UFC on Versus 5

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  • flyinggogoplata
    replied
    Originally posted by poopoo333
    Sometimes you just know if you are gonna get an arb opportunity, like Rory Macdonald -140, Mark Munoz +160 against Maia, Dominick Cruz +120 against Faber etc
    yep books opening lines know they are probably way off, they just don't care with the low limits they put on the openers. Once the line is banged into shape, then they open the limits up.

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  • flyinggogoplata
    replied
    This probably won't work great with mma but larger markets like mlb or nfl you can just calculate the no-vig line from pinnacles lines close to game time. If you can find a shop that has a line better then the pinnacle no-vig line bet it. You literally could turn a profit just doing that over and over.

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  • poopoo333
    replied
    Sometimes you just know if you are gonna get an arb opportunity, like Rory Macdonald -140, Mark Munoz +160 against Maia, Dominick Cruz +120 against Faber etc

    Leave a comment:


  • SPX
    replied
    Originally posted by Luke
    He's not trolling,he's never bet anything but MMA.
    That's the truth.

    Just MMA. And a little boxing.

    And I guess the Captain America gross. But no other sports.

    Leave a comment:


  • SPX
    replied
    Originally posted by Luke
    I don't plan on doing this much at all,in fact the last time I arbed out on a fight was Faber-Assuncao and that was 18 months ago...just got lucky this time.
    Word.

    I've had a couple of opportunities when there was an arb on the board but I would have had to bet a huge amount to really make any money. And .2 to .3 units just isn't enough for me to bother. I'd rather let a straight bet ride and hope to make a full unit.

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  • Luke
    replied
    Originally posted by flyinggogoplata
    can't tell if you're trolling me or not.
    He's not trolling,he's never bet anything but MMA.

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  • SPX
    replied
    Originally posted by Luke
    He means bad lines . Meaning if the actal line of the fight should be -150 after everyone has hit it and you hit +120,+120 is the soft side or bad line.
    Originally posted by flyinggogoplata
    I wouldn't use the word bad line though. Then the bookie can freeroll you. if it's -500 everywhere and they mis type +500 thats a bad line. Being 20 to 30 cents off to me is just a soft line probably at a slow moving rec book.

    Okay, thanks.

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  • Luke
    replied
    Originally posted by flyinggogoplata
    I wouldn't use the word bad line though. Then the bookie can freeroll you. if it's -500 everywhere and they mis type +500 thats a bad line. Being 20 to 30 cents off to me is just a soft line probably at a slow moving rec book.
    I was just trying to make it easier to understand

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  • flyinggogoplata
    replied
    Originally posted by SPX
    What the fuck are you talking about?
    can't tell if you're trolling me or not.

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  • Luke
    replied
    Originally posted by SPX
    Rock on.
    I don't plan on doing this much at all,in fact the last time I arbed out on a fight was Faber-Assuncao and that was 18 months ago...just got lucky this time.

    Leave a comment:


  • flyinggogoplata
    replied
    Originally posted by Luke
    He means bad lines . Meaning if the actal line of the fight should be -150 after everyone has hit it and you hit +120,+120 is the soft side or bad line.
    I wouldn't use the word bad line though. Then the bookie can freeroll you. if it's -500 everywhere and they mis type +500 thats a bad line. Being 20 to 30 cents off to me is just a soft line probably at a slow moving rec book.

    Leave a comment:


  • poopoo333
    replied
    Originally posted by SPX
    What the fuck are you talking about?
    The line that isn't on the market anymore...Basically a good opening line. I think.

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  • Luke
    replied
    Originally posted by SPX
    What the fuck are you talking about?
    He means bad lines . Meaning if the actal line of the fight should be -150 after everyone has hit it and you hit +120,+120 is the soft side or bad line.

    Leave a comment:


  • SPX
    replied
    Originally posted by Luke
    My unit is 100 dollars and since the line is already +130 on the other side I'm guaranteed .2 or .3 units no matter who wins .To me .2 to .3 of guaranteed profit is worth it . This is the first time I've done this in a while and don't plan on doing to often because I'm never "sure" which way the line will move,this was one of those rare instances I was pretty sure the line was going to shift the other way
    Rock on.

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  • SPX
    replied
    Originally posted by flyinggogoplata
    the off market price
    What the fuck are you talking about?

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