10-22-11

[Mr. IWS]

Today's MLB Picks

St. Louis at Texas

The Cardinals look to bounce back from their Game 2 loss and build on their 12-3 record in their last 15 games as a road underdog. St. Louis is the pick (+165) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+165). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 22 Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST (10/21)

Game 955-956: St. Louis at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lohse) 16.032; Texas (Harrison) 15.711 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Texas (-185); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+165); Under

[Mr. IWS]

Today's NHL Picks

Buffalo at Tampa Bay

The Lightning look to build on their 6-2 record in their last 8 home games. Tampa Bay is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Lightning favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+105). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 22 Time Posted 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: Minnesota at Vancouver (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.873; Vancouver 11.041 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-210); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+180); Under

Game 3-4: Nashville at Calgary (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 9.702; Calgary 11.513 Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-140); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-140); Over

Game 5-6: San Jose at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.416; Boston 11.780 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-135); 5 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135); Over

Game 7-8: Toronto at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 9.698; Montreal 11.426 Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-125); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-125); Under

Game 9-10: Columbus at Ottawa (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 10.298; Ottawa 11.462 Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-145); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-145); Under

Game 11-12: St. Louis at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 12.349; Philadelphia 11.489 Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-175); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+155); Over

Game 13-14: New Jersey at Pittsbugh (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.018; Pittsburgh 11.538 Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-160); 5 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-160); Under

Game 15-16: Detroit at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.334; Washington 12.927 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-145); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-145); Over

Game 17-18: Carolina at Winnipeg (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.674; Winnipeg 9.861 Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 2; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-110); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-110); Under

Game 19-20: Buffalo at Tampa Bay (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.151; Tampa Bay 12.000 Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-125); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+105); Over

Game 21-22: NY Islanders at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 12.055; Florida 10.861 Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-120); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+100); Under

Game 23-24: Colorado at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.784; Chicago 12.701 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-200); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-200); Over

Game 25-26: NY Rangers at Edmonton (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.169; Edmonton 11.653 Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 5 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-125); 5 Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+105); Over

Game 27-28: Dallas at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 12.564; Los Angeles 11.388 Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-180); 5 Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+160); Under

[Mr. IWS]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

737- 543 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Free one Sat: Oklahoma State -7

[Mr. IWS]

Hondo

Hondo threw another splitter last night, cashing with 'Cuse and getting half-pointed with Rutgers to raise the accounts payable to 3,265 bebans.

Today, Mr. Aitch will take another trip down the Parlay Parkway with Virginia, Vandy, Northwestern, USC, Washington and Wisconsin. Twenty units. Also, 20 on the Rangers to make a loser of Lohse.

[Mr. IWS]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Saturday

Tulsa -10.5

[Mr. IWS]

marc lawrence dog of the month MICH ST

[Mr. IWS]

VIP VIHJEET

NHL:
Tampa Bay - Buffalo, UNDER 5.5, Small Bet

[Mr. IWS]

Eddie Roman
10,000 Dime CFB Saturday Two Pack
Wake Forest Demon Deacons -4 over Duke
Over 64.5 Points ECU / Navy

5000 Dime Plays
Houston Cougars -23.5 over Marshall
Washington Huskies +20 over Stanford

[Mr. IWS]

