Saturday 11/2/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358413

    #16

    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Churchill Downs

    PURCHASE
    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.



    Race 10 - Stakes - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $300000 Class Rating: 110

    BET ON SUNSHINE S. - FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD.
    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 8 CHAMPLIN 7/2
    # 5 GULFPORT 12/1
    # 4 HAPPY IS A CHOICE 3/1
    I've got to go with CHAMPLIN. This one has been consistently racing well as of late. Very good gamble today now going off Lasix. Ought to come out very strong - I have liked the way this gelding has moved rapidly to the front end recently. GULFPORT - This colt has to be given a chance just off the earnings per start in dirt sprint contests alone. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Asmussen have shown strong results lately. HAPPY IS A CHOICE - Lately Ortiz has provided gamblers with a quite good winning percentage with horses racing in dirt sprint races. Is a solid choice - given the 111 speed rating from his most recent race.
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    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 16966

      #17
      Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Flamboro Downs
      P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
      RACE 8
      1 1 TYMAL RIGGS 2/1 Henry, Travis J - 17 487.02
      4 4 TUSCAN PRINCE 4/1 Mackenzie, Paul G - 6 475.95
      5 5 COOL CLIFFORD 9/2 Thiessen, Daryl - 12 471.61
      3 3 DELGADO 7/2 Kelly, Colin - 14 466.09
      2 2 RUN LIKE HILL 3/1 Fillion, Samuel - 15 440.13
      6 6 STAR HAIRDRESSER 6/1 Sorrie, Austin - 17 404.77
      7 7 PETER CROWN 8/1 Coulter, Scott - 18 364.16

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 16966

        #18
        Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at North Side Downs

        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.

        Race 4 - Post: 2:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 63 - Purse:$1125 - NON WINNERS $601 L5
        CONSORTIUM CHOICES
        # 3 HIGH PRAISE 3/1
        # 10 DIRTY BOBBY N/A
        # 1 NICE JIMPANTS 7/2
        If you want a very nice play in this contest, feast your eyes on HIGH PRAISE. Can't pass over based on TrackMaster Speed Ratings which have been outstanding (72 avg) lately. Most likely the class of the pack with an average rating of 73. A nice selection. When starting from the 3 position, a better than expected win percentage has resulted. DIRTY BOBBY - He's doing work in good form, recording very promising TrackMaster Speed Ratings. An excellent pick. Very nice driver-conditioner, winning 25 percent of the time. Looks to be a solid wager. NICE JIMPANTS - Fantastic driver Lynk should find the pace of today's race to this mare's liking - could be a good wager. Starters win from this hole at North Side Downs with better than average regularity, suggesting this terrific wager.

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 16966

          #19
          Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Meadowlands

          Always check program numbers.
          Odds shown are morning line odds.

          Race 14 - Post: 11:45 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 80 - Purse:$20000 - KINDERGARTEN SERIES 2 YEAR OLD COLTS & GELDINGS - 5TH LEG
          CONSORTIUM CHOICES
          # 2 SAFE TALK 10/1
          # 1 UNO 12/1
          # 4 PORTOBAROSSO AS NL 4/1
          SAFE TALK will not be denied the victory in this contest and the morning line makes this a dynamite value wager. If effort in the last race is any indication, this harness racer will have a very really strong shot here. High last race speed rating. This horse and Bongiorno have some sort of connection going. In the money percentage for this combo is high. UNO - Has the perfect running style to dominate this bunch, according to the pace markings. Don't pass over a horse with these connections. Driver/trainer numbers are looking competitive. PORTOBAROSSO AS NL - It's a bit chancy to consider on class alone, but this colt has among the strongest class figures of the pack. The handicapping group keenly points out that when Miller trains this horse, the odds of finishing in the top three go way up.

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 16966

            #20
            Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Pocono Downs
            P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
            RACE 12
            5 5 CHEF ROCCO 3/1 Allard, Simon - 11 536.40
            3 3 DEJERATE HANOVER 5/2 Buter, Tyler - 16 495.73
            1 1 CHEZACTIC 9/2 Napolitano, Anthony - 16 487.14
            6 6 PARTNER DOLAN 12/1 Boyd, Braxten - 14 480.91
            7 7 IT WASNT ME 8/1 Kakaley, Matt - 21 466.83
            4 4 DOC NIXON 7/2 Napolitano, Geo. Jr - 21 462.86
            2 2 ROYAL EMERALDS 6/1 Pantaleano, Jim - 8 449.21

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 16966

              #21
              Churchill Downs Hotlist - November 2


              Oct. 31, 2024

              By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

              Hot List Key:

              A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
              *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
              *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
              * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

              2nd race – (2) President Z seems ready for a good effort in his first try for Dutrow. (7) Jackman is worth a look while debuting for Asmussen. (9) Diamond Heist can rebound with a good try here. (3) Payne seems due for a good try. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-7-9.

