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Hamels/Bailey
The Reds are great against left-handed pitching and will be facing Cole Hamels who is working his way back from the DL. The Reds have been "red" hot this past week and should put up a good number of runs. The Phillies have been hitting the ball pretty well and will get runs of their own. I think this is a very, very valuable line. Take the Over.
7:07 pm
***BEST BET
UNDER 8.5
Tampa Bay at Toronto
Davis vs. Romero
The Rays have won Wade Davis’ last five starts, so he must be doing something right, like throwing a complete-game, four-hitter against Detroit in his most recent start. The guy was DL-ed with a forearm strain two months ago, but you don’t throw complete games with injuries so he’s okay now. The Blue Jays are batting a collective .235 against him over the course of 115 at-bats. Senor Romero had won five in a row prior to a no-decision 4-3 loss by Toronto to Kansas City, and he has a 2.78 ERA for the season, with a low WHIP of 1.14 and a Batting Average Against of .213. The Rays have a collective average against him of only .212 over the course of 118 at-bats. Everybody’s got late-night flights to catch here: Blue Jays are ticketed to Baltimore, Rays are headed for Texas. The umps gotta be somewhere else, too, so this thing should be moved along nicely. ‘Say, color commentator, these two young pitchers sure are exhibiting excellent control and staying ahead of the hitters tonight, and that’s what you’ve got to do to win in this league.’ ‘Right you are, play-by-play man.’ ‘Steeeeee-rike!!’
Monday, August 29, 2011
CLEVELAND (Huff) -120 over OAKLAND (McCarthy)
This looks like a bargain basement price on the Indians, who check in here with a stellar 38-26
mark vs. righthanders in night games (+$1595). Brandon McCarthy has been less effective on the
road in night games (4.47 ERA in eight starts) and the Athletics have lost money vs. lefties at night
(-$230). David Huff checks in with a respectable 2.70 ERA in his three starts and Oakland will be
hard pressed to keep up with a team desperate to keep their playoff hopes alive.
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