UFC 158 MArch 16th

[poopoo333]

Just bet GSP straight up. Free money.

Yeah pretty much. Would just like to win more lol...-550 on 5 dimes now.

[SPX]

I almost unloaded my whole SB account on him (about 13u). Probably should have.

[Luke]

50-45, 49-46, 49-46 would be a winner.

Honestly though....do you really see Diaz winning a round against GSP? GSP is going to take him down at will and will probably even win the striking.

If Jake Shields can take two rounds off GSP with his striking it wont surprise me if Diaz takes one, especially early. I'm not saying it wont win but I'd much rather lay -450 to -500 on him winning straight up than -200 that he HAS to win every round. I mean , what if GSP is up 4-0 and cruises in rd 5 while Diaz is trying to finish. Dont listen to me though, I usually have no idea what Im talkin about anyway

[Luke]

I almost unloaded my whole SB account on him (about 13u). Probably should have.

Is the fight over? Cause I'm pretty sure its not too late to do that

[SPX]

I'm thinking about it. Even though it won't even get me 3 full units.

[Svino]

If Jake Shields can take two rounds off GSP with his striking it wont surprise me if Diaz takes one, especially early.

I agree, although I'm more inclined to say "especially late" rather than "especially early". Fighters who fight cautiously to get the "W" know that they can afford to drop rounds if they have an insurmountable lead on the cards. I could easily see GSP taking the first three solidly and then giving up one of the later rounds through passiveness.

[Thewisemann]

I dont like the spread. Too many pts to be minus 200. Id rather play gsp by dec

[poopoo333]

Style wise...a lot points to Johny Hendricks.

But for some reason I just see Condit getting the win. I hate betting against good wrestlers though.

[poopoo333]

Where do you guys see GSP's line going? It is -550 on 5 dimes now...I would like to bet it at a better price

[MMA_scientist]

Where do you guys see GSP's line going? It is -550 on 5 dimes now...I would like to bet it at a better price

I think generally the favorites get more favoritey closer to the fight... there are exceptions of course, but usually the line gets worse when everyone favors the same guy. I won't bet against GSP until he fights Hendricks.

[poopoo333]

Hendricks/GSP only fight if GSP loses. Condit is going to beat Hendricks' ass on Saturday.

[edman5555]

I don't know why anyone would bother with the points. If anything I would take Diaz with those points. Just take GSP by decision at the same line. There is a slim chance in hell GSP is knocking out Diaz and I really doubt he submits him. Maybe a cut stoppage.

[Ludo]

I don't know why anyone would bother with the points. If anything I would take Diaz with those points. Just take GSP by decision at the same line. There is a slim chance in hell GSP is knocking out Diaz and I really doubt he submits him. Maybe a cut stoppage.

Because if he does happen to get a stoppage you still win a points bet, whereas if you bet him by decision and he happens to catch a stoppage you lose.

[Luke]

I would love to see Diaz win. And you all are nuts if you think Condit is winning this fight. Look at his past record against wrestlers

[Svino]

What do you guys think about Miller / Mein? Miller's losses have been to pretty decent fighters, does he really deserve to be +250 here?