11-13-11

[Mr. IWS]

Platinum Sheet - Stat Fox
B.B. 21 - 22 - 2

Best Bets
Pittsburgh Steelers
Jacksonville Jaguars
New Orleans Saints
St.Louis Rams
S.F.49ers

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence - Playbook
3* 6 - 3
4* 4 - 5
5* 6 - 2

5* Pittsburgh Steelers
4* Houston Texans
3* Seattle S'hawks

[Mr. IWS]

Pointwise
2=7-5
3=10-5
4=6-4
5=8-8-1

HOU.Texans RATING: 2
ST LOUIS RATING: 3
CAROLINA RATING: 4
DENVER RATING: 5
CINCINNATI RATING: 5

[Mr. IWS]

Powerplay
1*=3-2-1
2*=10-0
3*=17-7
3.5*=1-0
4*=3-7

2* COLTS 26 (+) JAGUARS 23
3* TEXANS 24 BUCS 14
3* TEXANS/BUCS: UNDER
4* DOLPHINS/SKINS: UNDER
1* BROWNS/RAMS: UNDER
4* EAGLES 33 CARDINALS 17

[Mr. IWS]

Powersweep
2* 8 - 5
3* 6 - 3
4* 5 - 4

4* Houston over TAMPA BAY
3* Pittsburgh over CINCI
2* St Louis over CLEV

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Reporter
B.B: 11 - 12 - 1
REC 7 - 6

Best Bets
Jacksonville Jaguars
NY Jets

Recommended
HoustonTexans
NY Giants

[Mr. IWS]

Winning Points
B.B. 6 - 10 -1
PRF 11 -5

Best Bets
Buffalo Bills
Atlanta Falcons

Preferred Bets
NE Patriots
TB Buccaners

[Mr. IWS]

POINTWISE PHONES:

3* Detroit, Houston, Atlanta, Seattle

2* Philly, GBay(Mon), Jets

[Mr. IWS]

Sixth Sense

BEST BETS

YTD 35-21 +35.70%

3% DENVER +3 Must get at least 3 points
3% HOUSTON –3.5 or –3 -120
3% SAN FRANCISCO –3.5
3% NY JETS –1.5 Must be less than 3 points
3% MINNESOTA +13

Possible Best Bets
3% PITTSBURGH –3 –120 or less
3% ST LOUIS +3.5 or more

[Mr. IWS]

Football Crusher
Play of the Day:

Chicago Bears -140 over the Detroit Lions

[Mr. IWS]

Hockey Crusher
Play of the Day:

Oilers + Blackhawks OVER 5

[Mr. IWS]

Basketball Crusher
Play of the Day:

North Carolina -15.5 over NCAsheville

[Mr. IWS]

Info Plays

7* Patriots / Jets Over 47

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

TAMPA BAY +153 over Houston

We reckon that the Texans have to be yeehawing about this season and their best start in franchise history. But let’s not forget that this Houston bunch was sitting at 3-3 before having the luxury of facing the feeble Titans, Jaguars and Browns. That inept trio is a combined 3-12 over past 15 and rank among the lowest scoring teams in the league. Conversely, the Bucs are battle tested having played the Saints twice, the Niners and the surging Bears in England over their past four. Let’s also not forget the Texans past pedigree of always getting off to strong starts and subsequently choking down the stretch when it counts most. Houston injuries, a soft schedule and Bucs home record of 3-1 warrants our top recommendation. Keep the points. Play: Tampa Bay +153 (Risking 2 units).

Denver +157 over KANSAS CITY

Don’t believe for a minute that the Chiefs dismantling at the hands of the previously winless Dolphins was an anomaly. Kansas City was living a charmed life with four-straight wins until their luck finally ran out and we expect more of the same as this season marches on. The Chiefs’ punchless offense has scored 131 points on the year, just a few more than the likes of Indy, Seattle and Washington. They’ve also given up a 24th ranked 201 points. Kansas City has been favored twice this season, losing both and being outscored 72-10 in those two games. The Broncos are now 2-1 under Tim Tebow and the short leash should be getting a bit longer now that he won on the road in Oakland. Willis McGahee also returned from hand surgery early and added a spark to the offense with just one hand. The Broncos are finally admitting that they have a really good college-style quarterback and so are installing the spread offense that makes it easier for Tim Tebow to take off running as he is often inclined to do. The Raiders had not prepared for that last week and Tebow rushed 12 times for 117 yards as a result. Chiefs coaches not sharp enough to prepare either. Keep the points. Play: Denver +157 (Risking 2 units).

ATLANTA –103 over New Orleans

Having won three straight and with Tennessee and Minnesota visiting in the next two weeks, the Falcons can gain an upper hand with a victory here. The Saints come to town with a less than stellar road résumé, having lost three of five away including recent mortification in St. Louis. The Rams loss was a trap game but it followed a loss in Tampa Bay and a close win in Carolina. The Saints went nuts on the visiting Colts but have been much less prolific in scoring since week four. Injuries could be a big factor as they continue to plague the Saints. The Falcons remain one of the league’s stronger home teams with 10 wins in past 12 in Georgia and with this being their first home date since October 16th, expect a solid performance from an Atlanta team whose chemistry is at its peak. Play: Atlanta –103 (Risking 2 units).

