Sunday 9/1/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-30-2024, 08:54 AM

Race of the Week: Saratoga's Jockey Club Gold Cup | Sunday

August 28, 2024 | By Jeremy Plonk

The Lead:
Saratoga's 2024 summer hits the homestretch this weekend with closing-day Monday, but not before Breeders' Cup Classic division rivals clash in Sunday's Jockey Club Gold Cup. The longtime Belmont Park fall fixture has made its home at the Spa since 2021. At a mile and one-quarter, it stretches Grade 1 Whitney alumni an additional 220 yards from Saratoga's other premier race in the division.

Horsesplayers at 1/ST BET and Xpressbet can take part Saturday in a Bet $100, Get $25 promotion. Bet $100 or more at both Saratoga and Del Mar this Saturday (on Pacific Classic Day, no less) in order to collect the $25 wagering credit.

Field Depth:
Grade 1 winners here include ARTHUR'S RIDE, TAPIT TRICE and defending champion BRIGHT FUTURE. Graded stakes winners DISARM, PYRENEES and HIGHLAND FALLS have been competitive at the highest levels. This field is very evenly matched in terms of class.

Pace:
ARTHUR'S RIDE dominated the Whitney on the front end and potentially could be lone speed over this longer trip. BRIGHT FUTURE hasn't had any speed this year, but his best races are tracking the lead and adds blinkers. DISARM and PYRENEES have the ability to sit fairly close in the right scenarios. Give an edge to those near the front in the JCGC.

Our Eyes:
Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

#1-TAPIT TRICE: Superb return from 11 months on the sidelines to win the Monmouth Cup. Last year's Travers third-place finisher should handle the track and has had an aggressive 4 workouts since that race 43 days ago, indicating there's no bounce pending. Picks up 8 pounds and doesn't get a favorable pace set-up, but I'm counting on him to deliver what he has in the tank for a Todd Pletcher barn that has won this race twice in the last 4 years.

#2-KUCHAR: Longshot entrant was beaten 10 lengths in the Monmouth Cup by return rival Tapit Trice and now faces an even tougher and deeper cast. Off the board in all 3 Saratoga starts, there's not much to embrace or to forecast a massive rebound.

#3-BRIGHT FUTURE: Seeks back-to-back Jockey Club Gold Cup victories, but a 22-length defeat in the Whitney behind several of these paints a less promising picture. Blinkers go on this 5-year-old for the first time, who has made but 10 starts lifetime (winning 5). Expect Javier Castellano to keep him in the early mix as best he can if the horse has any interest in running Sunday vs. the Whitney no-show. Preference here of the Pletcher trainees goes to Tapit Trice.

#4-DISARM: Gun Runner 4-year-old just hasn't lived up to the promise yet, teasing a year ago that he'd be among the very best of the Classic division in 2024. That hasn't materialized after a modest allowance win was followed by out-of-the-money tries in the Grade 1 Foster and Grade 1 Whitney. He'll pick up 8 pounds and be tasked with making up nearly 7 lengths on Arthur's Ride from their last local head-to-head. You'll know a half-mile in if he's coming to work; if he's not up into the pace, he's unlikely to fire his best.

#5-PYRENEES: Hot hand saw a 4-race winning streak snapped when a solid second in the Grade 1 Stephen Foster last time at Churchill. Third-place finisher Skippylongstocking recently won the Charles Town Classic in repeat fashion, while Foster winner Kingsbarns has been retired. While he's never run 10F, he was only 110 yards shy in the Pimlico Special while finishing well. He stacks up with most in here and capable of a share.

#6-HIGHLAND FALLS: Well-traveled Brad Cox trainee has contested the Santa Anita Handicap, Oaklawn Handicap, Blame and Monmouth Cup literally from sea to sea with Arkansas and Kentucky in-between in his last 4. He's shown up in all 4, even if only 1 victory to boast for it. Rider change to Flavien Prat can't be underestimated as he's been an absolute stakes phenom this summer at the Spa. Pedigree screams 10F.

#7-ARTHUR'S RIDE: Cruised to victory in 4 of his last 5, all in front-end fashion, and clearly the one to catch in search of a Whitney-JCGC sweep at the meet. Win here could make him favored for the Breeders' Cup Classic and certainly in the driver's seat for an Eclipse Award in the older dirt male division. Pace-wise there should be no excuses. He's won locally in allowance company over 10F in a razor-sharp 2:00-4/5, and it's hard to see any of these running anywhere close to that fast. He'll have to regress to lose this, even if picking up 8 pounds.

Most Certain Exotics Contender:
ARTHUR'S RIDE is 6-7 in the exacta lifetime and has a win over the track and distance, plus gets a pace edge.

Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
PYRENEES has been 5-1 and 10-1 in his last pair and figures to be no better than fourth choice here among 7.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
The ARTHUR'S RIDE-TAPIT TRICE exacta will be short and the most likely combination, but there could be value in splitting them with a pair of respected chances. $50 exacta part-wheel ARTHUR'S RIDE over PYRENEES and HIGHLAND FALLS.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-01-2024, 07:00 AM

Al Cimaglia: The Red Mile Early Pick 4 Analysis

September 1, 2024 | By Al Cimaglia

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The Red Mile has a 17-race card set to go featuring Kentucky bred two-year-olds. The $1.00 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $7,500 guaranteed pool with a low 12% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6 (6:40 PM EST)

1-Go Dog Go (5/2)-Hasn't missed the board when not breaking stride and in 3 races has recorded 1 win. Raced well in last but was handled conservatively after breaking in the previous race. Should get a cozy trip and Todd McCarthy could provide a more aggressive drive after putting in a flat line.
5-Chat Room (6/5)-This is handy freshman trotter who has good gate speed and can win racing at the top of the stack or coming off cover. Looks like a main player at a small price.
6-Landing On Time (7-1)-The Linda Toscano pupil has good tactical speed and should land near the leaders when the wings fold. Could surprise at a solid price if minds its manners.

