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10 Units Pittsburgh Minus the points over Cincinnati
7 Units Houston Minus the points over Tampa Bay
7 Units New England +115 ML Over Jets
5 Units Atlanta Pick over New Orleans
5 Units Jacksonville at Indianapolis over the total
3 Units Denver at Kansas City Over the total
Tennessee/CAROLINA OVER 46.5 5 Dimes
INDIANAPOLIS +3 over Jacksonville 5 Dimes
KANSAS CITY -3 over Denver 15 Dimes
Detroit +3 over CHICAGO 15 Dimes
New York +3.5 over SAN FRANCISCO 15 Dimes
New England +2 over NEW YORK 15 Dimes
Our strategy this week, with all of this value on the table, is to spread it out. Four 15 dime plays, as well as two 5 dimers gives us a bit of diversification.
Some quick points:
Vegas is really down on KC if they are only laying 3 to Tebow and the Broncos at Arrowhead in November. They must be equally enamored with the young QB to make this line what it is. I still envision Denver having trouble moving the ball on the ground against the Chiefs. Couple that with the weak Bronco defense and you have a 10 point KC win.
Detroit has one of the most tenacious D-lines in football and up until a few weeks ago, all you heard about was the Bears having one of the weakest O-lines in football. Hmm....
The last few weeks have put Eli Manning back in the spotlight and we are going to ride his momentum. Grabbing 3 and a half on the road is a bargain, despite the Giants injuries, I think they can still pass on San Fran. and may emerge as a road upset.
Has Belichek/Brady ever lost 3 in a row? Look, the bottom line is that the Jets strength on defense is on the outside with Revis and Cromartie. The Pats strength on offense is on the inside with Gronkowski, Hernandez and Welker out of the slot. I like the value here and I'll take the road upset.
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