              4th race – (2) Business Model ships in from Laurel off a solid effort. (9) Gilmore was claimed by Asmussen off a win and is a top threat here. (1) Improbable Story may perk up in this field. (7) Soaring Bird may get a favorable pace scenario here. Betting strategy: 2 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-7-9. Doubles: 1-2-7-9 with 3-4-8-9.

              5th race – (8) Bourbon Thief rallied wide for second last time and should get a win here. (9) Mulima was second in his last two tries and can complete the exacta again. (3) Enchant belongs in the exotics. (4) Time Stone could hang around until the end. Betting strategy: 8 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-4-8-9.

              7th race – (6) McDude was a game debut winner and can make it two in a row. (9) Smoken Wicked gets some class relief here. (8) Big Boat didn’t fire in the Breeders’ Futurity. Could cruise here. (3) Heavenville could be tough to catch. Betting strategy: 6 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-6-8-9.

              9th race - (3) Oscar Season was third in a stakes and looks best here. (4)Unleash the Power could be closing fast at the end. (2) Mount Horeb cannot be overlooked. (5) Half Dome exits a sharp maiden win. Betting strategy: 3 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-3-4-5.

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 16966

                #22
                Belmont Park at Aqueduct Hotlist - November 2


                Oct. 31, 2024

                By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt

                Hot List Key:
                A:
                A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
                *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
                *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
                * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

                7th race [NY, Md Sp Wt, 7F] – (4) Skytown (A) had his second bad trip in a row that produced second-place finishes. This time he stumbled, got bumped around at the start, and then raced wide against an inside speed bias. (1) National Identity had a positive debut for Danny Gargan while pressing the pace, getting to within a head of the lead and finished a close third. (10) Chasing Colton had the lead in the stretch and ended up in second when he moved back out of claiming. (6) Free Dance stumbled out of the gate in his second start.

                9th race [OC 35k/SAL, 1 1/8 mi TURF] – (12) Heathguard (A) was probably best when he returned from a two-month layoff but he had another very wide trip and made a premature middle move. (7) Modica is in excellent form running a big race moving from very good turf performances to the dirt and now goes back to the grass. (4) Brigade Commander was claimed for $50,000 two races back from a turf race where he just missed the win by a nose. (2) Victory Dash set the pace in his recent races and finished third beaten by just a neck.

                10th race [The Tempted, 1 mi] – (6) Wild Mama (A) was a debut winner at 5-1 for a trainer that does not win with first-time starters very often. (8) The Queens M G won 3 out of 4 starts to start his career but did not appreciate the muddy and sealed track in the Spinaway (G1). (9) Impulse Buy was second in her debut in August and then romped to break her maiden by 11 last month at Keeneland. (1) Stunner was an odds-on favorite in both of her starts and won her second by more than six lengths for Brad Cox.

                11th race [NY, Md Sp Wt, 1 1/16 mi TURF] – (8) Willful Mama (B) moved from dirt to turf for her second start and improved to run second well clear of the rest of the field. (2) Bryant and Cooper got off to an awkward start in her debut at 5-2 and ran fourth. (3) Five G was 5-1 in her first start for George Weaver and will move from dirt to turf. (1) Moonlight Gal is another Weaver and Vekoma 2-year-old and this one ran third for the entire mile race at Aqueduct.

                Best bets: Skytown (7th); Willful Mama (11th). Best value: Heathguard (9th); Wild Mama (10th).

                Saturday Pick 3 Special --
                Saturday Special $1 Pick 3 covers races 9-11 and includes the Tempted ? 2, 4, 7, 11, 12 with 1, 6, 8, 9 with 8 = $20.
                No. Name Letter
                last race
                Today's Race Comments
                (4) Skytown B on 9/22 7 Now he had two bad trips in a row.
                (12) Heathguard B on 9/19 9 He was an unlucky horse in recent races.
                (6) Wild Mama A on 9/15 10 His trainer rarely wins with debut runners.
                (8) Willful Mama B on 9/13 11 Big improvement with the move to the turf.

