Friday 8/2/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-02-2024, 08:03 AM

Al Cimaglia: Yonkers Raceway Late Pick 4 Analysis

August 2, 2024 | By Al Cimaglia

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Yonkers Raceway has a 12-race card. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 9, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 9 (9:40 PM EST)

1-Delightful Terror (7/2)-Makes the 4th start off the bench and this time goes from post 8 to the rail. The Corey Stratton trainee drops again, and the brother's team up for the 1st time since returning to action. Best to respect chances versus this crew and comes back quickly this time which is unlike the other starts since returning.
5-Gamblingterror (2-1)-This is the 2nd race since dropping to this level. Brent Holland takes the lines tonight and the positive driver change could make a winning difference. Expecting an aggressive drive once the wings fold.

Race 10 (10:00 PM EST)

1-Down The Pike Mike (2-1)-As is the case for this sequence in general, this is a formless race. Not going to look further than a logical play with Jason Bartlett from the rail. Put in an even effort at Tioga on 7-27 in the 1st race since 11-3-2023. The 5-year-old does decent work at Yonkers (29-5-4-4) and the Jenny Melander barn has been clicking in the past 30 days. Comes back quickly and meets a soft bunch.

Race 11 (10:20 PM EST)

1-Bri Express N (5/2)-Faced this kind on 7-5, got on the engine from the 2-hole and faded down the lane to finished 2nd. That was on a "good" track, is 0-5 on a wet surface and has hit the board only once. George Brennan steered then and will be between the pipes tonight. Could get on the point and not look back.
4-Onederfulbeach (3-1)-Makes the 4th start since joining the Stratton barn and raced from the back in last after drawing post 8. Stayed inside after starting way back and paced the back half in 55.2. Could be sitting on a big try and should be a fair price.

Race 12 (10:40 PM EST)

6-Rocknroll Annie (10-1)-The veteran mare raced well to just miss leaving from post 7 versus this kind. Bartlett will probably be aggressive when the wings fold. Could land on the point or in the pocket and either trip could lead to a picture.
7-Racy Roxy A (6-1)-Comes off even efforts versus better but this looks like a wake-up spot. Jordan Stratton sticks may have met a beatable field and should offer a square price.

2.00 Pick 4

1,5/1/1,4/6,7
Total Bet=$16

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-02-2024, 08:03 AM

Scott Shapiro: Friday Saratoga Stakes Analysis

August 1, 2024 | By 1/ST BET

Saturday is one of the biggest days of the meet at Saratoga with four graded stakes races on the agenda headlined by the $1M Whitney (G1), but do not snooze on Friday afternoon’s 10-race card that includes a pair of graded stakes events for 3YOs on the lawn. Here are my thoughts on the Saratoga Oaks (G2) and the Hall of Fame (G2).

Race 8: Saratoga Oaks (G2)

Charles Appleby and William Buick won this event in 2022 when With The Moonlight stalked early and pulled away late as the even-money favorite. They hold a strong hand again in 2024 with 6-5-favorite #1 Cinderella’s Dream. The British-bred filly made quite an impression in her first start in the States overcoming an unfavorable race shape when running down pacesetter Segesta (who Chad Brown announced earlier in the week will be scratched due to a bruised foot) and heavy favorite #7 She Feels Pretty in the Belmont Oaks (G1). The only blemish on her resume is a fifth-place finish in the QIPCO 1000 Guineas (G1) at Newmarket in May. She stands out against this group.

For those searching for an alternative to the likely odds-on favorite, it is hard to make a case for any of the fillies based in the States and nearly as difficult to make one for European import, #5 Greenfinch. Trainer Aidan O’Brien ships this Justify filly in from Ireland after finally earning her first career victory over the lawn. Her inability to handle Grade 3 competition in Ireland is concerning, as is the fact that O’Brien has not sent a filly over for this race the last several years after finishing second in the inaugural edition with Happen. It simply does not seem like a priority for one of the world’s top conditioners. Greenfinch earned that first grass victory in frontrunning fashion last month and could keep #4 Macanga honest in the early going, but I do not expect her to get the best of Cinderella’s Dream regardless of trip.

