UFC Fight Night 29: Shields vs Maia October 9th

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  • poopoo333
    MMA *********
    • Jan 2010
    • 18302

    #31
    If you really like this fight to go the distance, you are getting a good price imo

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    • poopoo333
      MMA *********
      • Jan 2010
      • 18302

      #32

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      • edman5555
        Senior Member
        • Apr 2010
        • 6628

        #33
        I like assuncao, beltran, thiago silva and demian maia.
        1 unit = 300 $

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        • MMA_scientist
          Senior Member
          • Nov 2009
          • 9857

          #34
          I don't know what to think of Palhares at 170. Is he going to be like Maia or will he be a different fighter off the roids? I think you have to favor Pierce but no way I would take Pierce at -253. At +200, I will probably put a little something on Palhares.

          Maia will win barring Shields coming to wrestle. I think Shields can take Maia down and Maia has all but given up playing from bottom. He basically only goes for the half guard/single leg from bottom. So, Maia is going to win. I will probably bet the distance prop because I don't think either man will get a finish here.

          T. Silva should beat Hammill. Don't see any way around that. Hammill is going to charge forward like a bull, maybe Silva will gas out.

          E. Silva should beat DHK too IMO. DHK probably won't be able to get him down, and if he does, I don't know that he will do much better there. Silva is dynamic and DHK has one out, top control.

          All the favorites will win IMO.
          2012: +19.33
          2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

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          • Mr. IWS
            215 Hustler
            • Sep 2006
            • 98671

            #35
            Originally posted by Luke
            What is so good about Maia that he wins 80% of the time?
            80% of the time, he wins every time.

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            • edman5555
              Senior Member
              • Apr 2010
              • 6628

              #36
              Originally posted by Luke
              What is so good about Maia that he wins 80% of the time? His striking isnt very good and his TD's and BJJ could be neutralized by Shields wrestling and BJJ

              Better question, who has Maia ever beat that Shields wouldnt have?
              I think fitch and shields are somewhat similar. After what maia did to fitch i have to favor him in this fight.
              1 unit = 300 $

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              • edman5555
                Senior Member
                • Apr 2010
                • 6628

                #37
                Originally posted by MMA_scientist
                I don't know what to think of Palhares at 170. Is he going to be like Maia or will he be a different fighter off the roids? I think you have to favor Pierce but no way I would take Pierce at -253. At +200, I will probably put a little something on Palhares.

                Maia will win barring Shields coming to wrestle. I think Shields can take Maia down and Maia has all but given up playing from bottom. He basically only goes for the half guard/single leg from bottom. So, Maia is going to win. I will probably bet the distance prop because I don't think either man will get a finish here.

                T. Silva should beat Hammill. Don't see any way around that. Hammill is going to charge forward like a bull, maybe Silva will gas out.

                E. Silva should beat DHK too IMO. DHK probably won't be able to get him down, and if he does, I don't know that he will do much better there. Silva is dynamic and DHK has one out, top control.

                All the favorites will win IMO.
                I guess me and you are the only ones that like silva. I also think he is way to dynamic for dhk to get him down. That is exactly what i was thinking.
                1 unit = 300 $

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                • edman5555
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2010
                  • 6628

                  #38
                  What do you think about maldanado vs beltran scientist?
                  1 unit = 300 $

                  Comment

                  • MMA_scientist
                    Senior Member
                    • Nov 2009
                    • 9857

                    #39
                    Originally posted by edman5555
                    What do you think about maldanado vs beltran scientist?
                    I don't bet against Beltran. Maldonado should be better standing, but Beltran will probably clinch him to death. I really don't know, coin toss. At the current odds, Beltran.
                    2012: +19.33
                    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

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                    • edman5555
                      Senior Member
                      • Apr 2010
                      • 6628

                      #40
                      Yesh i figure beltran should be able to outwrestle him.
                      1 unit = 300 $

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                      • Luke
                        10 year vet
                        • Oct 2006
                        • 30060

                        #41
                        Originally posted by edman5555
                        I think fitch and shields are somewhat similar. After what maia did to fitch i have to favor him in this fight.
                        A win over Fitch now doesnt mean what it did three years ago. By those standards Josh Burkman is a top 3 WW
                        2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


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                        • edman5555
                          Senior Member
                          • Apr 2010
                          • 6628

                          #42
                          Originally posted by Luke
                          A win over Fitch now doesnt mean what it did three years ago. By those standards Josh Burkman is a top 3 WW
                          I don't think Fitch has really gone that far downhill. I think his competition has just gotten better.
                          1 unit = 300 $

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                          • poopoo333
                            MMA *********
                            • Jan 2010
                            • 18302

                            #43
                            I really feel Maia is just a bad match up for Fitch..said it before they fought too. Fitch has never done well against guys that come forward immediately and try to put him on his back and that's exactly what Maia did to DHK and Rick Story.

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                            • edman5555
                              Senior Member
                              • Apr 2010
                              • 6628

                              #44
                              Look at what fitch did to erick silva. Then look at what he did to jason high or whatever his name was. Silva is very good. Josh burkman is also a good fighter.
                              1 unit = 300 $

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                              • Luke
                                10 year vet
                                • Oct 2006
                                • 30060

                                #45
                                Silva would win a rematch imo
                                2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


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