11-12-11

[Mr. IWS]

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[Mr. IWS]

DCI NCAAF

Saturday, November 12, 2011

Atlantic Coast Conference
CLEMSON 40, Wake Forest 24
FLORIDA STATE 32, Miami (Fla.) 18
NC State 22, BOSTON COLLEGE 18
VIRGINIA 29, Duke 19

Big 12 Conference
Baylor 55, KANSAS 40
KANSAS STATE 47, Texas A&M 44
Oklahoma State 73, TEXAS TECH 47
Texas 36, MISSOURI 31

Big East Conference
CINCINNATI 36, West Virginia 31
LOUISVILLE 25, Pittsburgh 15

Big Ten Conference
Michigan 23, ILLINOIS 21
Michigan State 26, IOWA 18
Nebraska 21, PENN STATE 17
Ohio State 35, PURDUE 13
Wisconsin 47, MINNESOTA 21

Mid-American Conference
EASTERN MICHIGAN 29, Buffalo 20
Kent State 25, AKRON 13

Mountain West Conference
AIR FORCE 36, Wyoming 26
BOISE STATE 42, Tcu 30
San Diego State 38, COLORADO STATE 22
Unlv 38, NEW MEXICO 30

Pacific-12 Conference
Arizona 38, COLORADO 33
Arizona State 41, WASHINGTON STATE 23
CALIFORNIA 28, Oregon State 20
STANFORD 43, Oregon 40
USC 43, Washington 32
UTAH 27, Ucla 21

Southeastern Conference
Alabama 29, MISSISSIPPI STATE 10
ARKANSAS 37, Tennessee 12
GEORGIA 31, Auburn 26
SOUTH CAROLINA 25, Florida 18
VANDERBILT 27, Kentucky 18

Sun Belt Conference
ARKANSAS STATE 35, Louisiana-Lafayette 28
FIU 34, Florida Atlantic 10
North Texas vs. TROY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
ULM 34, Middle Tennessee 25

Conference USA
East Carolina 38, UTEP 37
SOUTHERN MISS 34, Ucf 15
TULSA 38, Marshall 22
Uab 31, MEMPHIS 22

Western Athletic Conference
Fresno State 43, NEW MEXICO STATE 40
NEVADA 47, Hawai'i 30
UTAH STATE 37, San Jose State 29
FBS Non-Conference
BYU 39, Idaho 13
Louisiana Tech 33, MISSISSIPPI 28
LSU 49, Western Kentucky 0
NORTHWESTERN 56, Rice 36
Notre Dame 37, Maryland 18
Rutgers 27, Army 20
SMU 34, Navy 27

Big Sky Conference
Northern Arizona 34, WEBER STATE 27
Portland State 38, NORTHERN COLORADO 25
SACRAMENTO STATE 39, Idaho State 18

Big South Conference
Coastal Carolina 28, CHARLESTON SOUTHERN 21
PRESBYTERIAN 31, Vmi 20
Stony Brook 33, GARDNER-WEBB 14

Colonial Athletic Association
DELAWARE 30, Richmond 15
JAMES MADISON 22, Rhode Island 17
MAINE 30, Massachusetts 23
New Hampshire vs. TOWSON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Old Dominion 23, WILLIAM & MARY 21
Great West Conference
UC DAVIS 25, North Dakota 17

Ivy League
BROWN 25, Dartmouth 13
CORNELL 28, Columbia 15
HARVARD 26, Penn 18
Yale 28, PRINCETON 16

Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
BETHUNE-COOKMAN 47, Savannah State 3
Florida A&M 33, NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL 14
HAMPTON 29, Delaware State 9
Norfolk State 23, MORGAN STATE 14
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE 27, North Carolina A&T 16

Missouri Valley Conference
Indiana State 35, MISSOURI STATE 25
NORTH DAKOTA STATE 37, Youngstown State 17
South Dakota State 35, WESTERN ILLINOIS 25

Northeast Conference
Albany 30, MONMOUTH 23
BRYANT 48, Saint Francis (Pa.) 22
Duquesne 29, SACRED HEART 20
Wagner 21, ROBERT MORRIS 20

