If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
WUNDERDOG NBA 15-10 Last 25 picks +$380 Game: New Orleans at Denver (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: New Orleans +13 (-110)
The Nuggets acquired a good young infusion of talent when they dealt Melo to the Knicks. As a result, they come into this one at 6-3 on the season and a perfect 4-0 at home. While they have been the Nuggets of old scoring 110+ on four occasions, they show their youth scoring in the 90s in four others. The New Orleans Hornets will again be without their best player Eric Gordon who will miss a few more weeks to get his knee right. This team has some good depth and likes to slow the pace down, which makes a huge pointspread a target for the dog here. They have allowed just one team 100 points this season and that was 101, so there is a strong likelihood that they can hang inside an inflated number here. The Hornets' track record indicates as such as they are 10-3 ATS playing in the role of a road dog of 11 or more points. Play on New Orleans in this one.
It's hard to argue that these two aren't the two best teams in the country, especially when talking about Nick Saban's Crimson Tide. College football hasn't seen a defense like the Tide's in a long, long time and may never see it again. Alabama's “D” finished first in the nation in total defense, yards per play, pass efficiency defense, a slew of other statistical categories and it doesn't stop there. The Tide also has an outstanding offensive line and two outstanding backs in Trent Richardson and Eddie Lacy with Richardson possibly being the best player in the game. Of course the game is Louisiana's Super Dome and one has to consider the “home-field” advantage for the Tigers, not to mention that they're an outstanding team too. They play great defense, they certainly have an edge on special teams and Les Miles has proven to be better in big games than Nick Saban. Still, 'Bama is even better, with advantages on defense, at the line of scrimmage and in the running game. Sure, LSU beat the Tide two months ago (9-6) but Alabama was the better team then and they're the better team now. LSU is in the unenviable spot of having to prove something it already proved. It's just so tough to beat a team of this quality twice within a short period of time, as everything has to go right for you to do so. Everything went right for the Tigers in early November but don't expect it to happen again, as the Crimson Tide will not squander this chance. Play: Alabama -2½ (Risking 2.16 units to win 2).
NEW JERSEY +5½/+201 over Atlanta
Three of Atlanta's last four games have come against the Heat twice and the Bulls once, arguably the East's top two teams. The Hawks are off to a good 6-3 start with two of those wins coming against these same Nets, the first one by an eye-opening 36 points. Now they'll play the Nets for a third time following those three intense matchups and two straight wins. This becomes a vulnerable spot for the Hawks. New Jersey's 2-7 record is better than it looks. They've already played the Heat, Magic, Pacers and Celtics. They've looked much sharper in its last two games, one in Toronto (a 12-point win) and as hosts to Miami. Anthony Morrow is getting plenty of minutes and when he’s on his game, he can knock down shot after shot. The Nets have two star players in Deron Williams and Kris Humphries. You can be darn sure they're going to take this game very seriously after losing twice to this guest already. Atlanta has Indiana on deck and even more than they did last season, we can expect the Hawks to take nights like this ‘off’ in the year of the compressed schedule Play: New Jersey +5½ (Risking 1.02 units to win 1). Play: New Jersey +201 (Risking 1 unit).
CHICAGO -13½ over Detroit
This has been the year of the blowout so far. We see 20-point wins every night. We see teams down by 10-12 in the fourth end up losing by 25. We see teams mailing it in once they get down by a lot because tomorrow is another day and clubs can't afford to waste energy when they have five games in a week. The Pistons are a team with no hope and that gets blown out regularly. They're coming off back-to-back 23 point-losses to the Knicks and Sixers, not to mention a 16-point loss to these same Bulls at The Palace. The best news is that the Bulls are coming off an embarassing 15-point loss to Atlanta. Chicago has played just two games at home and one of those was a 40-point win over Memphis. This is a true mismatch and on their best day, the Pistons don't have the horses to compete with the juggernaut Bulls, especially in the Windy City. Play: Chicago -13½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).
Comment