9-17-11

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David M@linsky

4* Pittsburgh / Iowa Over 50.5

This looks like an out-dated line, one that reflects the past Pittsburgh program rather than the current realities of the Panthers under Todd Graham, and also one that contains more of a reference to those strong Iowa defenses of the past, rather then a current edition that could go down as one of Kirk Ferentz’s weakest. So it is easy to get in play here.

While the Pittsburgh offensive execution will be a work in progress as the Panthers switch to the Graham schemes, we can already see that the pace is there – the first two games have averaged 160 offensive snaps, Contrast that with 2010, when the highest snap count all season was just 138. Look for that pace to get even quicker as they offense gets more comfortable, and while the passing game jells it is not bad to have ray Graham on board, the nation’s leading rusher with 322 yards. But while the focus on the new offense has made the headlines, it is the defensive transition that has been even more awkward. They allowed 45 points, 47 first downs and 774 yards at home vs. the likes of Buffalo and Maine, and are clearly not comfortable in their new 3-4 looks, especially with true FR Ejuan Price having to start at LB to replace the injured Dan Mason (Mason will be out again this week).

Iowa can exploit that defense, with James Vandenberg stepping up well at QB, throwing for 426 yards and four TD’s without an INT so far, and NFL-bound Marvin McNutt has already caught 10 passes for 201 yards. But the problems for the Hawkeyes come on the other side of the ball. A DL that had three players drafted by the NFL is in a major rebuilding mode, which showed in struggles to stop a mediocre Iowa State offense as the game went on last week, including the Cyclones getting TD’s on all three of their O.T. possessions.

We are not going to get many shut-down drives here, with both defenses vulnerable, and we will also have a game pace that is going to provide a lot of opportunities.

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Jeff Scott Sports

5 UNIT PLAY (CFB Game Of The Month)

Washington State +5.5 over San Diego State: The Cougars are picked for last in the North Division of the PAC-12, but this still may be the most improved team in the league. Now they take on a SDSU team that is just 2-35-1 vs the PAC-12, and is off a cross-country trip to play Army and then they have a game at Michigan on deck to take on their ex-HC Brady Hoke. Not an easy spot for the Aztecs, and even if the schedule didn't set up this way for them they would still be taking on a tough opponent this week. Washington state hasn't played top notch opponents, but they've done what they should vs inferior opponents and that's crush them. The Cougars have outscored their opponents by 47.5 ppg and outgained them by 295 ypg through their first 2 game. Here's a comparison for ya. In UNLV's opening game vs Wisconsin (one of the best teams in the nation) they got 17 points and 292 yards off that top notch defense, but last week they were only able to grab just 7 points and 138 yards off this improved Wash. State defense. Ok were not gonna confuse this defense with the Badger defense, but what it shows is that the Cougars did what you should vs bad competition. So when I look at the numbers they put up vs their 2 opponents, I say year that's about right. The Aztecs have also played some weak competion, but last week despite their 3 point win over Army they were still outgained by 154 yards in the contest. The Aztec's had a good defense last year, but with 5 starters back I see that group struggling, especially vs a Cougar offense that has put up 600 ypg so far. The Aztec offense will be good this year behind RB Ronnie Hillman, but it won't be near as explosive as last year group that put up 35 ppg last year. Right now their weak link on the offense is at WR where they just aren't getting solid play after having to replace their top 3 from last year. The Cougs came into this season just 5-32 in their last 3 years and this year they have started 2-0 and that will give them confidence in this one, especially vs a SDSU team that is in a tough scheduling spot and that is just 1-11 ATS in their last 12 vs the PAC-Whatever it is now. I look for the outright upset in this one as my CFB GOM.