Race 7 (6:59 PM EST

2-Pantsuit (9/5)-Missed by a nose in last after getting on the engine and setting quick fractions only to get caught at the wire to lose by a nose. That race went in a quick 153.1 and was off 15-days before the start. Should take control early on and this time Dexter Dunn will probably rate the mile differently, also comes back in sequence.

Race 8 (7:18 PM EST)

5-Lancelot (9/2)-Broke stride in its debut at 3/5 and finished a distant 4th. Yannick Gingras sticks with the Nancy Taker trainee and is worth another look. Willing to take a swing for a rebound and the Bar Hopping colt will be a much better price this time.
7-Wellsze J (2-1)-Raced in the slop in its Lex debut and then broke stride in the next start. Has had excuses and its last race on 8-18 was better, getting on the point and losing by a neck. Missed a start before the last outing and comes back in sequence this time. Loses Gingras but Andy MacCarthy can get the job done.
8-Ready Freddie (9/2)-Team Miller pupil has the earmarks of handy freshman. Raced on the point and came a close 2nd after breaking stride in its debut. Then rallied off cover and rolled by at a square price. Should offer a solid price with this post draw and will string along.

Race 9 (7:37 PM EST)

1-Amazon Princess (5-1)-Princess has troubling finishing off miles. So, this is a spot to shine because she fits with others and could get a suck-around trip. Could offer some value, and if Terry Skinner saves ground, she could roll by down the lane.
4-Reddington (7/2)-The connections on this $80,000 yearling purchase are looking for some relief. Has banked only $2,376 in 12 starts but could cash the top check versus this crew. Marvin Luna can provide a good steer and hopefully won't be bet down.
7-PD's Gabriel (7/5)-Posted 1 win in 5 races at Lex this year and has never missed cashing a check. That makes her the 7/5 morning line chalk and will probably be driven like it. That's cause for pause, but hopefully Devon Tharps pushes the button at the right time and works a smooth journey.

$1.00 Early Pick 4

1,5,6/2/5,7,8/1,4,7
Total Bet=$27

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-01-2024, 07:01 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Del Mar - Race #4

#3 Forty Niner Gold	He's probably got a little company from some of the other pace drawn outside of him, but he has some dangerous pace at this sharper trip than he has ever tried. Might be an OK midrange price.
#4 Lemon Sushi	He has a little ability to press the pace that might serve him well to sit just off the top choice and try to get first jump. Wouldn't be shocked to see him find the wire at the right time ahead of the finishing threats.
#5 Galland De Besos	He rallied well enough to get in the picture late last out without being a real threat, and he would benefit if all the pace went on send missions early on -- opposite success profile from the top choice.
Race Summary	Forty Niner Gold is a bit of a question mark late, but he has some dangerous pace and might be able to see out this shorter trip -- I think his baseline keeps him in the mix.

Del Mar - Race #7

#4 Pony Express	He probably has his hands full with the guy drawn just inside of him, but I wonder if he can prove the quickest of the pace and control the tempo enough to keep the chalk at bay.
#3 Muth	Obvious one to beat with a couple Grade I wins on his page, but part of me has a mild worry about the fact that he's coming back in a relatively modest spot for a multiple Grade I winner. Could roll.
#2 Indispensible	Took him a long time to graduate, but I wonder if he might be able to clunk past some of these late for a share on the rise. He's catching a really deep group for a listed spot, so I'd be a little surprised to see him grab more than a piece.
Race Summary	Pony Express should get a little jump on Muth, and I'm hoping that guy is just a touch below his very best today based on the comeback placement. 'Express was up the track last out, but that was behind Travers winner Fierceness.

Del Mar - Race #8

#6 Formidable Man	He showed a sharp new element last out when rallying from way off the pace to score in a race that was not friendly to forward players on paper. He should be in a much more tactical spot today in a race without a ton of speed, and his typical effort should be enough to land a modest renewal of this race.
#4 Stay Hot	He has done some decent work here, but he has found graded company a little tough on occasion, and I think the top choice should be able to handle him. Logical alternative if you're against the pick.
#2 Gold Foot	Forward player is a little cheap overall on paper, but he should be in a really good spot near the front based on the expected race shape and could stay for a piece.
Race Summary	Formidable Man should be a handful here at a short kind of price, as he has a class edge in a soft Grade II and should get a perfect trip to take over whenever asked.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-01-2024, 07:03 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Canterbury Park
PURCHASE

