10-30-11

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo

5-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 41.5 Detroit at Denver (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 30)
3-Unit Play. Take #221 Detroit (-3) over Denver (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 30)
Note: This is our NFL Game of the Month.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #212 Carolina (-3) over Minnesota (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 30)

2.5-Unit Play. Take #216 Baltimore (-12.5) over Arizona (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 30)

2.5-Unit Play. Take #229 Dallas (+3.5) over Philadelphia (8:30 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 30)

2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #218 N.Y. Giants (-3) over Miami (1 p.m.) AND #226 San Francisco (-2) over Cleveland (4 p.m.)

2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #208 Tennessee (-2) over Indianapolis (1 p.m.) AND Take #223 New England (+4) over Pittsburgh (4 p.m.)

This Week's Totals

2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 43.5 Indianapolis at Tennessee (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 30)

2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 45.5 Washington at Buffalo (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 30)

1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 52.0 New England at Pittsburgh (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 30)

1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 43.5 Miami at N.Y. Giants (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 30)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 50.5 Dallas at Philadelphia (8:20 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 30)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 48.0 Minnesota at Carolina (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 30)

0.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 38.5 Cleveland at San Francisco (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 30

[Mr. IWS]

Strike Points Sports

4* Philadelphia Eagles -3

4* Baltimore Ravens -13

4* New England Patriots -3

[Mr. IWS]

Cowherd – Blazing 5
Minn. +3 24-23
Seattle +3’ 17-16
New England -3 31-23
Buffalo -6 27-13
Dallas +3’

[Mr. IWS]

Greg Roberts on Oklahoma Radio
New England -3
Dallas +3.5
Denver +3
Buffalo -6

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
1 OF 9
Game: Arizona at Baltimore (Sunday 10/30 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Arizona +12.5 (-110)

The Baltimore Ravens looked about as bad as a team could look on Monday Night against Jacksonville. The offense did not generate a single first down the entire first half and the Ravens subsequently went down to a 1-5 team without much of a fight as a double-digit favorite. For those of us on the Jags, it was a thing of beauty. This game will mark just the fourth time in 22 years that a team lost as a double-digit favorite on the road, and has come back favored by double digits at home. It's too much. The first three have gone just 1-2. Arizona has had some problems of their own at 1-5 on the season of course. There is bad news with both of these teams, which historically has put the underdog here in a great spot. We also have the public ignoring the Ravens Monday Night debacle as they are coming right back with them at over 70% strong, expecting a fired up team to take out their frustrations on a helpless opponent. But, this line is inflated. Teams from Week 8 on that have just one
win on the season are 77-49 ATS as a road dog. If they are big dogs getting more than a TD, that mark moves to 47-29 ATS. The Cardinals have also relished in this role in recent games as they are 4-0 ATS in their last four as a dog of greater than +10.5. Arizona has posted a 14-4 ATS mark in their last 18 games vs. great defensive teams (those allowing 14 or fewer points per game) and 34-14 ATS vs. teams that outscore their competitors by 6+ points per game (including 11-3 ATS under Ken Wisenhunt). The beautiful girl gets the dance at the party, while the ugly dog gets the money in the NFL. Take Arizona in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

Jason Sharpe Football


Sunday October 30th 2011-
3* Pittsburgh +3 over New England (4:15pm est):.
3* Detroit -3 over Denver (4:05pm est):

[Mr. IWS]

POINTWISE PHONES:

4* Balt

3* Dall, San Fran, KC

2* NE, Buff, Seattle

[Mr. IWS]

Sixth Sense

One of the best weeks of my career last week, going 7-0 +21.0%. That brings the season record to a wonderful 31-16 66.0% +40.20%.

Light card so far this week.

BEST BETS

YTD 31-16 +40.20%

3% WASHINGTON +5.5
3% PITTSBURGH +2.5
3% DALLAS +3

[Mr. IWS]

WEST CAPPER
(directly from the west capper email)

He's down so far in football this year and has been very good the past three years, so it might be a decent time to jump in as he should bring up his numbers by the end of the year.

