pitches are effective. He and the D-Backs are a significant pooch here because Miley was somewhat ineffective in his first major-league start against the Braves. However, he struck out five in four frames and posted a xERA of 3.72, which is dramatically lower than his actual posted ERA of 11.25. John Lannan scares nobody. Lannan has been absolutely dominant against LH batters, however, his numbers nosedive against righties and the D-Backs are loaded with righties. He does not have a strikeout pitch against right-handers and his xERA against right-handed batters is 6.82. That’s a number that should not be ignored and on their worst day the D-Backs have a great shot to win their third straight. Definite overlay. Play: Arizona +128 (Risking 2 units).
Oakland +201 over N.Y. YANKEES Pinnacle
The A’s may not win here because not many sweep in New York but one also can’t overlook the big overlay here. Phil Hughes is 1-2 at Yankee Stadium with an ERA of 7.66. He recently pitched a game in New York against the A's and was knocked around for nine hits and seven runs in 4.1 frames and that’s with a 12-run lead after three innings. The next game out he was whacked again by the light-hitting M’s but got away with leaving a bunch of guys on base and allowing just two runs on nine hits in six innings. Rich Harden has a 3.33 ERA with an outstanding strikeout rate over his last five starts. Harden can blow up at any time and he’s a bit of a risk because he’s simply not the same Rich Harden of years gone by. However, Phil Hughes does not deserve this billing and it’s also worth noting that the A’s have the second best OPS in the league since the all-star break. They could score a bunch more today. Play: Oakland +201 (Risking 2 units).
Detroit +160 over TAMPA BAY BET365
1:05 PM EST. Jeremy Hellickson does not have the skills to support his nice surface stats. That’s not to say he’s a bad pitcher because he’s not. He has a ton of upside but he still has a lot of learning to do and there are going to be growing pains along the way. Hellickson has an awful groundball/line-drive/fly-ball profile of 32%/21%/47% and that means some balls are going to leave the yard against him in the final five weeks of the year. He also has an average strikeout rate (95 k’s in 142 IP) and he has not struck out twice as many batters as he’s walked (51). Those numbers in no way support a 3.04 ERA and his xERA of 4.36 is a more accurate account of how he’s pitched thus far. Doug Fister has been consistently good all year. He has outstanding command, a good strikeout rate, a groundball bias profile and a good ERA and xERA. Tigers can hit, Rays cannot and this is undoubtedly another overlay. Play: Detroit +160 (Risking 2 units).
Pittsburgh +158 over ST. LOUIS Pinnacle
The genius has now lost four in a row and eight of 10. They just got swept by the Dodgers at Busch and they’re pretty much just going through the motions right now, as most players don’t even want to look at Tony LaRussa and Mark McGwire, let alone play hard for them. You can tell when a team is just going through the motions when they start ignoring the little things like backing up throws, missing cutoff men, not hustling down first on routine grounders and the Cards are guilty of them all right now. Charlie Morton is among the best in the league in inducing groundballs, as his 60% groundballs will attest to. Morton has trouble with lefties but the Cards are completely stacked with right-handed bats. Edwin Jackson is good but he also has to be dialed in to succeed. We’ve seen this guy lose focus on so many occasions and with the current state of mind of his teammates, he just might implode here. The Pirates continue to play hard and that alone makes them a much better play taking back a big tag than the Cards are laying a big one. Play: Pittsburgh +158 (Risking 2 units).