Ohio Valley Conference
EASTERN KENTUCKY 38, Tennessee Tech 32
Jacksonville State 39, SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE 34
MURRAY STATE 44, Austin Peay 18
TENNESSEE STATE 35, Tennessee-Martin 34

Patriot League
HOLY CROSS 22, Lafayette 16
LEHIGH 27, Georgetown 12

Pioneer League
Campbell 47, VALPARAISO 18
DRAKE 29, Dayton 17
JACKSONVILLE 35, Butler 13
Morehead State 27, DAVIDSON 21
SAN DIEGO 32, Marist 12

Southern Conference
APPALACHIAN STATE 47, Western Carolina 13
FURMAN 39, Elon 15
Georgia Southern vs. WOFFORD: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
THE CITADEL 26, Samford 20

Southland Conference
NICHOLLS STATE 34, Lamar 31
SAM HOUSTON STATE 33, Northwestern State 17
STEPHEN F. AUSTIN 54, Southeastern Louisiana 32

Southwestern Athletic Conference
ALABAMA A&M 22, Jackson State 19
ALABAMA STATE 29, Southern 9
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 23, MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE 17
GRAMBLING 27, Texas Southern 16
Prairie View A&M 28, ALCORN STATE 23

FCS Non-Conference
Bucknell 23, FORDHAM 18
CENTRAL ARKANSAS 41, Texas State 24
Eastern Washington 34, CAL POLY 31
MCNEESE STATE 25, UT San Antonio 20
NORTHERN IOWA 24, Southern Utah 18
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 29, Eastern Illinois 20

[Mr. IWS]

DUNKEL

Game 117-118: Pittsburgh at Louisville (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 89.565; Louisville 88.144
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Louisville by 3; 44
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+3); Over

Game 119-120: Ohio State at Purdue (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 98.211; Purdue 85.305
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 13; 41
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 7; 45
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-7); Under

Game 121-122: Michigan at Illinois (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 94.479; Illinois 92.203
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 2 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Illinois by 1; 49
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+1); Over

Game 123-124: Rice at Northwestern (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 74.443; Northwestern 96.381
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 22; 62
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 16; 66 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (-16); Under

Game 125-126: Kentucky at Vanderbilt (12:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 82.846; Vanderbilt 94.329
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 11 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 13; 44
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+13); Over

Game 127-128: Wake Forest at Clemson (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 83.041; Clemson 107.314
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 24 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Clemson by 16; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-16); Under

Game 129-130: Duke at Virginia (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 84.602; Virginia 90.999
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 6 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Virginia by 10 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Duke (+10 1/2); Over

Game 131-132: North Carolina State at Boston College (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina State 88.463; Boston College 89.913
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 1 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: North Carolina State by 2 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+2 1/2); Over

Game 133-134: Buffalo at Eastern Michigan (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 70.096; Eastern Michigan 75.035
Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 5; 46
Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 3; 48
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (-3); Under

Game 135-136: Texas A&M at Kansas State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 101.020; Kansas State 100.386
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 1; 62
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 5; 64
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (+5); Under

Game 137-138: Kent State at Akron (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 72.765; Akron 61.733
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 11; 44
Vegas Line: Kent State by 5 1/2; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (-5 1/2); Over

Game 139-140: Baylor at Kansas (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 93.254; Kansas 78.857
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 14 1/2; 72
Vegas Line: Baylor by 20 1/2; 75 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+20 1/2); Under

Game 141-142: Wyoming at Air Force (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 82.130; Air Force 92.960
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 11; 64
Vegas Line: Air Force by 14 1/2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (+14 1/2); Over

Game 143-144: Idaho at BYU (9:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 67.480; BYU 94.209
Dunkel Line: BYU by 26 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: BYU by 20 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-20 1/2); Over

Game 145-146: Navy at SMU (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 78.978; SMU 84.302
Dunkel Line: SMU by 5 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: SMU by 9; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Navy (+9); Under

Game 147-148: San Jose State at Utah State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 77.540; Utah State 84.133
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 6 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Utah State by 10; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+10); Under

Game 149-150: Marshall at Tulsa (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 74.707; Tulsa 99.869
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 25; 59
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 18; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-18); Over

