UFC on FX 8: Belfort vs Rockhold

[edman5555]

god damn,. souza inside the distnace opened at +195 on 5 dimes.

[SPX]

Anyone else thinking Maldonado is worth the -250?

[SPX]

Fuck it, just took Jacare at -550.

Free money, right?

[poopoo333]

I want to know Scientist's opinion on RDA vs Dunham. He has always had a decent read on RDA IIRC.

I lean Dunham and have bets on him by decision at +260 and +328.

[SPX]

I think I favor RDA ever so slightly but I can't help but think the line is off.

[edman5555]

I could see dunham taking it..

[MMA_scientist]

I want to know Scientist's opinion on RDA vs Dunham. He has always had a decent read on RDA IIRC.

I lean Dunham and have bets on him by decision at +260 and +328.

I don't know that I know him any better than anyone else. I bet him a lot back in 2009 and 2010 when he was routinely undervalued- he was + odds to Terry Etim for god's sakes.

I think he is a more athletic fighter, but Dunham might be able to wear him down. Both guys are excellent grapplers, that's probably a wash. Either guy could probably take the other one down. DA is a better kicker Dunham has better hands but is slower. I originally said slight edge to DA, but now I think Dunham might grind him out. Rd 1 to DA, Rd 3 to Dunham. Rd 2 is where the fight is won. That's how I see it, I really don't know who wins.

But at + odds, Dunham is the play IMO, and I may even bet it. Definitely won't bet DA at -180. Dunham decision at +260 is a great bet IMO.

[edman5555]

Dunham plus 3.5 points if the line is good.

[SPX]

Someone break down all these fights with dudes I've never heard of.

[Luke]

Someone break down all these fights with dudes I've never heard of.

Do what I do.........skip them

[SPX]

Fuck that shit. There's money to be made!

[edman5555]

How about Jeremy Larsen's TUf record. Help me find that.

[edman5555]

I am thinking Lucas Martins might hold the edge over Larsen. Larsen started training general MMA six years ago. He's got two wins by knockout against a guy thats 8-25 and a guy thats 0-2. He got outwrestled by Cheisa on TUF. I don't know much more about him other than he claims to be a standup fighter. I know Lucas Martins is a real badass muay thai fighter. He just happened to meet an even more badass standup fighter in Edson Barboza. I am thinking this could be lopsided but I don't really know that much about Larsen.

I am also thinking about Maldanado. I am high on this guy, I think he is really good. The issue is Hollett is a big strong looking dude that might be able to take Maldanado down. Hollett is also a striker. I figure Maldanado is a better striker. Who knows though.

John Lineker is way more experienced than Gashimov. Gashimov seems like a berserker on the feet though. Kind of like Khabib Nurmagedoved.

Jaoa Zeferino is a brazilian jiu jitsu guy. He has some fights against 170 pounders. He might be undersized....will have to wait until the weigh in videos to see. Zeferino is Duke Roufus kickboxing brown belt according to his UFC profile. Hmm ok he is also a BJJ world champ according to his UFC profile. Maybe he can win?

[edman5555]

I am also thinking about Tibau over Cholish.

[SPX]

I think this fight is set up to get Maldonado a win. A lot of people (most?) think he should've gotten the decisions over Kingsbury and Pokrajac, and he showed that he is a tough as nails boxer against Teixeira. There's a reason he's 1-3 in the UFC and getting another fight.

Hollet, on the other hand, looked like shit against Hamill and has lost against every fighter with a name that he has faced. AND this fight is happening in Brazil.

I probably just talked myself into betting Maldonado.