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Insider Sports Report
4* Chicago White Sox ML
3* Mississippi State Bulldogs
4* Chicago White Sox ML
3* Mississippi State Bulldogs
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WUNDERDOG (WNBA)
Game: Phoenix at Seattle (10:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Seattle -5.5 (-110)
The Seattle Storm has been by far the best home team in the WNBA for years running. The last four years has seen the Storm blitz opponents at home to the tune of a 61-7 straight-up record. This is a team that is also peaking at the right time as winners of each of their last four. That includes a game at home vs. Phoenix that they won handily 85-70. Phoenix is always popular because it is a fun team to watch, as they play an up-tempo and often score 90+. That simply doesn't translate well vs. the best defense in the league. In the last 11 meetings, Phoenix is 1-10 straight-up, with the only win by 2 points. Playing in Seattle, they are 0-5 in their last five, and the offense has been derailed, scoring 74 or less in four of the five games. All five games have been decided by 6 points or more, and by an average of 12 points per game. Game one goes to Seattle.Comment
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Benjamin lee Eckstein "Mr Chalk" "Mr Chalk" 2011 MLB Regular Season
Week 25
Ben lee went to the well one too many times with Milwaukee and lost on Wednesday with the Brewers -$185/Rockies.
For Thirsty Thursday "Mr Chalk" likes the Dodgers -$165/Pirates.
"Mr Chalk" is 95-59 -$132 for the 2011 MLB regular season.Comment
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Sports Wagers
Game 1 of DH
Florida +146 over PHILADELPHIA Bet365
2:30 PM EST. The Phillies were the first team to clinch a playoff spot last night in Houston. It was inevitable but it’s still a satisfying accomplishment and a letdown in this inconvenient DH is a distinct possibility. The first game features a matchup that heavily favors the Marlins. Anibal Sanchez has some elite skills that include a high strikeout rate of 184 k’s in 180 IP. Sanchez is coming off a one-hit shutout, with 11 K/3 BB, and has not allowed an ER in either of his last two starts. This guy is good. Kyle Kendricks is hit or miss with no in-between. He either gets whacked or throws a good game and that’s evidenced by his 38%/46% disaster/quality start split. Kendrick has 47 k’s and 30 walks in 101 innings. He doesn’t miss too many bats and relies heavily on his defense. There’s a good chance that Philly rests some regulars in the day game and at this price with Sanchez throwing against Kendricks, it’s worth a close look. Play: Florida +146 (Risking 2 units).
KANSAS CITY +102 over Chicago Pinnacle
The White Sox were put out of their misery a few days ago and instead of responding with a strong series against the Tigers, they were swept. It was capped off yesterday with a 6-5 loss in which Detroit scored three in the ninth and won it in the 10th. Chicago was outscored 25-9 in the three game sweep and Ozzie Guillen called it embarrassing. Paul Konerko admitted the team’s underachievement has finally taken a mental toll. Said Konerko, ”When you grind for seven months and kind of get to a point where you know you can’t get to where you want to get to it just happens. People are human. Everybody is going out trying to do a job. Unfortunately at this point that’s what it’s become, a job.” Now the South Side has to play some more baseball and that’s probably the last thing in the world they feel like doing right now. This is a mentally beaten down team whose season can’t end soon enough. The Royals have won four in a row and they’re still playing hard. This is a young and enthusiastic bunch that is having fun and know they’re on the verge of something good. The pitching matchup of Mark Buehrle against Jeff Francis favors nobody but in terms of desire, motivation, hitting and state of mind, give a huge edge to the host. Chicago favored is incorrect. Play: Kansas City +102 (Risking 2 units).
OAKLAND +109 over Detroit Pinnacle
The Tigers have won 12 in a row and it’s usually not a good idea to wager against sizzling hot clubs but this is a good spot for the A’s. Detroit just finished off the White Sox in style and now sit 13½ games in front in the AL Central. It’s over and the Tigers, much like the Phillies, have to be feeling a strong sense of accomplishment and rather smug right now. Max Scherzer has not enjoyed the consistent dominance that he flashed late last season. The true cause has been some acute struggles against LH bats and the A’s are predominately a left-handed batting line-up. Brandon McCarthy is on his game right now. McCarthy has walked just 23 batters all year in 149 IP. Over his last five starts he has posted a 2.70 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP while walking seven and striking out 34 in 37 innings. The A’s have beaten the Tigers in three of the last four meetings and they’re in a good spot to beat them again with their ace going. Play: Oakland +109 (Risking 2 units).
