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1 UNIT* NHL* St Louis Blues @ Calgary Flames – UNDER 5.5 GOALS (-128) (Note: I’m risking 1.28 units to win 1 unit)
Brian Elliott is coming off a shutout in Vancouver and I expect him to get the start again tonight. He is 4-0 on the season with a 1.59 GAA and .950 SV%. Mikka Kiprusoff picked up the win on Wednesday night and is 3-3 with a 2.19 GAA and .924 SV%. He has enjoyed success against the Blues with a 19-5-2 lifetime record against them and a stellar 1.94 GAA. Calgary’s 4 goals on Wednesday bumped their season average up, but they are still only scoring 2.4 goals per game. The Blues are averaging 2.8 goals per game. Take note that the UNDER is 4-1 in the Blues last 5 vs a team with a losing record. The UNDER is 3-1-2 in the Flames last 6 overall and 22-9-2 in their last 33 games as a small favorite of -110 to -150. The UNDER is 8-3 in these two teams last 11 meetings, and 16-4-2 in their last 22 meetings in Calgary. This will be the Flames 5th straight home game. Their last 4 games have had totals of 6, 2, 5, and 3 (the only OVER was Wednesday with two late goals). Two hot goalies and two teams that play the UNDER against each other gives us value with a 5.5 total in this one. Take the UNDER.
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