UFC 109 Discussion

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 109 bets

6u on Marquart @ -275
5u on Maia @ -300

When undercard comes out, I will add:

5u on Danzig @ up to -300
.5U on Davis @ even or underdog

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 109 Discussion

If I can get Nate around that -350 range, Im probably gonna be on him.

That line is all over the place though.

I got him @ -275, I thought about arbing it out... but Nate is gonna win, so I am just going tot keep all the money.

I can also arm out Maia, which is more tempting.

[thatchillguy]

Re: UFC 109 Discussion

I agree with really liking nate against chael. Chael is 6'1 & one of the bigger middleweights that uses his wrestling to bully people around. I cant see him doing that to nate as he is 6'1 & big himself. 6 outta 10 of his losses are by submission & nate has 15 of 29 win by submission. I feel confident he will eventually sub him if he try's to lay-n-pray on him for 3 rounds. I give nate the stand-up advantage everywhere in technique, power & speed so I am very confident if it stays standing.

I am staying away from coleman/couture fight with lines soo high, I have a bad feeling about this one. If coleman can get off to a good start in the 1st round with taking couture down & do a little gnp to win the round, than do the same for 3 mins of the 2nd round before he gases, it could be enough to win him the decision. I feel the longer the fight goes the better it gets for couture. If it does goes 3 rounds, 1/2 thru the fight I see things swinging in favor of couture & def see couture winning the 3rd round with having a pretty big edge in cardio. But could coleman have done enuff in rounds 1 & 2 to get the decesion? I feel like nobody besides forest griffion wins a decesion over couture (both them are prolly the judges #1 favorite fighters). If coleman cant manage to mount an offense in the 1st round than I can just see couture beating & wearing him down for 3 rounds until he cant even breathe anymore. Either way my gut says to just watch the fight & enjoy it, too risky.

[Luke]

Re: UFC 109 Discussion

Would anyone take Couture at -365?

How low would he have to be for him to be a bet for you guys?

[SPX]

Re: UFC 109 Discussion

Would anyone take Couture at -365?

How low would he have to be for him to be a bet for you guys?

Probably -300 for me.

[Luke]

Re: UFC 109 Discussion

Would anyone take Couture at -365?

How low would he have to be for him to be a bet for you guys?

Probably -300 for me.

I just keep watching the line go lower and lower and was wondering

[Mr. IWS]

Re: UFC 109 Discussion

Im with SPX, I would probably lay -300.

[Thewiseman]

Re: UFC 109 Discussion

I took Couture at -370. It may be a close first round but then it will be all Couture. I think it will be a very one sided fight, with Couture finishing a gassed Coleman late in the fight.

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 109 bets

3 units on Marquardt


still waiting on undercard lines.

[zY|]

Re: UFC 109 Discussion

I wouldn't bet on him at all. I expect Coleman to win this fight. Randy has never done well against a larger man who can take him down and beat on him. Randy's conditioning is the X factor, but don't be surprised when Mark Coleman wins 29-28.

[Luke]

Re: UFC 109 Discussion

I wouldn't bet on him at all. I expect Coleman to win this fight. Randy has never done well against a larger man who can take him down and beat on him. Randy's conditioning is the X factor, but don't be surprised when Mark Coleman wins 29-28.

I've said all along I was betting Coleman or nothing I was just wondering what everyoen else was thinking about the line dropping .Theres a zero chance I'm betting Couture

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 109 Discussion

Had my line set @ -200 before the line opened. So I would take Randy @ -200...

[Thewiseman]

Re: UFC 109 bets

So far I have:
Couture 22.3u to win 5.8u
Couture wins inside the distance .3u to win .8u
Serra .4u to win .3u
Serra wins inside the distance .16u to win .5u
Sonnen wins by decision .3u to win 1.5u
Dan Miller wins by decision .16u to win 1.6u

[Thewiseman]

Re: UFC 109 Discussion

Coleman is not really bigger than Randy. Coleman has slowed down considerably, watch the Bonnar fight. Coleman is SLOW. Im sure he will take Couture down some of the time, but he wont keep him down(see the Lesnar fight) and Couture has a big advantage standing. Then Coleman will get tired. He maintained top position against Bonnar, and was pretty tired in that fight, Couture can wrestle with him and push the pace. Coleman will gas. And Couture is good defensively off his back, what is Coleman gonna do off his back?(trust me, he will be there) I am highly confident randy takes this. laid down 22.3u to win 5.8u

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 109 bets

3 units on Marquardt


still waiting on undercard lines.

Add 1 unit on Coleman.