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Jack Jones
Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Pittsburgh Steelers +10 -115
I was on the Ravens -6 early in their 34-17 win over the Steelers on December 21st. They closed as 7.5-point favorites. A big reason I was on the Ravens was because the Steelers were going to be without WR George Pickens, who is arguably their most important player on offense.
Now the Ravens are 10-point home favorites in the rematch, a big adjustment up from that game just three weeks ago. This despite the fact that the Steelers now have a healthy Pickens and the Ravens will be without their most important receiver in Zay Flowers this time around. There's clearly value with the Steelers as 10-point underdogs here.
Pickens has 59 receptions for 900 yards and 3 TD for the Steelers this season. He is their deep threat and allows the Steelers to use the entire field when he is healthy. Flowers has 74 receptions for 1,059 yards and 4 TD and a huge 24.1% target share for the Ravens this season. Baltimore is much easier to defend without his playmaking ability on the field.
The Steelers were going in for a 7-point lead when Russell Wilson fumbled inside the 5-yard line in that Baltimore game three weeks ago. It was still a 7-point game in the 4th quarter despite not having Pickens, and despite losing CB Joey Porter Jr. (70 tackles) early in that contest. Both will be healthy for this rematch. The Steelers also didn't have DT Larry Ogunjobi (41 tackles, 6.5 for loss) for that game, and they will have him for this game. They are basically as healthy as they can possibly be right now.
Pittsburgh is better at defending Lamar Jackson than any other team in the NFL thanks in large part to being so familiar with him. The underdog is 29-11-3 ATS in 42 meetings between the Steelers and Ravens over the last 20 years. The underdog is 16-3-1 ATS since 2015. Pittsburgh is 8-1 ATS in franchise history as an underdog of 4 points or more in this series. Bet the Steelers Saturday.
Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Pittsburgh Steelers +10 -115
I was on the Ravens -6 early in their 34-17 win over the Steelers on December 21st. They closed as 7.5-point favorites. A big reason I was on the Ravens was because the Steelers were going to be without WR George Pickens, who is arguably their most important player on offense.
Now the Ravens are 10-point home favorites in the rematch, a big adjustment up from that game just three weeks ago. This despite the fact that the Steelers now have a healthy Pickens and the Ravens will be without their most important receiver in Zay Flowers this time around. There's clearly value with the Steelers as 10-point underdogs here.
Pickens has 59 receptions for 900 yards and 3 TD for the Steelers this season. He is their deep threat and allows the Steelers to use the entire field when he is healthy. Flowers has 74 receptions for 1,059 yards and 4 TD and a huge 24.1% target share for the Ravens this season. Baltimore is much easier to defend without his playmaking ability on the field.
The Steelers were going in for a 7-point lead when Russell Wilson fumbled inside the 5-yard line in that Baltimore game three weeks ago. It was still a 7-point game in the 4th quarter despite not having Pickens, and despite losing CB Joey Porter Jr. (70 tackles) early in that contest. Both will be healthy for this rematch. The Steelers also didn't have DT Larry Ogunjobi (41 tackles, 6.5 for loss) for that game, and they will have him for this game. They are basically as healthy as they can possibly be right now.
Pittsburgh is better at defending Lamar Jackson than any other team in the NFL thanks in large part to being so familiar with him. The underdog is 29-11-3 ATS in 42 meetings between the Steelers and Ravens over the last 20 years. The underdog is 16-3-1 ATS since 2015. Pittsburgh is 8-1 ATS in franchise history as an underdog of 4 points or more in this series. Bet the Steelers Saturday.
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