10-14-12

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We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.



Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

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Jimmy Boyd

5* (NFL) Tampa Bay Bucs -3.5
4* (NFL) Cleveland Browns +2.5
4* (NFL) Denver Broncos +2
3* (NFL) Baltimore Ravens -3.5
3* (NFL) Miami Dolphins +3.5
3* (NFL) Houston Texans -3.5

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EZWINNERS Sunday Plays

5 STAR SELECTION
Game: Green Bay Packers @ Houston Texans
Sport: NFL
Time: 7:30pm Central Time

(231) Green Bay Packers +3.5

(Risking $550 to win $500)
(Line from 5dimes.com on 10/10/12)

The Packers lost another heart breaker last week in Indianapolis but I like them in this Sunday night game against the Texans. In what I hope is a Super Bowl preview the Packers find themselves as an underdog for only the . Houston head coach Gary Kubiak usually plays things close to the vest and I expect this one to be close all the way. The loss of linebacker Brian Cushing is big for Houston who will need some time to adjust to the loss. The Packers don't get dogged by Vegas very often, so I'll take them in that spot when I can. Take the points.



4 STAR SELECTION
Game: Indianapolis Colts @ New York Jets
Sport: NFL
Time: 12:00pm Central Time

(212) New York Jets -3.5

(Risking $440 to win $400)
(Line from 5dimes.com on 10/10/12)

This is a huge letdown spot for the young Colts against a Jets team that needs a win in the very worst way. New York put up a fight against the Texans on Monday night and I look for them to do enough to get the win against this young Indianapolis team. There is still a lot of veteran talent on this Jets team that has been successful in the past and another week of practice with his young receivers will help New York quarterback Mark Sanchez. Tight End Dustin Keller should also be back from injury which will help the Jet's offense. In the past two meetings with Indy, Keller has nine catches for 105 yards and a touchdown. This is the first time the Colts have been on the road since week one and they might have shot their load last week in the comeback win against the Packers. Lay the points.



4 STAR SELECTION
Game: Kansas City Chiefs @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sport: NFL
Time: 3:25pm Central Time

(213) Kansas City Chiefs +4

(Risking $440 to win $400)
(Line from 5dimes.com on 10/10/12)

The Bucs are coming off of a bye week, but that can't be trusted laying points with an offense that ranks 29th in passing and 23rd in rushing. The Chiefs put up a hell of a fight last week in their close loss to Baltimore and the offense I think will get a boost with Brady Quinn starting at quarterback for the injured Matt Cassell who was killing Kansas City with an NFL worst 13 turnovers. Quinn should be able to do damage against Tampa Bays pass defense that is the worst in the NFL allowing 345 yards per game. The Bucs quarterback Josh Freeman is averaging just 6.6 yards per attempt and has a 5 to 4 touchdown to interception ratio and the Bucs just can't match the offensive weapons of the Chiefs. Tampa Bay is just 1-4 against the spread their last five games as a favorite. Take the points.



4 STAR SELECTION
Game: Dallas Cowboys @ Baltimore Ravens
Sport: NFL
Time: 12:00pm Central Time

(217) Dallas Cowboys +3.5

(Risking $440 to win $400)
(Line from 5dimes.com on 10/10/12)

Dallas is a great fade as a favorite, but when they are catching points they are a great play as the Cowboys have covered the spread past seven times when getting more than a field goal. The Cowboys offense has not looked good since opening day against the Giants, but coming off of a bye week after an ugly loss to the Bears I like Dallas in this spot. The Ravens offense was not sharp against Kansas City's leaky defense last week and the Cowboys should be able to keep them in check. The Ravens defense is also not as dominate as they have been in the past ranking just 23rd against the pass and 20th against the run. Dallas was in a similar spot like this last season and covered the spread at New England. This one will be close, take the points.



4 STAR SELECTION
Game: Buffalo Bills @ Arizona Cardinals
Sport: NFL
Time: 3:05pm Central Time

(225) Buffalo Bills +5

(Risking $440 to win $400)
(Line from 5dimes.com on 10/10/12)

The Cardinals are in first place in the NFC West as they are 4-1 to start the season, but I think this team is all smoke and mirrors. This is a good spot for Buffalo to finally play some good defense. The Arizona offense is 31st in the league in rushing and 25th in the league in passing. Cardinal's quarterback Kevin Kolb has been sacked 17 times over the last two weeks and Arizona is now down to their third string running back. The Cardinals defense has got a lot of hype, but they are an average group in my opinion. The Bills were hammered last week by the 49ers who have the best defense in the league, but Buffalo has the weapons to score points and I look for them to have success in this game. The Cards offense will be forced to try to keep up. Take the points..