Canterbury Park - Race 4	Win, Place &Show / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $2 Daily Double / $1 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) 10% Takeout $.50 Final Five Pick 5 (Races 4-8)
Claiming $20,000 • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 86 • Purse: $19,500 • Post: 2:58P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR MINNESOTA BRED WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. MINNESOTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $30,000. (IF MANAGEMENT DEEMS IT INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE ON THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT A DISTANCE OF 1 MILE ON THE MAIN TRACK.).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Trailer. SUPERSTAR SWANK is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SUPERSTAR SWANK: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. OUTLAW RUN: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. BRIT BLITZ: Horse has the hi ghest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. HAUNTED HAZE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. LEGALLY REDDY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
6	SUPERSTAR SWANK	3/1	5/1
7	OUTLAW RUN	5/1	7/1
5	BRIT BLITZ	5/2	7/1
1	HAUNTED HAZE	9/2	7/1
2	LEGALLY REDDY	12/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	HAUNTED HAZE	1	9/2	Front-runner	85	78	107.1	77.7	72.7
2	LEGALLY REDDY	2	12/1	Front-runner	87	81	91.8	74.3	68.8
3	MY CAIRO KID	3	8/1	Front-runner	80	77	83.6	69.7	56.7
7	OUTLAW RUN	7	5/1	Stalker	88	81	94.2	78.3	70.8
5	BRIT BLITZ	5	5/2	Stalker	88	80	79.2	77.6	70.6
4	TIME MUSE	4	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	85	74	69.8	68.9	58.4
6	SUPERSTAR SWANK	6	3/1	Trailer	86	71	87.2	76.8	70.3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-01-2024, 07:04 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Harrahs Columbus Nebraska
PURCHASE

Harrahs Columbus Nebraska - Race 3	$1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta
Claiming $3,500 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 75 • Purse: $5,500 • Post: 3:03P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. GOLD CRUSHER is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GOLD CRUSHER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest averag e Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
5	GOLD CRUSHER	5/2	8/5

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	GOLD CRUSHER	5	5/2	Front-runner	73	75	88.3	77.0	74.5
6	GOOSE DRANK WINE	6	2/1	Alternator/Stalker	80	72	74.0	59.0	52.0
4	STAGE DOOR	4	8/1	Alternator/Trailer	79	74	55.8	60.2	54.7
2	POKER PLAY	2	3/1	Alternator/Non-contender	81	67	64.6	54.8	44.8
1	BIG HEARTED FACTOR	1	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	75	58	59.6	54.6	45.1
3	HUMOR ME PLEASE	3	9/2	Alternator/Non-contender	71	65	52.8	56.6	49.6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-01-2024, 07:04 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Monmouth Park - Race #4 - Post: 2:21pm - Optional Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $57,500 Class Rating: 91

Rating:

#5 FAST GISELLE (ML=4/1)
#6 LADY ZETA (ML=5/1)
#1 FANCY AZTECA (ML=9/5)

FAST GISELLE - The Jun 13th affair at Santa Anita was at a class level of (97). Dropping down the ladder based on class a significant amount, so she should be in a good position. You have to like that most recent race speed fig, 94, which is the best latest race speed fig of this field. This mare gets a weight break of -5 lbs from last race. Its possible this could make the difference right here. Three consecutive improved speed ratings (88-91-94) make this one a solid contender. LADY ZETA - This mare is rounding her way back into shape. Should perform well today. Coming off a sixth place finish at Colonial Downs, some may skip this horse. I'm not. She just missed hitting the show spot, and has pretty good morning odds today. FANCY AZTECA - Lopez's agent must relish anytime Dutrow gives them a mount; win pct together is good. She must like the track here. Shipped in to take the money on Jul 20th and she looks tough once again.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 PACIFIC ROSE (ML=7/2), #7 FLOGE (ML=9/2), #3 VICOUNTESS (ML=6/1),

PACIFIC ROSE - 7/2 is not offering enough value for any entrant in a sprint of 6 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a short distance contest lately. In the last affair this entrant finished fourth. Doesn't look promising for her chances today. This questionable contender ran a substandard fig in the last race. She shouldn't run much better and will likely get beat in today's race running that fig. FLOGE - Any horse coming out of a route race should show some early speed to tangle with the sprinters. Notched a run-of-the-mill speed fig last time out in a $75,000 Optional Claiming race on August 11th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that fig. VICOUNTESS - Be a little shy about this 3 year old versus the veterans. Will do better with more experience. Not easy to back any mount in a short distance clash if she hasn't finished in the money in a sprint in the last sixty days.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - FAST GISELLE - This mare posted a sharp final quarter in her last race. This should be your leading wager in this race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #5 FAST GISELLE on top if we're getting at least 7/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [5,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,5,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[1,5,6] with [1,5,6] with [1,4,5,6,7] with [1,4,5,6,7] Total Cost: $36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-01-2024, 07:04 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Del Mar

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Optional Claiming - 11.0f on the Turf. Purse: $76000 Class Rating: 104

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $21,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $40,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000 (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 SEVEN WONDERS 5/2
# 6 EXPLAIN THIS AUDIT 6/1
# 3 RIMPROTECTOR 9/2

SEVEN WONDERS is my choice. He has been travelling quite well as of late while recording very strong Speed Figures. Could beat this group given the 104 Equibase Speed Figure put up in his last outing. Has earned solid speed figures in turf route races in the past. EXPLAIN THIS AUDIT - He has been running admirably and the Equibase speed figs are among the top in this field. Has been constatntly running well recently. RIMPROTECTOR - Could wake up with Lasix change (with second time Lasix) today. Has to be carefully examined - I like the figures from the last contest.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-01-2024, 07:05 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Allowance - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $18800 Class Rating: 74