Pick- Cinderella’s Dream

Play: Daily Double 1-3

Race 9: Hall of Fame (G2)

The pace is likely to be honest in this year’s Hall of Fame (G2) given the presence of #8 Barksdale. The Street Sense gelding ships back to New York after battling early and tiring late in a stakes event washed off the grass at Ellis Park on the Fourth of July. The William Walden trainee has been better in his one-turn events thus far and looks up against it on paper, but his lone two-turn starts did come early on his career before he seemingly turned a corner. Expect the top three horses on the morning line #3 Zverev, #4 Neat, and #8 Army Officer to be amongst those in the second tier hoping to get first run. Like most two-turn events on the lawn, trip is likely to decide the race.

Neat might be the likeliest winner coming off a workmanlike victory in the Manila (G3) but I am not sure he stands out enough to invest in as the chalk. Army Officer is also a potential underlay as he hopes to earn back-to-back victories over this turf course after getting the job done as the 5-2-favorite during the Belmont Stakes Racing Festival in June. He should get the right trip under Frankie Dettori but has never struck me as one of Brad Cox’s best.

Zverev intrigues the most. The Cherie DeVaux makes his third start of the form cycle after getting the best of West Hollywood in the lane back in Louisville on June 20. The effort was a huge step forward for the Oscar Performance colt and it looks even better after West Hollywood’s off the pace victory last Saturday. I have little reason to believe he will not run another big race for a barn that is 4 for 14 to start the meet with nine of those runners hitting the board.

Zverev is my top choice and a potential Win bet at 7-2 or higher. I will tie him up with #2 Buttercream Babe. The Three Diamonds Farm filly was beaten by a 36-1 long shot in his last at Horseshoe Indianapolis but that winner was loose on the lead while this Mike Maker trainee was never overly comfortable. The son of Twirling Candy appears to be moving in the right direction and the fact he has a win over this course earlier this year and attracts Irad Ortiz Jr adds to the appeal.

Pick: Zverev

Plays: Win 3 & Exacta 3-2

Let’s build a bankroll for a huge weekend of racing! Good luck!

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-02-2024, 08:04 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Del Mar - Race #4

#1 Mizzyaan	She had the misfortune of catching the same really good winner in both of her first two starts, and I wonder if she might end up being a decent fit with this crew today.
#10 She's No Angel	Nothing from her yet through two starts, but she gets blinkers for her local debut and might have enough upside to be useful at a nice price today.
#8 Normandy Queen	She's supposed to be a big player here if she can build on the solid debut run, and the move around two turns might allow her to do just that.
Race Summary	Mizzyaan has company lines that tower over most of these, so I'm willing to give her the nod while getting Lasix for this third lifetime start. Big chance while back with friends.

Del Mar - Race #6

#13 Shady Tiger	Price isn't going to be much, but he's supposed to handle this group if he holds his form. Tactical pace should get a perfect trip while spying a few of the speedier pace players early on. Baseline should do.
#12 Capo Luigi	Think he could end up getting a pretty similar trip to the top choice, and I think his dirt form is a bit better than it looks at first glance. Could play at an OK price.
#4 Final Storm	He's not the worst alternative if you want to stand against the pick. He was in the picture with him on a couple occasions and has some obvious room to bounce back today while getting away from Los Al where he has run a couple of the worst races of his career.
Race Summary	Shady Tiger has been super honest, and he figures to find another great spot even from this wide draw. Maybe Capo Luigi is the right price to make the gimmicks a little interesting?

Del Mar - Race #8

#6 Hollywood Penny	There isn't a ton of confirmed finishing punch in this one, and her one-paced turf tries might translate well while getting on the main track today. Think there is a decent bit to like today.
#11 Moonlight Tryst	She's probably the one to beat on the drop while getting back to the main track, but the price probably isn't going to be much with at least a little question to answer about the drop with a sharp main-track special weight try on her page from the debut.
#7 Bajan Bashert	She's another who makes some sense while getting in for a tag for the first time, and she has never run a bad one going short. Might wind up in the right kind of spot. Wouldn't argue too hard with anyone landing here.
Race Summary	Hollywood Penny might wake up while turning back today, and she might be a decent enough price while getting in with this kind of company for the first time.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-02-2024, 08:04 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Hastings
PURCHASE