Lem Banker

College Game Of The Year

20* Florida St -18 over Maryland 3:30

10* NC State +5.5 over Virginia 3:30

10* Virginia Tech -21 over Boston College 3:00

10* Washington +21 over Stanford 8:00

10* Michigan St +7.5 over Wisconsin 8:00

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

5 UNIT PLAYS

Arkansas/ Ole Miss over 56.5: After 2 games this year the Arkansas defense had allowed just 10 total points, but that was vs an FCS foe and New Mexico State, but in their last 4 games, against real offenses, they allowed 29.5 ppg. For the year this Arkansas defense is 65th in total defense (390 ypg) and 95th vs the run (189 ypg). The Arkansas defense will not help them win anything, but their offense can more than make up the slack. Arkansas is 23rd in total offense, putting up 466 ypg and 8th in passing with 337 ypg, plus they also check in at 17th in scoring, putting up 39.2 ppg. This is a very strong offense that should have it's way vs a Mississippi defense that is very poor. The Rebel defense comes in 106th overall, allowing 443 ypg and they are 81st in points allowed, giving up 29.2 ppg. Arkansas is not much of a running team, but the Ole Miss defense is 115th vs the run and if Arkansas does get the ground game going it will only open up more throwing lanes for this offense. The Ole Miss offense is one of the worst in the nation, but they have played some tough defenses (Alabama, Georgia, Vandy and BYU) an when they have played a soft defense (Frsno and FCS foe S.Illinois) they did put up 80 points in the 2 games. I clearly expect about 40 from Arkansas in this game, while Ole Miss should be good for at least 21, giving us a solid win on the Over here.

4 UNIT PLAYS

POWER ANGLE PLAY

NOTRE DAME -9.5 over USC: After years of frustration vs the Trojans and many blowout losses, the Irish got their first bit of revenge with a close win last year. Now it's time for this team to payback the Trojan for the many blowout losses, with a blowout win of their own The Irish are rolling right now after a slow start, as they have won 4 in a row, with 3 or the wins being by 18 points or more. he Irish this year are 22nd in total offense (468 ypg) and they have outgained their opponents by 105 ypg on the year. ND puts up 32.3 ppg, but in they come in averaging 48.5 ppg in their last 2 games and have put up 45 ppg in their last 2 games at home this year. Defense used to be a staple of this USC team, but not this year. The USC defense is solid vs the run, but they are 105th vs the pass, allowing 217 ypg. The Irish pass offense, that is 29th in the country should have a big game vs this unit tonight and don't forget about an Irisg ground attack that rushes for 194 ypg. This Irish offense is very balanced and will be tough for USC to stop. The USC Offense is middle of the pack in scoring at 30 ppg, but they are going up against a Notre Dame defense that has been solid this year and plays very well at home. Notre Dame years of abuse from this team and it's about time they payed them back in full. Look for at least a 17 point win by the Irish here. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play against any dog of 3.5 to 10 off 2 straight conference wins, if their win pct is 80% or higher and they are taking on a winning team. This has gone 30-6 the last 5 years.

PURDUE +4 over Illinois: Let's start of with a solid system that favors Purdue. Play ON any team off a conference loss of 7 or more vs an opponent off a Home Fav loss of 10 or more. This system is 41-15 since 1992. Last year Purdue was blast by the Illini, 44-10 and you can expect them to look for some revenge in this one. Purdue has been a decent defensive team this year, allowing 349 ypg, but if ya take out the the game vs the Irish they have allowed just 309 ypg. the Purdue defense is also just 32nd in points allowed at 21 ppg. Illinoi's offense has been good, but they have beat up on some bad defenses as 3 or the last 4 teams they faced had a defense that is currently 77th or worse. That last game in their last 4 was vs a very good defense (Ohio State) and they struggled in that game, putting up juts 7 points and 285 yards. You can bet that Purdue will take a long look at last weeks film an see what Ohio State did right to grab a 211 yards on the ground vs a solid Illini run defense. That is important as Purdue is 24th in the nation in rushing, with 207 ypg. The Purdue defense is very underrated and they should be able to contain this running game of Illinois, while they will look to control the rest of the game with their own ground game. I look for the outright upset here.

