Saturday 9/28/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 16966

    #61
    ProSportsPicks

    PSP Data Driven 1* Free Pick: Royals/Braves Under 7.5 -105

    At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind.
    Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

    Our models suggest that the value is on the Under. The Under is 4-1 in Kansas City's last 5 games. The Under is 15-4 in Atlanta's last 19 games at home.

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    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 16966

      #62
      Alex Smart

      Alabama has not been a underdog at home for a 114 games, dating back to 2007 season. The underdog has been money in the bank in the Georgia-Alabama games. Chalk is 3-9 ATS over the last 12 games of the series and the Tide have covered the L/3 in this series.going into this matchup Alabama is the much healthier team and playing here at home have an edge. Georgias offense has also been less than inspiring as is evident by not scoring a touchdown in the first half of two of their first three games, and put just 13 points on the board last time out vs Kentucky. Of the course the national champs deserve respect but Im betting the home side has the slight edge.

      Georgia in September games are 0-6 ATS dating back to the 2023 season. Georgia after allowing 14 points or less last game. are 0-6 ATS dating back to last season.

      CFB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 - dominant team - outscoring opponents by 17 or more points/game, after 2 straight wins by 17 or more points are 37-12 ATS dating back to the 1992 season.

      Alabama to cover+2 -109

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      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 16966

        #63
        Sean Murphy

        Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on Memphis minus the points (-26 -107) over Middle Tennessee State at 7:30 pm et on Saturday.

        Memphis has fallen out of favor with bettors after last week's loss at Navy. That was an awful spot for the Tigers as they were coming off an upset win of their own over Florida State the week previous. Navy is probably a little better than most expected and the fact is Memphis still has a clear path in front of it to potentially run the table the rest of the way. We'll lay the points with the Tigers on Saturday as they host a 1-3 Middle Tennessee State team that's only victory came against FCS squad Tennessee Tech. The Blue Raiders are rebuilding and haven't been competitive in losses to Ole Miss (52-3), Western Kentucky (49-21) and Duke (45-17). Note that Memphis is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 home games following an upset loss against a conference opponent, as is the case here. Meanwhile, MTSU is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 road games against an opponent with a positive turnover margin. Take Memphis.

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        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 16966

          #64
          Ricky Tran

          Ricky's 1* play on Over 10.5 -128 Dodgers/Rockies

          Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

          - The Over is 10-3 in LA Dodgers' last 13 games.

          - The Over is 6-2 in Colorado's last 8 games against LA Dodgers.

          - The Over is 7-0 in LA Dodgers' last 7 games on the road.

          Verdict: We should see plenty of runs in this game.​

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 16966

            #65
            Timothy Black

            1* Best Bet on Rangers/Angels under 8.5 -115

            No analysis provided.

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 16966

              #66
              Nick Parsons

              This is a FREE PLAY on Arizona+13 -115

              Arizona is off the 31-7 loss to K-State last weekend, and it's failed to cover the spread in all three of its games so far this year.

              Utah is now 4-0 after last week's 22-19 victory at Oklahoma State as a 1-point favorite.

              These Big 12 opponents are familiar with each other. Arizona beat Utah 42-18 at home last season.

              Noah Fifita struggled against K-State, but look for him to move the ball against a Utes' defense that just conceded 19 points to Oklahoma State.

              No outright, but much closer than expected in my opinion. Consider ARIZONA this weekend.

              Good luck, NP

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 16966

                #67
                Steve Janus

                1* Free Sharp Play on Vancouver Whitecaps+100

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