Hastings - Race 3	Exactor / Triactor / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)
Claiming $12,500 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 79 • Purse: $14,000 • Post: 8:00P
(PLUS UP TO $3,500 THRIF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE JUNE 2 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, FOR EACH $1,250 TO $10,000 2 LBS. (RACES FOR LESSER CLAIMING NOT CONSIDERED RACES FOR $8,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED FOR ALLOWANCES). BRITISH COLUMBIA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. STAY FANTASTIC is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * STAY FANTASTIC: Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" desig nation. ERLICH: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ROOKIE YEAR: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equib ase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BAK TO LIBERTY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
4	STAY FANTASTIC	6/5	3/1
2	ERLICH	3/1	8/1
5	ROOKIE YEAR	4/1	9/1
1	BAK TO LIBERTY	7/2	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	STAY FANTASTIC	4	6/5	Alternator/Front-runner	78	82	66.6	80.6	77.1
1	BAK TO LIBERTY	1	7/2	Stalker	75	74	86.2	68.4	62.4
2	ERLICH	2	3/1	Trailer	82	75	75.4	74.6	69.6
5	ROOKIE YEAR	5	4/1	Alternator/Trailer	81	70	60.0	80.8	75.3
3	LOGICAL AL	3	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	71	66	71.2	72.4	62.9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-02-2024, 08:04 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Saratoga
PURCHASE

Saratoga - Race 5	Exacta ($1), Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double ($1) 5 &6, Pick 3 ($1) (5-7) Pick 6 ($1) (5-10)
Maiden Claiming $40,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 76 • Purse: $55,000 • Post: 3:27P
(UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000 (1.5% AFTERCARE ASSESSMENT DUE AT TIME OF CLAIM OTHERWISE CLAIM WILL BE VOID). (IF THE STEWARDS CONSIDER IT INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF COURSE, THIS RACE WILL BE RUN AT ONE MILE ON THE MAIN TRACK).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. AMERICAN KESTREL is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * AMERICAN KESTREL: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at th e distance/surface. QUEEN ROCKET: Horse has a 4F workout since its last race, and the workout time is faster than its own half-mile time in its last race. LUNA LOVE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in a verage Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
5	AMERICAN KESTREL	5/1	4/1
10	QUEEN ROCKET	10/1	5/1
3	LUNA LOVE	10/1	6/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	AMERICAN KESTREL	6	5/1	Front-runner	0	0	80.2	72.1	62.6
10	QUEEN ROCKET	11	10/1	Front-runner	74	67	70.1	66.1	53.6
1A	PURRFECT GIRL	5	4/1	Trailer	0	0	60.5	54.3	40.3
9	ALTHENA	10	30/1	Trailer	68	64	45.0	62.2	50.2
3	LUNA LOVE	3	10/1	Alternator/Trailer	76	76	71.9	71.6	66.1
6	EXOTIC CAT	7	30/1	Alternator/Trailer	75	68	60.6	65.4	52.9
7	PAY THE BILLS (FR)	8	5/2	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	42.7	66.4	59.4
1	Z TRAIN (IRE)	1	4/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	41.6	61.7	53.7
4	CLASSIC CARA	4	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	60	63	75.0	53.9	38.9
11	LION'S MIRACLE MO	12	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	65.4	44.6	23.1
2	BLIND SPEED	2	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	41.3	49.0	34.0
8	FANTASY PERFORMER	9	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	26.5	42.7	23.2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-02-2024, 08:05 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Colonial Downs

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $40000 Class Rating: 82

OUTER TURF FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $20,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 MISS DELICIOUS 3/1
# 4 STELLA MARS 2/1
# 2 GHOSTLY GAL 5/2

MISS DELICIOUS has a very strong shot to take this race. She has been running quite well and the speed figures are among the most respectable in this field. Last time out, this mare faced a much tougher field. Has a strong shot in here if you like back class. STELLA MARS - Solid average speed figures in dirt route races make this pony a contender. Had one of the top Equibase Speed Figures of this group in her last outing. GHOSTLY GAL - With a nice class rating average of 94, has one of the most competitive class advantages in this group. Curtis has recent ROI figures which make this horse a strong bet.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-02-2024, 08:05 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Century Mile - Race #4 - Post: 7:45pm - Optional Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,500 Class Rating: 77

Rating:

#5 RISING STRONG (ML=5/1)
#2 MONOPOLIZE (ML=3/1)
#1 MISS MCBRIDE (ML=8/1)

RISING STRONG - Prescod is right back for another race today after sitting atop this horse for the first ride on Jul 19th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. This filly is in superb physical condition right now. Finished third last time out and comes back promptly. MONOPOLIZE - Malveaz comes to race again after getting to know the filly in the last race. I like to wager on this angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a sharp outing within the last month. Horse has improved at least two speed figure points in last 2 races. I look for that to continue its positive trend today. MISS MCBRIDE - Anderson seems to have this mare primed for a big effort. Her workout pattern is super.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 HIGHER IMAGE (ML=2/1), #3 BROKEN PROMISES (ML=7/2),