3 STAR SELECTION
Game: Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns
Sport: NFL
Time: 12:00pm Central Time

(210) Cleveland Browns +1

(Risking $330 to win $300)
(Line from 5dimes.com on 10/10/12)

The Bengals thought that had things going with three straight wins until their home loss last week against Miami. This is a great spot for Cleveland to pick up their first win. The Cincinnati defense is giving up 26 points and 118 rushing yards per game which should allow Cleveland's rookie running back Trent Richardson to have a big day. The Browns defense has actually played well, but have been handicapped by Cleveland's offensive turnover. The Browns should also have cornerback Joe Haden back from injury which will be great for matching up with the Bengals top wide receiver A.J. Green. Cincinnati is only 3-12-1 against the spread the last sixteen times they have been favored. Cleveland wins this rematch of week two. Take the points.




3 STAR SELECTION
Game: New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks
Sport: NFL
Time: 3:05pm Central Time

(224) Seattle Seahawks +4

(Risking $330 to win $300)
(Line from 5dimes.com on 10/10/12)

Seattle is a home underdog once again against another powerhouse NFL team as the Patriots come to town. Just like they did in wins over the Cowboys and Packers look for the Seahawks to pound the ball on the ground with Marshawn Lynch. Seahawks rookie quarterback Russell Wilson should also have some success throwing against the Patriots 30th ranked pass defense. New England's offense will be up against a top five defense and running their hurry up offense will not be an easy task in the loudest open air stadium in the league. Green Bay's quarterback Aaron Rodgers is a lot more mobile than Tom Brady and the Seahawks sacked Rodgers eight times in one half. Seattle is a home underdog with a better running game and defense. Take the points.



3 STAR SELECTION
Game: New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers
Sport: NFL
Time: 3:05pm Central Time

(225) San Francisco 49ers -6.5

(Risking $330 to win $300)
(Line from 5dimes.com on 10/10/12)

This is a game I'm sure San Francisco has been looking forward to playing since losing to the Giants in the NFL championship game last season. This time around the 49ers have a different look on the offensive side of the ball as they are much more explosive and unpredictable. Defensively San Francisco is the best in the league. The 49ers defense has held their two home opponents, the Lions and Bills, to an average of only 225 total yards and 11 points per game. The banged up Giants offense has been able to put up points against below average defense from Carolina and Cleveland, but the injuries to the offensive line and receivers will be apparent in this game. San Francisco is 10-1-1 against the spread at home under head coach Jim Harbaugh. Lay the points

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THE GOLDSHEET

TAMPA BAY 30 - Kansas City 13—They’re already talking in the
Kansas City Star about which QB the Chiefs should take in next April’s draft
(Geno Smith? Matt Barkley?). So we don’t believe K.C. is going to lose much
if it has to start Brady Quinn ahead of the hurting Matt Cassel, KO’d with
apparent concussion last week after being guilty of two more picks plus two
fumbles vs. the Ravens. Such turnovers have been part of the early-season
Chiefs’ narrative, as not even Ben Bernanke has been as generous as K.C. and
its 19 TOs (NFL’s most thru first 5 games since the ‘97 Saints!). Greg Schiano’s
“Ground Buc” attack figures to be a bad match for the yielding K.C. rush
defense. T.B. has been “in tough” (NYG, Dallas, RGIII Skins) last 3 games.

ARIZONA 30- Buffalo 13—Arizona coach Ken Whisenhunt has had a
week and a half after the Cards’ loss in St. Louis to figure out how to counter
opponents’ pass-rush pressure, which has crippled the team’s offense with 17
sacks in the last two games! The best answer is usually a ground attack to keep
the rushers at bay. Arizona was gaining only 2.7 ypc after Game Five. So look
for the Cards to lean heavily on their quick-passing game, defense, and STs to
extend the misery of the Bills, who have given up 580 & 621 yards the last two
games, losing by 24 and 42 vs. the Pats & 49ers. Arizona is unlike those two
on offense, but the Cards’ athletic defense figures to cause a third straight week
of nightmares for Buffalo QB Ryan Fitzpatrick (8 ints. TY).

