Friday 11/29/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358497

    Friday 11/29/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358497

    #2
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Woodbine
    PURCHASE
    Woodbine - Race 5 Rolling Double / Exacta / 0.20 Trifecta / 0.20 Superfecta 0.20 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)/$1 Swinger
    Claiming $10,000 • 7 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up CR: 77 • Purse: $34,200 • Post: 3:23P
    FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2024 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000, IF FOR $9,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $7,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED FOR ALLOWANCES).
    Contenders Race Analysis
    P# Horse Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds
    Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * LIAM'S AWESOME: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SMILES FOR DAVID: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was wi thin the last ten days. TRICK AND TREAT: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. MRS. HOT SHOT: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. MITOLE POWER: Horse has run a Good R ace within the last 30 days.
    5 LIAM'S AWESOME 6/1 5/1
    4 SMILES FOR DAVID 4/1 6/1
    6 TRICK AND TREAT 20/1 8/1
    8 MRS. HOT SHOT 10/1 8/1
    1 MITOLE POWER 7/2 9/1

    P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
    Line
    Running Style Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
    Figure
    5 LIAM'S AWESOME 5 6/1 Stalker 72 69 53.4 66.8 61.3
    8 MRS. HOT SHOT 8 10/1 Alternator/Stalker 79 71 57.8 53.0 43.5
    1 MITOLE POWER 1 7/2 Alternator/Stalker 75 63 55.2 60.0 51.0
    4 SMILES FOR DAVID 4 4/1 Alternator/Stalker 75 74 53.8 62.2 52.2
    6 TRICK AND TREAT 6 20/1 Alternator/Stalker 70 63 53.6 60.7 49.2
    7 MAKAYLA 7 8/1 Alternator/Stalker 73 63 50.8 49.6 38.6
    2 SECRET GIZMO 2 12/1 Trailer 73 64 39.6 55.4 43.9
    9 GATHER 9 2/1 Alternator/Non-contender 77 78 54.5 51.6 48.1
    3 INITTOWINIT 3 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 58 58 51.2 40.8 24.8
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    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 16966

      #3
      F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Churchill Downs
      Churchill Downs - Race 5 Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8) / Super Hi-5
      Maiden Claiming $20,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 52 • Purse: $42,000 • Post: 2:53P
      FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.
      Contenders Race Analysis
      P# Horse Morn
      Line
      Accept
      Odds
      Race Type: Lone Front-runner. HONEYBEEBOBBIE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * KUKU: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. HON EYBEEBOBBIE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
      4 KUKU 4/1 5/2
      6 HONEYBEEBOBBIE 8/1 4/1
      5 PROTONICA 6/1 8/1

      P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
      Line
      Running Style Good
      Class
      Good
      Speed
      Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
      Figure
      6 HONEYBEEBOBBIE 6 8/1 Front-runner 0 0 69.4 31.2 22.7
      4 KUKU 4 4/1 Alternator/Stalker 57 28 55.4 37.4 33.9
      5 PROTONICA 5 6/1 Alternator/Stalker 42 34 31.2 24.5 16.0
      7 GLORIOUS MUSINGS 7 6/1 Trailer 0 0 10.4 26.5 20.5
      1 LADY RILEY 1 9/2 Alternator/Non-contender 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
      Unknown Running Style: CHAPTER AND VERSE (5/1) [Jockey: Saez Luis - Trainer: Kenneally Eddie], WHAT IF (10/1) [Jockey: Villarreal Oscar - Trainer: Bahena Ismael], SPOT ON COOKIE (8/1) [Jockey: Saez Gabriel - Trainer: Baker James E], LUCKY DUCK (10/1)