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 16966

                  #23
                  Belmont Park at Aqueduct Tip Sheet - November 2


                  Nov. 01, 2024

                  Race #1

                  Dirt 6 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 11:20 AM ET

                  Best Bet #5 BIG EGO $30,000.00

                  Race 1 Maiden Claiming
                  Win 5-2 5 Big Ego R Silvera
                  Place 6-5 4 Concorde Spirit K Carmouche
                  Show 6-1 3 Braca W Vasquez
                  Wild card 20-1 8 Feline Treasure E Ruiz
                  Alternate 1 8-1 7 Ragazzo Diabolico R R Maragh
                  Alternate 2 12-1 2 Maximus Monster J R Martinez
                  Exacta 5-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX
                  Trifecta 3/4/5 BOX, 3/4/8 BOX

                  Race #2

                  Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 11:51 AM ET $150,000.00

                  Race 2 Stakes
                  Win 6-5 4 Its Hammertime J Ruiz
                  Place 2-1 2 Tony Eclipse J Toledo
                  Show 3-1 5 Vekoma Rides K Carmouche
                  Wild card 9-2 3 Studlydoright X Perez
                  Alternate 1 20-1 1 Whatintheliteral J Lezcano
                  Exacta 4-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
                  Trifecta 2/4/5 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX

                  Race #3

                  Dirt 7 Furlongs - Post Time: 12:22 PM ET $75,000.00

                  Race 3 Maiden Special Weight
                  Win 9-5 1 Executive Move K Carmouche
                  Place 8-1 4 Clancy Fancy E Cancel
                  Show 9-2 3 Iron Man Ira J A Gomez
                  Wild card 6-1 7 Stormys Dreaming D Davis
                  Alternate 1 8-1 2 Humstinger R R Maragh
                  Alternate 2 7-2 6 Accidental Bid J Lezcano
                  Exacta 1-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
                  Trifecta 1/3/4 BOX, 3/4/7 BOX

                  Race #4

                  Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 12:53 PM ET $150,000.00

                  Race 4 Stakes
                  Win 7-5 5 Running Bee D Davis
                  Place 5-1 2 Fort Washington E Cancel
                  Show 5-2 4 Big Everest K Carmouche
                  Wild card 10-1 6 Skys Not Falling J Ruiz
                  Alternate 1 4-5 7 Film Star J Lezcano
                  Alternate 2 6-1 1 Hespuregold L R Rivera Jr.
                  Exacta 5-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
                  Trifecta 2/4/5 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX

                  Race #5

                  Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 01:28 PM ET $12,500.00

                  Race 5 Claiming
                  Win 6-5 8 Valenzan Day D Davis
                  Place 8-1 5 Cumberland Blues L J Luzzi
                  Show 15-1 2 Mr. Swagger K Davis
                  Wild card 4-1 9 Ski Country J Lezcano
                  Alternate 1 15-1 4 Daddy Knows J R Martinez
                  Alternate 2 30-1 7 Commandperformance W Vasquez
                  Exacta 8-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX, 2-9 BOX
                  Trifecta 2/5/8 BOX, 2/5/9 BOX

                  Race #6

                  Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:03 PM ET

                  Best Bet #8 GIMME GIMME $40,000.00

                  Race 6 Maiden Claiming
                  Win 3-1 8 Gimme Gimme K Carmouche
                  Place 7-2 3 Monte Avi J Castellano
                  Show 5-1 9 Revivalism E Cancel
                  Wild card 10-1 1 Killybegs Kid L R Rivera Jr.
                  Alternate 1 6-1 4 Ebony Tale R Silvera
                  Alternate 2 4-1 2 Rockible J Lezcano
                  Exacta 8-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX
                  Trifecta 3/8/9 BOX, 1/3/9 BOX

