10-2-11

[timbob]

Best weekend wagers with the Weekend Warrior Gaming Today

St. Louis / Philadelphia UNDER

Miami Dolphins +7

Kansas City Chiefs +3

[timbob]

GamingToday’s Consensus Picks October 02, 2011 7:31 AM by GT Staff

NFL Football

Philadelphia Eagles -9½ *

Chicago Bears -6½

Pittsburgh Steelers +4

Oakland Raiders +5

Baltimore Ravens -4

[timbob]

Northcoast
3'* N Eng
3* Saints
3* Giants
S/N: Under Jets

[timbob]

Sportshandicapper Nfl Sunday Oct 2

3 small plays

NFL FOOTBALL

New England -6

Chicago -6.5

Miami +7

MLB FREEBIE

Milwaukee

[timbob]

A Bettor World

Totals:
Redskins/Rams Under 44
Titans/Browns Under 38.5
Patriots/Raiders Over 55

Sides:
Detroit +2
Minnesota -3
Atlanta -5
Buffalo -3

Four-Team Teaser
New Orleans -1
Chicago -0.5
San Diego -1
New England even

[timbob]

SportsInsights
The NFL Marketwatch "Game to Watch"selection was a winner again last week, bring this season's record to 2-1 (66.7%). The Indianapolis Colts were the "value" play -- and late in the game, the Colts appeared like they might also be an outright winner (versus the Steelers). The Pittsburgh Steelers ultimately won 23-20, but the Colts easily covered the double-digit spread. Since its inception more than six years ago, Sports Insights' popular NFL Marketwatch column has produced a winning percentage of about 57%.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New Orleans Saints

At the time of this writing, the Jacksonville-New Orleans game is the heaviest-bet game of the week. In addition, this match-up is one of the most lopsided-bet games of the week, with about 90% of the bets (including teasers and parlays) taking the favored Saints. Interestingly, even with almost every bet taking the favorite, the point spread decreased! CRIS opened the game with the visiting Saints favored by 8 points. Even with a huge majority of bets taking the Saints, the point spread is now generally available at Saints -7 or -6.5 (or Jaguars +7 or +6.5). Sports Insights' analysts have monitored this game since Monday and our readers know that we like this kind of market action because it means that "big, smart money" has taken the Jaguars -- overwhelming the more popular, but smaller, bets on the Saints.

We'll "bet against the Public" and follow the "smart money" in this game. Take the Jacksonville Jaguars plus the touchdown. Note that if you shop around, you can still grab Jacksonville +7.5 at Bodog
Jacksonville Jaguars +7.5 (Bodog)

[timbob]

Gold Medal Club:
50* Dallas
25* Chargers
10* Rams
10* Patriots

[timbob]

chase diamond killersportsplays

100- texans
75 - arizona
50- raiders
50 cowboys
30 - bengals

[timbob]

Sports Book Edge

NFL 230~San Diego Chargers -7 (5*) Side of the Week
NFL 223/4~Pittsburgh & Houston O 45 (5*) Total of the Week

[timbob]

Ohio's sbp (sports betting prodigy)

dallas -2.5

houston -3.5

[timbob]

WUNDERDOG (MLB)
1 OF 2
Game: Arizona at Milwaukee (5:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Milwaukee +1.5 runs +135 (runline)

Milwaukee has a powerful offense in a hitter friendly park and a terrific home field advantage: The Brewers are 44-10 in their last 54 games as a favorite! And they've been winning at home with easy, winning six of their last seven home games by 3, 4, 2, 4, 2, and 3 runs. Arizona is in town desperate for a win, but for all their overachieving this season they have not been a great road team against good competition. The Diamondbacks are 15-39 in their last 54 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600, and 13-40 in their last 53 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200. 24-year old Dan Hudson tries to hold back this outstanding Milwaukee offense, one that is 11th in runs and 5th in slugging. Hudson has a 7-6 record on the road with a 3.86 ERA (a 3.17 ERA at home). And Hudson has an 11.25 ERA against the Brewers this season, easily the worst of any team he faced all year. Giving extra rest to the kid hasn't been a plus, either, as the Diamondbacks are
1-5 in Hudson's last 6 starts with 5 days of rest. Arizona has to face another ace in Zack Greinke, and he will get the nod for the second game based on his performance in his home park this season: an 11-0 record, 3.13 ERA, and 119:22 strikeout to walk ratio in 95 innings. In fact, the Brewers are 15-0 in Greinke's last 15 starts as a home favorite! Play the Brewers on the run line in Game 2.

