UFC 109 Discussion

[zY|]

Re: UFC 109 bets

If any of you can use Pinnacle, check out Davis/Stann. HUGE arb available. Of course, it could be a mistake, but just FYI.

http://www.bestfightodds.com/

[Thewiseman]

Re: UFC 109 bets

So far I have:
Couture 22.3u to win 5.8u
Couture wins inside the distance .3u to win .8u
Serra .4u to win .3u
Serra wins inside the distance .16u to win .5u
Sonnen wins by decision .3u to win 1.5u
Dan Miller wins by decision .16u to win 1.6u

Just added my parlays:
Couture, Swick, Maia, Serra, Danzig, Davis, Tuscherer .5u to win 4.7u.
Two parlays with futures both risking .03u with the same fighters + Torres
And I always do a parlay with the whole card.
Couture wins inside the distance, Sonnen by decision, Swick, Maia, Serra, Torres, Danzig, Emerson, Davis, Tuscherer, and Gracie .03u to win 23.5u
So total parlay risk is only .59u, and for crazy parlays its .09u

You are wild man.

As to 31-5, @-400 on average you would only be up 2.5 times your bet after risking 25% of your bankroll 36 times.

There is a better way.

Yeah, that is true but most of those bets are far less than -400. To give you a couple examples of big wins last year
Sanchez over Stevenson, Maia over Sonnen, Marquardt over Wilson G, Silva over Leites, Machida over Evans, Fitch over Paulo Thiago, Hendo over Bisping, Penn over Florian, Silva over Forrest, Stevenson over Fisher, Mir over Kongo. Just a few off the top of my head, Big losses were Liddell vs Rua, Cantwell vs Stann and Jon Jones vs Hamil

[Luke]

Re: UFC 109 bets

If any of you can use Pinnacle, check out Davis/Stann. HUGE arb available. Of course, it could be a mistake, but just FYI.

http://www.bestfightodds.com/

must have been an error because I dont see anything.What were the lines?

[The HOFF]

Re: UFC 109 bets

Why Tuch and why so much?

Tuchscherer has better stand up and was doing ok against Gonzaga until the huge nut shot. Hague has one UFC win over an inexperienced ground fighter in Barry. He showed a pretty weak chin against Duffee too.

[zY|]

Re: UFC 109 bets

If any of you can use Pinnacle, check out Davis/Stann. HUGE arb available. Of course, it could be a mistake, but just FYI.

http://www.bestfightodds.com/

must have been an error because I dont see anything.What were the lines?

Actually the lines moved that much since I posted it. I wonder if they just changed it.

Look at the line change graph.

It opened at -230 Stann, +205 Davis

[The HOFF]

Re: UFC 109 bets

tell me something about Torres.. i am considering it as well

Good takedowns. Should be able to get Guillard down with no problems. Half of his wins are by submissions.

[zY|]

Re: UFC 109 bets

Why Tuch and why so much?

Tuchscherer has better stand up and was doing ok against Gonzaga until the huge nut shot.

Haha this nearly made me fall out of my chair. Gonzaga kicked him in the nuts in the first 15 seconds and it was literally the first strike thrown by either fighter.

I'm not saying it's a bad bet, Hague is awful and doesn't belong in the UFC, but cmon. Gonzaga beat Tuscherer like he had anally raped his mother and poured sugar in his gas tank.

[Luke]

Re: UFC 109 Discussion

Dana White: UFC 109 co-headliners Marquardt and Sonnen fighting for title shot

The winner of Saturday's UFC 109 co-main-event fight between Nate Marquardt (29-8-2 MMA, 8-2 UFC) and Chael Sonnen (24-10-1 MMA, 3-3 UFC) will earn a middleweight title shot.

At today's UFC 109 pre-event press conference, UFC president Dana White confirmed the recent speculation and guaranteed the winner a shot at the belt.

White, who emceed today's presser at Mandalay Bay Resort & Casino's Mizuya Lounge in Las Vegas, said he always considered the co-headlining fight a No. 1 contender's bout.

"We always had it in mind," White said. "These are two of the top five [middleweights] in the world depending on what you look at."

[Thewiseman]

Re: UFC 109 bets

Just out of curiosity, why Sonnen?

Nate will probanly win, but with his wrestling Sonnen could grind out a decision.

[Ludo]

Re: UFC 109 bets

8.5u to win 5.5u parlay on Marquardt and Maia at -350 each
3u to win 3.3u on Frank Trigg at +110
1u to win 3u on Mark Coleman at +300

and when a line comes out on Rolles Gracie I'll probably toss a unit on him as well provided his line is under -200

added a 1u parlay on Tim Hague, Rolles Gracie, Mac Danzig, and Mike Swick to win 4.5u

[Ludo]

Re: UFC 109 bets

Just out of curiosity, why Sonnen?

Nate will probanly win, but with his wrestling Sonnen could grind out a decision.

Thats a fair point. I was just wondering because Nate's Wrestling is also very good, not to mention he's the much bigger fighter and has far and away better standup.

[SPX]

Re: UFC 109 Discussion

Didn't Dana "guarantee" title shots to Hendo that never materialized?

[SPX]

Re: UFC 109 bets

Everyone staying away from Swick/Thiago?

[Mr. IWS]

Re: UFC 109 bets

Nate Marquardt -375 to win 100

[SPX]

Re: UFC 109 bets

Zak got his ninja back!