                  Race #7

                  Dirt 7 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:38 PM ET

                  Best Bet #1 NATIONAL IDENTITY $75,000.00

                  Race 7 Maiden Special Weight
                  Win 5-2 1 National Identity K Carmouche
                  Place 3-1 4 Skytown K Davis
                  Show 8-1 10 Chasing Colton R Silvera
                  Wild card 10-1 3 Chriss Song J Lezcano
                  Alternate 1 5-2 1A Total Silence J Castellano
                  Alternate 2 20-1 8 Lucky Dragon R Gutierrez
                  Exacta 1-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX, 10-3 BOX
                  Trifecta 1/4/10 BOX, 3/4/10 BOX

                  Race #8

                  Outer turf 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:19 PM ET $135,000.00

                  Race 8 Stakes
                  Win 7-2 1 Yougottahavehope D Davis
                  Place 4-1 2 Me Governor J Ruiz
                  Show 4-1 4 Laurice J Castellano
                  Wild card 12-1 9 Blossoming Erudite E Ruiz
                  Alternate 1 3-1 7 Annascaul K Carmouche
                  Alternate 2 6-1 3 Perfect Figure J Lezcano
                  Exacta 1-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-9 BOX
                  Trifecta 1/2/4 BOX, 2/4/9 BOX

                  Race #9

                  Turf 1 1/8 Miles - Post Time: 04:00 PM ET $65,000.00

                  Race 9 Starter Optional Claiming
                  Win 6-1 11 Steadfast Resolve J Castellano
                  Place 5-1 2 Victory Dash E Cancel
                  Show 4-1 7 Modica J Lezcano
                  Wild card 6-1 9 Waitlist K Carmouche
                  Alternate 1 6-1 15 Miztertonic K Carmouche
                  Alternate 2 8-1 16 Patriarchal Rider TBA
                  Exacta 11-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX
                  Trifecta 2/7/11 BOX, 2/7/9 BOX

                  Race #10

                  Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 04:40 PM ET $150,000.00

                  Race 10 Stakes
                  Win 6-5 1 Stunner D Davis
                  Place 8-1 6 Wild Mama J Castellano
                  Show 5-2 9 Impulse Buy J Lezcano
                  Wild card 30-1 7 Five a Side A Adorno
                  Alternate 1 4-1 8 The Queens M G K Carmouche
                  Alternate 2 20-1 4 Tip Line F Martinez
                  Exacta 1-6 BOX, 6-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX
                  Trifecta 1/6/9 BOX, 6/7/9 BOX

                  Race #11

                  Outer turf 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 05:19 PM ET $75,000.00

                  Race 11 Maiden Special Weight
                  Win 7-2 2 Bryant and Cooper D Davis
                  Place 5-1 10 Loveumissumeanit J Castellano
                  Show 4-1 8 Willful Mama L R Rivera Jr.
                  Wild card 20-1 5 Lookin to Rock F Martinez
                  Alternate 1 5-2 15 Bernieandtherose K Davis
                  Alternate 2 6-1 1A Twilight Tango K Carmouche
                  Exacta 2-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX
                  Trifecta 2/8/10 BOX, 5/8/10 BOX

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 16966

                    #24
                    Churchill Downs Tip Sheet - November 2


                    Nov. 01, 2024

                    Race #1

                    Dirt 6 1/2 Furlongs - Post Time: 01:00 PM ET

                    Best Bet #3 ROSE RITA $25,000.00

                    Race 1 Claiming
                    Win 8-5 3 Rose Rita G Corrales
                    Place 3-1 4 Lookatmybuckle A Gomez
                    Show 4-1 6 Richiesgoldengirl J Loveberry
                    Wild card 8-1 8 Bisa E Morales
                    Alternate 1 15-1 5 Campaign Promises D Cannon
                    Alternate 2 8-1 1 Sevilla A Concepcion
                    Exacta 3-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX
                    Trifecta 3/4/6 BOX, 4/6/8 BOX

                    Race #2

                    Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 01:34 PM ET $32,000.00

                    Race 2 Claiming
                    Win 5-2 3 Payne K J Asmussen
                    Place 5-1 7 Jackman E Asmussen
                    Show 3-1 6 Went West A Beschizza
                    Wild card 10-1 8 Princip M Murrill
                    Alternate 1 6-1 9 Diamond Heist E Esquivel
                    Alternate 2 8-1 2 President Z A Concepcion
                    Exacta 3-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX
                    Trifecta 3/6/7 BOX, 6/7/8 BOX

