2012 Parlay

[Luke]

I don't know, never tried to win that much on a prop bet. From what I heard about 5d, and this may all be bullshit, they will not let you play if you start taking that much money from them. We'll see.

Define "that much money."

[MMA_scientist]

^^$1000 every week or two... is what it would be in that scenario. Just from what I have read about 5D, they aren't going to allow that. But people lie on the internet some times I think, so who knows.

[Vandelay]

I believe Hioki and Shields qualify for the lock section. Also like Not boetsch and Edgar.

So i have not bart, akiyama, boetsch, and edgar involved in my original 15 man, $500 rolling parlay. So if these hit, I'll have only 2 spots left to complete the parlay.

Started another $500 parlay with 20 spots. 6 of them filled with not Akiyama, edgar, hunt, boetsch, bart, and bader by sub.

[MMA_scientist]

Fuck it. I am doing it.

"$1872 to win $187 on "Not Akiyama to sub Shields/Not Boetch to sub Okami/Not Bart to sub Hioki"

Worried about Hioki, but his line is pretty soft.

[MMA_scientist]

Started another $500 parlay with 20 spots. 6 of them filled with not Akiyama, edgar, hunt, boetsch, bart, and bader by sub.

What's the pay out on your original $500 so far?

[Vandelay]

465 so far if these next 4 hit with the last 2 still open.

[edman5555]

I'm not involved in this but I'll offer one small thing. Don't push it if you don't think it's right..Sometimes it sounds like you guys are hitting dry spells and taking greater chances than normal. I am not trying to be judgemental and I could be wrong.

[MMA_scientist]

I am definitely pressing it right now. I am being way more aggressive than I should be... but the power of compounding works a lot more in the later stages... so since it is still early I am trying to get there faster, definitely a risky game to be playing though. I feel pretty good about Not Boetch and Not Akiyama... by all accounts Hioki is pretty great, but Bart can grapple too, and I really haven't seen much of Hioki, so that is really more of a gamble in my mind- it is not really based on my own observations as much as reputation- that's not how I do this thing, so it was probably a bad decision. Hopefully, it works out.

[Vandelay]

Eh, bart hasnt subbed any1 of note ever. His only way of winning by sub will be to rock hioki and rnc him. Hioki doesnt really shoot at all. He is more of a judo guy who looks for trips and throws from clinch. Hioki is equally competent on top or from his back.

Honestly, im most confident in Hioki not getting subbed. Shields always leaves his neck out and was almost rnc by miller. So its not like he is immune to getting subbed. Akiyama isn't much of a sub guy and will probably look to keep it standing though. Don't know enough about boetsch or Okami. I could see Okami getting subbed althought highly unlikely.

[poopoo333]

I think the most likely to get a sub is Boetsch.

[MMA_scientist]

Okami has never been subbed. From my perspective, Okami is a really good grappler. He really kind of beat Maia in ADCC. Munoz was unable to take him down, and he was able to hit TD's on Munoz. Boetch is not going to submit him, and even if he could, he is not going to be able to get Okami down. Okami is solid on the mat, he won't get subbed.

Shields won't get subbed unless he gasses out, which he does do at 170. I think he knew time was expiring against Miller so he let his guard down (I may be recalling that wrong though). Akiyama has never really subbed anyone decent, and it would be a shock to see him submit Shields IMO.

Hioki probably ain't getting subbed either, so it is a moot point. But I was just stating that i typically make these bets off of my own observations, and I really haven't seen Hioki fight much.

[poopoo333]

Fuck it. I am doing it. "$1872 to win $187 on "Not Akiyama to sub Shields/Not Boetch to sub Okami/Not Bart to sub Hioki" Worried about Hioki, but his line is pretty soft.

OP updated....


We will be fine this weekend

[edman5555]

I agree with everything said and yeah it was the Hioki bet that prompted me to say something. I guess that puts us on the same page.

[Luke]

^^$1000 every week or two... is what it would be in that scenario. Just from what I have read about 5D, they aren't going to allow that. But people lie on the internet some times I think, so who knows.

Think it would take a lot more than that but I could be wrong.

[MMA_scientist]

I certainly hope so. I just remember reading some guy's post that he got shut down after $30K... Probably bullshit anyway. I have never heard it from a legit source. But i would be happy if I could take $300 per week regularly. That's a solid take from my perspective and I wouldn't feel the need to keep pressing my bankroll if I could take that much.