UNDER the total Dallas 17 - BALTIMORE 16—President Obama
probably didn’t get as much grief after the first debate as the Cowboys did from
the football-mad Metroplex following their Oct.1 mistake-fest vs. the Bears. But
with an extra week for Tony Romo to shake off the cobwebs after his five-pick
mess against Chicago, expect a much-sharper Dallas road effort, similar to its
opener at the Giants. Baltimore didn’t score too many style points itself when
huffing and puffing in its last two vs. the lowly Browns and Chiefs. Not sure Joe
Flacco’s receivers have the separation ability to make the Ravens’ new nohuddle
attack fly as designed. Dallas “under” in 14 of last 21; Raven offense
cut down to 27 pass attempts for Flacco at Kansas City.

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JOE WIZ FREE PLAY

Sunday... In the NFL play Over 43 Buffalo and Arizona

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NFLBettingPicks

Kevin

4 UNIT = Buffalo Bills @ Arizona Cardinals - CARDINALS -4.5 (-104)
(Note: I'm risking 4.16 units to win 4.00 units)

The 2-3 Buffalo Bills will head to take on the 4-1 Arizona Cardinals on Sunday afternoon. Buffalo opened the season with a 48-28 loss to the Jets as 3 point underdogs, then went home to beat KC 35-17, won their second straight 24-14 in Cleveland as 2.5 favorites, and then lost two straight at home vs the Patriots 52-28 and in San Francisco last weekend 45-3. They are 2-3 against the spread this season, but 0-3 ATS as an underdog and they've lost by a combined 86 points in those games. Bills QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is completing 58.3% of his passes with 12 TDs and 8 INTs for a QB Rating of 84.2 (17th). The Bills offense is middle of the pack in the league at 17th averaging 351 yards per game, but their defense is second to last at 31st allowing 449 yards against per game. They are also 31st in the league allowing 35.2 points against per game. The Cardinals have opened up the season with a 4-1 record surprising everyone, with their lone loss coming last Thursday. The Cardinals won their first three games as underdogs vs the Seahawks, Patriots, and Eagles and then beat Miami in overtime 24-21 as 4 point favorites. Last Thursday the Cardinals went into Seattle as 2 point favorites and lost 17-3 as they failed to score points when they got into Rams territory. Overall QB Kevin Kolb has been solid for Arizona completing 60.5% of his passes with 7 TDs and just 2 INTs for a QB Rating of 89.7. The Cardinals offense is ranked just 31st in the NFL averaging 273 yards per game, but they haven't needed much offense with their defense being very solid to start the year. Facing some tough offenses the Cardinals are 11th ranked in the league on defense allowing 334 yards against per game, and 5th ranked giving up just 15.6 points against per game. Take note that the Cardinals were 6-2 at home last year, and they've won 8 straight home games as they've started 3-0 at home this year. Arizona is also 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games. The Bills were an awful 1-7 on the road last year, and they've lost 8 of their last 9 road games (with their only win coming against the winless Browns this year). Buffalo is just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 overall, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a blowout loss of 14+ points, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. On the other hand the Cardinals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games coming off a loss. To add to that they've had the extra days rest playing on Thursday last week, and more time to prepare for this home game vs the Bills. The Bills have been awful on the road, while Arizona has proved to be a tough team to beat at home. The Cardinals were embarrassed in a prime time game last week and I expect a big bounce back game on Sunday where they beat the Bills by a touchdown or more.

2 UNIT = Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns - BENGALS -1 (-107)
(Note: I'm risking 2.14 units to win 2.00 units)