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 1 ALLOWED 3 LBS. W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 LORD ANTE 5/2
# 12 BRAZILIAN SEA 30/1
# 7 ONE TRUTH 3/1

I think about LORD ANTE here. Win percentage one of the best in this field. Will most likely compete quite well in the early pace clash which bodes well with this group. Has garnered strong Equibase Speed Figures in turf sprint races in the past. BRAZILIAN SEA - Have to suppose this one will do well following the quick turnaround. ONE TRUTH - He looks formidable in this slot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the midpoint. Is a key contender - given the 65 speed rating from his most recent race.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-01-2024, 07:05 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Saratoga - Race #5 - Post: 2:17pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $40,000 Class Rating: 92

Rating:

#4 BOURBON CALLING (ML=12/1)
#12 NOLO CONTESTO (ML=9/2)
#3 MARKET ALERT (ML=4/1)

BOURBON CALLING - Great chance for this pony. Solid late speed and should have good position. Dropping in class figure points from his Jul 26th race at Saratoga. Based on that data, I will give this horse the advantage. NOLO CONTESTO - Trainer Abreu moves this horse down the ladder based on class to face a weaker level today. Look for a solid race this time out. Just missed hitting the board on August 15th at Saratoga. With decent morning line odds in this race, he has my interest. MARKET ALERT - Dropped down in class last time around the track, and keeps in that lower class in this event. A good sign this equine is comfortable and ready to go. Is ranked at the top in earnings per race. A powerful try in today's race can increase the lifetime earnings.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 CHARLIE FIVE O (ML=5/1), #5 CRITICAL THREAT (ML=6/1), #13 GANGLY (ML=6/1),

CHARLIE FIVE O - In any contest of 7 furlongs, I like to play a contender that has been on the board in short distance affairs recently. 5/1 is too short of a value to take on most any mount that has run poorly in back to back races. CRITICAL THREAT - The third place finish in the last race was not the best. Common speed fig last race out at Saratoga at 6 furlongs. Don't feel this entrant will improve too much in today's event. GANGLY - Didn't look like a winner last time. Probably won't make a winning move today. The speed rating last time out doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the class figure of today's event. Mark this horse as a likely underpriced equine.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #4 BOURBON CALLING to win if we can get at least 4/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,4,12]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [3,4,12] Total Cost: $6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-01-2024, 07:31 AM

Del Mar Tip Sheet - September 1

Aug. 31, 2024

Race #1
Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:30 PM ET
$75,000.00

Race 1 Maiden Special Weight

Win	6-5	2	Kalea Bay	J J Hernandez
Place	8-1	1	Whiskyginandbrandy	T J Pereira
Show	15-1	6	Terrys Service	E A Maldonado
Wild card	3-1	5	Bullard	U Rispoli
Alternate 1	5-2	3	Freedoms Not Free	A Fresu
Alternate 2	15-1	4	Silverado Storm	J Talamo

Exacta 2-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
Trifecta 1/2/6 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX
Race #2
Turf 1 3/8 Miles - Post Time: 05:00 PM ET
$76,000.00

Race 2 Allowance Optional Claiming

Win	4-1	8	Enjoy It Strait	J J Hernandez
Place	7-2	2	Pioneer Prince	M E Smith
Show	5-2	7	Seven Wonders	A Fresu
Wild card	9-2	3	Rimprotector	K Frey
Alternate 1	10-1	1	Jeweled Shillelagh	U Rispoli
Alternate 2	10-1	4	Bee Catcher	K Kimura

Exacta 8-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX
Trifecta 2/7/8 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX
Race #3
Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 05:30 PM ET
Best Bet #1 NORMANDY QUEEN
$76,000.00

Race 3 Allowance Optional Claiming

Win	5-2	1	Normandy Queen	M E Smith
Place	2-1	5	Bolt dVine	K Frey
Show	6-1	3	Catalina Cocktail	A Cedillo
Wild card	5-1	2	Tams Little Angel	A Ayuso
Alternate 1	15-1	6	Aye Candy	V Espinoza
Alternate 2	3-1	4	Simply Enchanting	A Fresu

Exacta 1-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
Trifecta 1/3/5 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
Race #4
Turf 5 Furlongs - Post Time: 06:00 PM ET
$76,000.00

Race 4 Allowance Optional Claiming

Win	5-1	12	Special Club	J J Hernandez
Place	6-1	11	Pipers Causeway	D A Herrera
Show	4-1	10	Project Leader	R S Ramirez
Wild card	5-1	4	Lemon Sushi	K Frey
Alternate 1	10-1	8	Jack Sixpack	A Fresu
Alternate 2	12-1	5	Galland de Besos	A Ayuso

Exacta 12-11 BOX, 11-10 BOX, 10-4 BOX
Trifecta 10/11/12 BOX, 4/10/11 BOX
Race #5
Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 06:31 PM ET
$35,000.00

Race 5 Maiden Claiming

Win	4-1	2	Russells Hustle	T Baze
Place	9-2	4	Palagio	T J Pereira
Show	5-2	6	Daddy Justify	E A Maldonado
Wild card	8-1	1	Prince of Power	A Escobedo
Alternate 1	30-1	9	Mongolian Gold	J Laprida
Alternate 2	5-1	8	Saltwater Cowboy	U Rispoli

