Saturday 3/1/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 16966

    #16
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course
    Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 5 Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Double 50 cent Pick 3 Parlay (Races 5-6-7) 50 cent Pick 4 Parlay (Races 5-6-7-8) 50% Carryover
    Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 84 • Purse: $13,000 • Post: 2:07P
    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE AUGUST 24. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 24 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES) (WINNERS SINCE AUGUST 24 PREFERRED)(OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).
    Contenders Race Analysis
    P# Horse Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds
    Race Type: Dominant Stalker. KADESH is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * KADESH: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ICE BLAST: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LEO AND ROYAL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
    7 KADESH 7/2 7/2
    1 ICE BLAST 9/5 5/1
    10 LEO AND ROYAL 6/1 7/1

    P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
    Line
    Running Style Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
    Figure
    5 MAMBA FOREVER 5 12/1 Front-runner 81 72 75.8 55.2 41.7
    3 EXONERATED PREZ 3 20/1 Front-runner 81 66 65.8 62.0 48.0
    9 SMALL SAILOR 9 20/1 Front-runner 83 77 64.0 58.6 42.1
    7 KADESH 7 7/2 Stalker 92 87 81.8 82.2 78.2
    1 ICE BLAST 1 9/5 Stalker 87 78 75.4 74.4 69.9
    10 LEO AND ROYAL 10 6/1 Alternator/Stalker 78 81 68.8 76.0 68.5
    6 JARLIAN 6 8/1 Alternator/Stalker 77 79 64.4 66.6 52.6
    8 MILLARD'S SMILE 8 9/2 Trailer 86 82 56.2 77.2 72.2
    4 HAD RIGHT 4 15/1 Alternator/Non-contender 79 73 58.0 65.2 49.7
    2 BOSS BEAR 2 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 81 75 42.8 56.2 42.2

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 16966

      #17
      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


      Turfway Park - Race #1 - Post: 5:55pm - Maiden Special - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $41,200 Class Rating: 79

      Rating:

      #7 MISTER ROSSO (ML=5/2)
      #3 ABBI FEDE (ML=3/1)


      MISTER ROSSO - Villarreal was aboard this gelding in the last race and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. This thoroughbred coming off a sharp contest in the last month is a contender in my opinion. Gelding took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. Outside the top 3 finish last time around the track at Turfway Park was better than it looked on paper. He improved position in the lane and never gave up. This gelding earned a strong speed figure of 75 in his last affair. That rating should be good enough to triumph this time around. ABBI FEDE - This jock and conditioner have a lucrative ROI when they work together. Got some betting action in maiden outing on August 5th at Ellis Park, but finished fifth. Has a shot right here. Ennis, the trainer, shows intent by adding Lasix in this field. A positive sign.

      Vulnerable Contenders: #2 BIG LAMBROS (ML=7/2), #8 DAY MONEY DEEGAN (ML=5/1), #4 KERNER (ML=5/1),

      BIG LAMBROS - Hard to play at 7/2 odds after the two most recent efforts. Don't think this steed will do much running today. That last fig was substandard when compared with today's class figure. DAY MONEY DEEGAN - This gelding likely won't be right there at the finish. KERNER - Doubtful for this participant to do much running with no recent success in a short distance contest.
      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #7 MISTER ROSSO on top if we're getting at least 6/5 odds
      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [3,7]
      TRIFECTA WAGERS: Skip
      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 16966

        #18
        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park
        Gulfstream Park - Race 13 $1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta
        Stakes • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 96 • Purse: $415,000 • Post: 5:44P
        COOLMORE FOUNTAIN OF YOUTH S. - GRADE 2 THREE YEAR OLDS. FREE NOMINATION BY SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 16. $4,000 TO ENTER. A SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATION FEE OF $200 MAY BE MADE PRIOR TO CLOSING TIME OF ENTRIES. AFTER PAYMENT OF 1% TO ALL OWNERS OF HORSES FINISHING SIXTH THROUGH LAST, 62% TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH, AND 3% TO FIFTH. (FTBOA OFFERS $15,000 TO THE OWNERS OF A REGISTERED FLORIDA-BRED DIVIDED $8,000 TO THE WINNER, $5,000 TO SECOND, $2,000 TO THIRD). WEIGHT: 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A GRADED STAKES AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 2 LBS.; A STAKES RACE OR A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE-BRED ALLOWANCE, 4LBS. STARTERS TO BE NAMED BY USUAL TIME OF CLOSING. ALL FEES SHALL BE PAID PRIOR TO THE START OF THE RACE. PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN TO GRADED STAKES WINNERS, STAKES PLACED THEN BY HIGHEST CAREER EARNINGS.
        Contenders Race Analysis
        P# Horse Morn
        Line
        Accept
        Odds
        Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * BURNHAM SQUARE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. GATE TO WIRE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. SOV EREIGNTY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. RIVER THAMES: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
        3 BURNHAM SQUARE 5/2 5/1
        1 GATE TO WIRE 6/1 6/1
        2 SOVEREIGNTY 3/1 7/1
        6 RIVER THAMES 2/1 7/1