                    Race #3

                    Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 02:08 PM ET

                    Best Bet #8 EVAN ON EARTH $50,000.00

                    Race 3 Maiden Claiming
                    Win 3-1 8 Evan On Earth M Murrill
                    Place 5-1 2 Gun Barrel E Morales
                    Show 8-1 10 Chun Money F Arrieta
                    Wild card 4-1 5 Snook I Moncada
                    Alternate 1 6-1 6 Du Monde D Cannon
                    Alternate 2 10-1 9 Getoutyourwallet R A Vazquez
                    Exacta 8-2 BOX, 2-10 BOX, 10-5 BOX
                    Trifecta 2/8/10 BOX, 2/5/10 BOX

                    Race #4

                    Dirt 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 02:46 PM ET $20,000.00

                    Race 4 Claiming
                    Win 6-1 2 Business Model F De La Cruz
                    Place 3-1 5 Tiwanaku I Moncada
                    Show 6-1 7 Soaring Bird A Beschizza
                    Wild card 9-2 3 All West F Arrieta
                    Alternate 1 5-1 4 Nepal Up C J Lanerie
                    Alternate 2 8-1 6 Seven Bridges Road E Esquivel
                    Exacta 2-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX
                    Trifecta 2/5/7 BOX, 3/5/7 BOX

                    Race #5

                    Turf 1 1/8 Miles - Post Time: 03:27 PM ET

                    Best Bet #3 ENCHANT $120,000.00

                    Race 5 Maiden Special Weight
                    Win 5-1 3 Enchant B Curtis
                    Place 3-1 12 Jitterbug J Graham
                    Show 4-1 6 Farfalle A Beschizza
                    Wild card 9-2 4 Time Stone A Concepcion
                    Alternate 1 5-1 8 Bourbon Thief C Landeros
                    Alternate 2 20-1 5 Smokin Hot Blonde D Cannon
                    Exacta 3-12 BOX, 12-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
                    Trifecta 3/6/12 BOX, 4/6/12 BOX

                    Race #6

                    Dirt 7 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:07 PM ET $12,500.00

                    Race 6 Claiming
                    Win 6-1 7 Talkin in Cursive V Lebron
                    Place 7-2 6 Simple Souvenir E Esquivel
                    Show 15-1 1 Lil Town Sis C J Lanerie
                    Wild card 5-2 3 Jump Into the Fire I Moncada
                    Alternate 1 8-1 2 Cactus Flower S Sanjur
                    Alternate 2 20-1 4 Inner Harbor L Sanchez
                    Exacta 7-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
                    Trifecta 1/6/7 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX

                    Race #7

                    Dirt 7 Furlongs - Post Time: 04:48 PM ET $127,000.00

                    Race 7 Allowance Optional Claiming
                    Win 20-1 6 McDude A Concepcion
                    Place 5-2 8 Big Boat R A Vazquez
                    Show 2-1 9 Smoken Wicked C J Hernandez
                    Wild card 6-1 3 Heavenville E Asmussen
                    Alternate 1 8-1 5 Extradition K J Asmussen
                    Alternate 2 5-1 4 C K Wonder C J Lanerie
                    Exacta 6-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX
                    Trifecta 6/8/9 BOX, 3/8/9 BOX

                    Race #8

                    Dirt 7 Furlongs - Post Time: 05:27 PM ET $120,000.00

                    Race 8 Maiden Special Weight
                    Win 7-2 7 Quantum Burst B Curtis
                    Place 9-5 8 Everloving C J Lanerie
                    Show 6-1 2 Jenkin F Arrieta
                    Wild card 12-1 6 No Other Like You A Concepcion
                    Alternate 1 10-1 9 Massarat E Morales
                    Alternate 2 10-1 5 Momentario E Asmussen
                    Exacta 7-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
                    Trifecta 2/7/8 BOX, 2/6/8 BOX

                    Race #9

                    Turf 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 06:10 PM ET $127,000.00

                    Race 9 Allowance
                    Win 9-2 3 Oscar Season J Loveberry
                    Place 4-1 4 Unleash the Power J Graham
                    Show 30-1 12 B B Prince O Villarreal
                    Wild card 6-1 5 Half Dome G Corrales
                    Alternate 1 12-1 7 Swiss Slang A Achard
                    Alternate 2 15-1 10 Mercante I Moncada
                    Exacta 3-4 BOX, 4-12 BOX, 12-5 BOX
                    Trifecta 3/4/12 BOX, 4/5/12 BOX

