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On a side note, I think Mitrione will win but I don't think Morecraft is THAT bad. I think Morecraft will be working to get this to the mat since Mitrione was thrown around by Kimbo before Kimbo started getting his ass beat, was taken down and controlled by Beltran, and was taken down and controlled by Marcus Jones as well before getting the KO. I think Mitrione improves every time he fights though, and will be able to use his athleticism/explosiveness to keep the fight where he wants it. I won't be surprised if Morecraft makes the first round competitive then Mitrione taking over in 2 and 3.
Ok a lock might be going too far but I really think he is going to win. It's a fight between two grapplers, and I think Brenneman is the better grappler. Look at Grant's losses in the UFC: Kim, Hendricks, and Almeida...all top control guys that beat Grant with top control game plans. Grant was smothered by all three of these guys, even though I am pretty sure he was beating Hendricks on the feet. But to bring in MMA math, Brenneman was outstriking/beating Hendricks before he got TKOd as well. Also..Grant beat Chonan via SD, but it was really close. Chonan was able to get Grant down and control him too, but IRC, Chonan gassed.
With Brenneman, he is an athletic, quick, explosive wrestler. He will be able to hold his own on the feet with Grant and probably outstrike him against the fence and will be able to take Grant down and smother him. Brenneman basically dominated Jason High on the mat and also dominated Amilcar Alves on the mat (I am torrenting that fight, I will upload it once it finishes).
So the conclusion of mine is: Brenneman is very strong where Grant is very weak.
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I don't know how scoring was back in 2008, but if that fight happened in the UFC, Brenneman would have gotten the decision for sure.
I slightly favor Story... but you guys are acting like Nate is dead in the water here. Just take Story by decision, because he is not finishing Nate. Nate may be able to schuck off the takedowns at WW. Story comes bum rushing in, Marqy could easily Maia him.
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