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Todays Picks
Detroit Tigers ML -125
Los Angeles Angels ML +105
NFLX
St. Louis Rams -1.5
Detroit Tigers ML -125
Los Angeles Angels ML +105
NFLX
St. Louis Rams -1.5
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Defeat Your Bookie
North Johnson III's
10* Philadelphia Phillies ML -210
5* NY Yankees ML -160
Jesus Muncero
3* Atlanta Braves ML -145
3* Los Angeles Angels ML +105
Mat Earlson
5* Atlanta Braves ML -150
3* NY Yankees ML -160
Johnny Palumbo
4* OVER 10 - Orioles / YankeesComment
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MLBPredictions
Kevin
Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers – OVER 7.5 RUNS (-110)
(Note: I’m risking 2.20 units to win 2 units)
The Rockies and Dodgers meet again after a couple days away from each other, where they both went on to sweep their opponents in three game series’. The Rockies are coming off of a home sweep against the Astros, while the Dodgers swept the Cardinals in St Louis. Los Angeles scored 24 runs in the three game set with the Cardinals. The Rockies are coming off of a 10 game road trip, but did have the day off yesterday. The Rockies send Esmil Rogers to the mound tonight, who is 6-2 on the season with a 6.00 ERA, 1.86 WHIP, and .318 opponents batting average. Although the Rockies are 2-1 in Rogers’ last three starts, he has giving up 26 hits and has a 5.29 ERA over 26 innings of work. The Dodgers have veteran Ted Lilly on the mound, who is 7-13 on the season with a 4.58 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and .255 opponents batting average. Note that the OVER is 8-1 in the Rockies last 9 games overall, 4-1 in their last 5 vs NL West opponents, and 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. Also note that the OVER is 3-1-1 in Rogers’ last 5 starts with a low total set at 7-8.5. The OVER is 6-2-1 in the Dodgers last 9 home games, 5-1 in their last 6 Friday games, and 4-0 in their last 4 games following a win. The OVER is also 4-1-1 in the Dodgers last 6 home games with the total set at 7-8.5, and 7-3 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series. The OVER is 6-2 in Lilly’s last 8 starts vs a team with a losing record, and 5-2 in his last 7 home starts with the total set at 7-8.5. Also note that the OVER is 4-1 in Lilly’s last 5 starts vs the Rockies, and head-to-head the OVER is 16-6 in these two teams last 22 meetings. Neither team is struggling at the plate right now, with the Rockies averaging 6.88 runs per game over their last 9, and the Dodgers averaging 6.57 runs per game over their last 7 played. Put that together with two pitchers that struggle at times, and I think we have some good value with this total at 7.5 runs. Let the OVER trend continue between these two teams tonight.Comment
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WUNDERDOG (MLB)
1 OF 6
Game: New York Yankees at Baltimore (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 10.5 -115
It is easy to see why this total has pushed beyond the 10-run mark as the Bombers unleashed their fury at home vs. the A's yesterday with 22 runs. Good pitching is usually contagious, and the Birds have held their last four opponents to 1-run each while failing to top the total in their last five. It is easy to back the over in a Yankees game especially after what we saw yesterday. But the reality is that since April 1 of this year, the Bombers have seen a dozen games posted at 10 or higher, and have made it over those totals just three times, and Burnett has only seen one of his last eight starts vs. the Orioles top the total. Baltimore is also playing low at home to high numbers as they are now 8-3 in their last 11 with a total set from 9-10.5.
The UNDER is the play.Comment
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6 Unit Play Take #974 Boston -148 over Oakland (7:10pm est):
The Oakland A's are coming off a long and difficult three game battle versus the New York Yankees this week. You have to wonder how much the A's have left in their tanks going into what looks like another extremely tough place to play. This game has the look of a huge let down spot for Oakland after their battles with the Yankees over these past few days.
Oakland really struggles on the road as they are just 24-41 away from home this season. They are an even worse 17-35 their last 52 road contests. The key here in this one are the pitchers. A's starter Gio Gonzalez is a guy who is a much different pitcher at home than he is when he goes on the road. Gonzalez has a WHIP of over 1.60 on the road this season and is someone who has really struggled the last few months of the season. In fact Oakland has lost his last eight straight road starts coming into this one tonight and are just 3-13 when he faces a home team with a winning record overall ont he season.