                    Race #10

                    Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 06:45 PM ET $300,000.00

                    Race 10 Stakes
                    Win 7-2 8 Champlin M Murrill
                    Place 3-1 4 Happy Is a Choice R A Vazquez
                    Show 5-2 3 Bango C J Lanerie
                    Wild card 9-2 9 Angkor G Corrales
                    Alternate 1 12-1 5 Gulfport E Asmussen
                    Alternate 2 8-1 6 Tejano Twist C Landeros
                    Exacta 8-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-9 BOX
                    Trifecta 3/4/8 BOX, 3/4/9 BOX

                    Race #11

                    Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 07:20 PM ET $92,000.00

                    Race 11 Maiden Special Weight
                    Win 7-2 6 Wisconsin Gal K Leonard
                    Place 3-1 7 Diagram A Concepcion
                    Show 15-1 8 Dimensionality G Corrales
                    Wild card 6-1 2 Flojo I Moncada
                    Alternate 1 8-1 10 Flintlock C J Lanerie
                    Exacta 6-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX
                    Trifecta 6/7/8 BOX, 2/7/8 BOX

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 16966

                      #25
                      Del Mar Tip Sheet - November 2


                      Nov. 01, 2024

                      Race #1

                      Turf 1 1/16 Miles - Post Time: 01:05 PM ET $150,000.00

                      Race 1 Allowance Optional Claiming
                      Win 4-1 6 Canada Gate F Prat
                      Place 8-1 10 Jeweled Shillelagh U Rispoli
                      Show 6-1 13 Lottery Pick J J Hernandez
                      Wild card 5-1 15 Flashiest K Kimura
                      Alternate 1 5-1 11 Lahaina Flavor L Dettori
                      Alternate 2 15-1 1 Spycatcher A Fresu
                      Exacta 6-10 BOX, 10-13 BOX, 13-15 BOX
                      Trifecta 6/10/13 BOX, 10/13/15 BOX

                      Race #2

                      Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 01:40 PM ET

                      Best Commentary $200,000 BAYAKOA STAKES GRADE III $200,000.00

                      Race 2 Stakes
                      Win 6-5 3 Hope Road J J Hernandez
                      Place 6-1 7 Show Card F Prat
                      Show 8-5 4 Alpha Bella H I Berrios
                      Wild card 15-1 5 Saddle Up Jessie I Ortiz Jr.
                      Alternate 1 10-1 2 Desert Dawn U Rispoli
                      Alternate 2 12-1 6 Victorious M Franco
                      COMMENTS: HOPE ROAD might have too much of an early pace edge at a distance where nearly half win gate to wire. SHOW CARD is undefeated in two at the distance and tend to win or run out of the money. ALPHA BELLA has the most late speed in the race and could be hard to hold if she is close to the front late. SADDLE UP JESSIE has her best published work at Del Mar suggesting she might like the track in her first race there.

                      Race #3

                      Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 02:15 PM ET

                      Best Commentary $300,000 GOLDIKOVA STAKES $300,000.00

                      Race 3 Stakes
                      Win 10-1 3 Fluffy Socks I Ortiz Jr.
                      Place 20-1 6 Omaha Girl U Rispoli
                      Show 6-1 8 Nadette H I Berrios
                      Wild card 6-1 10 Raqiya L Dettori
                      Alternate 1 5-1 1 Aspen Grove T Gaffalione
                      Alternate 2 4-1 2 Sacred Wish P Lopez
                      COMMENTS: FLUFFY SOCKS finished in the money six of seven at the distance and three of three at Del Mar. OMAHA GIRL showed much better early pace through the first half mile last out and should have more stamina today. NADETTE ran better race internals from start to finish last out. RAQIYA does her best work when she breaks sharply and there is not an abundance of early speed here.

                      Race #4

                      Dirt 7 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:00 PM ET

                      Best Commentary $1M BC FILLY AND MARE SPRINT GRADE I $1,000,000.00

                      Race 4 Stakes
                      Win 5-2 9 Ways and Means F Prat
                      Place 10-1 2 One Magic Philly A Fresu
                      Show 3-1 6 Society T Gaffalione
                      Wild card 10-1 10 Scylla M E Smith
                      Alternate 1 4-1 4 Vahva I Ortiz Jr.
                      Alternate 2 12-1 3 Pleasant J J Hernandez
                      COMMENTS: WAYS AND MEANS won her last three races with ease and could be more fit with three solid works between races. ONE MAGIC PHILLY usually makes a strong move out of the turn and then widening her lead at the finish line. SOCIETY ran the highest last race speed figure and has one of her best published works since. SCYLLA is training her best prepping for today and could be in for a big run if it translates to the track.