HIGHER IMAGE - Should have at least hit the board in the last couple of months in a short distance event to be any kind of value at low odds in a sprint. BROKEN PROMISES - No pace in this group to help set-up her late kick.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - RISING STRONG - The TrackMaster Power Rating tells me that this horse looks good versus the rest of this field. I'm wagering.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #5 RISING STRONG on the nose if you can get odds of 7/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,2,5] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[1,2,5] with [1,2,5] with [1,2,3,4,5] with [1,2,3,4,5] Total Cost: $36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-02-2024, 08:05 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Belterra Park - Race #3 - Post: 1:35pm - Maiden Special - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $24,200 Class Rating: 52

Rating:

#3 LESOTHO (ML=2/1)

LESOTHO - Have to make this filly a strong challenger; she comes off a good race on July 3rd. I usually like playing sprinters who are 3-4 races into a come back. Trainer Cline moves this horse down the ladder based on class rating points to face a less competitive field. Look for a strong effort this time out. This horse has the speed, and no one may be able to keep up with her. The improved Equibase speed figs over the last 3 races is solid. Cline drops her in this affair ready to go. Another way to evaluate class is earnings per race. This entrant has the highest in the field. I think she'll be close at the finish line.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 SHAMANS IMAGE (ML=3/1), #5 LIGHTNING MELODY (ML=7/2), #2 JUBILEE BEN PLAYIN (ML=4/1),

SHAMANS IMAGE - Not likely that the fig she recorded on July 20th will be enough in this event. LIGHTNING MELODY - The Brain cautions me to stay away from thoroughbreds in sprint events that haven't hit the board in sprint contests of late. JUBILEE BEN PLAYIN - Difficult to bet on any mount in a sprint race if she hasn't hit the board in a sprint in the last couple of months. Hasn't been close at all of late.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - LESOTHO - Having the best speed fig last race of 53 at Belterra Park on July 3rd. This filly has an excellent chance to win here.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #3 LESOTHO to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	3 with 5
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-02-2024, 08:05 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Cross Country Pick Four

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Allowance - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $95000 Class Rating: 80

SAR - R7 - FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $20,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.;OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING OR STARTER IN 2024 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 SANTAGATA 9/2
# 5 FOXY CARA 7/2
# 2 MYSARIA 10/1

I like SANTAGATA here. Might go off at a solid price and has some positive angles going for her. Has posted reliable Equibase Speed Figs in dirt sprint races in the past. Carmouche has been on fire the last month, winning at a nifty 16 percent rate. FOXY CARA - Her 69 average has this filly with among the strongest Equibase Speed Figures for this race. Earned a quite good Equibase Speed Figure last time out. MYSARIA - Well above average win rate at this distance/surface. Looks very strong against this field and will almost certainly be one of the front-runners.

**ConleyPicks** · 08-02-2024, 11:10 AM

Going to start posting in these Free Play threads when I have the time. Nice to be back :)

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Belterra Park

Belterra Park - Race 4	Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)
Maiden Special • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 61 • Purse: $16,700 • Post: 2:05P
FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED)(PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $20,000).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Class. PROBATIONER is the Dominant Class of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PROBATIONER: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the high est average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. LONG SHORTS: A first time starter with a trainer that has a return on investment with first time starters of at least +50 (minimum 10 starts). Jockey/Trainer combination return on investmen t is at least +20.
4	PROBATIONER	5/2	8/5
1	LONG SHORTS	8/1	5/2

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	PROBATIONER	4	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	66	59	70.6	59.6	57.6
5	BAMBY BOOM	5	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	26.5	36.0	30.0
6	MIGHTY MO	6	7/2	Trailer	0	0	0.0	45.5	41.5

Unknown Running Style: LONG SHORTS (8/1) [Jockey: Navas Yoel - Trainer: Cowans William D], FAST LUCK (6/1) [Jockey: Canuto Thiago - Trainer: Short Tommy C], BUTTERMAKER (3/1) [Jockey: Lagunes Gabriel - Trainer: Engler Jeff], LUKE'S LASSO (5/1) [Jocke

