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Tuesday 11/12/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Tuesday CFB Free play. My selection is on Ball State plus the points over Buffalo at 7 pm et on Tuesday.
We won with Ball State plus the points last week as it earned a home cover in a narrow loss against Miami-Ohio. The Cardinals, now 3-6, aim to keep things close as they visit a Buffalo team with recent defensive struggles. Buffalo, at 5-4, earned a 41-30 win over Akron before its bye week, but prior to that, the Bulls had suffered back-to-back losses in which they allowed 48 and 47 points, signalling some concerns on the defensive side of the ball.
While Buffalo is coming off a break that could aid in correcting some issues, its inconsistent defensive performances suggest Ball State can find ways to keep this game within reach. The Cardinals should be able to take advantage of any defensive lapses as they push to cover on the road. Take Ball State. Projected score: Buffalo 27, Ball State 26.
Winnipeg just keeps finding ways to win. The Jets are astounding, 14-1 this season, possessing the best overall record in the NHL, which does include a perfect, 6-0 away mark. This is a team that is doing it with both, the top-scoring offense in the League, and the second-ranked goaltending. They are outscoring opponents by over 2.4 goals per game. They enter this matchup with confidence knowing they have taken three of the last four meetings with New York, which consists of victories in both matchups played at Madison Square Garden. Now the Rangers are no slouches, at 9-3-1 this season, which does include 4-2-1 at home. They're playing some great hockey, no doubt about that. But going against the juggernaut, which is the Winnipeg scoring offense, which tops the league in power plays, is going to be an impossible. Take the Jets. Thank you.
Hawks vs Celtics
7 ET | TD Garden 8-Unit bet on the Hawks priced as 15 1/2 point dogs -113
The following NBA betting algorithm has gone 25-54 SU (32%) and 52-27 ATS for 65.8% winning bets since 2017. The requirements are:
Bet on road teams with a win percentage 40% or lower.
The road team is coming off a double-digit home loss.
The road team is avenging a same-season loss.
The total is 20 or more points.
Starting with the 2017 season, this query considers the start of the meteoric rise in NBA scoring and to include any games prior to the 2017 season involving totals of 220 ro more points would produce few results.
The Key: The Charlotte Hornets have been competitive this season as long as they have LaMelo Ball on the court. Ball is averaging 29.4 PPG, 6.2 APG and 4.9 RPG and has been one of the best players in the league. The Orlando Magic have really been faltering since losing Paulo Banchero and Wendell Carter Jr. The Magic are 3-6 SU & 2-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Their 3 wins came against the Pacers and two injury-ravaged teams in the Wizards and Pelicans. The Hornets are 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall with outright upsets over the Pistons and Pacers and a 2-point loss as 5-point dogs at Philadelphia. Take Charlotte.
I'm betting Detroit as a 1.5-point home dog against the Heat on Tuesday. I don't think Miami should be favored on the road without Jimmy Butler. Heat come in off a 95-94 upset win over the T-Wolves, but had lost 3 straight prior. That was about as bad as Minnesota could play (shot 39.8% from the field). Prior to that game the Heat had given up 110 or more in each of their last 3, including 135 to the Nuggets. Detroit is just 4-7 on the season, but are 4-2 after starting the year 0-4. Pistons only loss by 8 at Miami earlier this season and that was with Butler (23 points) on the floor for the Heat. Give me the Pistons +1.5!
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