11-3-11

[Mr. IWS]

DCI NHL

Season: 45-47 (.489)

Winnipeg vs. N.Y. ISLANDERS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Anaheim vs. N.Y. RANGERS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
PHILADELPHIA 3, New Jersey 2
Toronto vs. COLUMBUS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Chicago 3, FLORIDA 2
DETROIT 3, Calgary 2
Vancouver 3, MINNESOTA 2
Nashville vs. PHOENIX: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
LOS ANGELES 3, Edmonton 2
SAN JOSE 3, Pittsburgh 2

[Mr. IWS]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

745- 547 57 % Free Play Run over 3 YEARS

Free play Over 44 BC/Fla.St over the total

[Mr. IWS]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Thursday

Miami, Oh -14

[Mr. IWS]

CRUSHER for 11/3

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Football Crusher
Play of the Day:
Central Florida + Tulsa OVER 48

Soccer Crusher
Play of the Day:
All Boys Floresta + Independiente UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Argentina

Hockey Crusher
Play of the Day:
Philadelphia Flyers -160 over New Jersey Devils

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Tulsa/ UCF Under 48.5: 2.2 ppg. That's all you need to know. LOL. Just kidding, but it is an important number, as that is how many ppg the Knights have allowed in their 4 home games. Oh sure they haven't played an offense of this caliber at home yet, but this is still a very good defense. The Knights come in ranked 3rd in overall defense (245 ypg) and 5th in points allowed (14.2 ppg), plus tyhey are ranked 5th vs both the pass (160.9 ypg) and the run (84.5 ypg). This is one tough defense that does have the ability to slow down this strong Tulsa offense. The Knights did struggle some with the SMU offense, but that was on the road and this one is at home on national TV. this defense will be fired up. RThe Tulsa defense is no where near as strong, but they have allowed just 15.7 ppg and 332 ypg in their last 3 games and they are off a game where they held a very strong SMU offense to just 265 yards and 7 points. And yes that's the same SMU offense that hit the Knights for 440 yards and 38 poits a few games ago. The Knights though are not great on offense as they have scored 17 or fewer points in 4 of their last 6 games and they have put up just 22.1 ppg vs FBS teams this year. This is a team not bent on using their offense to win games as they try and wear you down with the ground game and defense, and that eats clock. There could be some offense in this one, but i keep looking at that 2.2 ppg the Knights allow at home and I just don't see Tuolsa getting many p[oints vs this defense, while the Knights conservative offense will keep them from putting up a tone of points as well. Look for a game in the mid 30's here.

2 UNIT PLAY

Florida State -14.5 over BOSTON COLLEGE: At the beginning of the year i pegged the Noles as one of the 2 best teams in the ACC and they are starting to play like the best. Since the return of EJ Manuel from injury, the Noles have gone 3-0 SU & ATS and have outscoured their opponents by 28 ppg and in those 3 games EJ has hit 70.2% of his passes for 824 yards with 5 TD's and just 2 INT's. Tonight he has the luxury of taking on a bad pass defense as the Eagles come in allowing 252.2 ypg through the air (96th) and they have allowed 64.2% pass completions (96th). The Noles will also look to get their running game going vs a BC defense that has allowed 197 ypg on the ground and 5.1 ypc in their their last 3 games. Ok we know the BC defense is bad, but their offense is just as bad ranking 104th overall, 101st in passing and 107th in scoring. Those are really noyt good rankings when you're about to face the bext defense in the ACC. The Noles are strong in just about every facet of their defense, as they 8th in total defense (276 ypg), 12th in points allowed (16.9 ppg), third in the nation in sacks (3.6 per game), fourth in rushing defense (77 YPG) and sixth in Tackles For Loss (8.0 per game), pus they have allowed just 158 total yards rushing 1.7 ypc in their last 3 games. I just don't see this BC offense putting enough points on the board to keep this one close vs an FSU team that is flat out rolling right now. KEY TRENDS--- BC is just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games, while the road team has gone 5-1 the last 6.


FREE NHL PLAY FOR 11/3/2011: We'll fade New Jersey once again tonight, and make a small play on the Philadelphia Flyers on home ice at -160. The Flyers entered this season 13-5 in their last 18 games vs the Devils and already knocked them off 3-0 a few weeks ago in New Jersey. The Devils have been horrible, especially on the road where they've only won two of their last ten contests. The Flyers are averaging 3.73 goals/game while the Devils are averaging just 2.00 goals/game. New Jersey is showing that they no longer have that elite goaltending that enabled them to be a contender even with their dismal offensive production. Brodeur is a Hall of Famer and a class act. But he is now 39 yrs old and 22 years in the crease will take it's toll on any goaltender. He had his first start in over two weeks (shoulder injury) last night vs Toronto and surrendered 5 goals on 28 shots. Both clubs will be in their second game of back-to-back nights. However, New Jersey had its hands full with the red hot Toronto Maple Leafs, while the Flyers were somewhat on cruise control in Buffalo after scoring 3 first period goals off of all star Goalie Ryan Miller. We're not normally big fans of high money lines like this. With a moneyline of -150, you have to win 3 out of every 5 wagers just to break even. But knowing that the Flyers are 20-8 in their last 28 home games vs the Devils, mathematically this line actually holds value on Philadelphia on anything less than -250. Play the Philadelphia Flyers at home.

