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North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Cincinnati Bearcats
A pair of 2-1 teams will look to snag yet another victory in Week 4 of the college football season live on ESPN when the ACC representative NC State Wolfpack invades Cincinnati to battle the Big East rep Bearcats; kick-off from Nippert Stadium is scheduled for 8:00 ET.
It’s real tough to gauge exactly what type of team Coach Tom O’Brien’s Wolfpack is heading into this prime time battle. Reason being, NCST stands 2-1 SU on the season with the pair of wins coming against Liberty and South Alabama, and the loss coming on the road at Wake Forest in a game they battled back in but ultimately came up short. On top of it, the Raleigh natives are 0-3 against the closing pointspread on the year. That said; there are some nice components to this team. QB Mike Glennon is proving to be a solid replacement for the departed Russell Wilson as he’s completed 64.1 percent of his passes and sports a TD/INT ratio of 8/1. Defensively, the Wolfpack have made it very tough for opponent’s to move the ball on the ground (#36 at 105.3 YPG), but they have been beaten through the air (#103 at 271.3 YPG). NC State is a perfect 3-0 SU & ATS its L/3 versus Big East opposition.
It’s also been tough to get a true barometer reading on Cincinnati, as the Bearcats have simply torn apart much lesser competition at home (Austin Peay/Akron) and gotten torched in their lone road tussle with Tennessee in Knoxville. The offense simply looks tremendous with the three-headed monster of Zach Collaros at QB, Isaiah Pead at RB and D.J. Woods at WR. The trio currently has the Bearcats ranked 4th in scoring (51.3 PPG) and 34th in total yards from scrimmage (433). On the other hand, the defense has had trouble containing opposing passing attacks (#94 at 258.3 YPG), so this unit will play a large role in limiting what the Wolfpack likes to do through the air. Cincy is 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS when favored by 3.5 to 10 points the L/3 seasons.
These programs met on the gridiron for the first time last season in Raleigh where the Wolfpack cruised to the 30-19 home win and cover as short two-point favorites. NC State split its six road games a year ago failing to cover both times when favored, but tallied four pointspread wins when dogged and won outright three times. The ‘under’ is 5-1 the L/6 times NC State took to the field as visiting underdogs. Cincy went 3-4 SU at home a year ago and only covered twice the six times it was favored. The Bearcats stand 1-9 ATS the L/10 times they played off a SU victory with the ‘over’ cashing in seven of their L/10 home tussles. PICK: NC/CINCY UNDER
Original AND Reloaded NCAAF Pick
Thursday's NCAA Pick:
NC St. +8* (I see 5dimes, Sports Interaction and a few other books have +8. If your book has +7.5 the system recommends buying the half point to get to +8)
NC State at Cincinnati -7½ Total 60½ at 5:00 p.m. PT on ESPN
This is a big revenge game for the Bearcats as they lost last year in Raleigh 30-19 but as much as we would like to side with them their defense has a lot of question marks as they were actually out-statted last week by Akron who has a real bad offense. Look for both teams to light up the score board in Cincy.
OVER 60½ IS THE PLAY
BASEBALL PLAYS:
St. Louis Cardinals -175
Philadelphia Phillies -190
Philadelphia Phillies -1½ Runs +115
Seattle Mariners Even
Texas Rangers -150
Detroit Tigers -150
The Phillies are ending the year with not much to play for as they know they are in the postseason and will be the top team. However, this 5 game losing streak has to end because it is not good for a team to end the year ice cold. Oswalt is a much better pitcher and they should win this game with ease. The money line is a little too high to play so lets take the run line. Take the Phillies -1.5 runs.
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