ATS Blitz Newsletter - 3* Best Bet Virginia
11-5-11
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Sports Wagers
ALABAMA –4½ over LSU PINNACLE
8:00 PM EST. LSU is an outstanding, well-coached team with a top-flight defense and a powerful running game. Unfortunately for the Tigers, this game doesn't really have much to do with them. Alabama is a championship team on a championship mission, and LSU is simply in the way. Alabama's defense is absolutely not "one of" the best in the country. It is not simply the nation's best in 2011, but rather a once-in-a-generation defense. That's not hyperbole. It's also what we should expect given the Crimson Tide's perfect set of circumstances. The sport's top defensive coaching staff in terms of both scheme and technique is, in its fifth year, at the very pinnacle of its recruiting and player development machine. The Alabama defense was a top-five unit last season with a lineup full of newbies. This year, with experienced, fully developed and uber-talented upperclassmen manning nearly every spot on the two-deep, the Tide stop unit is setting a new standard. When elite coaching combines with elite talent and maximum experience at an elite program with unlimited resources … well, that's exactly how once-in-a-generation defenses are made. Add in the nation's best offensive line and backfield duo, and you have a championship-caliber team. The home-field advantage will also be unprecedented, as this will be the loudest and most intimidating crowd in Bryant-Denny Stadium history. LSU's defense is fantastic, but its reckless style relies on rattling the opposing offense, then feeding on the resulting turnovers and miscues -- mistakes that an experienced, disciplined and prepared Alabama team simply will not make at home. The Tide roll in this one and leave nothing in doubt. Play: #360 Alabama –4½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).
WASHINGTON +16½ over Oregon PINNACLE
10:30 PM EST. Oregon is laying big weight on the road thanks to a porous Washington run defense that just allowed an incredible 446 rushing yards to Stanford. While the Huskies' “D” will indeed be a liability again against the potent Ducks, this big pooch may be able to trade blows with the favorite. The Oregon defense is vulnerable to physical play, and Washington can line up and pound the ball with big tailback Chris Polk. The Huskies have won five straight at home to move coach Steve Sarkisian to 12-4 in Seattle, and this week is a special occasion, as the 1991 championship team will be honored in the final game in Husky Stadium before a $250 million renovation. Severe weather could limit the explosiveness of an Oregon offense that has been a little out of sync due to injuries to its key performers, and the Dawgs may be able to trade punches well enough to stay in this one a lot longer than they have the past few years. You’re always going to pay a premium to wager on highly ranked, high scoring teams and even more so now with ranked teams covering a high percentage this season and thus, the books have inflated the numbers more. Play: #362 Washington +16½ (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
Northwestern +18 over NEBRASKA SportsInteraction
3:30 PM EST. This is such a good fade against an overrated Nebraska team that is 0-4 as a double-digit home favorite this year and is getting far too much credit for beating Michigan State in what was an awful spot for the Spartans. Spardy had just come off back-to-back wins over Michigan and Wisconsin and it was no surprise to see them lay an egg against the Huskers. Northwestern is more vulnerable to good passing attacks than rushing teams, and the Cats have enough firepower to get on the board a few times. The Wildcats have had some outstanding first halves against some pretty tough teams this season before melting down in second half and they’re not taking a step up in class here. Not only are the Cornhuskers beatable and overrated, they’re in a bad spot after that win against MSU. Play: Northwestern +17½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).
New Mexico St +34½ over GEORGIA PINNACLE
12:30 PM EST. Georgia is a solid outfit that could back into an SEC East title, but the Dawgs are down to their fifth-string tailback and have no business laying five scores in the week between the Florida and Auburn showdowns. Football is all about focus and intensity and the Bulldogs are likely to show up in body only here. Even if they run up the score, chances are they’ll ease up in the seond half in preparation for next week’s showdown. New Mexico State is not in Georgia's class by any stretch, but the Aggies are not the same punchless offense that took the field in 2009 and 2010. One trip to the end zone might be plenty for a game in which Georgia may have trouble even scoring the number. Play: #321 New Mexico St +34½ (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).Comment
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PHD Picks
Connecticut O44.5
Ohio State O52
Iowa O58
Florida O44.5
Maryland O52.5
North Carolina State O55
Miami Florida O56.5
Kentucky O45
Rice O57
East Carolina O58
California O56
Rutgers O49
Baylor U73.5
Tennessee U55
Arkansas O51.5
UCLA O56.5
Wake Forest O55.5
Oklahoma State O70
San Diego State O57
Alabama O41
Fresno State O58.5
Hawaii O59.5
Maryland +3
North Carolina -3.5
Duke +15.5Comment
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THE GOLD SHEET'S FB LTS
TODAY'S TOP PLAYS FROM THE OLDEST AND MOST RESPECTED
SPORTS ADVISORY COMPANY IN THE WORLD!
Updated 11/04/11
SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 5
COLLEGE FB
TOP CHOICE 1 1/2 units OHIO STATE (-27 1/2) -home over Indiana 9:00 AM PDT
LOUISVILLE (+13 1/2) over West Virginia -home 9:00 AM PDT
"OVER" 61 1 /2 points TEXAS TECH at TEXAS 9:00 AM PDT (time change)
WASHINGTON (+16 1/2) -home over Oregon 7:30 PM PDT (time change)
ARIZONA (-3 1/2) -home over Utah 4:00 PM PDT (time change)
HAWAII (-3 1/2) -home over Utah State 9:00 PM PDT
ARKANSAS STATE (-17) over Florida Atlantic -home 1:00 PM PDT (time change)Comment
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Red Dog Sports
2* Basketball Pick
Strasbourg at Chalon Saone
France men's hoops
3pm eastern Sat. (11/5)
Strasbourg +7.5
I like the visitors +7.5 as they are led by former Univ. of Richmond players Kevin Anderson and Justin Harper. They should be motivated as they will be facing Chalon Saone's Malcolm Delaney, who attended Virginia Tech.
The home team is 3-1 and have wins by 4, 9 and 2 points while Strasbourg is just 2-2 but their losses were by just 7 and 5 points. I think we see the underdog stay winthin 7 points.
Strasbourg +7.5Comment

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