[Mr. IWS]

Cappers Access

Boston College
C. Florida

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* C. Florida -1

50* Akron +14

[Mr. IWS]

LT Profits

NCAAF
Florida State/Boston College OVER 45.5 -105

[Mr. IWS]

Today's NHL Picks

Anaheim at NY Rangers

The Ducks look to take advantage of a New York team that is 0-6 in its last 6 games as a favorite. Anaheim is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+125). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 3 Time Posted 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: Winnipeg at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 10.055; NY Islanders 11.572 Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-135); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (-135); Over

Game 3-4: Anaheim at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 11.367; NY Rangers 10.514 Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-145); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+125); Under

Game 5-6: New Jersey at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 10.846; Philadelphia 11.356 Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-165); 5 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-165); Over

Game 7-8: Toronto at Columbus (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.624; Columbus 10.955 Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-110); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-110); Under

Game 9-10: Chicago at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 10.840; Florida 11.946 Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-140); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Florida (+120); Under

Game 11-12: Calgary at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.740; Detroit 10.548 Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-200); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+170); Over

Game 13-14: Vancouver at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.678; Minnesota 12.007 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-130); 5 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+110); Under

Game 15-16: Nashville at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 12.518; Phoenix 11.412 Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1; 5 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-120); 5 Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+100); Over

Game 17-18: Pittsburgh at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 10.679; San Jose 12.339 Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-140); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-140); Over

Game 19-20: Edmonton at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 12.338; Los Angeles 11.530 Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-175); 5 Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+155); Under

[Mr. IWS]

Prediction Machine

Florida St over 44 57.1%
Tulsa +1.5 54.8%
Florida St -14.5 54.4%
Tulsa Under 48.5 53.7%
Akron over 47.5 53.25

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

Pittsburgh +126 over SAN JOSE Pinnacle
Lots to like about the Pens here and it starts with goaltending. Marc Andre Fleury has been brilliant while Anti Niemi is average, always has been and always will be. Niemi is often down on his knees and deep in the crease before a shot is even taken and that puts him in an extremely vulnerable position over and over again. Furthermore, the Sharks return home from a grueling six-games in 10 nights road trip. Fatigue is an issue and the Penguins are about the last team anyone would want to see upon returning home from a long trip because they’re physical, disciplined and they’ll methodically wear you down. Pittsburgh has won five of six and they come in here well rested after playing in Toronto on Saturday night. The Sharkies are solid and they’re always going to be tough to beat but this is not a favorable spot for them. The Pens are always a live dog and with a big edge in net and with a strong situational edge too, the Pens are certainly worthy of a close look here. Play: Pittsburgh +126 (Risking 2 units).

N.Y. ISLANDERS -½ +120 over Winnipeg (REG) Pinnacle
Winnipeg has won two of its last three and three of its last five but that’s somewhat of an illusion. They beat Philly only because they scored nine goals on 25 shots otherwise they may have lost 8-1 after Philly scored eight goals on 45 shots. The Jets caught the Panthers returning home from a trip and scored a late goal to send it into OT and subsequently win it in OT. No team in the NHL gives up more scoring chances and with Tobias Enstrom and a couple of other regular D-men on the rack, things aren’t about to get better anytime soon. The Islanders stock is low after five straight losses and that provides us with a “buy low” opportunity. A close look reveals that the Islanders last three losses came against the Pens twice and the Sharks and two of those three games went into OT. Now the Islanders, a team in a foul mood, will take a big step down in class against these Jets. Reports are that their practices over the past few days have been upbeat and spirited and they’ll take that to the ice against a beatable Jets team playing their fourth straight on the road. Play: N.Y. Islanders -½ +120 (Risking 2 units).

Edmonton +154 over LOS ANGELES Pinnacle
Despite a very decent 6-3-2 record, The Kings have not looked that sharp and have now dropped three of their past four games. They could snap out of it at any time and but until they do, they’re a good fade as a big fav. What’s really appealing about the Oilers, aside from the tag, is they embark on a six game trip beginning here and will play 10 of its next 12 on the road. This is a crucial stretch for them and the first game of said trip sets the tone. Regardless of whether they win or lose, the effort and will to win will be present. Also, the Oilers lost all four games to the Kings last season and they have to be sick of losing to them. This is a different Oilers team this season. They’re finding ways to win whereas a year ago they were finding ways to lose. That’s a huge change in mindset and let’s not ignore that the Oilers have won five in a row and they didn’t beat a bunch of cellar dwellers either. The Oilers five wins came against the Blue Notes, Rangers, Caps, Canucks and Avalanche and that’s a serious group of playoff contenders. It’s a good spot for the Oil at a great price, as a young and talented club that gets on a roll is a dangerous team. Play: Edmonton +154 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton Thursday's Action
30 Dime Thursday Winner # 7 of 8 goes toniaht from Chestnut Hill, as I back the Florida State Seminoles as the road favolorite agaicst the Boston College Eagles. As I release this winner to you, Florida State is a 14 1/2-point favorite both here in Vegas and offshore.





10 Dime Bonus Winner is Akron as the road dog versus Miami-Ohio As I release this winner to you, Akron is 14-point underdog in this MAC game both here in Vegas and offshore.

[Mr. IWS]

Dom Chambers
Today's winners ...

My 50 Dime play is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane as a road dog to cover agaanst Central Florida. Checkling out the sports books in Las Vegas at 6 a.m., Central Florida is a 1 1/2-point favocite.

[Mr. IWS]

Bryan Leonard | CFB Side

dime bet 306 Miami (Ohio) -14.0 (-110) Hilton vs 305 Akron

[Mr. IWS]

VR : Central Florida -1.5