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 16966

        #4
        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Del Mar
        Del Mar - Race 7 $1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / 50c Trifecta $2 Rolling Double / 50c Pick Three $1 Superfecta (10c min) / $2 WPS Parlay / $1 3x3
        Stakes • 1 1/2 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 113 • Purse: $200,000 • Post: 3:27P
        HOLLYWOOD TURF CUP S. - GRADE 2 (RAIL AT 24 FEET). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $200 EACH TO ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION, CLOSED THURSDAY NOVEMBER 21,2024 WITH 18 OR BY SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATION OF $2,000 EACH BY THE CLOSING TIME OF ENTRIES. $3,000 ADDITIONAL TO START, WITH $200,000 GUARANTEED, OF WHICH $120,000 TO FIRST, $40,000 TO SECOND, $24,000 TO THIRD, $12,000 TO FOURTH AND $4,000 TO FIFTH. THREE-YEAR-OLDS 122 LBS. OLDER 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A GR I AT ONE MILE OR OVER IN 2023-24 ALLOWED 2 LBS., A GR II AT A MILE OR OVER IN 2023-24, 4 LBS. THIS RACE WILL NOT BE DIVIDED. HIGH WEIGHTS PREFERRED. SECOND PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN TO HORSES PLACED (SECOND OR THIRD) IN A GR I OR GR II IN 2024 OR GR III WINNERS IN 2024. TOTAL NON-CLAIMING EARNINGS IN 2024 WILL BE USED IN DETERMINING THEORDER OF PREFERENCE OF HORSES WITH EQUAL STATUS. A TROPHY WILL BE PRESENTED TO THE WINNING OWNER.
        Contenders Race Analysis
        P# Horse Morn
        Line
        Accept
        Odds
        Race Type: Dominant Trailer. TRULY QUALITY is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TRULY QUALITY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment i s at least +20. CABO SPIRIT: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
        9 BALNIKHOV (IRE) 6/1 4/1
        11 TRULY QUALITY 5/2 5/1
        2 CABO SPIRIT 12/1 9/1

        P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
        Line
        Running Style Good
        Class
        Good
        Speed
        Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
        Figure
        2 CABO SPIRIT 1 12/1 Front-runner 114 101 101.4 101.8 96.3
        6 FEARLESS SOLDIER 5 20/1 Front-runner 103 99 100.8 98.8 86.3
        3 DICEY MO CHARA (GB) 2 4/1 Front-runner 115 101 87.4 102.6 94.1
        8 NINEELEVENTURBO 7 8/1 Stalker 111 109 103.0 97.0 88.5
        5 ROCKEMPEROR (IRE) 4 10/1 Alternator/Stalker 113 107 93.6 104.2 93.7
        11 TRULY QUALITY 10 5/2 Trailer 106 105 104.6 104.6 94.6
        9 BALNIKHOV (IRE) 8 6/1 Trailer 117 108 78.6 104.0 99.0
        4 DIVIN PROPOS (FR) 3 5/1 Trailer 107 104 76.3 100.0 85.5
        10 GOLDENEYE 9 12/1 Alternator/Non-contender 103 100 91.2 96.8 79.3
        7 NONE ABOVE THE LAW 6 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 107 101 89.4 98.8 83.3

        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358497

          #5
          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park
          PURCHASE
          Laurel Park - Race 7 EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 7-8) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (Races 7-8-9)
          Claiming $12,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 84 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 3:17P
          (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR THREE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF THREE RACES ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,000, ALLOWED 4 LBS.
          Contenders Race Analysis
          P# Horse Morn
          Line
          Accept
          Odds
          Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. ART OF COURAGE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ART OF COURAGE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. POINT PELEE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. BORLETTI (IRE): Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
          9 ART OF COURAGE 3/1 3/1
          3 POINT PELEE 6/1 6/1
          10 BORLETTI (IRE) 10/1 9/1

          P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
          Line
          Running Style Good
          Class
          Good
          Speed
          Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
          Figure
          9 ART OF COURAGE 9 3/1 Front-runner 82 86 98.4 82.6 77.1
          4 DREAM RIVER 4 8/1 Front-runner 82 79 87.0 67.2 52.7
          2 RUFFNER 2 20/1 Front-runner 76 72 75.2 62.0 44.5
          1 RYE DIGGITYDOG 1 10/1 Front-runner 83 78 54.5 34.8 19.8
          3 POINT PELEE 3 6/1 Alternator/Front-runner 80 72 85.6 79.0 69.5
          6 NANCY MADE MY DAY 6 5/2 Alternator/Stalker 78 81 64.2 69.4 59.9
          10 BORLETTI (IRE) 10 10/1 Alternator/Stalker 93 89 63.4 78.8 74.3
          7 BOX N BEN 7 12/1 Alternator/Stalker 77 80 61.4 72.6 59.1
          5 SILVERBULLETTWENTY 5 8/1 Alternator/Trailer 81 81 52.0 76.4 68.9
          8 RASCALLY REBEL 8 12/1 Alternator/Trailer 83 72 43.4 66.2 54.7
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          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 16966

