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10-4-1 run
mlb stl +1.5
10-4-1 run
mlb stl +1.5
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Sports Wagers
PHILADELPHIA –177 over St. Louis Pinnacle
With a bet on the Cards to win the series at +461, we can come back with the Phillies to win tonight at –180. That gives us the opportunity to free roll for a +284 profit with nothing to lose on the Cards. Make this wager only if you played the Cards to win series before game 4. Play: Philadelphia +177 (Risking 1.77 units to win 1).
Nashville –104 over COLUMBUS (REG) Pinnacle
All the “so-called experts” are calling for the Jackets to make a serious playoff push after they acquired Jeff Carter in one of the bigger deals in the off-season. The consensus is that Rick Nash finally has the center he’s always been missing. Nash, Carter, Derek Brossard and R. J. Umberger are a good group of forwards but every team has a few good players and a couple of all-stars. The Jackets also acquired hard-shooting d-man James Wisniewski but he’s going to sit out the first eight games due to a suspension. The Jackets picked up nine new players in the offseason but other than the aforementioned trio and perhaps Vinny Prospal, the rest are run-of-the mill NHL players. The Jackets are thin, especially on defense and depth and we just don’t see this team as a playoff contender. Preseason means nothing but it is worth noting that the Preds seven exhibition wins were the most in the league and the Predators discovered a lot about the young players they will be counting on heavily this season. They've replenished the team with an opening night roster that features six rookies, including forward Craig Smith, who had as impressive a preseason as anyone on the team. The stability is in Ryan Suter, Shea Weber and perhaps the best goaltender in the league in Pekka Rinne. None of those three were top-five picks in the draft, where the elite players usually are selected. Rinne was an eighth-round pick and this is an endorsement to GM David Poile’s ability to identify young talent. We mention that because Poile is counting on some young players to produce so keep your eye on Craig Smith and Blake Geoffrion and don’t be surprised if Colin Wilson, Patric Hornqvist and Sergei Kostitsyn have big years. The real kicker to this wager is that the puck line shows that the Jackets are -½ +153 while the Preds are +½ -166 and that’s a significant enticement by the books to get you to bet the wrong side. Play: Nashville –104 (Risking 2.08 units to win 2).
HAMILTON –3 over Winnipeg Sportsinteraction
Swaggerville has lost its swagger. Buck Pierce is a go tonight but so what. Pierce is a like a boxer in the 11th round after taking jabs to the midsection for 10 rounds. He’s one more jab away from hitting the canvas and this move to play him tonight appears more like a desperation move on the part of the Bombers. Why not sit him for another week? In any case, Pierce has more picks than TD’s and most of those interceptions came over the past four games. Pierce is regressing and he’s playing scared football right now. These two have played twice this year with the Bombers winning both times. However, that’s when they had swagger and were playing well. Winnipeg has lost four of five and that includes a loss in Toronto. Meanwhile, the Ticats have won two straight and they not only won but they buried both Toronto and Calgary, the former on the road. Playing in Toronto is a 40-minute bus ride so for the Ticats this is three weeks now of being home and sleeping in your own bed. The Bombers will travel for the third time in four weeks and that’s a huge edge for the Ticats. Thing is, Hamilton doesn’t even need that edge, as they’re in way better form and they’re very aware of two previous losses to this foe. It won’t be three. Play: Hamilton –3 (Risking 2.3 units to win 2).Comment
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VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYS
2 Unit Play. #319 Take Under 46 Iowa at Penn St (3:30p.m., Saturday, Oct. 8 ESPN)
3 Unit Play. #320 Take Penn St -3 ½ over Iowa (3:30p.m., Saturday, Oct. 8 ESPN)
3 Unit Play. #334 Take W. Michigan -10 over Bowling Green (2:00p.m., Saturday,
7 Unit Play. #392 Take Nebraska -11 over Ohio St (8:00p.m., Saturday, Oct. 8 ABC)
(Big 10-Battle Game of the Year)Comment
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GamingToday’s Consensus Picks October 07, 2011 7:24 AM by GT Staff
College Football
Boise State at Fresno State +21 – 6 p.m. PT ESPN TV
The Bulldogs from Fresno catch the Broncos off one of their biggest revenge games in the history of the school, they also look to get some kind of revenge from the thrashing they got on the blue carpet in Boise last year 51-0. Fresno has gone 8/1 ATS as a non conference home dog and that will be enough for us to take the points.