Exacta 2-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX
Trifecta 2/4/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
Race #6
Turf 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 07:02 PM ET
Best Bet #2 LIL RICHARDS BELLO
$22,500.00

Race 6 Claiming

Win	7-2	2	Lil Richards Bello	J J Hernandez
Place	3-1	7	Hurricane Cloud	A Fresu
Show	20-1	9	Grape Nuts Warrior	E A Maldonado
Wild card	4-1	10	Law Abiding	U Rispoli
Alternate 1	20-1	11	Mogollon Rim	K Frey
Alternate 2	15-1	6	Cardiff Crack	K Kimura

Exacta 2-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX, 9-10 BOX
Trifecta 2/7/9 BOX, 7/9/10 BOX
Race #7
Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 07:32 PM ET
$125,000.00

Race 7 Stakes

Win	3-5	3	Muth	J J Hernandez
Place	12-1	5	De Medici	R Gutierrez
Show	20-1	2	Indispensable	H I Berrios
Wild card	10-1	6	Imagination	K Kimura
Alternate 1	12-1	7	Wynstock	K Frey
Alternate 2	5-1	4	Pony Express	A Fresu

Exacta 3-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
Trifecta 2/3/5 BOX, 2/5/6 BOX
Race #8
Turf 1 1/8 Miles - Post Time: 08:02 PM ET
$300,000.00

Race 8 Stakes

Win	8-5	6	Formidable Man	U Rispoli
Place	8-1	7	Curlins Kaos	D A Herrera
Show	5-2	4	Stay Hot	A Fresu
Wild card	7-2	1	Guy Named Joe	J J Hernandez
Alternate 1	8-1	5	Atitlan	H I Berrios
Alternate 2	12-1	2	Gold Foot	K Frey

Exacta 6-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
Trifecta4 /6/7 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX
Race #9
Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 08:32 PM ET
$50,000.00

Race 9 Maiden Claiming

Win	4-1	10	Last Call Paul	S Gonzalez
Place	5-2	2	Jarama	K Kimura
Show	9-2	8	Artist Point	A Aguilar
Wild card	9-2	1	Bart Sip Some	A Cedillo
Alternate 1	12-1	5	Golden River	K Frey
Alternate 2	20-1	11	Royal Curlin	J Talamo

Exacta 10-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX
Trifecta 2/8/10 BOX, 1/2/8 BOX
Race #10
Turf 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 09:02 PM ET
Best Bet #11 MYSTIC SPIRIT
$76,000.00

Race 10 Allowance Optional Claiming

Win	3-1	11	Mystic Spirit	J J Hernandez
Place	5-1	6	Cathal	H I Berrios
Show	8-1	1	Tejon Pass	U Rispoli
Wild card	8-1	8	Promissio	K Kimura
Alternate 1	9-2	5	Uncle Happy	A Fresu
Alternate 2	20-1	7	Grogu	M Gutierrez

Exacta 11-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX
Trifecta 1/6/11 BOX, 1/6/8 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-01-2024, 07:32 AM

Kentucky Downs Tip Sheet - September 1

Aug. 31, 2024

Race #1
Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 01:25 PM ET
$100,000.00

Race 1 Maiden Special Weight

Win	3-1	1	Mean Eileen	L Dettori
Place	4-1	9	Make a Million	A Concepcion
Show	8-1	10	Its Just a Game	I Moncada
Wild card	8-1	7	Blue Dazzler	L Machado
Alternate 1	10-1	2	Marcinkowski	J L Ortiz
Alternate 2	10-1	4	Global Allure	C A Torres

Exacta 1-9 BOX, 9-10 BOX, 10-7 BOX
Trifecta 1/9/10 BOX, 7/9/10 BOX
Race #2
Turf 7 Furlongs - Post Time: 01:57 PM ET
$170,000.00

Race 2 Maiden Special Weight

Win	8-1	2	Risuko	L Machado
Place	9-2	5	Everybreathyoutake	L Dettori
Show	4-1	10	Correto	J Ruiz
Wild card	6-1	11	Leslies Star	J A Torres
Alternate 1	12-1	15	Rematch	J R Leparoux
Alternate 2	8-1	4	Necessity	F Geroux

Exacta 2-5 BOX, 5-10 BOX, 10-11 BOX
Trifecta 2/5/10 BOX, 5/10/11 BOX
Race #3
Turf 1 1/2 Miles - Post Time: 02:29 PM ET
Best Bet #5 GENEROUS LOVER
$200,000.00

Race 3 Allowance Optional Claiming

Win	5-2	5	Generous Lover	J L Ortiz
Place	6-5	8	Avenue Niel	T Gaffalione
Show	7-2	7	Mirari	L Dettori
Wild card	30-1	6	I Had That One Too	E Morales
Alternate 1	20-1	1	Marias Honor	J R Leparoux
Alternate 2	8-1	3	Embrace Me	C A Torres

Exacta 5-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
Trifecta 5/7/8 BOX, 6/7/8 BOX
Race #4
Turf 6 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:01 PM ET
Best Bet #5 AXTHELM
$210,000.00

Race 4 Allowance Optional Claiming

Win	9-2	5	Axthelm	E J Zayas
Place	8-1	7	Otago	A Beschizza
Show	3-1	2	Ambivalent	J Graham
Wild card	4-1	4	Antares	J L Ortiz
Alternate 1	6-1	9	Step Forward	T Gaffalione
Alternate 2	7-2	3	Judge Davis	V Cheminaud

