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Sunday 10/20/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
The Green Bay Packers are hitting on all cylinders offensively with Jordan Love back fully healthy and with his full compliment of weapons. The Packers have five offensive players on the injury report but all five practiced on Thursday, which is a good sign they are good to go.
The Packers scored 29 points on the Vikings, 24 on the Rams and then 34 on the Cardinals last week in Love's three starts back from injury. They racked up 437 total yards on the Cardinals last week. Love threw for 258 yards and 4 touchdowns. This is one of the best offenses in the league when fully healthy.
The Texans allowed Drake Maye to throw 3 touchdown passes on them in his first career start last week. Their defense is extremely banged up right now with five starters missing practice both Wednesday and Thursday in DT Fatukasi, LB Al-Shaair, LB To'oto'o, S Ward and CB Lassiter. Plus, DT Mario Edwards was just suspended and will miss this game. The Packers should be able to name their number Sunday.
But the Texans are having no problems scoring points themselves as they racked up 41 on the Patriots last week. Joe Mixon returned to the lineup and he makes all the difference for their offense. Mixon accounted for for 132 yards from scrimmage and 2 TD on only 16 touches. They are without Nico Collins, but CJ Stroud has ample weapons in Diggs, Dell & Schultz to try and match Green Bay score for score.
Against the two best offenses the Packers have faced they allowed 34 points to the Eagles and 31 to the Vikings. The Cardinals would have scored a lot more points last week had they not kept turning it over with three fumbles lost, including a couple deep in Green Bay territory. The Texans are in the same class as the Vikings and Eagles. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.
We really like the over in this matchup. This line is highly influenced by the Vikings impressive run defense which will negate much of the Lions' strength, but Detroit scored 30 points in both meetings last season and our opinion is that this line is off.
This is a 1% free play on the over Lions/Vikings 50.5
Sunday’s FREE WINNER: Indianapolis Colts on the moneyline (-160)
Game 462.
10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.
The Miami Dolphins are a trainwreck. They got their first win since the season-opener back in the first week of September, taking down the New England Patriots on the road last week, 15-10. But let's be honest my friends, the Patriots are just 1-5 this season, and possess one of the worst offenses in football. The Dolphins must now face the Indianapolis Colts, which have started to heat up, winning three of the last four straight up, and covering four in a row. As a matter fact, they have covered all three games played at home this season at Lucas Oil Stadium. With the expected return of Anthony Richardson (check status), I see this team taking their game to another level here against an overmatched and outclassed visitor. Let's face it, the Dolphins rank dead last in the NFL in scoring, averaging just 12.0-points per game. I just don't see them competing here at all. Taking Indianapolis. Thank you.
As long as the Titans foolishly stick with Will Levis, who has bust written all over him, they can't be trusted. But now word comes down that Levis won't play due to a shoulder injury. That means the Titans get a quarterback upgrade with the switch to veteran Mason Rudolph. He's nothing special, but he won't commit the foolish turnovers that Levis has become infamous for doing.
The 4-2 Bills expanded their AFC East Division lead with a big win against the Jets this past Monday night. This marks Buffalo's first home game in four weeks. It's a clear letdown spot for the Bills.
Buffalo is down from past seasons both defensively, because of multiple injuries, and offensively not nearly as explosive as before. In addition, the Bills' normally reliable kicker, Tyler Bass, is having a bad season. He's missed three field goals and two extra points.
The Titans, of course, have to do their part to keep this game close. Tennessee has one of the more underrated defenses in the league. Bet you didn't know the Titans rank first in giving up the fewest yards per game at 248.8. Tennessee also has the top pass defense.
The Titans' young offensive line is improving, not giving up a sack in last week's loss to the Colts. Tony Pollard is running much better than last season now that he's two years removed from injury and the Titans have three dependable veteran wide receivers.
Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on Miami plus the points (+3 @ -105) over Indianapolis at 1 pm et on Sunday.
The Colts are coming off a physically and emotionally draining two-game divisional road trip that saw them go 1-1 SU and 1-0-1 ATS against the Jaguars and Titans. Somewhat miraculously, Indianapolis is off to a 3-3 start and finds itself in the thick of the AFC Wild Card hunt (Houston appears poised to run away with the AFC South). Not for long, at least in my opinion. While Indy was battling Tennessee on the road last Sunday, Miami was sitting at home. The Dolphins pulled out a critical road win over the Patriots last time out and will look to build on that performance here before QB Tua Tagovailoa likely returns in the next week or two. While it might be a stretch to say that this is a legacy game for Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel, it's certainly close. He's had an extra week to craft an offensive gameplan to attack a beatable Colts defense. With speed to burn, this projects as a favorable matchup for the Miami offense on the fast track at Lucas Oil Stadium. Defensively, Miami should get an opportunity to tee off on Colts inconsistent QB Anthony Richardson as he's expected to return to the starting role. Take Miami.
I'm betting on the OVER 51 in Sunday's NFC matchup between the Falcons and Seahawks. These two teams should have no problem putting points on the scoreboard. It took a little bit for Kirk Cousin and the Atlanta offense to find its footing, but they have been moving the ball at will over the last few weeks. Falcons are scoring 33.3 ppg over their last 3. Each of those games have seen a combined score of 50 or more. Seattle's defense looked good the first 3 weeks of the season, but that was against 3 bad offenses in the Broncos, Patriots and Dolphins (w/o Tua). In their last 3 games they have allowed 42 to the Lions, 29 to the Giants and 36 to the 49ers. Should have no problem getting 30+ here from the Falcons and I like the Seahawks to keep this close, making this an easy play for me. Give me the OVER 51!
The Detroit Lions are basically down their top four pass rushers coming into the season after losing Aidan Hutchinson to a season-ending injury last week against the Cowboys. They are going to be forced to try and win shootouts in the meantime, and they have the offense to do it. They rank 1st in scoring at 30.2 points per game and 3rd in total offense at 416.0 yards per game. The Minnesota Vikings are 5-0 this season in large part due to an improved offense that ranks 6th in scoring at 27.8 points per game. Aaron Jones and TJ Hockenson both practiced this week and could return from injury to make them even more potent. Jared Goff ate up Minnesota's defense last season and thrived against Brian Flores' heavy blitzing scheme. The Lions scored 30 points in both matchups and now have scored 30-plus in 3 consecutive meetings with the Vikings. This game just
The Browns will get a huge boost on Sunday with the return of Nick Chubb. They’re worth a move as they are going to come out with some inspired play. Nick Chubb is the heart and sole of this team and after two major knee surgeries, he’s set to return to a home stadium that will be rocking for him on Sunday. Cleveland has always had Burrow’s number as well. Cincinnati has had so many issues when playing Cleveland in the past seasons. The Browns are a struggle right now, but they can find some offensive success against this Bengals’ defense that has been atrocious all season long. This is going to be a spot where they can keep things close and they’ll have chances to put the ball in the end zone. With Cooper gone, this could be a chance to spark some things with the pass game as it seemed like he was a distraction. Grab the Browns. My daily free plays are meant to be 5* bankroll plays. Remember folks, money management is the key to profits when it comes to sports gambling. Strong lean on the BROWNS ATS SUNDAY. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.
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