UFC on FX 7 Vitor Belfort vs Michael Bisping

[poopoo333]

I get it. He is a pushy wrestler coming down in weight that has done well so far at 145 that will probably be a dog.

Pretty much this.

[poopoo333]

edman, I watched Nunes vs Florian last night and it made me like Lentz even more in this fight. Nunes has a poor gas tank and was taken down and controlled by Florian for a good portion of their fight. I can see Nunes stuffing Lentz in round 1 and taking it, but if Lentz brings the pressure in round 1 and forces Nunes to grapple a little bit, I believe Lentz will be a bit more successful in the 2nd part of the fight.

[poopoo333]

Michael Bisping vs Vitor Belfort - 5 rounds - UFC on FX 7 propositions
Sat 1/19		1003 Bisping/Belfort goes 5 round distance		+170
11:30PM		1004 Fight won't go 5 round distance		-230
Sat 1/19		1005 Bisping wins inside distance		+229
11:30PM		1006 Not Bisping inside distance		-309
Sat 1/19		1007 Bisping wins by 5 round decision		+340
11:30PM		1008 Not Bisping by 5 round decision		-510
Sat 1/19		1009 Belfort wins inside distance		+133
11:30PM		1010 Not Belfort inside distance		-173
Sat 1/19		1011 Belfort wins by 5 round decision		+470
11:30PM		1012 Not Belfort by 5 round decision		-810
Sat 1/19		1013 Bisping/Belfort draw		+7000
11:30PM		1014 Fight not a draw		-18500

[edman5555]

edman, I watched Nunes vs Florian last night and it made me like Lentz even more in this fight. Nunes has a poor gas tank and was taken down and controlled by Florian for a good portion of their fight. I can see Nunes stuffing Lentz in round 1 and taking it, but if Lentz brings the pressure in round 1 and forces Nunes to grapple a little bit, I believe Lentz will be a bit more successful in the 2nd part of the fight.

A poor gas tank could definetly hurt him against Lentz. Lentz is tough as nails as well. He can keep it close quarters where he excels by using his wrestling. The thing about Nunes is he seems to have good footwork IIRC. That is the only thing that makes me worry about him VS Lentz. If Lentz cant keep it in close he could be in a little bit of trouble. I think whichever way it goes it will be really close. I would be suprised to see either guy win 3 rounds. Lentz could be a decent dog bet though. He should be much improved over his 155 performances given the decrease in his opponents size. Another thing to keep in mind about florian is his striking is pretty good. He uses that to get inside. He held Aldo against the cage for a round in their fight as well.

Id think it would be worthwhile to look at some of his recent fights to see how his cardio is. If he gassed in the Florian fight it could be something he looked to improve on. That said, Lentz is a grinder that can obviously push him. I can't really decide on this one, I guess it will depend on the line. I bet it goes the distance.

[poopoo333]

What are your guys thoughts on Gonzaga vs Rothwell? Pretty tough fight to call imo

[edman5555]

Yeah it is. Id be worried about gonzaga slapping on a submission, i think rothwell is more well rounded though.

[poopoo333]

Dana White confirms if Michael Bisping wins at UFC on FX 7, he will get the next shot at Anderson Silva

....

[Mr. IWS]

Will bet poopoo's 2012 MMA winnings on Anderson.

[edman5555]

Michael Bisping vs Vitor Belfort - 5 rounds - UFC on FX 7 propositions
Sat 1/19		1003 Bisping/Belfort goes 5 round distance		+170
11:30PM		1004 Fight won't go 5 round distance		-230
Sat 1/19		1005 Bisping wins inside distance		+229
11:30PM		1006 Not Bisping inside distance		-309
Sat 1/19		1007 Bisping wins by 5 round decision		+340
11:30PM		1008 Not Bisping by 5 round decision		-510
Sat 1/19		1009 Belfort wins inside distance		+133
11:30PM		1010 Not Belfort inside distance		-173
Sat 1/19		1011 Belfort wins by 5 round decision		+470
11:30PM		1012 Not Belfort by 5 round decision		-810
Sat 1/19		1013 Bisping/Belfort draw		+7000
11:30PM		1014 Fight not a draw		-18500

Belfort bulked up for the Jon Jones fight didn't he? I'd look for the video but it probably isn't there. I remember Jones saying that they acutally changed their gameplan in the backroom before the fight because Vitor looked so big at the weigh ins. This could cause some problems for Vitor during the fight. The fight was in September, I don't see how Vitor could cut down on his muscle mass by then, at least not in a significant way. If I am right about that then it would make sense that me could have a rough cut to 185. He's made it before, but Bisping is a bit of a grinder and this is 5 rounds. I could see Bisping taking over with his wrestling later on in the fight against a tired Vitor. I don't see Bisping subbing him or knocking him out though.

On the other hand, Belfort has some big power and speed in his hands. I guess it goes without saying but I'll say it anyways. That has always been Bispings problem. He gets rocked in almost every fight and Vitor is a finisher.

I guess I lean Vitor but I'm not really sure. How do you guys see the wrestling playing out?

[poopoo333]

I think Bisping survives the 1st round and a half and takes over with active striking, clinch work, wrestling. I am very confident in the Brit here.

[edman5555]

Also, what do you guys think of Ronny Markes Vs Andrew Craig?

Markes has shown some fantastic wrestling against Atrain and Vemola. Craig is undefeated and a brown belt in jiu jitsu. He beat Noke but Noke was injured during the fight. Craig was also getting beat by Natal until he had that come from behind head kick. I guess I like Markes to win this one.

Makres ufc profile states he is the Natal state Jiu-Jitsu champion and vice Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu champion. Whatever that means, hes the Al Gore of Jiu jitsu. He is also a brown belt in BJJ under Jair Lourenco of Nova Uniao.

Craig has one submission win and one ko outside of Natal. That guy he knocked out had 2 fights under his belt at the time. I am leaning towards Markes. His line will probably be ridiculous.

[edman5555]

I think Bisping survives the 1st round and a half and takes over with active striking, clinch work, wrestling. I am very confident in the Brit here.

Really? I guess I can see why. One thing I will say about Vitor is that you can make an argument for him being overrated. He does perform well during fights, (ko'ing rich and Akiyama, tapping out AJ) but aside from them most of the guys he's knocked out weren't that well known. Before them it was Matt Lindland and Terry Martin. To be fair his only losses in the ufc are against the pound for pound best fighters in the world. Gotta give him credit for fighting both of them. He also has super fast hands, huge ko power and really great BJJ. He's like a technical Chris Leben.

[poopoo333]

I will definitely be on Markes, I overlooked this fight. He shoud be in the mid -200s but if his line is worse than expected I will find something to parlay.

[edman5555]

I feel like Markes will be able to take Craig down at will.

[edman5555]

Or close to it, that sounded kinda dramatic. Congrats on last nights big win again BTW. Are you going to increase the size of next years bankroll with all this new cash? You should. You are doing well now.