4 UNIT PLAY

Oklahoma -3 over FLORIDA STATE: Yes I am one of the many that have bought into the hype of the Noles, as I do expect them to have a great year, just not a great game in this one. Last year OU beat FSU by 30 points and I do not feel that the Noles improved enough to close that gap, by 28 points. Yes FSU is improved and will most likely win the ACC and be a top 10 team this year, but Oklahoma is and will be just flat out awesome this year. The Sooners are led by Landry Jones and his is one of the top 3 QB's in the nation and dating back to last year he has put up 376 ypg and 17 TD's in his last 6 starts. Last year vs the Noles he put up 380 yrd and 4 TD's. This is one very good QB. Landry also gets their #2 WR back from suspension in Kenny Stills. Like he needs anymore weapons. The Noles defense is improved over last year and they have allowed just 5ppg and 134 ypg so far, but they really haven''t played anyone yet and they will have all sorts of problems with this high powered OU attack. The OU defense is also strong this year and they held a Tulsa offense that was top 5 in the nation last year and brings back 10 starters this year, to just 14 points. They also did that without DT Stacy McGee who was on suspension, but they get him back this week. The FSU offense will be able to get yards through the air,. But they also need a good running attack to take the pressure off EJ Manuel and this offense. Through their first two games vs shitty competition they have averaged just 4 ypc on the ground. Not gonna get it done here. Oklahoma is Bob Stoops is 11-2 ATS with a line at +3 to -3. The line is only 4 points different than last year while the Noles have improved I just don't think that they did enough to close the gap from the 30 point they lost by last year, even on their home field. OU by 10+ here.

3 UNIT PLAYS

Navy +17.5 over SOUTH CAROLINA: Can the Gamecocks really be up for this one? They opened with a tough fast break game vs E. Carolina in the opener, then had a huge game vs Georgia last week and then have another SEC foe, Vanderbilt on deck. All that is going on for south Carolina and now they have just 1 week to prepare for the option. This is not a good spot for them. SC is 2-0 on the year, but just how good are they? They beat East Carolina by 19 points, but only outgained them by 6 yards and then last week they allowed Georgia to march up and down the field and despite the win they were still outgained by 41 yards. Last week they were very lucky as the Bulldogs made a ton of mistakes and practically gave the game away. SC scored 28 points off TO's and still only won by 3 points. SC's offense has been spectacular so far, but the defense has been bad as they have allowed 390 ypg and 39.5 ppg so far. Navy is 2-0, but their level of competition hasn't been that strong. Their defense was to be a sore spot, with just 3 starters back, but so far they have allowed just 15.5 ppg and having 2 games under their belt should help them as they have some game experience for this one. The option should also help to shorten the game and keep that strong Carolina offense off the field. The Dog is 7-1 ATS when Navy takes on a BCS school and they are 3-0 ATS the last 3 vs Carolina. The Gamecocks have not played all that well so far and are in a classic sandwich spot and Navy has just the right team with just the right offense to keep this one close.

POWER ANGLE PLAY

ILLINOIS -2 over Arizona: This play has a very nice angle attached to it and ill get to that in a moment. This is a very nice spot for the Illini as they are off 2 FCS foes and just have Western Michigan up next. The Sun Devil are not so lucky as they are off a home OT thriller vs Missouri and now have to travel cross-country, before traveling back home to take on USC next week. Ouch. Illinois is going to be a good team this year with 13 starters and 42 of 58 lettermen back from a team that improved from 3-9 in 2009 to 7-6 last year. The offense is led by sophomore QB Nathan Scheelhaase and he has been solid so far hitting 76.7 % of his passes for 213 yards and a 9.9 ypa average. I know its vs shitty competition, but 77% is still outstanding, no matter who your doing it against. The ASU defense has play an FCS and a FBS team and they have allowed teams to hit on 61% of their passes for 237 yards so far. Coming into the year the ASU DB's were ranked among the bottom 3rd in the PAC-12 and it's showing. They will have problems containing Nathan tonight. The ASU offense has been solid out the gate, as was expected as they have put up 504 ypg and have hit 75% of their passes, but this will be the quickest defense they may see all year. Again I know Illinois hasn't played anyone, but they have still allowed just 9 ppg and 223 ypg thus far. Ron Zook has gone 8-1 ATS in his last 9 vs undefeated teams, while ASU is 9-20-1 ATS on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Bpoth offenses are very good, but the Illini have the defensive edge, they are playing at home and catch ASU off a tough game with a look-a-head to USC on deck. Solid Illinois win here. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- PLAY AGAINST any undefeated college football road team off an overtime home win if they are facing a foe that won 15 or more of its previous 32 home games SU.

2 UNIT PLAYS

Colorado State +7.5 over Colorado: Neutral site for this one and the dog is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings, while CSU is 16-8 ATS vs an opponent off BB SU losses and we also note that teams are 3-7 ATS off an OT loss when laying points to an undefeated team. Tough spot for the buffs as they are off a Hawaii trip and then an OT loss to Cal last week with Ohio State on deck. CSU may not have a great year, but they are much improved over last years 3-9 team and they do have bowl aspirations this year and with Utah State and San Jose State on deck they know that a win here could have them at 5-0 before their bye. I expect them to have their “A” game for this one and at least keep it close vs a Colorado team that hasn't played well under the new regime just year.


