Saturday 9/14/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 16966

    #16

    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Emerald Downs

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.



    Race 6 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9500 Class Rating: 82

    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2024 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 3 VILIFIED 2/1
    # 5 LAURA'S KIDOUGH 8/5
    # 6 NIGHT TO REMEMBER 9/2
    VILIFIED is the best bet in this race. Might see a different equine here with the blinkers change. Looks solid to be close to the front end at the first call. Could beat this group of horses given the 77 speed figure earned in his last outing. LAURA'S KIDOUGH - Has been racing in the most competitive company of the group recently. Could provide positive returns based on respectable recent Equibase Speed Figs with an average of 82. NIGHT TO REMEMBER - With a solid 73 speed figure last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this contest. Is a strong contender based on numbers put up as of late under today's conditions.

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 16966

      #17

      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts






      Remington Park - Race #5 - Post: 8:26pm - Starter Allowance - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 94

      Rating:

      #6 ABSOLUTE CHAOS (ML=4/1)
      #2 CLAY'S BLACK OPAL (ML=2/1)
      #4 TIGER DAD (ML=3/1)


      ABSOLUTE CHAOS - This gelding is in good physical condition, having run a good race on Aug 17th, finishing second. Don't often see a favorable ROI like +63. This jockey/handler twosome has done well together over the last twelve months. Horse has improved at least two speed fig points in last two races. I look for that to continue in this event. CLAY'S BLACK OPAL - Have to give this gelding a chance. Ran a strong effort last out within the last month. Sprinters that come back to the races quickly are generally good plays. The last speed rating of 95 is the highest last race speed fig in the field. Gelding took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. TIGER DAD - This gelding is in nice form. Ended up second on August 24th. Jockey jumped on this gelding's back for the first try on August 24th. Should know the animal even better this time. Earnings per start (EPS) is something that I think can be a very valuable selection factor. This animal is ranked number 1 in this group.

      Vulnerable Contenders: #3 SHADOWLESS (ML=9/2), #1 LAPIS LAZULI (ML=5/1), #5 TEE BURNS (ML=6/1),

      SHADOWLESS - Today's event is 6 furlongs. Hasn't finished in the money in a sprint clash in the last sixty days. Not the greatest of signals. LAPIS LAZULI - 5/1 is not offering enough value for any thoroughbred in a sprint of 6 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a short distance event of late. TEE BURNS - Going to have a hard go of it with all the other front-runners in this race.
      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #6 ABSOLUTE CHAOS to win if you can get at least 7/2 odds
      EXACTA WAGERS: None
      TRIFECTA WAGERS: Box [2,4,6] Total Cost: $6
      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 16966

        #18
        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts






        Belmont at the Big A - Race #2 - Post: 1:05pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $45,000 Class Rating: 62

        Rating:

        #7 CHASING COLTON (ML=3/1)


        CHASING COLTON - Last workout was the second fastest of the day. Certainly on edge for a good one today. Last race was at Saratoga in a race with a class figure of 77. Dropping considerably in class rating in today's event puts him in a solid position right here. I like this colt. Has the top (EPS) earnings per start in this event.

        Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SCHEDULING DUDE (ML=5/2), #6 SARATOGA WARRIOR (ML=3/1), #3 PANDEMIC HERO (ML=9/2),

        SCHEDULING DUDE - This pony didn't go to the front end and didn't close ground in the stretch last time he ran. The Brain tells me to keep away from horses in sprint contests that haven't hit the board in short distance contests of late. This horse ran a pedestrian speed rating last race out. He shouldn't run much better and will likely get beat today running that number. SARATOGA WARRIOR - 3/1 is not priced right for any animal in a sprint of 6 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a sprint event lately. The speed rating last time out doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's race. Mark this entrant as a vulnerable contender. PANDEMIC HERO - This gelding gave a less than rousing performance last time out. In any contest of 6 furlongs, I like to bet on a contender that has been sharp in sprint contests of late. When looking at today's Equibase class figure, he will have to register a better speed fig than last time out to compete in this dirt sprint.
        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #7 CHASING COLTON to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
        EXACTA WAGERS: 7 with [1,8]
        TRIFECTA WAGERS: Skip

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 16966

          #19
          Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Flamboro Downs

          Always check program numbers.
          Odds shown are morning line odds.