FRESNO STATE +21
Boise St/Fresno State Over 58½
Baseball
Milwaukee Brewers -150
Philadelphia Phillies -175
Cards/Phils Over 6½Comment
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David Banks
Boise State Broncos vs. Fresno State Bulldogs
ESPN’s Friday night college football telecast takes us to the Silicon Valley where Pat Hill’s Fresno State Bulldogs (2-3, 2-3 ATS) will look to put an end to their five-game losing streak against the 5th ranked Boise State Broncos (4-0, 2-2 ATS); kick-off from Bulldog Stadium is set to go at 9:00 ET on ESPN and ESPN3.com.
Coach Chris Petersen’s Broncos enter tonight’s non-conference clash with the Bulldogs unblemished on the season after picking up wins in each of their first four games against the Georgia Bulldogs, Toledo Rockets, Tulsa Golden Hurricane, and Nevada Wolfpack. However, Boise hasn’t been the stone cold locks against the pointspread that it’s been in the past only managing a 2-2 ATS record on the year. That said; both of the “Smurf Turf” warriors pointspread victories came away from Broncos Stadium against Georgia and Toledo improving the Broncos to an impressive 21-7 ATS their L/28 as a visitor.
Long gone seem to be the days of the Bulldogs upsetting top 25 ranked teams, as the Bulldogs stand 0-12 SU and 5-7 ATS in that role dating back to 2006. If Fresno State actually does manage to give tonight’s opponents a run for their money, it would come as quite a surprise as the 2011-12 Bulldogs look to be a much lesser form than the version that got throttled 51-0 in Boise last season. Having said that, stranger things have happened and if ever a coach could motivate his kids enough to run through a brick wall for him, it would be none other than the fiery Pat Hill. Having said that, Fresno State stands a poor 2-9 ATS the L/11 times it played under the Friday night lights and 0-5-1 ATS its L/6 games played in the month of October.
Boise State has flat out dominated the recent series with its neighbors to the west winning nine of the L/10 overall confrontations while posting an identical 9-1 ATS tally in those contests. Not surprisingly, the favorite has covered 10 of these teams L/11 overall meetings. Boise State has covered nine of the L/12 times it was favored on the road, but Fresno State counters with an 8-6 ATS record as an underdog the L/3 seasons. The ‘over’ is 9-4 the L/13 times Fresno State was installed an underdog of 10.5 points or more.
PICK: BOISE/FRESNO STATE OVERComment
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MLBPredictions
Kevin
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Milwaukee Brewers - UNDER 7.5 RUNS (-120)
(Note: I'm risking 1.20 units to win 1 unit)
Tonight we see the same match up as we did in Game 1 of the series, where the Brewers won 4-1. Ian Kennedy is on the mound for the Dbacks, while Yovani Gallardo will be pitching for the Brewers in a winner takes all match up. The UNDER in that game 1 was set at 7 runs, and now in Game 5 we see it bumped up to 7.5 after 3 high scoring games (2 overs and 1 push at 9). Ian Kennedy was a stellar 21-4 on the season with a 2.88 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and .227 opponents batting average. He gave up 4 runs on 8 hits in 6.2 innings, but it was a 2 run blast in the 7th that turned a solid outing into a not so good start and a loss. I fully expect Ian Kennedy to bounce back with a solid start here tonight. Gallardo has solid numbers with a 17-10 record during the regular season, 3.52 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and .245 opponents batting average. He shines at home, posting a 10-2 record, 3.00 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and .237 opponents batting average - plus the Game 1 victory where he went 8 innings giving up just 4 hits and 1 earned run. The UNDER is 8-3 in Kennedy's last 11 starts overall, and the UNDER is 6-2 in Gallardo's last 8 home starts and 4-1 in his last 5 starts overall. The UNDER is also 3-1-1 in Gallardo's last 5 starts vs Arizona. The UNDER is 5-2-1 in the Diamondbacks last 8 as an underdog, and 15-6 in their last 21 with a total set between 7-8.5. Also take note the UNDER is 7-3-1 in the Brewers last 11 games vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. A little over reaction to the high scoring ball games between these two clubs gives us a good total to bet on the UNDER with two very solid starting pitchers who can and should go deep into tonight's deciding Game 5. Value on the UNDER tonight, and I'm taking it for 1 unit.Comment
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