NFL
CINCINNATI –2 over Carolina SportsInteraction
These two just might be the worst in the game this season and both will be hard-pressed to win three games all year. The Panthers already won a preseason game, as they beat the Giants in their home opener while the Bengals are 0-2. Cinci will play its home opener here and losing is not an option. The Bengals have to show the fans something to keep them interested otherwise they will not come out. Preseason games mean absolutely jack to most but this is actually a crucial game for Cinci after they were blown out in two previous preseason games. They have been outscored 61-10 in the two preseason games. They’ve also turned the ball over six times. They haven’t lost, they’ve been embarrassed and now, even before the season begins, the media is all over them. In June, ESPN The Magazine ranked the Bengals as the worst professional franchise of the four major sports in North America. Two weeks ago, ESPN’s NFL writers had them last in their preseason rankings. And yesterday, in Scouts Inc.’s rankings of the Top 200 Players, the Bengals have an NFL low one player as left tackle Andrew Whitworth comes in at No. 85. These things can’t be sitting well with the team and they’ll use it for motivation, especially the Scout Inc’s ranking that says they’re a bunch of nobodies. Forget about who is playing and for how long. It does not matter. The Bengals need this one badly to get them kick-started and it’s not like they’re playing a powerhouse. Carolina might actually be worse than the Bengals and they come into this third preseason game with a lengthy injury list. Carolina’s only goal is to get healthy. Play: Cincinnati –2 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).
Cleveland +7 over PHILADELPHIA Pinnacle
The NFL and its teams and players are under the microscope from the first day of training camp right up to the final snap of the Super Bowl. The media and fans can’t get enough of this stuff and locally every sports talk show on radio is talking football 24/7. Perhaps no team is getting more coverage than the Eagles. Already they’ve been coined the “team to beat” and the betting public pays attention. The media has influence on the line and when you wager on immensely popular teams you’re going to pay a premium to do so, even in the preseason. What we know for sure is that Andy Reid couldn’t give a rats ass about preseason or the negative press the Eagles received after a poor showing versus the Steelers. What we also know is that the Browns are looking pretty sharp these days, especially on offense in which they’ve scored 55 points in two preseason games against the Packers and Lions. Cleveland will play Colt McCoy for at least a half and perhaps into the third quarter. Mcoy has struck for five TD’s on nine preseason possessions and this Eagles defensive line is a serious work in progress. Look for Seneca Wallace to close it out. For the Eagles, the starters will play almost three full quarters and that includes Michael Vick. Big deal. Vick threw three picks in four possessions last week. He also threw six interceptions in the Eagles last five regular-season games and he’s not likely to be running with the ball in the preseason. Vince Young will play the final quarter and there’s also a chance Mike Kafka will get some playing time. For the Eagles, this game has nothing to do with a win or loss. Again Andy Reid couldn’t care less. It’s a chance for Vick to make the right reads and be crisper on his passes and for the linebackers to improve dramatically. For the Brownies, they’re looking forward to playing Vick and the Eagles and they’ll show up, just like they’ve done in every preseason snap thus far. Play: Cleveland +7 (Risking 2.14 units to win 2).Comment
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Jeff Benton
Thursday's Action
60 Dime preseason football seleetion on the Browns over the Eagles. At the time I release this winner, Cleveland is priced right around a touchodown underdog both here in Vegas and offsoore. I think Cleveland has a real shot at winning this meaningless preseason game outright, and love the fact that we are getting right around seven points.Comment
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Jhonny Banks
NFLX
500 DIME NFL HIGH ROLLER ON CINCINNATI -3
500 DIME NFL HIGH ROLLER ON PHILADELPHIA -6.5
500 DIME NFL HIGH ROLLER ON WASHINGTON +5.5
MLB
500 DIME MLB HIGH ROLLER ON NEW YORK YANKEES -1.5 -110
500 DIME MLB HIGH ROLLER ON TAMPA BAY -145
500 DIME MLB HIGH ROLLER ON BALTIMORE +1.5 -139Comment
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JOHN CHANG
---Start Time 8:15 PM EST---
Pittsburgh Pirates/ST LOUIS CARDINALS under 8 runs, 5 dimes
We're riding on the back of a 5 day win streak, and today should be no different. The matchup in St. Louis tonight looks to be giving us a great opportunity for the under. Charlie Morton has been returning to his early season form lately, and Edwin Jackson continues to throw well this year. Both bullpens are solid, and I'll gladly lay 5 dimes on this game staying under 8 runs. Enjoy your day, and best of luck!Comment
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