        P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
        Line
        Running Style Good
        Class
        Good
        Speed
        Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
        Figure
        7 NEOEQUOS 7 10/1 Front-runner 84 91 82.7 82.7 71.2
        6 RIVER THAMES 6 2/1 Front-runner 89 94 73.0 86.3 79.8
        4 MCKELLEN 4 30/1 Front-runner 86 79 67.2 70.8 60.3
        5 SOLID LEFT 5 20/1 Alternator/Front-runner 87 81 85.5 73.0 61.0
        8 KEEP IT EASY 8 8/1 Alternator/Stalker 86 90 70.6 70.6 59.6
        1 GATE TO WIRE 1 6/1 Trailer 87 86 83.1 83.1 78.1
        2 SOVEREIGNTY 2 3/1 Trailer 89 92 69.2 87.9 80.9
        3 BURNHAM SQUARE 3 5/2 Trailer 95 93 67.2 88.6 81.1

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 16966

          #19

          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts


          Santa Anita - Race #1 - Post: 12:00pm - SO - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $38,000 Class Rating: 100

          Rating:

          #3 SPEARFISH (ML=6/1)
          #5 NAVAJO WARRIOR (ML=4/1)
          #2 HURRICANE WAY (ML=9/2)


          SPEARFISH - This horse coming off a nice contest in the last month or so is a contender in my opinion. In this race here, this thoroughbred has clearly shown signs that he likes the turf. His speed figures are the highest in the field for this distance and surface. Finished seventh at Santa Anita last out. Was close at the end and at odds of 6/1 right here, he looks like a possible contender. NAVAJO WARRIOR - This gelding has the top turf fig in his last race. It doesn't take a college grad like The Brain to figure this here mount has a good chance. You have to really like that last race speed rating, 97, which is the highest last race speed figure of this field. This animal has increased his speed ratings from a fig of 87 to 95 to 97 in succession. HURRICANE WAY - Berrios and Blacker partnered with one another are a punter's friend. I am keen on that latest race on Feb 1st at Santa Anita where he ran fifth. Coming off a fifth place finish at Santa Anita, some may pass on this horse. I'm not. He just missed hitting the show spot, and has pretty decent odds today.

          Vulnerable Contenders: #4 BIG GEORGE (ML=3/1), #9 OVER THE OCEAN (ML=7/2),

          BIG GEORGE - This gelding hasn't been showing me anything in the last two outings. Finished sixth in his most recent race with a common speed rating. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this field. OVER THE OCEAN - It's a major jump to win in a Maiden Claiming race and then step up and beat winners. Doubtful that the speed figure he notched on February 15th will be good enough in this contest.
          STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #3 SPEARFISH on top if we're getting at least 7/2 odds
          EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,3,5]
          TRIFECTA WAGERS: Box [2,3,5] Total Cost: $6
          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [2,3,5] with [2,3,5] with [2,3,5,7,9] with [2,3,5,7,9] Total Cost: $36

          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 16966

            #20

            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sunland Park

            Always check program numbers.
            Odds shown are morning line odds.


            Race 2 - Claiming - 870y on the Dirt. Purse: $20600 Class Rating: 58

            QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.
            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
            # 7 CHASE THE MOON 3/1
            # 4 DARK IVORY COAST 5/1
            # 8 EVERYBODY KNOWS (T) 8/1
            My pick in this contest is CHASE THE MOON. This field is much less demanding than the last one he faced. Might best this group of animals here, showing very strong numbers of late. Carrete has shown excellent profits (+25 return on investment ) with horses in longer quarter horse events. DARK IVORY COAST - Could best this group of horses here, showing strong figures of late. Carrete has her trained admirably to break sharply out of the gate. EVERYBODY KNOWS (T) - In against a much less demanding lot than last time out.

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 16966

              #21
              Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Cal-Expo

              Always check program numbers.
              Odds shown are morning line odds.

