9-20-11

[timbob]

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[Mr. IWS]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Tuesday's Betting Tips: Lincecum Wearing Down?
By Covers Staff


Who’s Hot

MLB: San Francisco has won eight straight overall.

MLB: The over is 14-5 in the Angels’ last 19 road games.

WNBA: Minnesota is 9-3 in its last 12 home games.

Who’s Not

MLB: Houston is 11-26 in its last 37 meetings with Cincinnati.

MLB: The New York Mets are 2-7 in their last nine.

WNBA: The over is 3-12 in San Antonio’s last 15 road games.

Key Stat

3,430 – Tim Lincecum leads the NL with 3,430 pitches thrown heading into Tuesday’s start against the Los Angeles Dodgers. This is the fourth season in a row that he has pitched at least 200 innings. Despite the heavy workload, Lincecum has allowed just one earned run over his last two starts. He and the Giants are set as +110 underdogs.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Matt Holliday, St. Louis Cardinals – Holliday is now reportedly doubtful to return to action this season. He has been out of the lineup since early last week with inflammation in his right middle finger. Holliday hit .295 with 22 homers and 77 RBIs this season.

Game Of The Day

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees (-170, 9)

Notable Quotable

"Today felt different. Today, for me, I felt pretty good going into it. I felt pretty excited. I felt like we could start to turn things around, and it started with this first game. The first three or four innings went pretty good, and we gave up a few runs, but we still didn't feel out of it and then we obviously started scoring more runs. We feel good. It's hard to say. It's just a matter of things starting to fall our way." – Red Sox catcher Jared Saltalmacchia about dropping the opener of Monday’s doubleheader with Baltimore. Boston rebounded to rout the Orioles in Game 2.

Notes And Tips

There was some talk that the Colorado Rockies were going to shut down Troy Tulowitzki (hip) and Todd Helton (back) for the season, but both were warming up Monday and manager Jim Tracey said they may play Tuesday against the Padres. The Rockies are set at -120.

The San Antonio Silver Stars and Minnesota Lynx will play the third and deciding game of their Western Conference semifinal series Tuesday night. The Lynx are set as 8-point favorites at home, but it as the Silver Stars who snapped a seven-game losing streak against Minnesota, covering as 3-point dogs. San Antonio has actually covered in four of the last six meetings between the two teams. "San Antonio succeeded in putting the pressure back on us," Lynx coach Cheryl Reeve said. "We fought all season to have home-court advantage. Win the home games, and you're the WNBA champion."

Florida State Seminoles quarterback EJ Manuel will have his left shoulder examined after he injured it in the third quarter of a 23-13 loss Saturday night to the top-ranked Oklahoma Sooners. The injury occurred to Manuel's non-throwing shoulder, but it could still put him weeks away from playing depending on the severity. The junior QB has thrown for 666 yards over his first three games of the season, with six touchdowns and four interceptions. The No. 11 Seminoles face No. 21 Clemson as 1.5-point favorites on Saturday.

UCLA's revolving door at quarterback took another spin Monday when coach Rick Neuheisel announced that Richard Brehaut would get the starting nod against Oregon State on Saturday. Kevin Prince has started two of the Bruins' first three games of the season but was hurt in the opener against Houston and threw three interceptions in the first quarter of a 49-20 loss to Texas over the weekend. Brehaut, who was solid in relief of Prince against Texas, was just 12 of 23 for 145 yards and a touchdown in his lone start against San Jose St. UCLA is a 3-point underdog.

[Mr. IWS]

HOT LINES

Tuesday's Best MLB Bets

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees (-170, 9)

Monday was another big day in New York Yankees history as closer Mariano Rivera became baseball’s all-time saves leader with 602 in a 6-4 win over Minnesota.

"When you talk about the greatest relievers of all time, there's only one guy," teammate Mark Teixeira said. "That conversation begins and ends with Mo."

The Yankees’ bullpen sits second in the Majors with a 2.97 ERA, trailing only the Giants (2.89) but the pen may get a rest Tuesday with Ivan Nova on the mound.

Nova has worked at least seven innings in four of his last five starts and he’ll share the mound with Wade Davis, who has been pretty good in his own right. He has allowed three or fewer runs in four of his last six outings.

PICK: Under


Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins (-110, 8)

The Seattle Mariners haven’t exactly given their arms much run support this season, averaging just 3.40 runs per game. However, on Monday they blew up with nine runs in the third inning against Cleveland.

