Saturday 2/8/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 16966

    #16
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Oaklawn Park
    Oaklawn Park - Race 2 Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Cent Trifecta / .10 Cent Superfecta .50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) / .50 Cent Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5)
    Claiming $12,500 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 90 • Purse: $33,000 • Post: 1:00P
    FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 8, 2024 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 8, 2024 ALLOWED 5 LBS. (HORSES WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 3 LBS.) CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,000, ALLOWED 3 LBS.
    Contenders Race Analysis
    P# Horse Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds
    Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * AARON: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the high est TrackMaster Power Rating. K CROWN: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. J T'S IMAGINATION: Horse ranks in the top three in T rackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SEAS OF NORMANDY: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
    5 AARON 4/1 5/1
    1A K CROWN 7/2 6/1
    6 J T'S IMAGINATION 5/2 6/1
    3 SEAS OF NORMANDY 9/2 8/1

    P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
    Line
    Running Style Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
    Figure
    11 POINT BLANK 12 20/1 Front-runner 83 74 76.2 71.0 50.0
    1A K CROWN 8 7/2 Front-runner 94 84 54.2 76.4 68.4
    6 J T'S IMAGINATION 6 5/2 Stalker 91 85 68.4 82.8 75.3
    3 SEAS OF NORMANDY 2 9/2 Alternator/Stalker 89 86 84.8 76.2 66.7
    5 AARON 4 4/1 Alternator/Stalker 94 93 61.7 75.0 70.5
    1 CONTRABANDISTA 5 7/2 Trailer 81 79 56.8 77.4 62.4
    4 HEY BOSS 3 6/1 Trailer 88 85 55.6 76.8 67.8
    2 CAWKAB 1 10/1 Alternator/Non-contender 93 71 76.2 73.0 63.5
    8 MANSOURA 9 50/1 Alternator/Non-contender 67 65 69.2 53.8 30.3
    10 BLESSED VISION 11 15/1 Alternator/Non-contender 83 74 54.3 46.6 28.6
    7 FIGHT'N READY 7 30/1 Alternator/Non-contender 97 82 45.0 70.6 60.6
    9 MYSTIFIER 10 30/1 Alternator/Non-contender 79 75 40.0 58.7 40.2

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 16966

      #17

      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


      Charles Town - Race #7 - Post: 10:02pm - Optional Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $29,700 Class Rating: 83

      Rating:

      #1 STRYDA (ML=2/1)


      STRYDA - I like to see when a thoroughbred has a recent work at the same trip or farther of a race. Not much pace in this race other than this pony. Mendez is back for another race today after riding aboard this horse for the first ride on January 2nd and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. This pace horse could take the lead quickly. My guess is she'll take a shot at wiring the field. This thoroughbred loves the track here at Charles Town.

      Vulnerable Contenders: #4 FULL MOON LOVER (ML=9/5), #6 MANAROLA (ML=4/1), #3 ALPINE MOON (ML=9/2),

      FULL MOON LOVER - This entrant hasn't been on the track since January 2nd. Not even any morning activity. MANAROLA - The lack of morning drills has to make one concerned despite the nice performance in the last race. Notched a most unsatisfactory speed figure last time around the track in a $15,000 Optional Claiming race on January 2nd. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that rating. ALPINE MOON - Hasn't hit the board in any sprint races recently. Unlikely to see her doing it this time around either.

      GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - STRYDA - One of the class angles that my amigo Solo and I play, is to look at the lifetime earnings per start. This racer is utmost in my book.


      STRAIGHT WAGERS: #1 STRYDA is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better
      EXACTA WAGERS: 1 with [5,6]
      TRIFECTA WAGERS: Skip
      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 16966

        #18

        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.


        Race 4 - Claiming - 110y on the Dirt. Purse: $7800 Class Rating: 68

        QUARTER HORSE 110Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.
        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        # 1 TEE IRISH JAMESON 12/1
        # 3 POLLY WAGON 3/1
        # 6 WHATA JESSIE 2/1
        I think TEE IRISH JAMESON is a very good pick and is a very good value bet given the line at 12/1. This gelding with Luna in the saddle makes him a contender. Has been running soundly lately and will almost certainly be up near the lead early on. Could beat this group given the 68 Equibase Speed Figure posted in his last outing. POLLY WAGON - Looks very good to be on or close to the front end at the first call. Should expect a much stronger attempt with the drop. WHATA JESSIE - Is a solid contender - given the 66 Equibase Speed Fig from her most recent race. Has to be given consideration versus this group displaying very good numbers lately and an average speed rating of 53 under similar conditions.

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 16966

          #19
          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


          Fair Grounds - Race #1 - Post: 5:00pm - Maiden Special - 5.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $58,000 Class Rating: 75

          Rating:

          #11 ROMEO SPIKES (ML=7/2)


          ROMEO SPIKES - This gelding is in top physical condition right now. Ended up second last time out and comes back soon. Great chance for this horse. Big late speed and should have good position. Just view his last rating, 76. That one looks good in this bunch.

          Vulnerable Contenders: #7 THE WICKED CAT (ML=3/1), #3 BANDIDO DEAL (ML=7/2), #2 LASER CLAD (ML=4/1),

          THE WICKED CAT - Hard to take this racer at the odds after the finish (seventh) in the last event. BANDIDO DEAL - Trying to beat this thoroughbred this time out at the price of 7/2. LASER CLAD - I just don't possess a good vibe about this questionable contender in this contest.

          GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - ROMEO SPIKES - With speed figures of 70 and 76, this steed is showing much improvement.


          STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #11 ROMEO SPIKES on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds
          EXACTA WAGERS: 11 with [8,12]
          TRIFECTA WAGERS: 11 with [8,12] with [3,5,8,12] Total Cost: $6
          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: 11 with [5,8,12] with [3,5,6,8,12] with [3,5,6,8,12] Total Cost: $36

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 16966

            #20
            Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Cal-Expo

            Always check program numbers.
            Odds shown are morning line odds.

            Race 6 - Post: 8:15 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 72 - Purse:$3600 - NON-WINNERS OF $750
            CONSORTIUM CHOICES
            # 4 ITSONLYROCKNROLL A 9/5
            # 2 LORD WILLOUGHBY A 4/1
            # 3 CUT A RUG 3/1
            The consensus today is that ITSONLYROCKNROLL A is the one to beat. Has formidable TrackMaster Speed Ratings and definitely has to be considered for a wager for this race. Seems to have a formidable class advantage based on the field of horses he has faced. Should be given a look based on the really good TrackMaster Speed Rating achieved in the last affair. LORD WILLOUGHBY A - Surely the class of the grouping with an average rating of 73. A nice play. CUT A RUG - That 67 speed rating clocked in the last race puts this solid standardbred in the mix today. The consortium happens to know that when you put Lehman and Schneider together very good results frequently occur.

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 16966

              #21
              Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Northfield Park
              P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
              RACE 13
              5 5 A PERFECT GIFT 15/1 Farmer, Wyatt - 7 433.11
              3 3 COLD ROAD SODA 2/1 Ebersole, Luke - 9 429.75
              6 6 EVENINSTARZRAPSODY 5/1 Kash, Keith Jr - 7 427.75
              2 2 WICKED BLING 8/1 Myers, Hunter - 16 420.35
              1 1 THE MAGICAL WOMAN 12/1 Grismore, Greg - 8 411.63
              8 8 SHE COMES AND GOES 6/1 Sugg, Kurt - 12 408.64
              4 4 TSM PRINCESS TEDDI 15/1 Angus, Tyler - 8 399.06
              9 9 QUEEN'S CASTLE 5/2 Lems, Chris - 11 383.79
              7 7 BOBBIE N POPPIE 20/1 Mc Ilmurray, Art - 0 362.72

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 16966

                #22
                Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Flamboro Downs
                P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                RACE 7
                5 5 THIRDTIMESTHEDREAM 2/1 Mackenzie, Paul G - 8 456.98
                3 3 HESOHOT HANOVER 6/1 Brown, Doug S - 15 415.56
                8 8 O NARUTAC PERFETTO 4/1 Sorrie, Austin - 18 415.50
                1 1 MALONE 9/2 Thiessen, Daryl - 12 409.63
                4 4 ARCHIMEDES 8/1 Sheppard, Kelly R - 0 402.34
                2 2 TOP OF THE BAR 7/2 Ketros, George - 6 388.78
                7 7 TRIX AND STONES 3/1 Kelly, Colin - 15 386.65
                6 6 TYMAL TAROT 10/1 Coulter, Scott - 14 374.31

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 16966

                  #23
                  Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Century Mile

                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.

                  Race 4 - Post: 7:27 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 70 - Purse:$7100 - CLAIMING 10,000
                  CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                  # 2 UP YER KILT 8/1
                  # 7 WINK N WIN 10/1
                  # 5 CHASEISONTHECASE 2/1
                  UP YER KILT will have you running to the cashier's window in this contest may be overlooked at 8/1 on the line. Pace ratings fit the bias well here at Century Mile, look for this one to get the win. Terrific win percentage combined with recent good performances. We think he can handle this group. WINK N WIN - The trainer/horse combo stats point out that this pair are solid in the money finishers when working with one another. This gelding has the ability to take successful advantage of a favorable pace scenario in this race. CHASEISONTHECASE - Horse players love to play the driver of this horse - excellent win rate of late. Take a look at this nice horse's average speed rating of 71 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a very good wager.

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 16966

                    #24
                    Free play from Mike Wynn
                    Free Pick: Georgia -1 over Mississippi St

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 16966

                      #25
                      Free play from Totals4U


                      Early Saturday's Free Selection: Texas/Vanderbilt under 148 1/2

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 16966

                        #26
                        Free play from #1 Sports


                        Early Saturday's Free Play: Central Florida Golden Knights + 11

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 16966

                          #27
                          Free play from Easy Money Sports


                          Free Early Saturday Basketball Selection From Lee
                          SOUTHERN ILLINOIS +1

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 16966

                            #28
                            Free play from Hawkeye Sports


                            Early Saturday's Free Pick: New Mexico Lobos - 15 1/2

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 16966

                              #29
                              Free play from The Last Call


                              Early Saturday's Free Play: (690) Syracuse Orangemen - 8 1/2

                              Comment

                              • ConleyPicks
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2020
                                • 16966

                                #30
                                Free play from High Stakes Syndicate


                                Free Selection for Early Saturday: Notre Dame Fighting Irish - 8

                                Comment

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