Notre Dame/ Michigan State Over 51.5: The only thing that has stopped the Irish offense this year has been themselves as they have put up 510.5 ypg of offense, but just 25.5 ppg thanks to 10 TO's. That has translated into an offensive YPP of 20. The Irish pass attack has put up 353 ypg so far and they will be taking on a Michigan State Defense that really hasn't been tested yet, but does have some holes in it's secondary. The Notre Dame defense has not been great thus far, as they have allowed 29 ppg and 353 ypg thus far and could struggle vs a high powered Michigan State offense. 5 of the last 7 in this series has seen 55+ points put on the board and that's about what I expect today.

1 UNIT PLAYS

Iowa/ Pittsburgh Under 50.5: The offenses were not to be that good for these teams heading into the year but their level of week competition has allowed these teams to put up plenty of points so far. Today the defenses take hold of this game and the scoring will be down. Pitt has the best defense in the Big East, while Iowa has a solid Big 10 defense. Iowa's defensive stats are a bit inflated after last weeks 3 OT game, but make no mistake this is a tough bunch. The Under is 13-5 in Pitt's last 18 following an ATS loss, while the Under is 17-6-1 in Iowa's last 24 games in September. I see no more than 45 in this one.


USC/ Syracuse Under 49: Where's the “O”? That''s what the Trojan's are wondering as they have put up just 18 ppg and they have an offensive YPP (Yards per point) of 18.7. Defense will not be aproble for this team as they have 7 starters back to a unit this is considered to the best in the PAC-12. USC's defense played very badly last year but so far have allowed just 15.5 ppg and 310 ypg. The Orange offense just isn't strong enough to do mush damage vs thee Trojans here, while their defense should be up to the task to hold this floundering USU offense down a bit.

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Scott Delaney
5* HAWAII

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Bryan Leonard

Wake Forest

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Saturday's Best MLB Bets


Florida Marlins at Washington Nationals (-225, 7.5)

After losing sensation Stephen Strasburg for a year to injury already, you’d better believe the Nationals are going to keep him on a tight leash for the rest of the season.

He was great in his first start of the year, firing five shutout innings against the Dodgers while striking out four and walking none earlier this month. Then he looked like he was just settling in during his last start when manager Davey Johnson gave him the hook.

“He has my best interests at heart, and I trust him 100 percent,” Strasburg told reporters after giving up a single earned run over three innings while striking out four Astros. “I’m going to go out there until he says I’m done, and today he said I was done in the third.”

He’s probably only going to get about 55 pitches again this time around, leaving plenty of time for the bullpen to blow it for him.

We’re rooting for the kid, but this line is outrageous with Chris Volstad going for Florida.

Pick: Marlins

Houston Astros at Chicago Cubs (-145, N/A)

The Chicago Cubs have a chance to send the Houston Astros into their franchise record books – and Houston wants no part of it.

The Astros are one loss away from reaching 100 defeats for the first time in team history after Marlon Byrd drove in the winning run in the 12th inning with an infield hit, giving the Cubs a 4-3 victory. The loss spoiled a great performance by Carlos Lee, who smacked a pair of dingers in the losing cause.

The Cubs have now won five of the last seven meetings between the two teams and as we all know by now, the Astros are absolutely terrible on the road. Still, this price doesn’t reflect the matchup.

We see this pitching matchup of Henry Sosa against Rodrigo Lopez as a wash, but Lopez did serve up four jacks in his last trip to the hill. We’ll take a chance on the Astros to avoid their 100th loss for at least another day.

Pick: Astros

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POINTWISE PHONES:

4* Wash St, Illinois

3* Ok St, Navy, WV, Mich St, Nebr, Tenn

2* Nev, Tex A&M, Colo St

BEST OF LUCK TO ALL

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Cappers Access
Iowa -3
Notre Dame -5
UCLA +3-
Utah +4

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NCAACFB NEWS AND NOTES
WEEK 3 COLLEGE FOOTBALL: Top 25 Betting Cheat Sheet
By Adam Thompson


COLLEGE FOOTBALL SATURDAY:

Oklahoma Sooners at Florida State Seminoles (+3, 54.5)
WHY OKLAHOMA WILL COVER: The Sooners hammered the Seminoles 47-17 last year. While FSU is improved, OU’s depth is still superior. Eventually, the Seminoles will wear down.
WHY FLORIDA STATE WILL COVER: This year’s Seminoles are more talented than last year’s. Oklahoma’s defense showed flaws in its opener, allowing 400 yards to Tulsa.
POINTS: Two of the nation’s best offenses under perfect weather conditions could make for an entertaining game.