            #6

            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts






            Turf Paradise - Race #5 - Post: 2:40pm - Maiden Optional Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 81

            Rating:

            #2 HIGHLY DESIRABLE (IRE) (ML=2/1)
            #7 MOCKTAILS ANYONE (ML=3/1)


            HIGHLY DESIRABLE (IRE) - Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this horse is meeting an easier bunch than last race out at Santa Anita. This animal has the speed, and no one may be able to keep up with her. This filly likes to be near the lead. Today's race is a shorter trip and should enhance her chances. The latest rating of 83 is the top last race speed rating in the field. MOCKTAILS ANYONE - I like this filly a lot here. She shows a lot of consistency, finishing in the money frequently. This filly's has a great shot against these thoroughbreds in today's contest. Her handler has an excellent win percentage when moving horses from the dirt to the turf.

            Vulnerable Contenders: #6 SHE'S MUY MUY (ML=4/1), #5 MAGENS BAY (ML=5/1), #3 CLASSY LASS (ML=6/1),

            SHE'S MUY MUY - Hasn't been doing anything at all recently. Finished fifth in her most recent race with a common speed fig. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this field. MAGENS BAY - This filly didn't do too much last time. This filly recorded a speed figure in her last event which likely isn't good enough in today's event. CLASSY LASS - Don't think this steed is worth 6/1 in this affair.

            GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - MOCKTAILS ANYONE - I like to check out the TrackMaster Platinum PPs to look for the top thoroughbred in earnings per start. This horse looks good to me so I'm making a prime bet on her.


            STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #2 HIGHLY DESIRABLE (IRE) on the nose if you can get odds of 6/5 or more
            EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,7]
            TRIFECTA WAGERS: None
            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358497

              #7

              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

              PURCHASE





              Parx Racing - Race #9 - Post: 3:51pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 68

              Rating:

              #1 SENSIBLE MARRIAGE (ML=4/1)


              SENSIBLE MARRIAGE - The Oct 16th event at Presque Isle Downs was at a class level of (73). Dropping down in class considerably, so she should be in a good spot. You have to like that last race speed rating, 65, which is the highest most recent race speed rating of this field.

              Vulnerable Contenders: #9 MARIA SAYS SO (ML=7/2), #4 ONTHISHARVESTMOON (ML=5/1), #5 JOB'S NOT FINISHED (ML=6/1),

              MARIA SAYS SO - Didn't hit the board on Oct 14th at Parx Racing. Followed it up with another less than stellar outing. ONTHISHARVESTMOON - This thoroughbred just hasn't looked sharp recently. Tough to bet on a racer that loses so frequently. JOB'S NOT FINISHED - Equibase speed figures of 51/33/30 are going on a downward course. If you keep selecting these kind of 'hanger' types, you're going to be dissatisfied most every time. Finished second in her most recent race with a pedestrian speed rating. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this bunch.
              STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #1 SENSIBLE MARRIAGE to win if you can get at least 1/1 odds
              EXACTA WAGERS: 1 with [4,6]
              TRIFECTA WAGERS: Pass
              SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 16966

                #8

                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.


                Race 8 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $12700 Class Rating: 71

                FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE MAY 29, 2024. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 29 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                # 2 THENCOMEMORNING 7/2
                # 10 A GIRL NAMED JAC 6/1
                # 5 BOUNDTOBEOK 4/1
                THENCOMEMORNING looks to be a very good contender. She must be given a shot given the very good speed numbers. Her chances to win are much better today facing this easier lot. Is difficult not to consider given the company run in recently. A GIRL NAMED JAC - Earnings per start in dirt sprint races is formidable for this racer. Has some interesting handicapping angles which make this one a play. BOUNDTOBEOK - This horse has a excellent win percent in dirt sprints. Will almost certainly compete admirably in the early speed battle which bodes well with this group.

