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Saturday 9/14/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
The Comp play for Saturday is on Miami Oho plus the 3-4 points at noon Plus the bonus under Miami Ohio has early rest here after taking northwestern to the wire on the road in their opener. They are 5-0 in home openers and we note that Home teams off a bye on non conference games that scored less than 14 points and are not laying 16+ points are a perfect 5-0 to the spread long term in early season games. Cincy has a solid offense but they are awful on defense and while they have revenge for a home favored loss last year which snapped their 16 game series win streak we think they wont get the cover here as road favorites of 4 or less that have home favored loss revenge as a favorite of 12 or more last year are 1-6 straight up since 1994 vs a team off a road loss. Make it Miami Ohio plus the points. Dont miss the monster card going up with the 2024 non. conf. TOTAL OF THE YEAR, EXECUTIVE LEVEL TIER 1 and 3 more best bests along with MLB and more. For the Comp play. Take the points wit MIAMI O- Rob V
The Key: The Texas Tech Red Raiders are dealing with as many injuries as any team in the country right now. That largely explains their awful start to the season. They were fortunate to beat Abilene Christian 52-51 (OT) as 31.5-point home favorites. And they were blasted 37-16 by Washington State as 2.5-point road favorites last week. The Red Raiders are on upset alert again this week against a North Texas team that will be looking forward to this opportunity to face a Big 12 foe from their same state. The Mean Green went on the road and upset South Alabama 52-38 in their opener and followed it up with a 35-20 home win over Stephen F. Austin. This Mean Green offense is loaded averaging 527 YPG and 6.9 YPP this year behind TCU transfer Chandler Morries at QB. Morris has already thrown for 737 yards and 7 TD while also rushing for 2 TD in 2 games. He will light up this leaky, banged up Texas Tech defense and keep the Mean Green in this game for 4 quarters. Take North Texas.
We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line seems off when you consider how dominant the Alabama Crimson Tide have looked in their two games while the Wisconsin Badgers have been unimpressive in their two victories. This is a huge step up in competition from what the Badgers have seen so far, and our numbers say it's too big of a step for them to deal with successfully.
This is a 1% play on the Alabama Crimson Tide on the spread (-16) -109
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