North Texas Mean Green at Alabama Crimson Tide (-45.5, 53)
WHY NORTH TEXAS WILL COVER: That’s a huge pointspread.
WHY ALABAMA WILL COVER: The Mean Green stands little chance of slowing down the Crimson Tide. And judging by the way Alabama’s defense dominated Penn, this game could get ugly in a hurry.
POINTS: Alabama may have to reach the over by itself, but North Texas has already been blown out by worse teams.

Stanford Cardinal at Arizona Wildcats (+9.5, 53.5)
WHY STANFORD WILL COVER: The Cardinal have already covered spreads of 20 and 30 points. The goal is a national title, and a slip up in a Pac-12 opener seems unlikely. Stanford, which beat Arizona 42-17 last year, doesn’t let up.
WHY ARIZONA WILL COVER: The Wildcats are never out of a game with the passing attack they bring. Being at home, at night, doesn’t hurt.
POINTS: Arizona can score, but its defense was exposed in a 37-14 loss to Oklahoma State. Andrew Luck and Co. will be licking their chops.

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Tulsa Golden Hurricane (+13.5, 68.5)
WHY OKLAHOMA WILL COVER: The Cowboys look like the real deal after blowing out Arizona. A young defense should continue to improve.
WHY TULSA WILL COVER: Tulsa showed offensive promise in a loss to mighty Oklahoma, so the Hurricane could stay close enough until the end.
POINTS: Both teams can score in bunches, especially OSU.

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Northern Illinois Huskies (+16.5, 63.5)
WHY WISCONSIN WILL COVER: Wisconsin is averaging 223 yards passing and 224 yards rushing per game. It doesn’t get more balanced than that. But the strength is still on the ground, and Northern Illinois is 117th against the run so far. Wisconsin is 8-0-1 ATS in its last nine games.
WHY NORTHERN ILLINOIS WILL COVER: The Huskies are averaging 47 points per game, against Kansas and Army. Even if NIU only puts up 35, that forces Wisconsin to score more than 50.
POINTS: Both teams have shown the ability to light up the scoreboard. Can NIU keep it up against a tougher opponent?

Idaho Vandals at Texas A&M Aggies (-35.5, 56.5)
WHY IDAHO WILL COVER: Maybe Texas A&M comes out a little rusty after a week off and Idaho catches it by surprise. All it takes is a little competitiveness to cover a spread of that size.
WHY TEXAS A&M WILL COVER: The Aggies shut down the run-and-shoot style of SMU in a 46-14 win. What’s Idaho going to do? Meanwhile, with nine starters back on offense, Texas A&M should pour it on all day.
POINTS: Idaho’s offense has struggled this season, and that’s not likely to change here.

Washington Huskies at Nebraska Cornhuskers (-17, 54)
WHY WASHINGTON WILL COVER: Washington has scored 40 and 30 points in games so far. The Huskers haven’t been as impressive as expected, 0-2 ATS, and their defense allowed 29 points to a decimated Fresno State squad.
WHY NEBRASKA WILL COVER: The Huskers have a potent offense led by dynamic dual-threat QB Tyler Martinez. Washington has struggled to slow down the likes of Eastern Washington and Hawaii so far. The Huskies could be in for a rude awakening.
POINTS: Both offenses have looked good in the young season, while both defenses have been suspect.

Navy Midshipmen at South Carolina Gamecocks (-17.5, 55.5)
WHY NAVY WILL COVER: Those not ready for the Midshipmen’s style can get sunk in a hurry. Often, it takes squads used to getting by on superior talent to settle down. By then, it may be too late to cover.
WHY SOUTH CAROLINA WILL COVER: The Gamecocks have figured out how to get it done in wins over East Carolina and Georgia. Navy’s defense simply doesn’t have the personnel to stay with the ultra-athleticism of the Gamecocks.
POINTS: USC averages 55.1 points per game, Navy averages 40.0, albeit against pedestrian competition.