Exacta 5-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
Trifecta 2/5/7 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX
Race #5
Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 03:34 PM ET
$200,000.00

Race 5 Allowance Optional Claiming

Win	3-1	14	Dominican Pioneer	J R Velazquez
Place	5-2	6	Ocean Atlantique	L Dettori
Show	8-1	12	Fuerteventura	F Geroux
Wild card	12-1	13	Deer District	M Chuan
Alternate 1	5-1	10	Yes This Time	J L Ortiz
Alternate 2	8-1	3	Scoobie Quando	L Machado

Exacta 14-6 BOX, 6-12 BOX, 12-13 BOX
Trifecta 6/12/14 BOX, 6/12/13 BOX
Race #6
Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 04:07 PM ET
$170,000.00

Race 6 Maiden Special Weight

Win	5-2	3	Warlander	J L Ortiz
Place	12-1	8	English Law	L Machado
Show	7-2	4	Shogun	C J Lanerie
Wild card	12-1	15	Academy	J R Velazquez
Alternate 1	15-1	14	Tkac	D Cannon
Alternate 2	5-1	5	Blue Chair Bay	F Geroux

Exacta 3-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX, 4-15 BOX
Trifecta 3/4/8 BOX, 4/8/15 BOX
Race #7
Turf 7 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:42 PM ET
$170,000.00

Race 7 Maiden Special Weight

Win	4-1	14	Novara	T Gaffalione
Place	6-5	4	Satin Blue	T Gaffalione
Show	7-2	16	One Front War	J L Ortiz
Wild card	9-2	9	Miyako	C A Torres
Alternate 1	20-1	11	Stephanieswarrior	R Miranda
Alternate 2	15-1	6	Shezthefactor	J Loveberry

Exacta 14-4 BOX, 4-16 BOX, 16-9 BOX
Trifecta 4/14/16 BOX, 4/9/16 BOX
Race #8
Turf 1 5/16 Miles - Post Time: 05:16 PM ET
$190,000.00

Race 8 Allowance

Win	7-2	2	Common Defense	C J Hernandez
Place	15-1	14	Swore	T Gaffalione
Show	8-1	5	Vesture	J L Ortiz
Wild card	10-1	15	Always Above	T Conner
Alternate 1	15-1	4	Copper Missile	A Beschizza
Alternate 2	20-1	10	Gorilla Trek	A Concepcion

Exacta 2-14 BOX, 14-5 BOX, 5-15 BOX
Trifecta 2/5/14 BOX, 5/14/15 BOX
Race #9
Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 05:50 PM ET
$500,000.00

Race 9 Handicap

Win	9-2	7	Dataman	J Ruiz
Place	5-1	9	Funtastic Again	L Dettori
Show	5-1	11	Webslinger	J L Ortiz
Wild card	6-1	6	Smokin T	J R Velazquez
Alternate 1	10-1	4	Minnesota Ready	E Morales
Alternate 2	20-1	5	Noises Off	C A Torres

Exacta 7-9 BOX, 9-11 BOX, 11-6 BOX
Trifecta 7/9/11 BOX, 6/9/11 BOX
Race #10
Turf 6 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 06:24 PM ET
$1,000,000.00

Race 10 Stakes

Win	5-1	5	Under Whos Radar	J L Ortiz
Place	10-1	11	Bridle a Butterfly	D Van Dyke
Show	9-2	1	Reach for the Rose	T Gaffalione
Wild card	12-1	10	Eighty West	J R Leparoux
Alternate 1	5-2	7	Black Forza	D B McMonagle
Alternate 2	30-1	8	Essay	J A Torres

Exacta 5-11 BOX, 11-1 BOX, 1-10 BOX
Trifecta 1/5/11 BOX, 1/10/11 BOX
Race #11
Turf 1 1/2 Miles - Post Time: 06:56 PM ET
Best Bet #8 THE JACKAL
$170,000.00

Race 11 Maiden Special Weight

Win	7-2	8	The Jackal	J R Velazquez
Place	9-2	7	Padiddle	G Saez
Show	6-1	4	Come to Papa	E J Zayas
Wild card	10-1	5	Cloudy Holiday	T Gaffalione
Alternate 1	6-1	10	Smart Uncle	F Boyce
Alternate 2	20-1	3	The Dover Specter	A Beschizza

Exacta 8-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
Trifecta 4/7/8 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-01-2024, 07:33 AM

Saratoga Tip Sheet - September 1

Aug. 31, 2024

Race #1
Dirt 7 Furlongs - Post Time: 12:05 PM ET
$100,000.00

Race 1 Maiden Special Weight

Win	7-5	8	Hurricane Nelson	M Franco
Place	3-1	4	Cuando	D Davis
Show	12-1	5	Wajda	F Prat
Wild card	9-2	2	Montalcino	I Ortiz Jr.
Alternate 1	8-1	7	Duration	L Saez
Alternate 2	10-1	1	The Golden Gorilla	J Castellano

Exacta 8-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
Trifecta 4/5/8 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX
Race #2
Inner turf 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 12:37 PM ET
$100,000.00