The 3-2 Cincinnati Bengals will visit their division rivals in the Cleveland Browns who are a winless 0-5 to start the year. The Bengals opened the season with a 44-13 loss in Baltimore in a Monday Night Primetime game, but have rebounded nicely. The Bengals went on to win three straight vs Cleveland at home, and then Washington and Jacksonville on the road. Over those three wins the Bengals went 2-0-1 ATS. Last week Cincinnati hosted the Miami Dolphins as 3-3.5 point favorites, and went on to lose to 17-13 as the Dolphins solid defense shut them down. It is important to note that the Bengals two losses came against good defenses, while they scored 27+ points in all three wins. The Bengals rank 15th in the league on offense averaging 371 yards per game, and 11th scoring 25 PPG. On defense the Bengals are 18th in the league allowing 348 yards against per game. QB Andy Dalton has been good completing 65.7% of his passes with 9 TDs and 6 INTs for a QB Rating of 92.9. The Cleveland Browns have started the year 0-5 and have been underdogs of 7 or more in 4 of those 5 games. In Week 1 the Eagles scored late to win 17-16 in Cincinnati, they then traveled to Cincinnati losing by 7, hosted Buffalo losing by 10, went into Baltimore on a Thursday Night and lost by 7 points covering the spread, before blowing an early 14-0 lead last week and closing by 14 in New York vs the Giants. The Browns are ranking 24th in the league averaging 324 yards per game on offense, while ranking 21st averaging 20 points per game. Defensively the numbers aren't good for Cleveland as they allow 423 yards against per game (28th) and 27.8 PPG against (25th). Rookie QB Brandon Weeden is completing just 40% of his passes with 5 TDs and 9 INTs for a QB Rating of 64.5 (33rd in the NFL). Take note that the Browns went 4-12 last year, with their 4 wins coming against Jacksonville, Seattle, Miami and Indianapolis - winning those games by an average of just 4 points. The Bengals made the postseason last year in a tough division as they won 9 games, and they enter this game with a winning 3-2 record. They are 2-1 on the road this season, making them 7-4 over the past two years on the road. Last year the Bengals beat Cleveland on the road by 10 points, and then beat them by 3 points at home. They won by 7 points against the Browns at home this year, making it their 4 straight win over Cleveland and 7th win in their last 8 meetings. Take note that the Bengals are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 road games ,and 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 vs a team with a losing record. The Browns are 3-9-2 ATS in their last 14 home games. The Bengals have a good offense and they should be able to take advantage of the young Browns defense that is ranked 28th in the league to date. Cincinnati shouldn't be looking ahead to their meeting with Pittsburgh next week as they are coming off a home loss, and know that they need to take care of Cleveland. I'll go with the better team in this one, as the Browns don't have much of a home field advantage. Cincinnati wins.

2 UNIT = New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks - UNDER 45 (-105)
(Note: I'm risking 2.10 units to win 2.00 units)

Two 3-2 teams will do battle on Sunday as the Patriots head to Seattle. New England is coming off of two straight wins vs Denver and @Buffalo after losing two straight @Baltimore and vs Arizona. The Patriots also opened the season off with a home victory against Tennessee. Seattle opened their season with a loss in Arizona, came home to beat Dallas and Green Bay, and then lost in St Louis before winning in Carolina last week. These are two totally different teams, as the Patriots rely on their offense and the Seahawks rely on their defense. New England is 1st in the league offensively averaging 439 yards per game, and 1st scoring 33 points per game. On the other hand the Seattle Seahawks are 1st in the league defensively averaging 258 yards against per game, and 2nd allowing just 14 points against per game. Offensively Seattle is averaging just 17.2 points per game (28th) and are 27th with 287 yards per game. The Patriots are giving up 22.6 PPG (17th) and 372 yards against per game (20th). Take note that the Seahawks held opponents to just 12 and 7 points in their two home games this year, and those were against two good offenses in Dallas and Green Bay. The totals of those two home games were 34 and 26, with the 26 point total in what really should have been just 19 points scored (with the controversial TD call vs the Packers on the last second hail mary). The Seattle home field advantage is pretty clear, as opponents have a tough time scoring points at Qwest Field. Last season only 2 opponents scored more than 23 points against Seattle at home, with 5 of the 8 teams scoring 19 points or fewer. Note that Seahawks QB Russell Wilson is completing 63.2% of his passes for just 815 yards this year, with 5 TDs and 6 INTs for a 75.2 QB Rating (26th). Tom Brady has never played in Seattle and will be facing the leagues 1st ranked defense. The UNDER is 5-0 in Seahawks games this year, with the highest total being 36. I expect Seattle to be able to contain the Patriots offense and limit their damage, and this game will be unlikely to get over the 45 point total. Take the UNDER.

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NFL Underdogs: Week 6 pointspread picks
By JASON LOGAN

There’s a point in every great movie when the seemingly indestructible foe shows a moment of weakness, allowing the good guys to pounce.

Whether it’s a carelessly-placed thermal exhaust port, a cut under the left eye or a poor showing on national TV, every “unstoppable” behemoth has a chink in the armor.


Of course, the latter example has to do with the Houston Texans’ ho-hum 23-17 win over the New York Jets on Monday Night Football.