Troy Trojans at Arkansas Razorbacks (-22.5, 62)
WHY TROY WILL COVER: Troy’s wide-open offense could give initial troubles to an Arkansas team that’s played subpar competition. Its defensive backfield is considered one of its strengths, which is good against the high-powered Razorbacks.
WHY ARKANSAS WILL COVER: Despite being favored by 41.5 and 37.5 in its games so far, Arkansas has covered just fine. Troy steps up the level of competition for the Hogs, but not enough to think the Trojans can hang.
POINTS: The over is 9-0 in Troy’s last nine games against the SEC. Arkansas will hold up its bargain to make it 10-0.

Michigan State Spartans at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-4.5, 50.5)
WHY MICHIGAN STATE WILL COVER: The Spartans will be Notre Dame’s toughest competition to date. Since the Irish are 0-2, MSU could definitely win outright.
WHY NOTRE DAME WILL COVER: Notre Dame is better on paper than its record. The Irish has faced South Florida and Michigan, while the Spartans have faced Youngstown State (didn’t cover) and Florida Atlantic (won 44-0). They’ll be ready for this high-level competition, will the Spartans?
POINTS: Expect more defense than offense, because that’s what it will likely take for the host Irish to get the job done.

Ohio State Buckeyes at Miami Hurricanes (-3, 47.5)
WHY OHIO STATE WILL COVER: It’s still tough to put points on OSU’s defense, and the offense is its usual mundane, successful self. It also gets back two players from suspension, starting tailback Jordan Hall and corner Travis Howard.
WHY MIAMI WILL COVER: The Hurricanes get nine players back from suspension, including star QB Jacory Harris for their home opener, which should make a world of difference. The Buckeyes struggled against Toledo, hanging on for a 27-22 win.
POINTS: The under is 8-2-1 in OSU’s last 11 road games, and is 6-2-1 in Miami’s last nine games anywhere. Don’t be surprised if a defensive slugfest breaks out.

Tennessee Volunteers at Florida Gators (-9.5, 50)
WHY TENNESSEE WILL COVER: The passing game has been surprisingly solid, averaging 358 yards through the air. If the Vols get behind, it won’t take long to get back in it. Plus, some experts are still waiting for a Florida slide. Tennessee’s easily the best opponent the Gators will have faced.
WHY FLORIDA WILL COVER: The Gators were supposedly in for a transition year, but so far they’re 2-0 ATS, outscoring the opposition 80-3. UF can be overwhelming in The Swamp.
POINTS: The over is 0-2 in Florida games so far, and 2-0 in UT games. When undecided, follow the trend of the home team.

Arizona State Sun Devils at Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5, 59)
WHY ARIZONA STATE WILL COVER: The Sun Devils are riding the momentum after finding a way to beat Missouri last week.
WHY ILLINOIS WILL COVER: The Illini will go as sophomore QB Nathan Scheelhaase goes, and ASU’s passing defense ranked 101st last year and is 76th so far this year.
POINTS: The over is 7-1 in Illinois’ last eight games as a home favorite, and if Illinois is going to win this one, it’s likely going to take a lot of points.

Auburn Tigers at Clemson Tigers (-3, 59)
WHY AUBURN WILL COVER: The Tigers haven’t looked great, 0-2 ATS, but they’ve found ways to win both games. With a manageable spread this time, the defending national champs find a way again and will likely cover, too.
WHY CLEMSON WILL COVER: Auburn’s defense has allowed 38 and 34 points to Utah State and Mississippi State, respectively. The Tigers’ offense, with eight returning starters, has been clicking, and there’s no indication that will change Saturday.
POINTS: The under is 8-0-1 in Auburn’s last nine games vs. ACC opponents, and it’s 7-2 in Clemson’s last nine vs. the SEC. That said, so far this season both teams have been piling on the points without stopping the foe with regularity.

West Virginia Mountaineers at Maryland Terrapins (-1, 54.5)
WHY WEST VIRGINIA WILL COVER: The Mountaineers haven’t put a full game together yet for first-year coach Dana Holgorsen, and have manhandled the competition. A complete game will put away the Terps.
WHY MARYLAND WILL COVER: Maryland played with major emotion and took care of Miami in its opener. West Virginia is 0-2 ATS against poor competition, while the Terps are 7-1 ATS in its last eight games.
POINTS: The over is 6-1-1 in Maryland’s last eight games, and 9-2 in West Virginia’s last 11 as an underdog. We should see some points.