                      Race #5

                      Turf 5 Furlongs - Post Time: 03:41 PM ET

                      Best Commentary $1M BC TURF SPRINT GRADE I $1,000,000.00

                      Race 5 Stakes
                      Win 7-2 12 Bradsell H Doyle
                      Place 7-5 9 Cogburn I Ortiz Jr.
                      Show 10-1 5 Ag Bullet U Rispoli
                      Wild card 8-1 2 Motorious A Fresu
                      Alternate 1 12-1 11 Big Evs T Marquand
                      Alternate 2 30-1 7 Howard Wolowitz F Prat
                      COMMENTS: BRADSELL has eight high quality races in the last nine starts and some of his best work is on good footing. COGBURN is less than a length from winning seven races in a row since switching to turf. AG BULLET ran some crazy early pace numbers last out. Cutting back in distance helps his chances. MOTORIOUS has his best series of published workouts getting ready for today.

                      Race #6

                      Dirt 1 1/8 Miles - Post Time: 04:21 PM ET

                      Best Commentary $2M BC DISTAFF GRADE I $2,000,000.00

                      Race 6 Stakes
                      Win 4-5 2 Thorpedo Anna B J Hernandez Jr.
                      Place 4-1 9 Awesome Result Y Take
                      Show 7-2 6 Raging Sea F Prat
                      Wild card 20-1 5 Sugar Fish T Baze
                      Alternate 1 15-1 1 Candied I Ortiz Jr.
                      Alternate 2 30-1 7 Honor D Lady T Gaffalione
                      COMMENTS: THORPEDO ANNA is undefeated in three at the distance and runs some of the most visually impressive races you will see. AWESOME RESULT is also three for three at the distance and has not been challenged yet. RAGING SEA is another that excels at the distance with five wins and a second in seven tries. SUGAR FISH flashed off the charts late speed in her last and has some excellent works since.

                      Race #7

                      Turf 1 1/2 Miles - Post Time: 05:01 PM ET

                      Best Commentary $5M BC TURF GRADE I $5,000,000.00

                      Race 7 Stakes
                      Win 5-2 11 Rebels Romance W Buick
                      Place 6-1 6 Far Bridge J Rosario
                      Show 15-1 12 Gold Phoenix K Frey
                      Wild card 4-1 5 Jayarebe S M Levey
                      Alternate 1 15-1 10 Wingspan W Lordan
                      Alternate 2 5-1 2 Emily Upjohn L Dettori
                      COMMENTS: REBELS ROMANCE won nine of 12 at the distance collecting more than 8 and half million dollars. FAR BRIDGE has some of his best races with jockey Joel Rosario who rides again today. GOLD PHOENIX has strong late race ability and is a highly consistent performer. JAYAREBE has four wins in seven races with a second and third in Europe.

                      Race #8

                      Dirt 1 1/4 Miles - Post Time: 05:41 PM ET

                      Best Commentary $7M BC CLASSIC GRADE I $7,000,000.00

                      Race 8 Stakes
                      Win 5-2 3 City of Troy R L Moore
                      Place 3-1 9 Fierceness J R Velazquez
                      Show 20-1 13 Newgate L Dettori
                      Wild card 6-1 1 Forever Young R Sakai
                      Alternate 1 8-1 14 Next L Machado
                      Alternate 2 12-1 11 Sierra Leone F Prat
                      COMMENTS: CITY OF TROY has to answer a big question. Can he handle dirt for the first time? Otherwise, he is probably closer to an even money morning line favorite. FIERCENESS is undefeated when he has the lead in the stretch. That is the key here too. NEWGATE could get an ideal trip with the favorites dueling upfront and he has outstanding late legs. FOREVER YOUNG might be the favorite if not for a third by a neck in the Kentucky Derby.