3 UNIT PLAYS

Kansas State -10 over KANSAS: Just a total mismatch here. Last week the Jayhawks had a good showing (for a half) vs the Sooners, but they showed how bad they really are once the 2nd half started. The Jayhawks do have a decent offense, putting up 425 ypg and 31.7 ppg, but it has been their horrendous defense that has been this teams downfall this year. The Jayhawk defense ranks dead last overall, allowing 565 ypg and they are next to dead last vs the pass, allowing a whopping 338 ypg, plus they allow 49 ppg, which is also dead last in the Nation. This is one hugely bad defense. The Jayhawk offense isn't spectacular at 94th in the nation, but they do score 29.3 ppg and they are 25th in the nation in rushing, putting up 206 ypg on the ground. That strong ground game will be going up against a defense that has allowed 227 ypg (116th) on the ground this year and they are dead last in rushing ypa, allowing a whopping 6.8 ypa. The KSU defense has no such problems, as they come in ranked 37th overall (345 ypg) and 21st in points allowed (19.5). They can struggle abit vs the pass, but Kansas is not really a passing team at 73rd in the country.Last year KSU put a 52 point whipping on the Jayhawks and this years KSU team is better than last years team, while the Jayhawks are much, much worse than last years edition.

ALABAMA -29.5 over Tennessee: With Tyler Bray behind center the Vols may have had a shot at keeping this one close, but with Matt Simms back there they have no shot. Bray hit 66% of his passes and had 14 TD's to just 2 INT's, but in limited duty so far for Simms he has hit just 39.3 % of his passes and has 2 INT's and no TD's. Now this Tennessee offense must face the number 1 ranked defense in the nation. Alabama has allowed just 184 ypg overall, 38.1 ypg rushing and just 7 ppg. All number 1 rankings. Now on offense this Alabama isn't to shabby either as they are 24th in total offense (460 ypg), 12th in rushing (241 ypg) and 14th in scoring (39.7 ppg). The Tennessee offense overall is 72rd in the nation, averaging 383 ypg and they are 63rd in scoring at 28.3 ppg, but they will not look like a 23rd rated passing offense with Simms be hind center. I really don't know how the Vols will be able to move the ball. They won't be able to pass and their rushing offense is 114th and going up against a team that allows just 38.1 ypg on the ground. The Vols defense may play respectable for a little bit, but this Bama offense will wear them down in the second half. The top teams in the country have been running up the scores and I expect no different from a Bama that has been outscoring their opponents by 33 ppg on the year. Alabama will be fully focused as they win this one by at least 5 TD's.

MICHIGAN STATE +7 over Wisconsin: Back in the Summer I took a bit of flack for my choice of Michigan State to win their division in the Big 10 and for them to get over 7.5 wins for the year. Well this team is on pace to do both and i won't back down from them here. Sure Wisconsin is a very good team and they are 6-0 on the year, but the only real team they have beaten this year is Nebraska, plus this is their first true road game of the year. Yes they won by 31 over Nebraska, but as we have seen this year Nebraska has struggled on the defensive side and the defense they will be facing today has not struggled at all. The Spartans check in with the 2nd ranked defense overall, allowing just 186.2 ppg and 10.8 ppg, which is 4th. Last week this defense held a strong Michigan offense to just 250 yards and 14 points and for the 2nd week in a row they will be taking on a mobile QB. They stopped Denard last week and should be able to stop Wilson this week. The State offense is not spectacular, but they do enough to win and they don't beat themselves. They will be facing a Wisconsin defense that is 7th overall and 3rd in points allowed. The Badgers are the top scoring team in the Nation, but the top defense they played was Nebraska and they are 67 in points allowed, while the next best defense they played was Oregon State, and they are 97th in points allowed. This is by far the best defense the Badgers will play all year and I see them having problems tonight. Michigan State is winning with an Old School Big 10 formula... Run the ball and defense. Wisconsin hasn't really been tested yet and I see that hurting them here in this very hostile environment. Look for Sparty to win outright. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play on any home dogs after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less TO's vs an opponent that force 3 or more TO's in BB games. This has gone 36-9 the last 10 years.