Mike Carp hit a grand slam to do the bulk of the damage and finished the game with five RBIs for the M’s.

If they can give Jason Vargas any type of run support Tuesday, we like the Mariners in this spot. Vargas has allowed just two runs over his last two starts (spanning 12 innings) after fixing a hitch in his delivery after giving up 13 earned runs in two outings before that.

The Twins have just five wins in their last 28 home games and the Mariners should extend that home slide Tuesday.

PICK: Seattle Mariners

[Mr. IWS]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Tuesday's Streaking And Slumping Starting Pitchers
By Covers Staff


STREAKING

Cliff Lee, Philadelphia Phillies (16-7, 2.38 ERA)

Lee threw one bad pitch in his last start and it cost him another complete-game shutout. He struck out 12 and didn’t walk a batter before giving up a solo homer in the ninth inning. The veteran has now allowed just two runs over his last five starts and has 223 strikeouts on the year.

Derek Holland, Texas Rangers (14-5, 4.02 ERA)

Holland picked up his 14th win of the season last week, allowing just one run over seven innings against the Indians while striking out six and walking three. He has now struck out at least six in six of his last seven starts.

"I want to finish strong," Holland said. "The year may be good in some people's eyes, but to me it's an OK year. I'm disappointed with how many walks I've had, but I want to give the team a chance to win and that's all that matters."

SLUMPING

Fausto Carmona, Cleveland Indians (6-15, 5.26 ERA)

Carmona began the season as Cleveland’s Opening Day starter, but he might have a tough time even holding down a spot in the rotation next year unless he pulls himself together. He gave up five earned runs over six innings while walking five against Texas, the fourth consecutive time Cleveland has lost with him on the hill.

“Carmona was overthrowing everything,” manager Manny Acta said. “He walked five guys. He was throwing it side to side. He didn’t have good sink on his fastball.”

Gavin Floyd, Chicago White Sox (12-11, 4.42 ERA)

Floyd hasn’t been terrible lately, but he’s still looking for his first win this month and is working on a 5.06 ERA over those three starts. He gave up four runs on four hits over 5 1/3 innings in his last outing against Detroit and also walked four. Those four walks were the most he has allowed in a start all season.

[Mr. IWS]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Tampa Bay Rays Visit New York Yankees
By: Dave Consolazio


Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees (-170, 9)

The Tampa Bay Rays hope to continue to close the gap in the AL Wild Card race Tuesday night when they head to the Bronx York to play the first game of a four-game series against the New York Yankees.

Tuesday’s matchup is set to start at 7:05 p.m. (ET) at Yankee Stadium with right-handers Wade Davis and Ivan Nova on the mound.

With the Boston Red Sox losing eight of their last 10, the Yankees and the Rays have benefited. Entering Monday’s action, New York held a 4.5-game lead over Boston in the AL East, and Tampa Bay had closed the Wild Card gap to just two games. This series is critical for both teams as Tampa Bay fights for a spot in the postseason and New York hopes to lock up the division.

Tampa Bay (85-67) has given Boston fans reason to worry, going 11-4 (+6.20 units) over the last 15 games, including a 6-1 record (+5.95 units) in seven games against the Red Sox. If the Rays can stay hot, they could pull a shocker and knock Boston out of playoff contention.

Davis (10-9, 4.41 ERA) has been the beneficiary of solid run support of late. Despite giving up three or more runs in six of his last nine starts, Tampa Bay is 7-2 (+4.80 units) over that stretch.

This will be Davis’s first start against the Yankees this season. In five career starts against them, he is 2-2 with a 3.81 ERA.

New York (91-60) hasn’t been playing particularly well of late, losing three of their last four (-3.95 units) and six of their last 10 (-6.85 units). But with Boston playing worse and a nice cushion in the AL East, the Yankees are still in the driver’s seat to hold on to the division down the stretch.

Nova (15-4, 3.81 ERA) has been a major bright spot for the Yankees this season. He has given up two runs or less in eight of his last 14 starts, and the Yankees are 12-2 (+8.40 units) over those games. New York has lost Nova’s last two trips to the mound, but he didn’t pitch poorly in either of them.

Nova pitched well in his one start against Tampa Bay this season, giving up one run in 5 1/3 innings to earn the win over James Shields on May 17. He fared much worse in his two starts against the Rays in 2010, in which he had two no decisions and a 6.97 ERA.