Race 2 Maiden Special Weight

Win	4-1	6	Good Long Cry	M Franco
Place	5-2	14	Margots Angel	J Alvarado
Show	2-1	9	Opulent Restraint	I Ortiz Jr.
Wild card	5-2	2	Love Tempo	F Prat
Alternate 1	8-1	12	Magenta	I Ortiz Jr.
Alternate 2	12-1	10	Hamptons Affair	J Lezcano

Exacta 6-14 BOX, 14-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX
Trifecta 6/9/14 BOX, 2/9/14 BOX
Race #3
Turf 5 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 01:10 PM ET
$110,000.00

Race 3 Allowance

Win	10-1	9	Final Verdict	D Davis
Place	5-2	12	Printrack	L Saez
Show	5-2	3	Yarrow	J Rosario
Wild card	2-1	13	Tivy	J Castellano
Alternate 1	7-2	1	Cigarette Boat	L Saez
Alternate 2	7-2	6	Determined Effort	I Ortiz Jr.

Exacta 9-12 BOX, 12-3 BOX, 3-13 BOX
Trifecta 3/9/12 BOX, 3/12/13 BOX
Race #4
Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 01:43 PM ET
Best Bet #5 CLOUD FOREST
$25,000.00

Race 4 Claiming

Win	3-1	5	Cloud Forest	D Davis
Place	10-1	4	Unclecharliesgift	J Castellano
Show	8-1	1A	Crusading	M Franco
Wild card	5-2	7	Waitlist	I Ortiz Jr.
Alternate 1	15-1	8	Cavendish	R A Vazquez
Alternate 2	6-1	10	Ice Time	E Cancel

Exacta 5-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX
Trifecta 1/4/5 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX
Race #5
Dirt 7 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:17 PM ET
$16,000.00

Race 5 Claiming

Win	9-2	12	Nolo Contesto	J Castellano
Place	6-1	5	Critical Threat	I Ortiz Jr.
Show	15-1	2	Prince James	D Davis
Wild card	6-1	13	Gangly	L R Rivera Jr.
Alternate 1	30-1	10	Sutton Breeze	H K Harkie
Alternate 2	4-1	3	Market Alert	M Franco

Exacta 12-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-13 BOX
Trifecta 2/5/12 BOX, 2/5/13 BOX
Race #6
Turf 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 02:51 PM ET
$40,000.00

Race 6 Maiden Claiming

Win	8-5	11	Adventurous Spirit	R Santana Jr.
Place	6-1	1	Guile	I Ortiz Jr.
Show	9-2	12	Hedge the Risk	F Prat
Wild card	8-1	16	Vincita	R A Vazquez
Alternate 1	6-1	13	Bourbon Outlaw	K Davis
Alternate 2	12-1	9	Get It to Matthew	D Davis

Exacta 11-1 BOX, 1-12 BOX, 12-16 BOX
Trifecta 1/11/12 BOX, 1/12/16 BOX
Race #7
Dirt 7 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:25 PM ET
$100,000.00

Race 7 Maiden Special Weight

Win	7-2	1	Quickick	D Davis
Place	6-1	8	Going Steady	J Rosario
Show	5-2	3	Snowyte	L Saez
Wild card	9-2	2	Scottish Lassie	I Ortiz Jr.
Alternate 1	10-1	7	Endless Vow	R Santana Jr.
Alternate 2	8-1	9	Soothe	J Alvarado

Exacta 1-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
Trifecta 1/3/8 BOX, 2/3/8 BOX
Race #8
Inner turf1 Mile - Post Time: 03:59 PM ET
$115,000.00

Race 8 Allowance Optional Claiming

Win	7-2	3	Paros	I Ortiz Jr.
Place	2-1	13	Classic Legacy	J Alvarado
Show	4-1	10	Capture the Flag	F Prat
Wild card	5-2	12	Mistical Curlin	J Alvarado
Alternate 1	3-1	2	Tidal Forces	J Castellano
Alternate 2	15-1	4	Ever Dangerous	E Cancel

Exacta 3-13 BOX, 13-10 BOX, 10-12 BOX
Trifecta 3/10/13 BOX, 10/12/13 BOX
Race #9
Dirt 7 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:33 PM ET
Best Bet #6 CUPIDS HEART
$115,000.00

Race 9 Allowance Optional Claiming

Win	5-2	6	Cupids Heart	J Castellano
Place	3-1	1	St. Benedicts Prep	J Lezcano
Show	3-1	2	Mighty Madison	I Ortiz Jr.
Wild card	6-1	7	Signal From Noise	J Rosario
Alternate 1	12-1	5	Backyard Money	L Saez
Alternate 2	8-1	4	Ringy Dingy	K Davis

Exacta 6-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX
Trifecta 1/2/6 BOX, 1/2/7 BOX
Race #10
Turf 5 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 05:08 PM ET
Best Bet #1 SCUTTLEBUZZ
$100,000.00

Race 10 Allowance Optional Claiming

Win	5-1	1	Scuttlebuzz	J Lezcano
Place	5-2	2	Run Curtis Run	L Saez
Show	4-1	7	Set	D Davis
Wild card	12-1	5	Russi	J Castellano
Alternate 1	12-1	6	Acoustic Ave	I Ortiz Jr.
Alternate 2	12-1	9	Big Prankster	M Franco

Exacta 1-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX
Trifecta 1/2/7 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX
Race #11
Inner turf 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 05:42 PM ET
$150,000.00

