12-29-11

[Mr. IWS]

Total 4 U

Top Plays
ND/Flor St UNDER
Wash/Bay OVER
Flor/Rutgers UNDER

Regular Plays
Dall/OKC OVER
Den/Port OVER
NYK/LAL UNDER
Vandy/Marq UNDER
Okla/Cincy UNDER
Oreg St/Wash U OVER
UCLA/Stanf OVER

[Mr. IWS]

Platinum Plays

Premier (Top)
ND/Flor St UNDER

400K (Med)
Wash U (CFB)

Reg Plays
ND (CFB)
Wash/Baylor UNDER
NYK (NBA)
N Iowa (CBB)
BYU (CBB)

[Mr. IWS]

Steve Budin - FSU

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

N.Y. ISLANDERS +105 over Calgary

The Flames have won four in a row and they haven’t allowed more than two goals against in any of those games. They’ve won two straight on the road and this will be their third road game of a season long six-game trip. Thing is, very average teams rarely go on prolonged winning streaks in this league and that’s exactly what Calgary is. The Flames rarely play on the Island, with just two games here since ’06 and with upcoming games against Nashville, Washington and Boston to close out this trip, they could certainly be flat here. Even at their best, Calgary probably shouldn’t be favored in Long Island. Reports out of Long Island are that the team has had some very spirited practices over the past two days. They’ve lost three in a row and they’ll be more urgency on this bench than on Calgary’s. Make no mistake about it, the Islanders have more talent than Calgary and all things being equal, we expect the host to get off the mattress here. Play: N.Y. Islanders +105 (Risking 2 units).

CAROLINA +102 over Toronto

The Hurricanes are playing much better since the firing of Paul Maurice with points in five of their last seven games. One of those losses came against Phoenix when they blew a 3-1 lead, outshot the Coyotes 37-19 and completely dominated play. The other loss came in Pittsburgh. During that span they have wins over both Vancouver and New Jersey, two of the hottest teams in the game. Carolina outshot Vancouver 41-36 and outshot the Devils 33-25. The ‘Canes always brings intensity when playing Toronto, as these two have developed a nice rivalry over the years and it’s also worth noting that the ‘Canes have a big edge in net with Cam Ward. The Maple Leafs have lost four of six. James Reimer, the supposed saviour of this franchise, has been wildly inconsistent. He was yanked in his last game and his confidence level has to be questioned. The Hurricanes are in better form and they’re wrongly being billed as the pup in this contest. Play: Carolina +102 (Risking 2 units).

DALLAS -½ -110 over Columbus

You wouldn’t think that the Stars would be jacked up to play the Blue Jackets and in normal circumstances they wouldn’t. However, tonight is a different story as Kari Lehtonen, out since Nov. 26, makes his return. Dallas has watched its goalies go 7-5-0 with a 3.08 goals-against average since losing Lehtonen, who is 13-4-1 with a 2.34 GAA. The players love this guy and they’re thrilled he’s back. Meanwhile, the Jackets haven’t won in regulation on the road all year and that’s not a typo. They blew a 4-1 lead against Nashville just before the break and followed that up with a home loss in OT to Calgary. Losing takes its toll and the Jackets have to be a mentally drained team. The defense is weak and the goaltending is weaker. Curtis Sanford is nursing an injury and that forces the team to go with Steve Mason tonight. He’s 0-8-0 with a 4.80 GAA on the road this season. Can this one turn out any other way? We think not. Play: Dallas -½ -110 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).

Montreal +115 over TAMPA BAY Pinnacle

The best part about wagering on the Canadiens is that when Carey Price plays, you always have a chance to win. The Canadiens got their first win for their new coach and it was an impressive 6-2 victory over the Senators on Tuesday. They got production from many different sources and that’s a good sign indeed. The Lightning are too risky as a favorite. They’ve lost nine of their past 13 games. Two of four wins came against Columbus and Calgary. They’re coming off a misleading win over Philly in which they were clearly dominated and outshot by a 32-16 count. The Bolts have unsteady goaltending and a weak group of defenseman. In a game that is fairly evenly matched, the goaltending of Carey Price tilts the edge in our favor and the tag seals it. Play: Montreal +115 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
NHL 75-60 Last 135 picks +$1670
1 OF 3
Game: Edmonton at Minnesota (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Minnesota -135 (moneyline)

The Edmonton Oilers have pretty much held serve at home, but have been a road disaster at 5-11-1 on the season. Lately it doesn't matter where they are playing as the Oilers have now gone 3-10 in their last 13, which includes five straight losses on the road, where they have been outscored by a 20-9 count, losing by over 2 goals per contest. Minnesota was a victim of one of those three Edmonton wins losing on the road 4-1, so they will be primed and ready for revenge tonight at home. The Wild has dropped eight straight games themselves, but have been cash cows at home vs. a team with a road mark of less than .400 where they have gone 51-21 in their last 72. The Oilers are a pathetic 12-51 in their last 63 on the road vs. a team with a winning home record. Play on Minnesota.

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

San Fran -2
Cs northridge -2
W&M +13.5

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks:


Washington/Baylor

OVER

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Rickenbach

CFB Baylor under 10*
CFB *Florida St 10*
NHL 7* Calgary (ml)
NBA Orlando over 8*
CBB Michigan over 8*

[Mr. IWS]

JASON SHARPE

4 Unit Play Take #611 Austin Peay -1 over Eastern Kentucky (7:00pm est):
3 Unit Play Take #573 Kent State -3.5 over Arkansas State (8:30pm est):
3 Unit Play Take #589 San Francisco -3 over Pepperdine (10:00pm est):

[Mr. IWS]

Royal Waldorf

NCAAB
10* Detroit -6

UIC is out-sized, out-classed and out-gunned. UIC is a very, very poor shooting team in every department. Their one strength is rebounding, but the Titans towering front court snuffs out that last breathe of life for the Flames. A one sided affair from start to finish.

[Mr. IWS]

indian cowboy

4 yale +4

[Mr. IWS]

Inside Vegas

NCAA
15* Pick: Tennessee Tech -11

[Mr. IWS]

SB Professor College Bowl Picks

3:20 PM EST
231. Rutgers -1 (there are some 1's and 1.5's out there. If you can only get -1.5 then I recommend buying it down to -1)

6:40 PM EST
233. Wake Forest +7

[Mr. IWS]

Turner Systems

NBA
Rockets un 196

NHL
Winn -1.5 +225
Dall -1.5 +170

[Mr. IWS]

Just Cover, Baby

3* Baylor -9.5
3* Notre Dame +3.5

2* Okla. City -5.5
2* San Antonio -2.5