The Texans, who improved to 5-0 SU with the victory, looked human for the first time this season versus the desperate Jets – a team oddsmakers tagged as high as 10-point home underdogs.

On top of that blown cover, Houston suffered a crushing injury to All-Pro linebacker Brian Cushing, who’s out for the remainder of the year with a torn ACL. That loss puts a speed bump in front of the Texans’ fearless pass rush, allowing blockers to key on sack master J.J. Watt, who leads the AFC in QB kills with 7.5.

As strong as the Texans have looked, chop blocking one of their biggest pillars causes plenty of cracks in the dam. And, really, is Houston’s undefeated mark really that great to begin with, boasting wins over Miami, Jacksonville, Denver, Tennessee and New York?

Those teams combine for an 8-17 record (11-14 ATS) and Houston is actually tied for the third-weakest schedule in the league. We’re not dealing with Ivan Drago here, are we?

The Texans get their first true test of the season this Sunday night against the Green Bay Packers, a once-mighty force that knows all about having its weaknesses exposed.

Speaking of looking human for the first time this season, I suffered my first losing week of NFL Underdogs, going 1-2 ATS in Week 5 to fall to 10-4-1 ATS on the year.

Here’s hoping my record isn’t as paper-thin as the Texans’.

Pick: Green Bay +3.5

Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles (-4, 47.5)

Andy Reid has a bone to pick with one NFL GM, who anonymously ripped Lions DT Ndamukong Suh earlier this week.

That sparked a fire in Suh, who is one scary dude even when he’s not being publicly criticized. That mystery GM didn’t do the Eagles offensive line any favors.

Philadelphia’s lack of protection has left QB Mike Vick to scramble for his life through the first five weeks, allowing Vick to be sacked 14 times while also causing him to throw six interceptions and fumble five times.

Wouldn’t it be funny if the GM turned out to be Lions’ top man Martin Mayhew? A 1-3 start can make teams resort to desperate measures.

Pick: Detroit +4

Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers (-1, 49.5)

The look on Peyton Manning’s face said it all.

The Broncos marched down the field and had themselves in position to make things very interesting late in the fourth quarter at New England last weekend.

Then, RB Willis McGahee fumbled on the Patriots’ 14-yard line with just under four minutes remaining, erasing any chance of a Denver comeback – let alone a cover as a 5.5-point underdog.

Don’t expect anyone else to handle the ball besides Manning when the Broncos are closing in on the end zone in San Diego Monday.

Pick: Denver +1

Last week: 1-2 ATS
Season: 10-4-1 ATS

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StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

NFL OAKLAND at ATLANTA

Play On - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OAKLAND) off a road loss, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season.
89-45 since 1997. ( 66.4% 39.5 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% -1.1 units )

NFL NY GIANTS at SAN FRANCISCO

Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (SAN FRANCISCO) after leading in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half against opponent after scoring 30 points or more last game.
49-21 over the last 10 seasons. ( 70.0% 0.0 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% 0.0 units )

NFL NY GIANTS at SAN FRANCISCO

Play Against - Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (NY GIANTS) excellent offensive team - scoring 27 or more points/game, after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game.
41-15 over the last 10 seasons. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% -1.1 units )

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Colin Cowherd's blazing five (16-9)
1. Atlanta -9
2. Detroit +3.5
3. Buffalo +4.5
4. Jets -3
5. Dallas +3.5

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StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets

CFL SASKATCHEWAN at EDMONTON

Play Against - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SASKATCHEWAN) after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread, with a winning record on the season.
44-14 since 1997. ( 75.9% 28.6 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% 1.9 units )

CFL CALGARY at WINNIPEG

Play Against - Any team vs the money line (WINNIPEG) off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog against opponent off a road loss against a division rival.
27-7 since 1997. ( 79.4% 0.0 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% 0.0 units )

CFL CALGARY at WINNIPEG

Play Against - Road teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (CALGARY) after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses, in October games.
24-4 since 1997. ( 85.7% 19.6 units )

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Norm Hitzges

DOUBLE PLAYS:
· Denver +1 San Diego
· Dallas +3 1/2 Baltimore


SINGLE PLAYS:

· Indy +3 1/2 NY JETS
· Atlanta -9 Oakland
· Detroit +3 1/2 Philly
· New Eng -3 1/2 Seattle
· St. Louis-Miami UNDER 37 1/2
· Dallas-Baltimore UNDER 44

