UFC 161

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  • Svino
    replied
    Yeah, last night was really good live. I made about 10u, there. You mentioned a couple good lines. Another was the fact that Miocic was available at great odds pretty much the whole fight. He was +100 and then only -130 *well* past the point it became clear he was dominating the fight. (I also lost a chunk of money on another line I still think was actually good: Hendo at +140 at the end of round 1).

    Really the live-betting situation lives or dies on the number of decisions, especially main-card decisions. Last card with all the submissions, I was really lucky to only lose about 2u. But overall, it's very good, and the bet limits are almost a non-factor now. It used to be you were capped at bets to win 1k, but now it will usually let you bet 1k or 2k no matter the odds, so I think it will let you bet, say, $2,000 to win $180,000 on the draw at +9000. I keep thinking that someday there is going to be an early point deduction and they are going to fuck up bad.

    Question: Would anyone be interested in having something like a live-betting teamspeak channel? I sometimes find it hard to type in chat and bet at the same time.

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  • edman5555
    replied
    Two things I learned last night.

    The plus 3.5 points option 5dimes offers is really good. I was reluctant to use it for a while but now I am starting to appreciate it. I used it twice last night on Dan henderson (-195 and as low as -160 at times) and Jake shields. Both were great options because they were just as good as their opponents. Jake was able to win his fight without the points. Both had great chins and good submission defense. I am hoping to find more bets like this on future cards.

    Live betting: There were more than a few great opportunities last night. I made most of my money on it. Jake shields was at +200 at the end of round two on 5dimes. Tyron was getting tired from all the clinching and typically gasses in the third round. Great opportunity. I won close to 5 units on it.

    Rosi Sexton plus 6.5 points during round three. This would have cashed had I bet it. Wish I had. Another great bet I missed.

    Both options have a lot of available opportunity. I am going to try hard to find more options like this in the future. Good luck everyone.

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  • edman5555
    replied
    Nelson is a fat ass. If he wasn't such a fat ass he might have had a shot. Though he did beat Cro cop in round three.

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  • Luke
    replied
    I'm surprises it was a punch and not GnP that beat Barry. Nelson, you blow.

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  • SPX
    replied
    Originally posted by Luke
    Poopoo, why in gods name would you bet so much on Shawn Jordan? Barry is only a sprawl or two from ko'ing that guy with ease.

    And if you say wrestler vs striker I swear I'll neg you so hard sideloaded will feel it
    Agreed. Jordan could outwrestle him but I wouldn't be surprised at all to see Barry blast him all the way to Mars. Seems like a risky decision to hitch almost all of your horses to him.

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  • edman5555
    replied
    Anyone think Jaboin is a good bet? I was thinking about betting him earlier but I never got around to watching tape. I know Jaboin is pretty decent and Pagues record is really devoid of any solid wins despite Jared Papazian. Jared did almost beat Mike Easton though and hes pretty talented. Tough call..

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  • Vandelay
    replied
    Yea i will probably throw some on Jordan as well.

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  • edman5555
    replied
    Tempted to bet Jordan if his line keeps creeping up. Barry still sucks on the ground.

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  • edman5555
    replied
    Woodleys line has gone to shit. Shields lookin good. I'll probably miss a lot of the live betting. Having a big family dinner tonight.

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  • Svino
    replied
    Originally posted by Svino
    It seems like a coin-toss to me, which is why I'll take either guy at + odds.
    I'll also add, this fight and some others on this card could be good for live betting. We might get a good idea of how the fight will play out early.

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  • SPX
    replied
    Hendo at +135? Damn, wish I had waited. I thought he would become the favorite.

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  • Svino
    replied
    Originally posted by edman5555
    Who do you think wins it?
    It seems like a coin-toss to me, which is why I'll take either guy at + odds.

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  • SPX
    replied
    We usually don't have to wait until 5:00 (my time) for prelims to start.

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  • Luke
    replied
    Originally posted by SPX
    Is it just me or does this shit seems like it starts late as fuck?
    Its usual time.

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  • SPX
    replied
    Is it just me or does this shit seems like it starts late as fuck?

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