The Boston Red Sox have had their fair share of injuries all season long but they have somehow managed to be the top offense in baseball this year while building up a record of 30 games above .500 along the way. They were able to get a few key pieces back the past few days and in the process made a big statement by whipping the Texas Rangers 30-7 in winning the final three games of their four game road series with them. At home and against lefties the Red Sox are especially tough, hitting well over .300 in these match-ups this season. On the pitching end of things the Red Sox go with veteran Tim Wakefield, who once again is looking to get his 200th career victory. Boston actually moved Wakefield's start back a day not only to give him a chance to get his big win in his home ballpark but also because of how much better a pitcher Wakefield is at home than compared to when he is on the road. The always tough Red Sox are even tougher to beat in Boston with Wakefield on the hill, winning 39 of his last 57 home starts overall. He has beaten the A's in Boston five of the last six times he has started against them.
Teams from the west coast playing out east seem to always struggle and Oakland is no exception to that, having won only 11 of the past 40 times they have visited Fenway and are losers of four straight overall. All the Red Sox teammates love Tim Wakefield and they would love nothing more than to get him a win tonight at home for number 200. Now almost completely healthy, Boston looks like they are ready to go to a whole other level offensively the last month of the regular season which should be very scary to the rest of the teams in baseball. The Red Sox hitters will be licking their chops to get ahold of guy like Gonzalez who struggles so mightily on the road and who also walks his fair share of batters. Take Boston here. Big weekend of NFL pre-season action in store. Don't miss out as I continue to roll onward with these pre-season plays on the gridiron. I have not one, not two but three plays in the NFL this weekend and the action all begins tonight. I am 10-3 the last two years here at Doc's Sports in NFL pre-season plays and more impressive than even that is the fact I have yet to have a losing week of the five total weeks over the past two pre-seasons (we don't release NFL plays the final week of the season). Dollar for dollar it's easily the best bargain around. Don't miss out as I am locked and loaded and ready to go tonight.
Thank you and good luck,
Jason SharpeComment
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DAVID MALINSKY
4* OAKLAND / BOSTON OVER 10
Sometimes guys with erratic performance swings like Gio Gonzalez, or a knuckleballer like Tim Wakefield, might appear to be “tough reads”. But in this case it is not so difficult at all, and we see plenty of runs in Fenway tonight.
Gonzalez often needs a GPS to find the strike zone, but works around that because his stuff is difficult to hit. His worst nightmare comes when he faces a patient side that will not chase anything on the edges of the zone, and that is what happens tonight. The Yankees and Red Sox are once again #1 and #2 in the Major League’s in W rate, and against those teams he is 0-3/7.41 this season. His 2.36 home/4.50 road splits have a lot of those “control” issues built in, toiling at 4.6 W’s per 9 from opposing mounds, so even if he brings good stuff there will be high early pitch counts to wear him down. That is a major problem, because the Oakland bullpen is a mess today. Bruce Billings and Jordan Norberto are out for certain; Brian Fuentes and Fautino De Los Santos have each worked back-to-back games and are question marks, and there is no form to be found from closer Andrew Bailey, who has been scored on five times in his last seven appearances.
But the A’s will compete to win tonight because they will score – against Wakefield everyone does these days. While the veteran right-hander has given the Red Sox just what they needed, someone to go out and eat innings, there has not much movement on his knuckler lately. That shows up in terrific control numbers, with only 15 W’s over his last 11 starts, but for him that is not necessarily a good thing – he allowed at least three earned runs in every one of those 11 games, getting tagged for 83 hits in that span. And it is not as though he has been up against top-flight competition, with seven straight starts against losing teams. He will do his usual tonight, churn through some innings while not dominating at any time, and that enables the Oakland offense to bring us what we need from their side of this equation.Comment
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Benjamin lee Eckstein "Mr Chalk"
Ben lee lost and went back into the "RED" on Thursday with the Blue Jays -$190/Royals.
For Friday "Mr Chalk" is going with the 2nd "Chalkest" game on the board the Phillies -$210/Marlins.
"Mr Chalk" is 85-53 -$49 for the 2011 MLB regular season.Comment
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