Final 4 Betting Info

[New York Knight]

Top Bet Sports ... on JAX-NE


Opened Patriots -9.5, hit 7.5 Friday, still there now.

Sharp play Wednesday started downward trend, then moved with market to -8 early Friday. Then -7.5 that afternoon.

"The big question is how serious is Tom Brady's hand injury? The Patriots are pretty good at covering stuff up, so we will likely never know how serious it is until game time."

[New York Knight]

William Hill on interesting situation with JAX-NE


Opened Pats -9. "We got bet down to 7, we’re back to 7.5. We’re high on New England because we took a big bet on the Patriots – six figures."

"But we’re also still high on Jacksonville moneyline. Everyone knows Brady is playing. He’s played through worse than this. You either like Jacksonville or you don’t.”

"I think the sharp side is still Jacksonville. New England by 1 to 6 points will be just perfect."

[New York Knight]

Bookmaker ... on JAX-NE


Pats open -8, quickly shoot to 9, dropped to 7 on Brady news, now 7.5.

"All of the early action was on New England, and almost everything since the injury news broke has been on the Jags.”

“Once the hand injury became public, we were taking pretty steady action on JAX, so we pulled it and adjusted down to -7. The total plummeted to as low as 44.5, with bettors expecting an adjusted offensive game plan."

Total now 45.5, after opening 47. "We aren't too lopsided on the side, around 60% of money on underdog, but we'll see more public money plopped down on the Patriots. If game stays under, we do have some liability there.”

[New York Knight]

Bet The Greek ... on JAX-NE


Pats open -9, tick up to 9.5 ahead of Brady news, bottom out at 7.5, where line still is today. Mostly sharps on underdog Jags. Book needs New England at this point.

[New York Knight]

Bet The Greek ... on MIN-PHI


Book rooting for favorite in this game too. "We need Minnesota a little." Vikes open -3.5, down to 3 Wednesday, now 3 at even money. Sharps on underdog Eagles ATS.

[New York Knight]

William Hill ... on MIN-PHI


"We’re a little high on Minnesota. The public is on the Vikings, the professionals are on the Eagles. We’ll need the Eagles for something, but I don’t anticipate it being too big.” Vikes at -3 all week.

[New York Knight]

Top Bet Sports ... on MIN-PHI


Midweek sharp action on Philly took line from Vikes -3.5 to -3. Also saw midweek sharp action on over, taking total from 38 to 39.

[New York Knight]

Bookmaker ... on MIN-PHI


Vikes open -3, hit 3.5 early, back at 3 most of week.

"We haven't moved off the key number since an early adjustment to -3.5. Sharp and square bettors are pretty split on the side."

"We have just over 50% of (ATS) action on Philadelphia, while nearly 60% of tickets are on the home dog. ... It doesn't look like we'll have much exposure on this game from a total or side standpoint."

[New York Knight]

CG Technology ... on MIN-PHI


Line at Vikes -3 pretty much all week. Pointspread betting is Pros vs. Joes.

"4X more Philly money on account, while 3X more Minnesota money over the counter."

Moneyline betting "1.5X more Minn. money on account, 2X more Philly money over counter, Sharps on Minnesota, public on Philadelphia." CG has also taken 4 mid-5-figure ATS bets on Eagles.

Book rooting for Vikings cover.

[New York Knight]

72.1% ... That is what the New England Patriots with Tom Brady at quarterback are versus the point-spread the past 5 seasons when playing at home.

64% of those games have went OVER the total.

[New York Knight]

Since 2003, NFL favorites have been profitable ATS during the regular season in: 2005, 2007, 2013 and 2017.

Underdogs are 27-13-1 ATS in the playoffs of those four seasons.

[New York Knight]

The Action Network ...


Updated Championship spreads and public ticket %

Jaguars at Patriots (-7.5, 45.5)

NE: 64%

Vikings at Eagles (+3, 39)

MIN: 55%

[New York Knight]

Beautiful football day in Foxboro.

Partly cloudy skies, temperatures in the mid-40's, very light winds (2-4 mph).

[New York Knight]

Net scoring per game this season (pts scored minus pts allowed):

Jags: +8.8
Patriots: +10.8

Vikes: +7.9
Eagles overall: +9.8
Eagles w. Foles: +3.3

[New York Knight]