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 16966

                  #9

                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.


                  Race 6 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $40000 Class Rating: 100

                  FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 29 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 29 ALLOWED 4 LBS.
                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 2 BREAKABLE CODE 3/5
                  # 1 LAKE BEE 5/2
                  # 4 MISTER WAYSIDE 6/1
                  I like BREAKABLE CODE here. Looks formidable for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid figs in dirt sprint races lately. Make a note that this horse runs on Lasix today. Recently Eramia has been on fire which may give the edge to this gelding. LAKE BEE - Look for a formidable pace improvement from this racer who enters on Lasix today. Tough to pass on this gelding with Alvarez in the saddle. MISTER WAYSIDE - Should go off at a solid price and has some positive things going for him. This gelding has a strong win percentage in dirt sprint races.

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 16966

                    #10
                    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts






                    Churchill Downs - Race #5 - Post: 2:53pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $42,000 Class Rating: 52

                    Rating:

                    #5 PROTONICA (ML=6/1)
                    #7 GLORIOUS MUSINGS (ML=6/1)


                    PROTONICA - Garcia has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to be wary of the longer priced half. GLORIOUS MUSINGS - Canuto rode this animal for the initial time last out and comes right back this time. Trainer Holden moves this horse down in class ranks to face a weaker class today. Look for a solid race given the class advantage.

                    Vulnerable Contenders: #4 KUKU (ML=4/1), #1 LADY RILEY (ML=9/2), #2 CHAPTER AND VERSE (ML=5/1),

                    KUKU - This horse hasn't been around in either of her last two efforts. LADY RILEY - Didn't finish in the money on August 17th at Ellis Park. Followed it up with another lackluster outing. Hard to support any animal with declining speed ratings of 48/36/25. CHAPTER AND VERSE - Trying to beat this horse this time out at the price of 5/1.
                    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #5 PROTONICA to win. Have to have odds of at least 6/5 or better though
                    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [5,7]
                    TRIFECTA WAGERS: Skip
                    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
                    SUPER HI-5 WAGERS: None

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 16966

                      #11
                      Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Dayton Raceway
                      P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                      RACE 12
                      1 1 DANCIN FOR DOLLARS 7/2 Miller, Brett - 13 417.59
                      5 5 FUDDY DUDDY 9/2 Page, Chris - 14 406.94
                      3 3 APRIL HILL HIGH 5/2 Noble, Dan - 23 402.62
                      4 4 SISTERMARYSTIGMATA 8/1 Deaton, Tim - 5 399.04
                      7 7 GAYLE'S BEACH GIRL 8/1 Kauffman, Kayne - 8 384.21
                      2 2 TWINKYS BEBE 8/1 Smith, Trevor - 10 370.27
                      8 8 JDS CHANCEY ALLIE 6/1 Smith, Tyler - 11 368.80
                      9 9 GREYSTONE VIVIAN 15/1 Mccown, Cameron - 8 326.75
                      6 6 WIGGLESNWINE 12/1 Hanners, Austin - 8 319.98

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 16966

                        #12
                        Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Hoosier Park

                        Always check program numbers.
                        Odds shown are morning line odds.

                        Race 9 - Post: 6:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 92 - Purse:$15200 - OPEN 3 / OPEN 4 NO. 10 STARTS FROM 2ND TIER OFF TIME 6:40
                        CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                        # 6 SOARING NOW 3/1
                        # 8 BROOKVIEW BULLET 9/2
                        # 7 A COOL MOMENT 8/1
                        Hard not to think about SOARING NOW as the top pick for this one. This nice horse looks very good. Check out the 94 average speed rating. Has a very strong shot today, if he can perform to his back class. High winning figure makes this contender an excellent pick to take home the dough. BROOKVIEW BULLET - Feel the need for speed, this standardbred has been turning in some excellent speed ratings averaging around 93. Top driver/trainer partnership, with one of the strongest ROI percents in this grouping. A COOL MOMENT - Might be there at a nice price tag. Very likely one to keep in your exotics.

