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Sunday 10/20/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
At 4 eastern the NFL Comp play is on Carolina+10 -120. Hold your nose here and take the 9-10 points as we see that home favorites or more than 7 are just 1-9 to the spread off a road dog loss allowing 30 or more if they win the prior game and are in Non Division games against .333 or less teams that are off a home loss. Washington likely wins here but may be a bit flat off the Ravens loss and we may see an improvement from a Carolina team off back to back blowout losses. Look for the Panthers to hang around for the cover. Rob V-
SU:10-0
ATS: 1-9-0
Oct 20, 2024 Sun 2024 Commanders Panthers home- +9.5
Oct 04, 2020Sun42020RamsGiantshome17-96&6-12488-4-22-13-9WLU0
Oct 15, 2018Mon62018PackersFortyninershome33-307&7-9.5463-6.5175.2511.75WLO0
The Key: The Chiefs and 49ers are clearly very familiar with one another having played in 2 Super Bowls recently. The Chiefs won 25-22 (OT) last year in a game that was tied 19-19 at the end of regulation. The 49ers definitely don't have as many weapons available on offense as they had in that Super Bowl, and the Chiefs are down Rashee Rice and Isaiah Pacheco from their team due to injury. Both teams are relying a lot on defense this year. The 49ers are 12th in scoring (21.7 PPG) and 11th in total defense (316.2 YPG) this year. The Chiefs are 6th in scoring (17.0 PPG) and 9th in total defense (305.4 YPG) this year. The Chiefs haven't faced a defense as good as the 49ers outside of perhaps the Chargers, who held them to 17 points in a 17-10 defeat. The 49ers haven't faced many good defenses this year either outside of maybe the Vikings, who held them to 17 points. Nothing will come easy for either offense especially with both defenses having extra time to prepare with the Chiefs off their bye week, and the 49ers getting a mini bye week after playing last Thursday. Take the UNDER.
The Kansas City Chiefs have started a perfect 5-0, though they haven't been as dominant as one would think by looking at the record alone. Four of their five games were decided by one score, with the defense doing most of the heavy lifting.
Meanwhile, the San Francisco 49ers are only 3-3 despite having the NFL's second-best total offense (420 ypg). They've had issues solving the Chiefs D in recent seasons though, and with the Chiefs' offense struggling to find its rhythm, I anticipate a relatively low-scoring game.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- The Over is 5-0 in Colorado's last 5 games.
- The Over is 10-5 in San Jose's last 15 games against an opponent in the Central Division.
- The Over is 10-0 in Colorado's last 10 games on the road.
Verdict: We should see plenty of Goals in this game.
At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.
Our models suggest that the value is on the underdog. Sean Manaea is 7-2 in his last 9 starts for the Mets. Sean Manaea is 6-3 in his last 9 starts on the road for the Mets.
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