                      Race #9

                      Turf 1 3/8 Miles - Post Time: 06:25 PM ET

                      Best Commentary $2M BC FILLY AND MARE TURF GRADE I $2,000,000.00

                      Race 9 Stakes
                      Win 4-1 3 Cinderellas Dream W Buick
                      Place 5-2 4 War Like Goddess J Alvarado
                      Show 8-1 10 Moira F Prat
                      Wild card 12-1 2 Full Count Felicia I Ortiz Jr.
                      Alternate 1 12-1 5 Didia J L Ortiz
                      Alternate 2 15-1 9 Anisette U Rispoli
                      COMMENTS: CINDERELLAS DREAM ran better early pace in her last and typically has top notch late speed. WAR LIKE GODDESS hit the board in seven of seven races at the distance. MOIRA finished in the trifecta in her last nine races while increasing her speed figure in the last three. FULL COUNT FELICIA could get out on the lead and never give it up as there is no other frontrunner.

                      Race #10

                      Dirt 6 Furlongs - Post Time: 07:05 PM ET

                      Best Commentary $2M BC SPRINT GRADE I $2,000,000.00

                      Race 10 Stakes
                      Win 10-1 1 Raging Torrent A Fresu
                      Place 3-1 3 Federal Judge I Ortiz Jr.
                      Show 7-2 10 Mullikin F Prat
                      Wild card 5-1 8 Straight No Chaser J R Velazquez
                      Alternate 1 8-1 11 Skelly R Santana Jr.
                      Alternate 2 8-1 9 Remake Y Kawada
                      COMMENTS: RAGING TORRENT could benefit from a lot of horses in here that want the lead as he has some of the most late speed. FEDERAL JUDGE increased his speed figure in the last three races. MULLIKIN ran much better pace through the first half mile last out which usually means a strong effort the next out. STRAIGHT NO CHASER ran triple digit speed figures in the of the last four races.

                      Race #11

                      Turf 1 Mile - Post Time: 07:45 PM ET

                      Best Commentary $2M BC MILE GRADE I $2,000,000.00

                      Race 11 Stakes
                      Win 9-2 9 Johannes U Rispoli
                      Place 7-2 6 Notable Speech W Buick
                      Show 4-1 7 Porta Fortuna T Marquand
                      Wild card 6-1 12 Carl Spackler T Gaffalione
                      Alternate 1 8-1 4 Diego Velazquez R L Moore
                      Alternate 2 5-1 1 Ramatuelle A Lemaitre
                      COMMENTS: JOHANNES has won six of seven races since jockey Umberto Rispoli took the reins. NOTABLE SPEECH has some of the best breeding in the race and a trio of Group I wins in England. PORTA FORTUNA has three wins and two seconds in five races at the distance. CARL SPACKLER ran considerably faster fractions in his last race which usually means a horse is fit and ready to run another good race.

                      Race #12

                      Dirt 1 Mile - Post Time: 08:25 PM ET

                      Best Commentary $1M BD DIRT MILE GRADE I $1,000,000.00

                      Race 12 Stakes
                      Win 4-1 14 Skippylongstocking I Ortiz Jr.
                      Place 9-2 10 Muth J J Hernandez
                      Show 15-1 3 Full Serrano J Rosario
                      Wild card 7-2 9 Domestic Product F Prat
                      Alternate 1 5-1 1 Saudi Crown F Geroux
                      Alternate 2 12-1 12 Mufasa T Gaffalione
                      COMMENTS: SKIPPYLONGSTOCKING has one of his best workouts between races and could run his third straight triple digit speed figure. MUTH won his lone race at the distance with ease and hit the board in seven of eight races. FULL SERRANO has four wins and three close seconds in seven races at the distance. DOMESTIC PRODUCT won two in row and ran a little better fractions last out.

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 16966

                        #26
                        Free play from Mike Wynn
                        Free Pick: Pittsburgh +7.5 over SMU

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                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 16966

                          #27
                          Free play from Totals4U


                          Early Saturday's Free Selection: UCLA Bruins/Nebraska Cornhuskers under 38.5

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                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 16966

                            #28
                            Free play from #1 Sports


                            Early Saturday's Free Play: Tulsa Golden Hurricanes + 2 1/2

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                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 16966

                              #29
                              Free play from Easy Money Sports


                              Free Early Saturday Football Selection From Lee
                              DUKE +21

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                              • ConleyPicks
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2020
                                • 16966

                                #30
                                Free play from Huddle Up Sports


                                Saturday Free Play:
                                TCU/Baylor under 63 CFB

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