          Race 1 - Post: 6:35 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 70 - Purse:$4800 - HORSES & GELDINGS - CLAIMING $8000.
          CONSORTIUM CHOICES
          # 5 ARTISTIC PICK 2/1
          # 7 GO NINE O 9/2
          # 1 JAKE LOEWEN 7/2
          Look no further than ARTISTIC PICK as the wager for this race. Been performing with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class edge. (Average Rating 70). Could best this group, just look at the TrackMaster Speed Rating - 67 - from his last outing. The driver Macdonald has a special way with this gelding, regularly cashing in their gatherings. GO NINE O - Take a look at this contender's average speed figure of 71 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a competitive wager. Seems to have a competitive class advantage based on the competition he has raced against. JAKE LOEWEN - Worth considering here given the ratings in the speed figure department alone.

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 16966

            #20
            Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Saratoga Harness
            P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
            RACE 2
            1 1 OREGON TRAIL 6/5 Cushing, Mitchell - 12 530.02
            4 4 AMERICAN REBEL 6/1 Long, Chris - 10 468.07
            6 6 NO ORDINARY MAN 8/1 Beckwith, Brett - 23 458.03
            2 2 DREAMSCAPE AFS 10/1 Athearn, Matthew - 13 454.64
            7 7 CAN'T SWAY ME 15/1 Devaux, Jim - 14 453.28
            3 3 POSH ONTHE BEACH A 4/1 Hennessey, Wally - 21 451.98
            5 5 OUTCRY 12/1 Sowers, Mcgwire - 6 425.99

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 16966

              #21
              Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at The Meadows

              Always check program numbers.
              Odds shown are morning line odds.

              Race 1 - Post: 12:45 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 64 - Purse:$9000 - CD 2-6YO NW 1 EXT PM OR $8500 LIFE
              CONSORTIUM CHOICES
              # 2 LEADS THE WAY 3/1
              # 4 GONNABELEGENDARY 5/2
              # 5 CAPTAIN MAVERICK 2/1
              LEADS THE WAY will not be denied the score here. Overall ratings appear really good. Can't throw out at this point. This standardbred looks very good. Take a good look at the 63 average speed rating. This race horse achieved a formidable speed fig in last race. Looks to be in top form to come right back. GONNABELEGENDARY - Drawing the 4 hole at this track has lead to an above average win clip. If performance in the last race is any indicator, this horse will have a very good shot this time. High last race TrackMaster Speed Rating. CAPTAIN MAVERICK - Can't forget based on speed ratings which have been fantastic (65 avg) these days. The 67 avg class stat may give this gelding a distinct edge in the group of animals.

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 16966

                #22
                Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Woodbine Mohawk Park
                P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                RACE 12
                3 3 ORDER ONE TO GO 7/2 Roy, Louis-Philippe - 17 591.51
                6 6 BAYFIELD BEACH 8/1 Henry, Trevor S - 10 577.81
                7 7 LARRY KARR 10/1 Macdonald, James A - 22 562.37
                5 5 WOODMERE FENN 15/1 Hudon, Phillippe - 5 562.06
                4 4 DREAMFAIR ARNIE B 3/1 Drury, Jonathan L - 7 562.01
                10 10 DUPREE HANOVER 10/1 Mcnair, Douglas R - 17 554.18
                2 2 REIGN SUPREME 15/1 Mcclure, Bob - 13 549.50
                1 1 COLD CREEK QUESO 5/1 Filion, Sylvain R - 13 542.75
                9 9 ROLL WITH THE FLOW 6/1 Borth, Tyler J - 9 533.81
                8 8 CODE CRACKER 9/2 Cullen, Travis A - 11 528.62

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 16966

                  #23
                  Free play from Mike Wynn
                  Free Pick: Iowa -23 over Troy

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                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 16966

                    #24
                    Free play from Totals4U


                    Early Saturday's Free Selection: Washington State/Washington under 54
                    zz0.zd3ip6dfxe9zz

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                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 16966

                      #25
                      Free play from #1 Sports


                      Early Saturday's Free Play: Buffalo Bulls - 4

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                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 16966

                        #26
                        Free play from Easy Money Sports


                        Free Early Saturday Football Selection From Lee
                        TEMPLE +17.5

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                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 16966

                          #27
                          Free play from Huddle Up Sports


                          Saturday Free Play:
                          Notre Dame -7

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                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 16966

                            #28
                            Free play from Teyas Sports


                            FREE PLAY 9/14/24 CFB BOSTON COLLEGE UNDER 52

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                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 16966

                              #29
                              Free play from John Anthony Sports


                              John Anthony's Free Selection for SATURDAY: Take the BUFFALO BULLS (MAC, NCAAF)

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                              • ConleyPicks
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2020
                                • 16966

                                #30
                                Free play from Platinum Plays


                                Your Free Pick: the Middle Tennessee St Blue Raiders +7 over Western Kentucky

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