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Sunday 11/3/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
We really like the Giants in this matchup. This line is highly influenced by the Commanders' impressive 6-1-1 record ATS and the Giants' 2-5-1 ATS struggles, but in a divisional showdown like this, you can usually throw trends out the window. This looks like an overreaction, and we see solid value on the underdog.
This is a 1% free play on the Giants on the spread +4 -108
I'm betting the Browns as +1.5 home dog against the Chargers. I don't know how much more we need to see out of the quarterback play with Cleveland, to know that it was Deshaun Watson that was holding this team back. Last year it was Joe Flacco putting up big numbers after Watson went out. Now it's Jameis Winston. He threw for 334 yards and 3 TDs in last week's upset of the Ravens. I think Nick Chubb could also play a big role in this one. Chargers are No. 11 vs the run, giving up just 112 ypg. However, they rank No. 25 in yards/rush, allowing 4.8 yards/carry. I also think there's just a new sense of life with this entire team now that Watson is out of the picture. Not saying it will happen, but in their minds they have to believe they can turn this thing around. Lastly, I'm not completely sold on this Chargers team. LA's wins have come against the Raiders, Panthers, Broncos and Saints. Give me the Browns +1.5!
The Arizona Cardinals are coming off two impressive wins over the Chargers at home and the Dolphins on the road to get back into the NFC West title chase. The Cardinals have played the toughest schedule in the NFL and have managed to get to 4-4 on the season at this point. They are as healthy as they have been in a long time now on both sides of the football and showing what they are capable of when that's the case. The Bears lost on a hail mary to the Commanders last week in a game they had no business even being in, but the Commanders were held to four field goals. They blew a 12-0 lead to the Bears in the 2H. It was a gut-wrenching loss for Chicago, which could have a hard time bouncing back from that type of defeat. The Bears are dealing with a ton of injuries to the left side of their offensive line, plus SS Jaquan Brisker remains out, and DE Montez Sweat and CB Kyler Gordon are both questionable. Chicago's four wins this season have come against the Titans, Jaguars, Panthers and a depleted Rams team at the time they played them. All four were home wins as well. The Bears are 0-3 on the road this season and I expect them to fall to 0-4 Sunday with a loss at Arizona. Give me the Cardinals.
The Chicago Bears were on a three-game win streak before their 18-15 loss to the Washington Commanders last week, but they could be in for another setback against the Arizona Cardinals this Sunday.
The Cardinals, who lead their division, are riding high with a real shot at the playoffs.
Last week, Kyler Murray was on fire, throwing for over 300 yards and two touchdowns, and he’ll be facing a Bears defense that’s struggling with key injuries.
All signs point to the Cardinals continuing their strong run here.
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our Sunday Free Play. This can be considered a tricky spot for Chicago after losing to Washington last week on a fluke Hail Mary and that is a game that can define their season going forward. We are banking on the coaching staff to pick this team up and not many will be behind that coming off one of the worst coaching second half games we have seen in a while but there is part merit with the Bears going 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games as underdogs coming off a loss. Quarterback Caleb Williams turned a corner after a rough rookie start with three straight games with a passer rating of 106 or higher in three straight games prior to last week but was brought back down last week with a 59.5 passer rating against one of the worst defenses in the league but has a chance for redemption against an even worse defense with the Cardinals ranked No. 29 in Defensive EPA. Give credit to Arizona last week as it was on the cusp of possibly getting blown out against Miami but was able to hang in and pull off the upset over the Dolphins. Quarterback Kyler Murray posted his third game of the season with a passer rating over 100 but in the first two games he did so, he followed those up with sub 80 passer ratings next time out. He now goes up against a defense ranked No. 4 in Defensive EPA after shutting down one of the best early season quarterbacks sans for one big pass. This is a great bounce back spot for the Bears who opened as favorites and went to the underdog role shortly after their debacle late on Sunday and despite 69 percent of the money on Chicago, the line continues to go up. There is a contrarian angle here that will be broken eventually, which should have been broken last week, but the Bears have now lost 18 straight road games on a Sunday. 10* (469) Chicago Bears+2 -108
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- LA Rams are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games against Seattle.
- Seattle are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
- Seattle are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games at home.
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