MISSISSIPPI ST +4½/+145 over LSU SportsInteraction
We see a take-back of +4½ at Sportsinteraction and with that, we’ll split this one up with a unit on both the points and the money line. This is a defining moment for the Bulldogs, as they play in the toughest conference in the nation and they haven’t faired too well. Mississippi State is 2-9 against the SEC West under coach Mullen, and both wins came against rival Ole Miss. In almost any other conference, the Bulldogs would be a strong contender for a BCS bowl berth. Mississippi State ranked 15th in the final Associated Press poll last year. That would have placed the Bulldogs fourth in the Big Ten, third in the Pac-10 or Big 12, and first in the Big East or ACC. Instead, the Bulldogs finished fifth in their own division. They may not be more talented than LSU but it’s damn close and the Bulldogs have the better ability to finish off drives. Mississippi State has a much more potent offense that's capable of moving the ball and driving the length of the field. The Bulldogs have scored 74 percent of their points this season on drives started on their own side of the field and they played Auburn last week. They lost but they were efficient offensively. Defensively, the Bulldogs have been spectacular in limiting long drives from their opponents. Through two games, Mississippi State's defense has faced 26 possessions that started on the opponent's side of the field and only five of those drives crossed midfield. On 12 drives that began at or inside the opponent's 20-yard line, Mississippi State has allowed only 10 points. The Tigers are 2-0 after beating Oregon and Northwestern State. LSU had eight drives start in its own territory against the Ducks, and only one of those drives crossed midfield. The Tigers scored 27 points on drives that started in the opponent's territory in the game, and added another six points on a special-teams score and as a result, the final score was somewhat misleading. For the Bulldogs, the blueprint for victory is clear: win the battle for field position and they’ll win this game and don’t think it can’t happen. Play: Mississippi St +4½ (Risking 1.15 units to win 1) Play: Mississippi St +145 (Risking 1 unit).Comment
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Sportsbetcapping - Freddy Wills
any one have his MLB POD He's on a sick run, before I buy it? Here is his NCAAF POD
LSU/MISST U51 (4.4* NCAAF POD); LSU -2.5 -125 (3* BONUS)
Love LSU and the under in tonight’s game. First of all LSU faced a spread offense like this in week #1 against Oregon and what happened the defense dominated allowing just 95 yards rushing and limited a dual threat QB. LSU again has had more preparation for this game than their opponent. Sure they both played last Saturday, but Miss st was involved in a war with Auburn which they lost surprisingly on the road at the goal line with seconds left. I expect them to be much sore than LSU as LSU faced Northwestern State and surely were looking forward to this game as many players got rest. LSU is also a much deeper team for instance they rotate 5 guys at DT and they should be able to get some push up front vs. a beat up offensive line .
Either way Miss State is at home where they do play terrific defense and were ranked 17th in the nation last year with 8.5 tackles for loss per game. This total is a little high due to how many points LSU scored vs. Oregon and what Miss State’s defense did 5 days ago at Auburn. I think it’s just too high for this type of game, a divisional with two tough defenses. LSU RB Spencer Ware is fresh he had just 6 carries last game clearly holding on for this game, but he’ll have a lot of trouble running as I expect Miss State to really concentrate on stopping the run because Jarret Lee has not been able to hurt teams down the field he has been a game manager. That’s why I don’t see LSU putting up major points like they did vs. Oregon these teams know each other and the crowd will be crazy. On the other side Miss state has put up yards that has led them to #1 offense in the SEC as of today, but they played Memphis and Auburn’s defense both not worth any mention. LSU is possibly the best defense in the country they held Ballard to 28 yards rushing on 11 carries in last year’s 29-7 victory and Chris Relf had 35 yards passing and 2 INT’s. I expect much of the same in what will likely turn into an ugly game as LSU still has just as much talent in the secondary with Mathieu and Claiborne. Miss state’s head coach Dan Mullen is just 2-9 vs. the SEC West with the only two victories being vs. in state Mississippi. I don’t trust him in big games like these and Les Miles teams always seem to be ready.Comment
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WUNDERDOG (MLB)
1 OF 5
Game: Detroit at Oakland (10:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Oakland +100 (moneyline)
It is all over in the AL Central as the Tigers are virtually playing out the string now and they face-off vs. a better than average A's team when they are at home. Max Scherzer has been the beneficiary of lots of runs with 14 wins, despite a pedestrian 4.27 ERA. Scherzer's road numbers are even worse where he has amassed an ERA over the 5 mark. Brandon McCarthy may limit the supply of runs here for the Tigers with his 2.92 ERA at home, where the A's have won five of his last six starts. Scherzer has been better with long rest, but in rotation on regular four day's rest, the Tigers have been bumped in four straight. McCarthy has delivered the cash in 8 of his last 11 starts, so play on Oakland.Comment
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