Game 151-152: TCU at Boise State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 100.084; Boise State 119.269
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 19; 53
Vegas Line: Boise State by 15; 58
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-15); Under

Game 153-154: Miami (FL) at Florida State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 96.483; Florida State 102.802
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 6 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Florida State by 9 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (+9 1/2); Over

Game 155-156: West Virginia at Cincinnati (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 91.989; Cincinnati 93.967
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2; 62
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3 1/2; 67
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (+3 1/2); Under

Game 157-158: Rutgers at Army (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 89.622; Army 80.625
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 9; 54
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 8; 48
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (-8); Over

Game 158-159: Texas at Missouri (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 100.247; Missouri 102.180
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 2; 55
Vegas Line: Texas by 2; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (+2); Under

Game 160-161: Nebraska at Penn State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 105.378; Penn State 96.048
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 9 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 2 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-2 1/2); Over

Game 162-163: Oklahoma State at Texas Tech (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 111.007; Texas Tech 84.451
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 26 1/2; 74
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 17; 78 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-17); Under

Game 164-165: Michigan State at Iowa (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 95.832; Iowa 94.263
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 1 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 3; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (+3); Over

Game 167-168: Tennessee at Arkansas (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 91.559; Arkansas 106.984
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 15 1/2;
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 169-170: Florida at South Carolina (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 94.596; South Carolina 96.721
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 2;
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 3 1/2; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+3 1/2); N/A

Game 171-172: Washington at USC (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 97.497; USC 106.329
Dunkel Line: USC by 9; 60
Vegas Line: USC by 13; 63
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+13); Under

Game 173-174: Auburn at Georgia (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 95.194; Georgia 106.606
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 11 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Georgia by 13 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+13 1/2); Over

Game 175-176: Oregon State at California (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 84.470; California 96.317
Dunkel Line: California by 12; 57
Vegas Line: California by 9 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: California (-9 1/2); Over

Game 177-178: Oregon at Stanford (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 116.620; Stanford 118.443
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 2; 62
Vegas Line: Stanford by 4; 66
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (+4); Under

Game 179-180: Hawaii at Nevada (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 79.318; Nevada 94.626
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 15 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Nevada by 12 1/2; 61
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-12 1/2); Under

Game 181-182: UAB at Memphis (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 64.031; Memphis 61.422
Dunkel Line: UAB by 2 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: UAB by 5 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+5 1/2); Over

Game 183-184: San Diego State at Colorado State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 84.231; Colorado State 73.652
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 10 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 13 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+13 1/2); Under

Game 185-186: Alabama at Mississippi State (7:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 119.475; Mississippi State 96.249
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 23; 47
Vegas Line: Alabama by 17; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-17); Over

Game 187-188: Arizona State at Washington State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 98.919; Washington State 80.845
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 18; 58
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 12 1/2; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-12 1/2); Under

Game 189-190: Louisiana Tech at Mississippi (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 83.314; Mississippi 83.281
Dunkel Line: Even; 60
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 2 1/2; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (+2 1/2); N/A

Game 191-192: Wisconsin at Minnesota (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 111.080; Minnesota 80.279
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 31; 60
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 26 1/2; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-26 1/2); Under

Game 193-194: Notre Dame vs. Maryland (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 99.023; Maryland 80.515
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 18 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 21; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+21); Over

Game 195-196: Fresno State at New Mexico State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 82.707; New Mexico State 72.241
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 10 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 7 1/2; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-7 1/2); Under

Game 197-198: UCLA at Utah (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 89.887; Utah 94.222
Dunkel Line: Utah by 4 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Utah by 7; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+7); Over

Game 199-200: Central Florida at Southern Mississippi (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 84.625; Southern Mississippi 104.356
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 19 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 9; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-9); Over

Game 201-202: East Carolina at UTEP (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 77.476; UTEP 77.788
Dunkel Line: Even; 56
Vegas Line: UTEP by 4; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+4); Under

Game 203-204: Arizona at Colorado (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 93.820; Colorado 78.822
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 15; 60
Vegas Line: Arizona by 10; 64
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-10); Under

Game 205-206: UNLV at New Mexico (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 60.313; New Mexico 56.374
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 4; 58
Vegas Line: UNLV by 7; 54
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (+7); Over

