I agree, Maia is a horrible fight for anyone to take on short notice. And Palhares should get a big fight his next time out. Weidman really has nothing to lose here.
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Yeah, Weidman is still in thr "prospect' stage... so I can see why he would take it. He gets to fight a top 5 MW on national TV. A win and he is in the title picture. A loss, no one will care.
The funny thing, i was reading the comments on BE, and every one seems to agree that it is too much too soon for Weidman. I don't get how that line is holding. I expected Maia to come in around -140. He really doesn't get any respect from the books. He was a dog to Munoz too.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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Nice!A lot of Weidman's hype comes from his closely contested ADCC match with Galvao. He matched up will with Galvao, but in that same ADCC:
Swept at :44
Tapped out with a beauty of a flying armbar @ 1:25
Maia can definitely tap this kid. Not that he will, but it can definitely happen. The problem is that Maia has all but abandoned his guard game. He pretty much always goes for the half guard underhook to single leg. It is really hard to reverse a wrestler with that particular sweep, since it is also a really common position in wrestling (whizzer, dogfight).Comment
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Probably that too. It is a fact that they all take roids. Even Roger is on roids. Braulio told me (well not me, but I was in the room) that he and Roger messed around with HGH. I am pretty sure Maia is on the juice. I have pretty much lost faith that there are any fighters that are not taking PEDs. Strangely, I think there is a connection between MJ use and not using PEDs. I seriously doubt Diaz uses roids. We know BJ is clean. So there you go, connection=causality.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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If that is the line, I will be on Bisping. Sonnen won't finish him, but Miller was able to get a takedown on Bisping, so I have to thing that Sonnen is going to take him down whenever he wants. Bisping is better than Stann off his back and has better TDD. At +300, I will take it.
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Still waiting for part of how he's going to win.2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP

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Bisping is hard to take down and also big. It is not like Sonnen has never been stiffed before. Jebus, the Sonnen hype is just out of control...2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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I think if Sonnen was able to take a big wrestler Okami down at will, he will be able to take Bisping down. Bisping won't be able to throw effective kicks, Sonnen is amazing at catching them and getting the TD off of them. Bisping will not win a decision, his only shot in this fight imo is a sub or a flash KO. Bet on Sonnen, hedge with Bisping ITD if the lines are good enoughComment
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Not sure if Weidman can duplicate Munoz's performance (in a fight I scored for Maia when I watched it). He isn't aggressive enough that I have seen. So if this ends up being a grappling match, Maia has the edge in overall grappling, just not wrestling, right?Comment
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Truth.
I am hoping Sonnen gets down to like -325, but highly doubtful.
Anybody confident either way with Rashad/Davis? I think Davis can use his length to keep Rashad at bay and avoid getting out boxed badly on the feet. I also think Davis will be able to stuff Rashad and will be able to get a TD if he wants it. imo Davis is the better wrestler of the twoComment
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I like Evans quite a bit here. I bet 1.5u on him, only reason I didn't go bigger is because Davis is a young fighter and still improving.Comment

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