UFC 136

[MMA_scientist]

I bet Guillard straight up at -320. I may hedge that with Lauzon by submission.

[edman5555]

i just feel like lauzon has very little standing, guillard is a badass on the feet and lauzon will have a lot of trouble getting him down. maybe i am wrong, the round 1 thing may have been a little hasty.

[sbjj]

OK, Sonnen, Aldo, and Guillard all seem to be sitting around the same price. Who is the best bet? And who is the most questionable.

I think they all win, and I am just trying to figure who I am most confident in.

[SPX]

I think Aldo is probably the best bet, because he should be better than Kenflo everywhere and has no visible holes.

Sonnen and Guillard should both win, but they both have sub defense questions.

[Mr. IWS]

OK, Sonnen, Aldo, and Guillard all seem to be sitting around the same price. Who is the best bet? And who is the most questionable.

I think they all win, and I am just trying to figure who I am most confident in.

I think Guillard is.

[SPX]

i just feel like lauzon has very little standing, guillard is a badass on the feet and lauzon will have a lot of trouble getting him down. maybe i am wrong, the round 1 thing may have been a little hasty.

My take is that Lauzon's 1st round is like Carwin's 5th. So I could see him keeping it close for a round and then getting blasted in the 2nd or 3rd.

[sbjj]

I think Guillard is.

Best bet or most questionable.

[Mr. IWS]

Best bet or most questionable.

Whoops........Best Bet. He gonna fuck that white devil up.

[sbjj]

I think Aldo is probably the best bet, because he should be better than Kenflo everywhere and has no visible holes.

Sonnen and Guillard should both win, but they both have sub defense questions.

i was leaning that way also. One thing Aldo is, is that he seems dependable. if it is true that he was near death against Mark that says even more about him than if he just blasted him out of there.

[Vandelay]

I guess Aldo had a really tough weight cut prior to hominick fight. This might be the reason why he looked so bad on the ground.

http://www.izlesene.com/video/jose-aldo-weight-cut-battle-part-1/4807943

[Mr. IWS]

So I could see him keeping it close for a round and then getting blasted in the 2nd or 3rd.

Pretty much my thoughts.

[SPX]

i was leaning that way also. One thing Aldo is, is that he seems dependable. if it is true that he was near death against Mark that says even more about him than if he just blasted him out of there.

Yeah, I agree.

I guess basically I think that Sonnen and Guillard both stand a reasonable chance of "getting caught" because of deficiencies in their game.

But Kenflo is just going to have to be a better fighter and I don't see that happening.

[Luke]

OK, Sonnen, Aldo, and Guillard all seem to be sitting around the same price. Who is the best bet? And who is the most questionable.

I think they all win, and I am just trying to figure who I am most confident in.

Guillard best bet, Aldo most questionable.

[MMA_scientist]

OK, Sonnen, Aldo, and Guillard all seem to be sitting around the same price. Who is the best bet? And who is the most questionable.

I think they all win, and I am just trying to figure who I am most confident in.

I think Guillard is the best bet and I think Aldo is the worst bet. Lauzon has to submit him quickly... Lauzon gasses out and his takedowns are not very good. He could not get Stout down, most guys can get Stout down if they need to. I feel that Lauzon will resort to guard pulling, may try to dive for a heel hook if he gets stuffed, but outside of a quick submission, he is toast.

Aldo should be better standing. I am not convinced that his ground game is all it is cracked up to be after the Hominick fight. Kenny is very hard to put away and he doesn't take a lot of damage standing. I could see Kenny hanging around and Aldo gassing out again. I think Kenny will come in with a gameplan to clinch. Aldo is already complaining about the weight cut and talking about permanently moving to 155. I think Florian may be able to stay alive for a few rounds and then press Aldo on the ground.

With Sonnen, you know what you are getting. He is going to try to GNP Stann. Stann is going to try to force a standup fight and catch a sub from his back. Sonnen will probably win, but I think there are a lot of questions around him right now, and I don't feel good laying those odds. Although, he is probably going to do what he always does... Stann has looked massively improved every time he comes out, and Sonnen may be off the juice.

[SPX]

Aldo is already complaining about the weight cut and talking about permanently moving to 155. I think Florian may be able to stay alive for a few rounds and then press Aldo on the ground.

That's interesting, because I just read some shit that Edgar is intrigued by the possibility of challenging for the 145 belt, presumably to hold both simultaneously.

Aldo vs Edgar . . . who ya got?