Game 207-208: UL-Lafayette at Arkansas State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 74.834; Arkansas State 89.390
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 14 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 10 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-10 1/2); Over

Game 209-210: North Texas at Troy (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 70.359; Troy 68.439
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 2; 48
Vegas Line: Troy by 9; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+9); Under

Game 211-212: Middle Tennessee State at UL-Monroe (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 69.080; UL-Monroe 72.506
Dunkel Line: UL-Monroe by 3 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: UL-Monroe by 6; 53
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (+6); Under

Game 213-214: Florida Atlantic at Florida International (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 57.275; Florida International 76.994
Dunkel Line: Florida International by 19 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Florida International by 17 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (-17 1/2); Over

Game 215-216: Western Kentucky at LSU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 77.763; LSU 123.756
Dunkel Line: LSU by 46; 46
Vegas Line: LSU by 41; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-41); Under

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Prediction Filter


Saturday NCAA plays:
Kansas State +4.5
Idaho +21
Western Kentucky +41.5
Kansas +20
Texas Tech +18.5
Colorado State +13
Mississippi State +18
Washington State +13
Colorado +11.5
Wyoming/Air Force Under 60.5

[Mr. IWS]

Football Jesus Free Text

SAT : Oregon Ducks+ points ( on 8-2 winning run)

[Mr. IWS]

DOC SPORTS

5* #19 Take Michigan State Spartans -2.5 over Iowa Hawkeyes (Saturday 12 p.m. ESPN 2)

4* #26 Take Purdue Boilermakers +7.5 over Ohio State Buckeyes (Saturday 12 p.m. Big Ten Network)

4* #42 Take Mississippi State Bulldogs +18 over Alabama Crimson Tide (Saturday 7:45 p.m. ESPN)

4* #74 Take Under 43.5 in Nebraska Cornhuskers at Penn State Nittany Lions (Saturday 12 p.m. ESPN)

4* #93 Take Wisconsin Badgers -27 over Minnesota Golden Gophers (Saturday 3:30 p.m. Big Ten Network)

[Mr. IWS]

Indian cowboy

6 cfb new mexico state
4 cfb san jose state

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
Game: Oregon at Stanford (Saturday 11/12 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Stanford -3 (-115)

This is a huge Pac 12 showdown as the only two conference unbeaten teams clash. This is a battle featuring a finesse offense (Oregon) against a physical, power team. There are two concerns about Oregon. The first is that this defense was good last season, but has slipped in 2011 because of a loss of some key players. They gave up 28 points to Washington State, 31 to Arizona and 40 to LSU. The second is that they've had injuries to their top two offensive players over the last month in junior QB Darron Thomas and RB LaMichael James. Both are back, but don't appear 100%. Two weeks ago Thomas was benched at halftime, struggling against Washington State. The Ducks are 2-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Stanford is a beast - a powerhouse team with a huge offensive line, a physical defense and star QB Andrew Luck (26 TDs, 5 INTs). This offense is averaging 48.2 points, 224 yards rushing and 281 passing. They can play defense (16.6 ppg allowed), too, after giving up 17 ppg last
year. Stanford returns six defensive starters to a unit that finished ranked No. 10 in the nation in scoring defense. The Cardinal has home field, is 12-0-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite and 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games. And, undefeated teams this late in the season playing at home have covered the spread over 88% of the time the past decade. Stanford has home field, the better defense, balance on offense, and power tops finesse in this showdown. Play on Stanford and give the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Week 11 NCAA Trends & Angles

Well, the Stanford Cardinal continue to defy the odds, as they went to a perfect 9-0 ATS on the season with a big win over Oregon State last week, bucking our top angle that says to play against teams on ATS winning streaks of seven games or more.

The week was not a total loss for that angle however, as Oklahoma State did fail to cover the spread against Kansas State, resulting in a 1-1 split for the trend.

Since the biggest marquee game this week involves Stanford as they take on Oregon, we will lead off with the same angle this week, and then for informational purposes also provide data for teams off of eight and then nine ATS wins, just to show how remarkable the Cardinal's run has been.

