2012 Parlay

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  • poopoo333
    MMA *********
    • Jan 2010
    • 18302

    #316
    Yeah I doubt it. 5 dimes has sucked some dick lately

    Comment

    • Ludo
      Senior Member
      • Jan 2010
      • 4931

      #317
      Newest Ludo Lock:

      4.71u to win .679u on Yushin Okami -600
      2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
      Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
      Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
      Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

      2012: +20.311u

      Comment

      • trotterz
        Senior Member
        • Jan 2011
        • 450

        #318
        For UFC 150 I do like
        not Holloway by Sub
        not Roberts by Sub
        Also considering not Edgar by Sub and not Henderson by Sub, but only if the odds are good.

        Comment

        • MMA_scientist
          Senior Member
          • Nov 2009
          • 9857

          #319
          Originally posted by trotterz
          Also considering not Edgar by Sub and not Henderson by Sub, but only if the odds are good.
          Not Henderson by sub is only -1247. Not Edgar is -6600.

          ridiculous. I am getting ready to rape that Not Hendo line. Did Bendo threaten with a sub in the first fight and I don't remember it or something? Frankie has never been subbed, and the only time I recall him being threatened was in the Tyson Griffin fight (kneebar at the very end), his first UFC fight.
          2012: +19.33
          2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

          Comment

          • MMA_scientist
            Senior Member
            • Nov 2009
            • 9857

            #320
            Nevermind. I did it. Bendo did lock up a couple kimuras on Edgar in the first one, but they weren't close. I dropped $1000 to win $80 on Not Henderson by submission. Because Bendo is suprising, anything could happen here, I would not call it a lock, but I feel like there is enough value to justify the play.
            2012: +19.33
            2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

            Comment

            • poopoo333
              MMA *********
              • Jan 2010
              • 18302

              #321
              Originally posted by MMA_scientist
              Did Bendo threaten with a sub in the first fight and I don't remember it or something?

              Almost guillotined him

              Comment

              • poopoo333
                MMA *********
                • Jan 2010
                • 18302

                #322
                Sat 8/11 1127 Guillard wins by submission +3200
                10:30PM 1128 Any other result -11600


                Sat 8/11 1227 Herman wins by submission +1515
                10:00PM 1228 Any other result -4535

                Sat 8/11 1327 Roberts wins by submission +1440
                9:30PM 1328 Any other result -3960

                Comment

                • MMA_scientist
                  Senior Member
                  • Nov 2009
                  • 9857

                  #323
                  I should have waited and parlayed Not Hermann and Not Guillard with my play. Those things are not happening. Though Hermann does at least have some sub skill, he just isnt going to sub Shields.
                  2012: +19.33
                  2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                  Comment

                  • edman5555
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2010
                    • 6628

                    #324
                    Not guillard is pretty solid. I dont see frankie getting the sub either.
                    1 unit = 300 $

                    Comment

                    • MMA_scientist
                      Senior Member
                      • Nov 2009
                      • 9857

                      #325
                      ^^ yeah neither edgar nor bendo are going to get the sub... but the like is 5 times worse for Not Edgar for some reason.
                      2012: +19.33
                      2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                      Comment

                      • Ludo
                        Senior Member
                        • Jan 2010
                        • 4931

                        #326
                        Originally posted by MMA_scientist
                        ^^ yeah neither edgar nor bendo are going to get the sub... but the like is 5 times worse for Not Edgar for some reason.
                        Because Bendo has gotten out of so many super tight submissions from skilled submission guys now that it's a statistical anomaly.
                        2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                        Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                        Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                        Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                        2012: +20.311u

                        Comment

                        • edman5555
                          Senior Member
                          • Apr 2010
                          • 6628

                          #327
                          Yeah fight goes the distance is probably likely.
                          1 unit = 300 $

                          Comment

                          • MMA_scientist
                            Senior Member
                            • Nov 2009
                            • 9857

                            #328
                            Originally posted by MMA_scientist
                            I dropped $1000 to win $80 on Not Henderson by submission.
                            Chalk it up poopoo.
                            2012: +19.33
                            2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                            Comment

                            • trotterz
                              Senior Member
                              • Jan 2011
                              • 450

                              #329
                              I had a parlay of not roberts by sub not henderson by sub, not holloway by sub, not herman.
                              For once in a long time I was not even worried once in any of those fights

                              Comment

                              • Ludo
                                Senior Member
                                • Jan 2010
                                • 4931

                                #330
                                Originally posted by trotterz
                                I had a parlay of not roberts by sub not henderson by sub, not holloway by sub, not herman.
                                For once in a long time I was not even worried once in any of those fights
                                Bendo almost popped Frankie's head off in the first round for a second there.
                                2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                                Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                                Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                                Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                                2012: +20.311u

                                Comment

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