Took the day off in college until we saw the total in the Kansas/Texas game, so hopefully everyone received our email in time and jumped on that 4**** unit under winner. That was what we needed to turn things around and make a serious late run this NCAA Football season. NFL has been pretty good the past two weeks, so looking to stay in the positive as we build back our bankroll. We might add 1-2 games tomorrow morning, but wanted to get these out early. We might add a unit to the Cowboys play later in the day Sunday:

• 2** Redskins +6 (-130)
• 1* Steelers +3 (-110)
• 2** Seahawks +2 (-120)
• 3*** Cowboys +3 (-110)
  
• 2** Washington Redskins +6 (-130)
  The Bills come off a bye and face a Redskins team playing their second consecutive road game. Note this game is being played in Toronto, so there technically isn't any home field advantage. Fitzpatrick is completing 74 percent of his passes the last two games, but the Redskins lead the NFL in sacks per pass play. They should be able to put some pressure on Fitzpatrick and slow down their offense that was really playing well before the bye.
  
  Buffalo 24
  Washington 23
• 1* Pittsburgh Steelers +3 (-110)
  This very well could be the game of the week. Tom Brady destroyed the Steelers defense last year, and this potentially could be a tough matchup for their defense. Brady has won 6/7 against the Steelers and 4/5 at Heinz Field. The Patriots haven't looked as dominant the past few games against the Jets and Cowboys, and it's very rare you get the Steelers as a home underdog. The Patriots defense has been solid in the past three games, only allowing 18.7 points per game. I expect Roethlisberger to bomb away deep to Wallace and Brown and for the Steelers to pull the upset. Staying small because while we have this game capped as a small Steelers win, Brady is so dangerous.
  
  Pittsburgh 27
  New England 24
• 2** Seattle Seahawks +2 (-120)
  The Bengals are 4-2 and coming off a bye, but Seattle is a very tough place to play for any quarterback. Now they bring a rookie in Andy Dalton to go up against a great home team. The Seahawks defense is good, especially at the safety position with Chancellor and Thomas. They will be keys to making Dalton turn it over. Seattle's offense has really struggled lately, scoring three points last week against the Browns with Tarvaris Jackson at quarterback. The Seahawks are one of the better home underdog bets in the NFL, so we'll ride them in the upset in a sloppy low-scoring game.
  
  Seattle 19
  Cincinnati 14
• 3*** Dallas Cowboys +3 (-110)
  This is a chance for one of these teams to show they are back to being a contender in the East. The Eagles are coming off a bye, and the Cowboys are coming off an easy win at home against the Rams. The Eagles have struggled to stop the run and are among the worst in the NFL at rushing yards per attempt, and I look for the Cowboys to exploit that. Murray won't be a secret after rushing for 253-yards last week, but that was the kind've performance the Cowboys needed to rally around. The Eagles aren't a great home team (4-6 in their last 10 games), but they've usually played well in primetime games. Cowboys in an upset, as I still don't think the "Dream Team" Eagles have figured it out just yet and I think the Cowboys can be a legitimate force in the NFC.
  
  Dallas 24
  Eagles 23

[Mr. IWS]

Bookiemonsters

26-11 run

nfl arizona +13

[Mr. IWS]

PhD Picks

Indianapolis +9
Houston -9
Arizona +12.5
New York [G] -9.5
Minnesota +3
New Orleans -13.5
Buffalo -4.5
San Francisco -9
Pittsburgh +2.5
Cincinnati -1

Tennessee U43.5
Houston O40.5
Baltimore U43
New York [G] O41.5
Denver O41.5
San Francisco U38.5

[Mr. IWS]

SharpSides Investing
8-0 Last 8

Patriots -2

[Mr. IWS]

APPLE HANDICAPPERS
James-Red-Hot-Dotson
5 Dime Very Rare Red-Hot Slammer Play
Phil Eagles-3 Over Dallas Cowboys

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Financial

2 top plays
Buffalo
Phi Over

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Scalleat, Las Vegas handicapper
10/30 CAROLINA PANTHERS (-3.5) over Minnesota Vikings
10/30 BUFFALO BILLS (-6) over Washington Redskins
10/30 New England Patriots (-3) over PITTSBURGH STEELERS