Play against any team that has won seven or more games in a row ATS (42-27-2, 60.9% ATS since 1985): Teams that are covering machines like this are very popular among bettors, but as you might expect, the bookmakers eventually adjust for these popular teams to the point where they lose their value. Apparently, that has not happened yet with Stanford, and the only qualifying play this week is to take Oregon +3½ against the Cardinal.

Play against any team that has won eight or more games in a row ATS (13-9-1, 59.1% ATS since 1985): This is obviously a small sampling, but it also give you an idea just how rare the feat that Stanford has accomplished this year has been over the last 26 years!

Play against any team that has won nine or more games in a row ATS (2-4, 66.7% ATS since 1985): If Stanford covers against Oregon this week, it would become just the second team since 1985 to have a 10-game ATS winning streak. The other team was Ohio State way back in 1995, and the Buckeyes' ATS streak reached 11 games before it got snapped in the last game of the regular season in an outright upset loss at Michigan.

Play on any conference home favorite coming off of six straight up wins or more (126-73-3, 63.3% ATS since 2002): Note - We need to apologize for an error we made in last week's column, when we presented this angle but inadvertently listed the plays from Week 9 instead of Week 10. For the record, this angle was just 2-4 ATS in Week 10. Yes, you read that correctly, this is an angle that has gone over 63 percent over 199 decisions going all the way back to 2002, and unlike most of our other angles, this system is not contrarian! A team that wins six straight games in the same season is usually a good team, as that is enough wins where not all the victories can be attributed to luck, and these teams should continue to succeed inside their conference. Add in home favoritism and the results have been rather phenomenal over a nice nine-year span, as you can see. This angle has six qualifying plays in Week 11, and one of those clashes with our top angle as it say to play on Stanford -3½. The other five qualifiers are Arkansas State -11, Boise State -14½, Cincinnati -3½, Georgia -13 and Southern Miss -9½.

Play the 'under' if a team has lost at least six straight games straight up (136-91, 59.9% since 2005): We are not sure about the reasoning behind this phenomenon, but there appears to be a direct relationship in college football between long losing streaks and going 'under' in the next game, especially on the road. When the team that has lost six straight is on the road, the 'under' is 70-45, 60.9 percent since 2005, and the 'under' is a still lucrative 66-46, 58.9 percent when the team on the losing streak is at home. There are five qualifying 'unders' this week: Houston at Tulane (Thursday), Arizona at Colorado, Florida Atlantic at Florida International, Baylor at Kansas and UNLV at New Mexico.

Bet against any conference home favorite coming off of 2 home games (90-64-7, 58.4% ATS since 2005): Some may think that playing a third straight home game is an advantage, and while that may be true on the field, it has not been at the betting windows as books are aware that these teams have an advantage and bettors like to bet on them, so they are able to pad these lines. Also, if the third straight home game is a conference game, the home team is usually facing a team that is familiar with them. This angle points to one play on Saturday in Week 11: Buffalo +3 at Eastern Michigan.

Play on any divisional road underdog coming off of a road game (116-85-1, 57.7% ATS since 2005): This one is also very similar to an NFL angle that we often referenced, as books have been over-adjusting against teams playing their second straight road game, especially when the second game is against a divisional opponent that they are very familiar with. This angle had a solid week in Week 10 going 4-2 ATS, and there are two qualifiers in Week 11, one of which is our feature play in Oregon +3½. The other one is Duke +10.

Play against any conference home favorite that was an underdog in each of its last two games (200-138-2, 59.2% ATS since 2005): These are oftentimes teams that are not used to being favored, and this record suggests that they usually cannot handle the pressure of being expected to win. Betting against these favorites in unchartered territory would have produced a nice profit of +48.2 units since 2005 based on one unit per play at odds of -110. This angle went 5-3 ATS in Week 10, and there is one qualifier for Week 11: Kentucky +13 at Vanderbilt.