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SPORTS WAGERS

Survivor Pick - Week 6

HOUSTON over Green Bay

Outside of Atlanta and to a lesser extent, Pittsburgh, the pickings are rather slim this week. One of our rules in this format is to never back a road team, so that eliminates the Steelers. That leaves Atlanta as the other team that the majority of your opposing poolies will be on. Should the Dirty Birds go down in defeat this week and you heed our advice, you figure to be in a very strong position. While Atlanta is 'supposed' to defeat Oakland, it is the NFL and strange things happen. Atlanta is a cushy 5-0 with no team in its division having more than one win. The Falcons have a bye on deck to be followed with a game against the Eaglest. The hope is that the Falcons get caught napping.

The Texans are the other undefeated team in the league and while they’ll have some easier spots upcoming, this is the week we can use them to try and make a serious move by avoiding Atlanta. The Packers are a team in trouble. They drag their losing record down to Houston with a couple of notable injuries and no road wins .The Packers offensive strengths should be negated by the Texans' defensive prowess but the opposite does not hold true. We've come this far with our strategy, watching those following the 'sure game of the week' go down. Let's hope the Falcons lose and a resulting stronghold with a Houston win is what transpires.

Week 6 pick – Houston straight up.
N.Y. Jets √
Cincinnati √
Chicago √
Green Bay √
New Orleans √

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THE GOLDSHEET EXTRA

ATLANTA 34 - Oakland 17—We can’t wonder what Al Davis might have
done about Oakland’s many flaws because the Raiders hardly solved similar
issues when Al was still alive. But the abandonment of Davis’ preferred
trademark press-coverage, dating back to the days of Kent McCloughan and
Willie Brown, and the various juggling that new HC Dennis Allen and d.c. Jason
Tarver have been doing with the personnel at CB, suggests a very bad matchup
vs. the potent Atlanta strike force. Soon-to-be-elite QB Matt Ryan likely to wing
it 45-50 times, if necessary. Raiders have been outscored 72-19 first two road
games; Falcs 10-5-1 vs. line last 16 at home.

New England 20 - SEATTLE 19—First game back home for the Seahawks
since their replacement-officials-aided “Inaccurate Reception” victory over the
Packers. And first meeting for Pete Carroll vs. his last NFL team (N.E. 1997-
99). Carroll’s dismissal paved the way for some guy named Bill Belichick, who
won 3 Super Bowls with the Patriots in the ensuing 5 years. In this contest,
Russell Wilson can’t match Tom Brady pass for pass. But RB Marshawn Lynch
and the Seattle pass rush (16 sacks) know how to reach frenetic levels at
CenturyLink Field. Just ask Aaron Rodgers (sacked 8 times in first half).
Seattle “under” all five in 2012.

Indianapolis 24 - NY JETS 17—Who knows what might transpire next with
the Jets, where anything short of Joe Namath suiting up would hardly surprise?
Still, despite all of their controversies, Rex Ryan’s troops are hardly out of
contention in the AFC East. Yet, silver linings are hard to find in Floral Park,
where Jets’ problems (shaky OL, punchless ground force, WR Santonio
Holmes injured, leaky defense, no “Revis Island”) extend far beyond QB issues.
Indy playing with a purpose for sidelined HC Chuck Pagano, and Andrew Luck
already appears well ahead of either Mark Sanchez or Tim Tebow on the NFL
QB learning curve.

*HOUSTON 31 - Green Bay 21—Houston went into its Monday nighter at the
Jets on an 18-5 pointspread run, including 8-1 its last 9 at home. And, before
last weekend, Wade Phillips’ defense led the NFL, allowing both the fewest
yards and points. Meanwhile, the Packers are still struggling with their balance,
as G.B. RBs not providing much help for Aaron Rodgers, who led the team with
57 YR in last week’s loss at Indy. Reigning MVP Rodgers (an amazing 45 TDP
vs. only 5 ints. LY) has usually been under great pressure in 2012, with 4 ints.
already, and sacked 21 times the first five games. Texans have been stronger
than the Pack in both their OL & DL this season, not to mention at RB with Arian
Foster. TV—NBC

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GMC-NFL Selections 14/10/12

#217 Dallas +3.5
#219 Detroit +3.5
#222 Miami -4
#224 Seattle +3.5
#231 Green Bay + 3.5

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Prediction Machine: Houston - 3 1/2, Miami -4, Atlanta -9 ,Denver + 2 1/2