2 UNIT PLAYS

HOUSTON -23.5 over Marshall: Boy what a healthy Case Keenum will do to a team. Last year the Cougars did put up 38 ppg and 480 ypg even with Keenum being out the last 9 games, but this year he has been fully healthy and this team has put up 47 ppg and a whopping 603 ypg. Last year tghey had good numbers, but they have been so much better this year with a healthy Keenum. Houston is 1st in the nation in passing, at 434 ypg and they will be taking on a Marshall pass defense that is poor, allowing 230 ypg (73rd). Houston is also 8th in passing yards per attempt (8.8), while Marshall is 66th in ypa allowed at 7.4. The Houston defense hasn't been that strong this year, but then again they won't have to be in this one as the Marshall offense checks in at 114th overall (280 ypg) and 116th in scoring at 14.7 ppg. Marshall may be 2-1 in Conf USA East, but they just do not have enough offense to stay with a Houston team that has scored a whopping 105 points in their first 2 Conference games this year. KEY TRENDS--- Marshall is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a Bye week, while Houston is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or higher.

MISSOURI +6.5 over Oklahoma State: Granted the Cowboys have one of the best offenses around, but this team can't stop anyone. The Cowboys come in ranked 99th in total defense (427 ypg) and 95th vs the pass (250 ypg). Bad numbers indeed. Now they must face the Missouri offense that is 13th overall (496.2 ypg) and 34th in passing (260 ypg). Missouri is also 13th in rushing at 237 ypg and 5.5 ypc, while OSU has allowed 177 ypg on the ground and 4.5 ypc. The Missouri ground game should really take over here and that will help them control the game and keep this powerful OSU offense off the field. I also look for that ground game to wear down this OSU defense that already spends too much time on the field, cause their offense scores so quickly. Both teams can score a lot of points, but only one team can play defense and that team is at home, getting points. Take the HD here.

1 UNIT PLAYS

Air Force +29 over BOISE STATE: Boise has been crushing opponents of late and Air Force did allow ND 59 points last week, but the Falcon defense is better than that and their Option offense did torch a very good ND run defense for 363 yards on the ground. The Falcon option should be able to limit the amount of series' the Broncos will get, plus they should put enough points on the board to sneak in under this big number.

MIAMI -2.5 over Georgia Tech: Home teams with a line of +3 to -3 off a conference win of 7 or less and they are playing on a Saturday are 35-11 ATS the last 5 years. The Tech offense put up incredible #'s in the first 3 weeks of the year, but that was vs an FCS team and two of the worst defenses in the nation. The last 4 weeks has seen their offense production go down each week and this week they will face a Miami defense that allows just 23.7 ppg. Look for a 7 point win by the Canes here.

[timbob]

GREAT LAKES SPORTS

College Football Selections:

5* (389) Wisconsin Badgers 8:00est
4* (363) Kansas State Wildcats 12:00est
4* (381) USC Trojans 7:30est
3* (344) Vanderbilt Commodores 7:00est
3* (385) Washington Huskies 8:00est

Major League Baseball Selection:

4* (956) Texas Rangers (with Harrison) 8:05est

[timbob]

Jack Jones

25* SEC GAME OF THE YEAR on Auburn +21.5

15* Big Ten TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Illinois/Purdue OVER 47

15* Big 12 TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Kansas State/Kansas UNDER 63

15* Wisconsin/Michigan State ESPN Saturday No-Brainer on Michigan State +8.5

15* OSU/WSU Saturday Night BAILOUT on Washington State -3

[timbob]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Saturday



4* Best Bet = TEXAS A&M

3* = NORTHWESTERN

3* = ALABAMA

2* = NEVADA

2* = NOTRE DAME

[timbob]

Don Wallace Sports

Purdue +6.5
NC State +6
Oregon State +4.5
Georgia Tech +3
Air Force +30

[timbob]

Trace Adams
Saturday's Selections ...
For Saturday in college football, 1500♦ Absolute Blowout is the Nevada Wolf Pack as the home favcrite againsst the Fresno State Bulldogs.
500♦ Pac 12 Bonus Best Bet on Washington as the road undtrdog at Stanford.