The season series between these AL East rivals has been pretty evenly matched, with New York holding the slight 6-5 edge. Despite the powerful offenses of these teams, the total has trended ‘under’ at 7-4.

Tampa Bay has been a good betting option away from home, going 43-34 (+10.60 units). New York has played well at home, but are only slightly profitable at 46-37 (+1.65 units).

Ben Zobrist (personal) will be out Tuesday, but should return to the lineup for Wednesday’s doubleheader.

Tuesday night’s weather is expected to be slightly cloudy with winds of up to 10 mph.

[Mr. IWS]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

721- 529 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Free one TUES: Texas -150

[Mr. IWS]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Rams (+6-1/2) Monday night.

Tuesday it's the Braves. The deficit is 2696 sirignanos.

[Mr. IWS]

Hondo

The dreaded Bosawx were wicked good in the nightcap last night, obliterating Hondo's Birds to raise the skyrocketing deficit to 3,195 sanguillens.

Tonight, it's bombs away Tuesday -- 20 units apiece on the Orioles, Nationals (in the 2nd tussle) and Pirates.

[Mr. IWS]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Tuesday

Tigers +105

[Mr. IWS]

Today's MLB Picks

San Francisco at LA Dodgers

The Dodgers look to build on their 13-3 record in Clayton Kershaw's last 16 starts as a home favorite. Los Angeles is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 20 Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Washington at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Milone) 14.666; Philadelphia (Lee) 16.173 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-260); 7 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-260); Over

Game 903-904: Atlanta at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Delgado) 15.617; Florida (Sanchez) 14.092 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Florida (-110); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-110); Under

Game 905-906: Houston at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Norris) 13.744; Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.683 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-160); 8 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-160); Under

Game 907-908: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Marcum) 15.451; Cubs (Wells) 15.127 Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-150); No Run Total Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-150); N/A

Game 909-910: NY Mets at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Pelfrey) 15.685; St. Louis (Jackson) 14.951 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-175); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+155); Over

Game 911-912: San Diego at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Latos) 14.290; Colorado (Chacin) 14.845 Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Colorado (-115); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-115); Under

Game 913-914: Pittsburgh at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.705; Arizona (Hudson) 14.583 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Arizona (-240); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+200); Over

Game 915-916: San Francisco at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 16.044; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 16.804 Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 4 1/2 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-120); No Run Total Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-120); N/A

Game 917-918: LA Angels at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Pineiro) 17.029; Toronto (Cecil) 15.836 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Toronto (-135); 9 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+115); Under

Game 919-920: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Davis) 16.092; NY Yankees (Nova) 15.011 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 10 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-170); 9 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+150); Over

Game 921-922: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Axelrod) 14.163; Cleveland (McAllister) 15.367 Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Cleveland (-110); 9 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-110); Under

Game 923-924: Baltimore at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (VandenHurk) 16.507; Boston (Bedard) 15.381 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 11 Vegas Line: Boston (-250); 10 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+210); Over

Game 925-926: Detroit at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Penny) 15.251; Kansas City (Mendoza) 16.100 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Kansas City (-110); 10 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-110); Under

Game 927-928: Seattle at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Vargas) 15.650; Minnesota (Hendriks) 13.143 Dunkel Line: Seattle by 2 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Minnesota (-110); 8 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-110); Over

Game 929-930: Texas at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Holland) 16.011; Oakland (Harden) 16.262 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Texas (-140); 8 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+120); Over

Game 931-932: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Floyd) 15.163; Cleveland (Carmona) 14.367 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-115); Under

Game 933-934: Washington at Philadelphia (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Detwiler) 15.666; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 14.173 Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

[Mr. IWS]

WNBA Basketball Picks

San Antonio at Minnesota

The Lynx look to close out the series and build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games when playing with 1 day of rest. Minnesota is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lynx favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 20 Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST

Game 673-674: San Antonio at Minnesota (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 110.170; Minnesota 120.860 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 10 1/2; 145 Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 7 1/2; 148 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-7 1/2); Under

[Mr. IWS]

Baseball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Reds -165 over Astros

[Mr. IWS]

sportsbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Reds -165 over Astros

[Mr. IWS]

Cappers Access

Marlins
Red Sox(RL)

[Mr. IWS]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 10 runs bet. Detroit and Kansas City