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 16966

                          #13
                          Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Freehold Raceway
                          P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                          RACE 1
                          2 2 THANEEYA 2/1 Siegelman, Austin - 20 409.62
                          5 5 CUTTING HUMOR 6/1 Huckabone, Justin - 18 380.61
                          4 4 SANTAFE'S MJ 5/1 Foley, James - 6 376.46
                          1 1 REACHIN FOR HEAVEN 9/2 Llopez, Ivan - 9 373.52
                          3 3 LOVELY LADY MAY 7/1 Herschberger, Mark - 11 357.12
                          6 6 RED DAWN 6/1 Solomon, Jim King - 6 356.59
                          7 7 JUST RENEE 9/1 Cutting, Jacob - 7 303.31

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 16966

                            #14
                            Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Woodbine Mohawk Park

                            Always check program numbers.
                            Odds shown are morning line odds.

                            Race 6 - Post: 9:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 82 - Purse:$18000 - FILLIES & MARES, NW $8,000 LAST 5 OR $22,600 LAST 10 STARTS. AE: NW $18,250 IN 2024. AE: N/A $2,800 P/S IN 2023-2024. AE: OPT. CLM. $50,000.
                            CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                            # 6 CHEESY SMILE 5/1
                            # 8 LYONS BETTORDAY 2/1
                            # 5 BLINDED BY DELIGHT 10/1
                            Hard not to strongly consider CHEESY SMILE as the top choice here. That 82 TrackMaster SR clocked in the most recent outing puts this horse in the mix today. LYONS BETTORDAY - With a 85 avg class number, this nice horse has one of the most compelling class advantages in the field of starters. Very nice driver/trainer, winning 31 percent of the time. Looks to be a tremendous bet. BLINDED BY DELIGHT - Chances are greatly increased for solid standardbreds coming from the 5 post at Woodbine Mohawk Park. This mare getting the trip to the winner's circle wouldn't be impossible, a chance.

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 16966

                              #15
                              Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


                              Fair Grounds - Race #6
                              #5 The Jig Is Up He might offer an OK midrange price off the Horseshoe Indianapolis tries, and he has the right kind of positional speed to be in a spot to get first jump at the turn in. Enough to like today.
                              #6 Initialize Modest debut run from him in Lexington last month, but he's back with blinkers and that experience under his belt, and this doesn't feel like the deepest turf special weight spot we're going to see early this season. Capable.
                              #1 Sicilian Defense He owns a couple running lines that would probably do the trick against a questionable bunch, but I have a mild worry about the way he has given away ground late in his last two and how he might do it again today if the pressing types don't back off him too long.
                              Race Summary The Jig Is Up should be in a good spot right up on Sicilian Defense, and I am thinking his recent lines will transfer well enough here while offering a playable price.
                              Fair Grounds - Race #7
                              #2 Chapel Street She ran on well in the debut despite not having the easiest trip that day, so there might be some reasonable upside this time around for a barn that excels in these kinds of local spots. Start with her.
                              #4 Exington She has been kind of a grinder so far, but that may play well enough here as she makes her third start against a group of fillies still trying to punch their tickets to the upcoming stakes series here. Tough read, but she wouldn't surprise.
                              #6 My Sweet Love She should be in a good spot near the top in a race without a ton of serious early burn, and she has at least turned in a few consistent tries ahead of this since getting around two turns.
                              Race Summary Chapel Street has the right profile to score here for a top team as she brings a useful debut line with her. Exington is the wildcard for me -- wouldn't be a shock to see her move way up in a hurry today.
                              Fair Grounds - Race #9
                              #8 From Scratch She gets Louisiana breds for the first time today, and she has a little bit of positional pace in a race that doesn't have a ton of pace lined up. Something like the two-back tracking run might do the job.
                              #1 Mo Diva She's back off the bench after a few decent tries here going long last season, and I wonder if she'll be along too late today while setting herself up to graduate around two turns next out.
                              #9 Girl From De Bayou I worry that she doesn't have a lot of legit sprint speed, but she might be able to hustle enough to get in the mix at this trip if nobody else forces the issue too much early. Bit of a reach, but there's a chance she runs them off their feet.
                              Race Summary From Scratch brings a couple of interesting tries with her to this one, and I think the move in with Louisiana-bred friends is going to do the trick for her today.

                              Comment

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