[timbob]

Benjamin lee Eckstein "Mr Chalk" 2011 MLB AL/NL Playoffs

"Mr Chalk" 2011 MLB AL/NL Playoffs

Ben lee won on Saturday with the Brewers -$137/Diamondbacks.

For Sunday it's more Brew for "Mr Chalk" the Brewers -$135/Diamondbacks.

Mr Chalk" is 1-1 -$75 for the 2011 MLB AL/NL Playoffs.

[timbob]

OC Dooley:
1 UNIT” NFL LINETRACKER (Rams +3 at home versus Redskins in a 1:00 eastern kickoff): To say that the 0-3 start by St. Louis has been a shock is an understatement as much was expected from this team that came one-game away from making a 2010 playoff appearance. Even though the Rams lost an ugly 37-7 contest in front of their own fans last week one could argue that they were on the wrong place at the wrong time against an angry opponent. Following last Sunday’s final verdict Baltimore is now 9-0 in the game immediately following a loss. Not only are the Rams facing an easier offense to handle this week, they are opposing a quarterback that is prone to make mistakes. I am aware that Washington dating all the way back to the preseason has been an ATS gold-mine for investors, but they are coming off a “short week” of preparation along with a very close and disturbing Monday Night straight-up setback. My database research indicates that Washington is an awful 4-14 ATS as a favorite against a losing opponent, the week after facing fierce divisional rival Dallas. Even worse the Redskins have FAILED to cover the spread FIVE consecutive seasons right before a “bye” week. In this series St. Louis is actually on a 4-0 ATS roll which means they will be more competitive against Washington than most think. St. Louis actually opened as a favorite in this contest but due to consecutive failures including a Monday Night appearance that the entire country got to view, we all of a sudden have excellent “value” with the Rams who are looking to get star rusher Steven Jackson more involved (just four touches last week). They say you cannot handicap turnovers but in his last six starts Washington quarterback Rex Grossman has thrown 7 interceptions and lost 5 fumbles which makes the Redskins a shaky road favorite

[timbob]

From the Real Time(with Bill Maher) Animal:

Sunday free pick is 2* Green Bay -12 at Betonlinecom:

Somehow Denver covered last week at Tennessee despite getting out-gained 333-231. The Broncos averaged 2.6 yards per carry but won penalties 11-1. The Titans were whistled for 80 yards in infractions compared to 15 Denver. All three Broncos games have been decided by three points or less against Oakland, Cincinnati, and Tennessee. But this is the 2nd consecutive road game and the Broncos have lost seven consecutive games away including margins of 16 at Oakland, 30 at Arizona, 21 at San Diego, and 14 at Baltimore. Champ Bailey said its unlikely his injured hamstring will enable him to play Sunday. Green Bay has kind of sputtered on both sides of the ball but I like them to put it all together returning to Lambeau. They have won six straight in Wisconsin with five covers in that stretch. That included New Orleans in the season-opener, the Giants by 28, 49ers by 18, and Dallas by 38. The Packers are loaded with weapons with tight end Jermichael Finley back in the lineup. Aaron Rodgers is the #1 rated QB in the NFL with an 8-1 ratio of touchdowns to picks. Kyle Orton is #22 with a 5-3 ratio and has been sacked eight times. Just knowing the only game the Broncos have covered saw them total just 231 yards has me fading them. Green Bay has won the last two meetings at Lambeau by a combined margin of 72-9. Catch this: The Broncos are 0-6 ATS since October 6th, 1991 as a road underdog of more than seven points when coming off a road game. The Pack is 6-0 ATS the last three years when coming off a two-game road trip. In those six games they have outscored their opponents 34-13 on average. The Broncos have covered just five of their last 20 against the NFC North. I took Green Bay -12 at Betonline.

[timbob]

Rainman



5* Chicago
3*Giants Atlanta
1*Oakland...New Orleansl....Cinncinati