Race 11 Stakes

Win	9-5	5	Running Bee	I Ortiz Jr.
Place	5-2	7	Taking Candy	J Lezcano
Show	9-2	1	Fort Washington	K Carmouche
Wild card	8-1	6	Steady On	F Prat
Alternate 1	1-1	8	Film Star	I Ortiz Jr.
Alternate 2	7-5	9	Phileas Fogg	F Prat

Exacta 5-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
Trifecta 1/5/7 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX
Race #12
Dirt 1 1/4 Miles - Post Time: 06:15 PM ET
$1,000,000.00

Race 12 Stakes

Win	4-5	7	Arthurs Ride	J Alvarado
Place	4-1	1	Tapit Trice	I Ortiz Jr.
Show	10-1	3	Bright Future	J Castellano
Wild card	8-1	4	Disarm	J Rosario
Alternate 1	5-1	6	Highland Falls	F Prat
Alternate 2	8-1	5	Pyrenees	B J Hernandez Jr.

Exacta 7-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
Trifecta 1/3/7 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX
Race #13
Dirt 7 Furlongs - Post Time: 06:48 PM ET
$30,000.00

Race 13 Maiden Claiming

Win	4-1	5	Irie Man	F Prat
Place	2-1	8	Mamas Middie	R Santana Jr.
Show	6-1	10	Burn Rubber	J Lezcano
Wild card	8-1	12	Wild Nugget	J A Gomez
Alternate 1	15-1	11	Ragazzo Diabolico	R R Maragh
Alternate 2	10-1	9	Landauer	R A Vazquez

Exacta 5-8 BOX, 8-10 BOX, 10-12 BOX
Trifecta 5/8/10 BOX, 8/10/12 BOX

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-01-2024, 07:34 AM

Kentucky Downs Hotlist - September 1

Aug. 31, 2024

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
Hot List Key:
A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1st race – (6) Tiger Division never fired in his debut but may respond to more distance here. (1) Mean Eileen may prefer turf. (2) Marcinkowski could be a threat in her debut. (3) Stubby should like some added ground. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-6
3rd race – (8) Avenue Niel missed by a neck and can make amend here. (7) Mirari looks like the one to catch. (5) Generous Lover seeks a fifth straight victory and will be a top contender. (3) Embrace Me looms a late threat. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-5-7-8.
5th race – (1) El Kabong was a fast-closing third last time and could work out a winning trip from the rail. (6) Ocean Atlantique should be the main threat. (10) Yes This Time fits in nicely here. (12) Fuerteventura owns a second over the course and deserves consideration. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-6-10-12.
7th race – (9) Miyako was a good second last time and gets the nod here. (4) Satin Blue was second in her last two starts and can be runner-up once again. (2) Bint Al Dandy could be a factor in her U.S. debut. (1) Ennereilly could be helped by a rail trip. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-4-9.
9th race – (2) Siege of Boston finished second last time and should handle this field. (10) Atone seems to be returning to top form. (11) Webslinger belongs in the exotics in this field. (1) Goliad has speed and the rail and could be tough to catch. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-10-11.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-01-2024, 07:34 AM

Saratoga Hotlist - September 1

Aug. 30, 2024

By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
1^st race [Md Sp Wt, 7F] – (8) Hurricane Nelson ran twice at Saratoga this summer with a pair of seconds after setting the pace. (4) Cuando has five top three finishes on turf and dirt. Three weeks ago he was on the lead and finished second. (7) Duration will make his debut for Chad Brown and Klaravich Stables. (2) Montalcino was an expensive 2-year-old purchase that ships up from Keeneland for his debut.
6^th race [Md 40000, 1 1/16 mi TURF] – (11) Adventurous Spirit returns from a June layoff with four good starts in the past two years for Todd Pletcher. (9) Get It to Matthew has shown early speed and now is listed as a gelding. (4) El Alacran has also shown early speed and has some back class to rely on. (1) Guile was claimed from a third-place finish three weeks ago.
7^th race [Md Sp Wt, 7F] – (7) Endless Vow (B) was second in her debut well clear of the rest if the field despite the jockey losing his crop and now she gets blinkers on. (1) Quickick broke last in her first start and picked up several positions to finish third at 4-1. (8) Going Steady made the expected improvement for a D. Wayne Lukas second-time starter finishing second. (3) Snowyte has fast works showing in preparation for her first race as one that was mentioned as a talented 2-year-old.
12^th race [Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), 1 ? mi] – (1) Tapit Trice won the Blue Grass (G1) last year, was third in the Belmont Stakes (G1) and the Travers, and had an impressive 2024 debut winning the Monmouth Cup (G3) by more than five lengths. (7) Arthur’s Ride romped with front-end efforts in his last two starts including the Whitney (G1) which was run on a slopped and sealed track. (6) Highland Falls was second behind Tapit Trice in the Monmouth and won the Blame (G3) before that for Brad Cox. (5) Pyrennes was last seen in June running second in the Stephen Foster (G1). He won the Pimlico Special (G3) which was his fourth win in a row at the time.
Best bets: Hurricane Nelson (1^st); Adventurous Spirit (6^th). Best value: Endless Vow (7^th); Tapit Trice (12^th).

No.	Name	Letter/ last race	Today's Race	Comments
(13)	Pediatric Princess	D on 8/4	2	Third on Also Eligible list.
(7)	Endless Vow	B on 8/8	7	Second in debut well clear of the rest of the field.