Texas Longhorns at UCLA Bruins (+3.5, 44)
WHY TEXAS WILL COVER: While the Longhorns’ offense has been mediocre, the defense has been tough, shutting down Rice and BYU in wins (1-1 ATS). With a new QB, maybe Texas’ offense breaks out and wins going away.
WHY UCLA WILL COVER: Texas is going with a new QB in unproven sophomore Case McCoy, which may help an aggressive defense.
POINTS: The under is 8-3 in UT’s last 11 games as a favorite, and 15-7 in UCLA’s last 22 as an underdog. And both offenses are still finding their way.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks at TCU Horned Frogs (-28.5, 51.5)
WHY ULM WILL COVER: ULM gained confidence by beating down Grambling 35-7. TCU’s defense is still questionable, leaving the chance the Warhawks can at least lose by less than four touchdowns.
WHY TCU WILL COVER: After scoring 48 in a loss at Baylor, the Horned Frogs found their way and hammered Air Force. ULM is overmatched from one end to the other.
POINTS: ULM lost to Florida State 35-0 in its opener. A similar score isn’t out of the question.

Arkansas State Red Wolves at Virginia Tech Hokies (-24, 53)
WHY ARKANSAS STATE WILL COVER: Arkansas State hung with Illinois for a half and dominated Memphis, going 2-0 ATS. The Red Wolves have the skill players to hang, leading one of the nation’s top pass offenses.
WHY VIRGINIA TECH WILL COVER: As usual, it’s tough to score on the Hokies, especially for teams not used to that level of talent and intensity. Virginia Tech will wear down Arkansas State just like Illinois did, and pull away in the second half.
POINTS: The under is 7-2 in the Hokies’ last nine games and 19-6-1 in the Red Wolves’ last 26 on the road.

[timbob]

BANG THE BOOK

Saturday's Best NCAACFB Bets

Auburn Tigers at Clemson Tigers (-3, 59)

This lien says it all. Auburn is 2-0 and is not a favorite against a weak ACC team that almost lost to Wofford? Auburn will come in flat after a big win and come up short on the road. Auburn is 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog and will get beat badly on the road.

PICK: Clemson Tigers -3


Washington Huskies at Nebraska Cornhuskers (-17, 54)

The Huskers are one of the best teams in football, but the offense is still working out some kinks. The Nebraska Cornhuskers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games, and the Huskers are 18-5 SU in their last 23 games overall. The Huskies are 5-0 SU in their last five games, and 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games on the road. Washington won’t win, but they will keep this close.

PICK: Washington Huskies +18


Michigan State Spartans at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-4.5, 50.5)

The Fighting Irish have yet to win, but that will change this week against the Spartans of Michigan State. The defense had a late collapse, but the offense has amassed a ton of yardage in each game this year. This game will be a breakthrough as the Irish win and cover.

PICK: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -3.5


West Virginia Mountaineers at Maryland Terrapins (-1, 54.5)

Another interesting line as the Terps are favored although they are hosting a nationally ranked team. The Terrapins are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall and should be making news for more than just their uniforms. The Mountaineers are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a win of more than 20 points and lose outright here.

PICK: Maryland Terrapins -1.5

[timbob]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball Saturday

Play Texas (-200) over Seattle (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 7:10 PM EST

Seattle has lost 76 of the last 102 games as an underdog of +150 or higher and they have also lost 59 of the last 90 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Seattle has lost 35 of the last 50 games when playing on a Saturday and they have also lost 69 of the last 105 games vs. division opponents.

-----------------------------------------------------------------


Play Washington (-230) over Florida (Bonus)

Play Atlanta (-175) over New York Mets (Bonus)

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Arthur Ralph Sports

719- 529 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Free one Sat: Mississippi -2 16-3 run

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Boise State (-20) Friday night.

Saturday it's Notre Dame. The deficit is 2,636 sirignanos.

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Hondo

Hondo moved a little closer to oblivion yesterday, thanks to an extra painful loss with the 'Stros and a weak performance by UConn that raised the NRN (nasty red number) to 3,075.

Today, Mr. Aitch will get down to the niddy griddy with Michigan State and Oklahoma -- 20 units apiece. As for the diamond district, he will try the Porcello in Oakland -- 20 units.

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Saturday

Indians +110

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Northcoast (Newsletter)

4* BYU
3* PennST
3 Wash ST
2* USC
2* Kan ST
2* Ohio