Washington +4/+180 over MIAMI

We’re going to split this up and play a single unit on both the spread and money line. This is one of those classic overreaction games whereas the Dolphins whacked the Chiefs and the Redskins lost ugly at home to the 49ers. The week prior, Washington looked even worse in loss to Bills. Had this one been played last week before Miami crushed K.C. this line would’ve been a pick‘em. The Dolphins first win was a dominant one but that doesn’t rationalize spotting points with them quite yet. Washington’s been struggling but with ex-Dolphin QB John Beck getting more comfortable with his new mates and the added motivation of facing his old ones, expect a spirited effort from the doggie. A badly coached Dolphin team that plays horribly at home, coming off an emotional win on the road offers up zero appeal. Skins come to play this week. Play: Washington +4 (Risking 1.06 units to win 1) Play: Washington +180 (Risking 1 unit).

The rest with no wagers:

CINCINNATI +3½ over Pittsburgh

The Bengals have never been an easy out for the Steelers and with first place on the line, this one should be no exception. Pittsburgh’s road play has not been impressive while Cincinnati’s underrated defense can create scoring opportunities for its ascending offense. Play Cincinnati (No bets).

Buffalo +5½ over DALLAS

Both teams positioned where they line our pockets best as Buffalo has covered 10 of past 12 when taking points while the unreliable Cowboys have managed just two covers in last 13 as chalk. Dallas’ red zone play remains a concern and that’s not conducive to covering spread. After watching the Cowboys struggle to put away the Seahags, it’s getting progressively more difficult to endorse these Boys spotting anything. Play: Buffalo +5½ (No bets).

INDIANAPOLIS +3 over Jacksonville

One has to wonder if Payton Manning is standing on the sidelines wondering how it took so long to wreck his neck carrying these losers all these years. One also has to wonder if he is secretly wondering what he could accomplish if the team does draft Luck, and trades him to a team that doesn’t need him to part the red sea to win a game. Still, one has to wonder if this is the week the Colts win a game. While Indy ranks 31st in offensive yards with a meager 282 yards per game, the Jaguars are worse, at an alarming 40 yards per game lower. That alone negates Jacksonville from being a road chalk, no matter who the opposition might be. Play: Indianapolis +3 (No bets).

CHICAGO –2½ over Detroit

This Chicago team is dangerous and with plenty on the line here, in addition to a revenge motive for earlier Monday night loss, we’ll gladly back the hometown Bears spotting a small number. Detroit must show us some consistent play before they earn this kind of respect. How’s that Jay Cutler for Kyle Orton trade lookin? Play: Chicago –2½ (No bets).

CAROLINA –3½ over Tennessee

The Panthers 2-6 mark is slightly misleading as they led in almost all their games and now must learn to finish. After its break, we expect a fiery 2nd half from Carolina while the same cannot be said of a useless Titans squad, whose only win this past month was against the woeful Colts. Play: Carolina –3½ (No bets).

CLEVELAND –2½ over St. Louis

If you could package up games, this one would be sold at the Dollar Store. Making a case for either side simply sounds foolish but when push comes to shove we’ll lean Browns as Rams have to be more demoralized than usual after last Sunday and are travelling on consecutive weeks. Play: Cleveland –2½ (No bets).

PHILADELPHIA –14 over Arizona

Much of the Philadelphia’s woes can be attributed to its defense and while the team remains a huge disappointment overall, this opponent does not have the ability to counterpunch with the Eagles offensive prowess, especially with a back-up QB going. This is precisely the type of team the Eagles can get all their frustrations out on. Interestingly enough, this is only the second time in past 20 years that a 3-5 team has been double-digit favorites. Play: Philadelphia –14 (No bets).

SEATTLE +7 over Baltimore

Classic sandwich spot and we’re going to bite into it. The Ravens tend to letdown after beating Pittsburgh as witnessed in Baltimore’s loss to the lowly Titans after earlier win over Steelers. Factor in Baltimore’s home date with Cincinnati next week and a hiccup here wouldn’t surprise. Play: Seattle +7 (No bets).

N.Y. Giants +3½ over SAN FRANCISCO

Say what you will about Giants coach Tom Coughlin, as he rants up and down the sidelines but the guy usually has his team battling throughout. Just look at New York’s 27-3 record vs. spread as an underdog to illustrate that point and that’s good enough to get the nod here. Little concerned with the letdown angle after G-Men beat Pats and we don’t like that added hook the books are offering to entice Giant money and it’s for those reasons we’re backing off. Play: N.Y. Giants +3½ (No bets).

N.Y. JETS –1 over New England

There was a time when it was unfathomable to think that the Patriots could lose three straight. Not anymore. New England has several inefficiencies, not the least of which is its inability to rush the passer. The Jets are soaring and with redemption and first place as extra incentives, we’ll stick with the hotter club. Play: N.Y. Jets –1 (No bets).

[Mr. IWS]

A Bettor World

Houston -3.5
Chicago -2.5
New England +2

Pittsburgh/Cincinnati Under 41
Washington/Miami Under 38
St Louis/Cleveland Under 37
Baltimore/Seattle Under 41
NY Giants/San Francisco Under 42.5