**ConleyPicks** · 08-02-2024, 11:10 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Prairie Meadows

Prairie Meadows - Race 6	Win/ Place/ Show/ Quinella / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Minimum) Superfecta (.10 Minimum) / Daily Double / Pick 3 (.50 Minimum) Jackpot Pick 5 (.50 Minimum)
Allowance • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $36,500 • Post: 8:08P
FOR THREE YEAR OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 2, 2024 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $25,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Stalker. RUN FIRE RUN is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * RUN FIRE RUN: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SHOULDABOUGHTDABAR: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. DESPERATE MAN: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Today is a spr int and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. BOLT FORTY FIVE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
4	RUN FIRE RUN	7/2	9/2
3	SHOULDABOUGHTDABAR	2/1	6/1
5	DESPERATE MAN	5/2	6/1
2	BOLT FORTY FIVE	5/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	BOLT FORTY FIVE	2	5/1	Front-runner	86	86	92.4	71.8	63.8
1	NORWAY BEACH	1	8/1	Front-runner	79	82	84.4	62.0	51.0
5	DESPERATE MAN	5	5/2	Front-runner	86	79	82.2	80.4	75.9
4	RUN FIRE RUN	4	7/2	Stalker	87	86	71.0	80.4	74.9
3	SHOULDABOUGHTDABAR	3	2/1	Alternator/Trailer	93	86	48.2	77.4	73.4
6	WESTERN TOURIST	6	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	77	75	59.6	69.4	60.9

**ConleyPicks** · 08-02-2024, 11:11 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Woodbine - Race #2 - Post: 1:37pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,400 Class Rating: 67

Rating:

#4 JACK (ML=3/1)
#10 SING DIXIE (ML=20/1)
#9 SWERVIN MERVYN (ML=8/1)

JACK - When the real running starts, this gelding should be finishing best of all. Ranks at the top in earnings per start. A strong try right here in this race can add to the lifetime bankroll. SING DIXIE - I undeniably see favorable signs for this mount right here. SWERVIN MERVYN - It looks like Moran had to be more familiar with this gelding on July 12th when riding him for the initial time. Back on board again today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 FOREST FLASH (ML=4/1), #3 SOUPER ICONIC (ML=5/1), #1 SPARKLET (ML=6/1),

FOREST FLASH - Today's affair is 6 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a sprint race in the last sixty days. Not the greatest of signs. SOUPER ICONIC - Never really did much at all last out on July 19th. Hard to bet on in today's race. Any horse coming out of a route race should show some speed to battle with the sprinters. SPARKLET - Not normally the kind of animal one plays off of any kind of long layoff.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #4 JACK on the nose if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	4 with [9,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [4,9,10] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[4,9,10] with [4,9,10] with [3,4,9,10,11] with [3,4,9,10,11] Total Cost: $36

**ConleyPicks** · 08-02-2024, 11:11 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Penn National

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 79

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 2. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 BARLEEWON 8/1
# 8 KODAPENDENT 5/1
# 1 PRATT 5/2

I've got to go with BARLEEWON and the potential return justifies the dangerous nature of the long odds. Has very strong speed figures and has to be considered for a bet in this race. A solid 92 avg Equibase class figure may give this gelding a distinct class edge against this group. He has put up competitive numbers under today's conditions and will probably fare well versus this group. KODAPENDENT - The handler wheels this horse right back to race again. He has put up solid numbers under today's conditions and ought to fare well versus this field. PRATT - Ought to be carefully examined - I like the numbers from the last race. Might best this field here, showing formidable figs of late.

**ConleyPicks** · 08-02-2024, 11:11 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Special Wager

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Stakes - 9.5f on the Turf. Purse: $600000 Class Rating: 116

SARATOGA DERBY INVITATIONAL S. SAR - R7 - GRADE 1 AN INVITATIONAL FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 DIEGO VELAZQUEZ (IRE) 2/1
# 8 WHITE PALOMINO 8/1
# 3 LEGEND OF TIME (GB) 7/2

DIEGO VELAZQUEZ (IRE) is my choice. Have to examine solely on class, with some of the best class figures of this group of horses in this race. Has to be carefully examined against this group of horses displaying formidable figures recently and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 118 under similar conditions. Overall the Equibase speed figs of this horse look very good in this contest. WHITE PALOMINO - Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Brown have shown strong results recently. Has to be given consideration - I like the figures from the last outing. LEGEND OF TIME (GB) - Earnings per start in turf route races is reliable for this animal. Has raced very well in turf route races.