              Race 7 - Post: 8:35 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 68 - Purse:$4000 - NON-WINNERS OF $1,000
              CONSORTIUM CHOICES
              # 9 MIKI'S MAGIC RIDE 4/1
              # 5 MYSTERY DRAGON 8/5
              # 4 JEREMYS ALIBI 4/1
              MIKI'S MAGIC RIDE looks great to best this bunch. That 76 TrackMaster Speed Rating clocked in the last outing puts this harness racer in the mix in this race. Beginning from the 9 hole increases this race horse's chances for a nice return on investment. MYSTERY DRAGON - The handicapping group knows that speed is very important in harness racing. This entrant will unlock our way to a nice victory. Seems to have a competitive class advantage based on the competition he has raced against. JEREMYS ALIBI - The handicapping team noted a sharp event out of this contender last time. Looking for a repeat of that to end up in the winner's circle.

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 16966

                #22
                Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Northfield Park
                P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                RACE 12
                1 1 FLIGHT NUMBER ONE 2/1 Wrenn, Ronnie Jr - 26 454.97
                6 6 WINNIE KASH 12/1 Kash, Keith Jr - 8 438.36
                3 3 BOB DA BOMBER 7/2 Merriman, Aaron - 25 434.84
                2 2 HONOR GUARD 5/2 Lems, Chris - 11 429.95
                4 4 INDIANASLITTLEPETE 9/1 Grismore, Greg - 7 424.34
                8 8 LOUS PRIVATE EYE 12/1 Sugg, Kurt - 12 398.73
                9 9 COUNT ON BETTY 25/1 Harvey, Daren - 19 397.46
                7 7 DOVER DANCE 25/1 Ebersole, Luke - 9 376.54
                5 5 PRAIRIE GINGER 25/1 Mullett, Justin - 0 358.52

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 16966

                  #23
                  Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Flamboro Downs

                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.

                  Race 5 - Post: 8:07 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 77 - Purse:$10000 - N/W OF 6
                  CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                  # 4 ARRAKIS 2/1
                  # 9 KENOGAMI COCO 10/1
                  # 7 SOUTHWIND DOMINO 9/2
                  ARRAKIS sure does look ready to score. Overall figures look formidable. Can't throw him out of the picture. Horoscope said take a chance today, this fine animal is as good as any to take a shot with. That 77 speed figure clocked in the most recent competition puts this entrant in the mix in this one. KENOGAMI COCO - Hard to put finger on it, but give the nod to him for this one. SOUTHWIND DOMINO - This competition could very well be controlled by this gelding. Just one look at the avgerage speed rating will prove that. There is a formidable possibility of an increase in speed as this gelding changes equipment - taking hopples off.

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 16966

                    #24
                    Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Woodbine Mohawk Park
                    P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                    RACE 10
                    6 6 HP LIS SHADOW 6/1 Mcclure, Bob - 13 624.76
                    3 3 CODE CRACKER 3/1 Cullen, Travis A - 10 572.56
                    1 1 NAZARE 2/1 Roy, Louis-Philippe - 18 561.79
                    5 5 COLD CREEK QUESO 8/1 Jamieson, Jody C - 11 548.88
                    4 4 B STONEY 7/2 Macdonald, James A - 21 545.66
                    7 7 FOX VALLEY LANDEN 10/1 Hudon, Phillippe - 4 545.15
                    8 8 SERIOUSLY HANOVER 15/1 Jones, Tyler S - 6 525.00
                    2 2 STORMALONG 9/2 Mcnair, Douglas R - 18 519.04
                    9 9 SERGEANT SLAUGHTER 4/1 Davis, Billy J - 8 503.15

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 16966

                      #25
                      Free play from Mike Wynn
                      Free Pick: Dayton -14 over Richmond

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 16966

                        #26
                        Free play from Totals4U


                        Early Saturday's Free Selection: Oklahoma Sooners/Mississippi Rebels under 154 1/2

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 16966

                          #27
                          Free play from #1 Sports


                          Early Saturday's Free Play: Oklahoma Sooners + 8 1/2

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 16966

                            #28
                            Free play from Easy Money Sports


                            Free Early Saturday College Basketball Selection From Lee
                            UTEP -1.5

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 16966

                              #29
                              Free play from Huddle Up Sports


                              Saturday Free Play:
                              Arkansas -1'

                              Comment

                              • ConleyPicks
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2020
                                • 16966

                                #30
                                Free play from John Anthony Sports


                                John Anthony's Free Selection for SATURDAY: Take the HOUSTON COUGARS (NCAAB)

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