UFC 153

[Mr. IWS]

Silva down to -875 on sportsbook.com

[SPX]

Okay, just 375 more to go and I'll bet it.

[Mr. IWS]

Okay, just 375 more to go and I'll bet it.

LOL

Ill be happy with -700

[poopoo333]

[SPX]

LOL

Ill be happy with -700

I almost always avoid lines like that even if just on principle. Maybe I'd take Silva again at -700 if he was rematching James Irvin. But Bonnar is a tough, scrappy dude who has never been knocked out or subbed. (His two TKO losses are via cut.)

-500 should be about the highest line we ever see in MMA.

[poopoo333]

-500 should be about the highest line we ever see in MMA.

I don't know about that.....

[SPX]

Unless it's a total squash match--which I don't consider Silva/Bonnar to be--then there are just too many variables for the line to get above -500. I mean, that line is fucking HIGH. I have to think pretty damn hard before I bet a line that high because we all know how huge upsets DO happen in this sport and how one punch can change everything.

-875 is just some crazy shit. What's even the point of risking $875 to win $100? Just doesn't seem worth it to be unless you have a HUGE bankroll. Because one day that shit's going to catch up to you. I mean, you can win 8 of those in a row and then lose one and you're in the hole.

[poopoo333]

Yeah, going that big on a straight bet is silly, I have become a fan or 2 fight parlays though. You can do something like Anderson Silva/Phil Davis which comes out to -286. Want to lower that? Throw in "Not Dave Herman by Sub", "Not Rick Story by Sub" when they come out which might bring it to -200 or close to it.

[Vandelay]

X werent u the one considering betting fatty rodriguez over someone at like -2000?

[SPX]

It was -1100, I think. But yeah.

I'm pretty sure that night I just wanted to win a fucking unit and I was determined to do so. I don't really advocate that kind of behavior, though.

[SPX]

I will point out though that I'm not saying I would never bet a huge line. But it would have to be a SERIOUS mismatch. Bonnar/Silva is a mismatch, but it's still a fight between two very competent guys who are good enough to fight amongst the best in the world.

Give me Jones at -875 over Seth Petruzelli and I might take it.

[Svino]

I'll probably Bet Silva if his line gets better than -1000. Bonnar doesn't have a 10% chance.

[SPX]

I hope Bonnar knocks him the fuck out.

[poopoo333]

I fucking posted in response to SPX about parlays and shit but it didn't go through. God damnit

[mike]

Dont like this card for betting at all. maybe just gonna put a unit on Davis, Nog and Texeira parlay and 1u on Cane if he looks good at weigh in.