Play against any conference home favorite that was an underdog in each of its last three games (110-69-1, 61.0% ATS since 2005): Tack on a third straight game as an underdog coming into this game to our previous angle and the winning percentage jumps to 61 percent over a fairly nice sized sampling. This angle went 5-2 ATS in Week 10

[Mr. IWS]

JASON SHARPE

Saturday November 12th 2011

5 Unit Play Take #165 Michigan State -2.5 over Iowa (12:00pm est)

5 Unit Play Take #210 Troy -8 over North Texas (1:00pm est)

4 Unit Play Take #190 Mississippi +2 over Louisiana Tech (7:30 pm est)

4 Unit Play Take #200 'UNDER' 52 Central Florida/Southern Mississippi (8:00pm est)

3 Unit Play Take #147 San Jose State +10.5 over Utah State (3:00pm est)

[Mr. IWS]

ROBERT FERRINGO

SATURDAY COLLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTIONS

5-Unit Play. Take #161 Nebraska (-3) over Penn State (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 12)
1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 43.5 Nebraska at Penn State (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 12)
Note: This is our Big Ten Game of the Year.

4.5-Unit Play. Take #165 Michigan State (-2.5) over Iowa (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 12)

3.5-Unit Play. Take #122 Illinois (+1) over Michigan (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 12)

2.5-Unit Play. Take #196 New Mexico State (+7.5) over Fresno State (8 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 12)

2-Unit Play. Take #153 Miami (+9) over Florida State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 12)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #169 Florida (+3.5) over South Carolina (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 12)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #156 Cincinnati (-3.5) over West Virginia (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 12)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #147 San Jose State (+10.5) over Utah State (3 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 12)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #171 Washington (+11.5) over USC (3:45 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 12)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #186 Mississippi State (+18) over Alabama (7:45 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 12)

1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #152 Boise State (-8) over TCU (3:30 p.m.) AND Take #115 South Florida (+3.5) over Syracuse (8 p.m., Friday, Nov. 11)

1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #191 Wisconsin (-20) over Minnesota (3:30 p.m.) AND Take #169 Florida (+10.5) over South Carolina (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 12)

[Mr. IWS]

VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER

COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYS
2 Unit Play. #116 Take Syracuse +4 over South Florida (8:00p.m., Friday, Nov. 11 ESPN2)

5 Unit Play. #136 Take Kansas St +5 over Texas A&M (3:30p.m., Saturday, Nov. 12 ABC)
(Game of the Week)

3 Unit Play. #165 Take Michigan St -2 ½ over Iowa (12:00p.m., Saturday, Nov. 12 ESPN2)

5 Unit Play. #178 Take Stanford -3 ½ over Oregon (8:00p.m., Saturday, Nov. 12 ABC)
(Game of the Week)

2 Unit Play. #202 Take UTEP -3 ½ over East Carolina (8:00p.m., Saturday, Nov. 12)

[Mr. IWS]

Bettors World

3* Michigan +1 over Illinois
3* Michigan/Illinois Under 49.5

3* Kansas State +6 over Texas AM ** If you can't get 6, reduce the play to a 2*
3* Cincinnati -3.5 over West Virginia
3* Michigan State -2.5 over Iowa
3* Stanford -3 -115 over Oregon
3* Miami Fla +9 over Florida State

3* New York Jets pk -125 over Patriots (you can play this up to -2.5. We are playing it as posted)

1* Bengals +3 even over Steelers

[Mr. IWS]

Gridiron Gold Sheet

MARSHALL (+18.0)
TULSA (-18.0)
Marshall has a weak offense and defense. They have no running game, which makes it harder on freshman QB Rakeem Cato and soph QB AJ Graham, who have rotated. The defense is small and is allowing 309 pyg. They will struggle here. Tulsa is 5-0 in Conference USA. After opening the season with three losses to opponents ranked in the top 10, Tulsa got its season back on track last month with four convincing victories and by maintaining its unblemished record in Conference USA. Tulsa finished with 251 yards rushing against a UCF defense that came in allowing a league-low 85 yards per game. Tulsa drilled Southern Methodist 38-7 two weeks ago. Tulsa limited SMU to 265 yards. Kinne completed 24 of 36 passes for 274 yards. The Golden Hurricanes are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games overall, and peaking at the right time. Way too much Hurrican power and The Herd will get trampled.
Projected Score: Tulsa 41, Marshall 17

[Mr. IWS]

Don Best
Record 7 - 4

#163 Oklahoma State Cowboys

#162 Penn State Nittany Lions